The Dodgers obliterated the Phillies for 16 runs yesterday, and they’re in for another big performance against Vince Velasquez. Velasquez has a 5.36 FIP with an awful 2.08 HR/9, so the loaded LA lineup should tear it up again in a hitter’s park in Philadelphia. Atop their lineup is Joc Pederson, who has crushed right-handed pitching this year with a 135 wRC+ and 20 homers. He’s only $2,700 at first base tonight, which is an awesome value for a leadoff hitter. Just like the Yung Joc song says, “It’s goin dowwwwn.”
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Walker Buehler, SP: $10,000– It’s no surprise that Buehler is the most expensive starter on the slate, and he’s well worth the investment. Buehler has a 27.4% K-rate with just a 3.4% walk-rate, good for a 2.85 FIP. He faces a Phillies lineup that is below-average against righties with a .313 wOBA, and he’s pretty much a lock for a win against Velasquez.
Lance Lynn, SP: $9,800 – I hate to recommend the top two starters on the slate, but today’s pitching options are absolutely terrible outside of the high-end options. It’s looking like a night where you’re going to have to spend on your starter to stand any chance, at least in cash games. Lynn has a 2.00 ERA over his last 36 innings, where he’s struck out 41 batters with only four walks. He’s got a fantastic 2.61 Deserved Run Average on the year and is coming off of a dominant start against the Astros. This would sound insane back in March, but Lynn can be expected to perform like an ace every time out.
Robinson Cano, 2B: $3,100 – As usual, options are slim at second base. Unless you want to pay up for Jose Altuve, your best bet is to save some payroll and roll with a cheap flier like Cano. Cano has homered in back-to-back games and could do so again against Michael Pineda, who has a 1.55 HR/9 and a 4.56 ERA.
Eugenio Suarez, 3B: $3,500 – Suarez has been mashing over the last 15 days, with five homers and a .988 OPS. He’s in a nice spot to rack up counting stats batting third for the Reds against Alec Mills, who has a 4.73 ERA in triple-A this year.
Jonathan Villar, SS: $3,100– Villar will be batting leadoff against Nats starter Austin Voth, owner of an abysmal 5.52 ERA in three starts this season. Villar’s power and speed combo means that he can score for you in a variety of ways, with 17 steals and 10 homers on the year. He’s also batting .302 over the last month, so he’s worth a look in cash games as a high floor player.
Adam Eaton, OF: $3,000 – Eaton isn’t a flashy play by any means, but he’ll be batting second in a hitter-friendly park in Baltimore against Asher Wojciechowski. Woj has a 6.10 ERA, and the guys who come in from the Orioles bullpen will be just as bad, so the Nationals lineup is a great stack. Eaton has a strong .364 OBP, so he’s a good bet to get on base and come around to score.
Eloy Jimenez, OF: $3,500– Eloy lives and dies by the long ball, and his boom-or-bust profile is perfect for GPP contests. He’s got 11 homers since the start of June, and Royals starter Glenn Sparkman allows 1.96 HR/9.
Andrew Benintendi, OF: $3,400– The Red Sox offense should beat up on Jays starter Jacob Waguespack in Fenway, so Benintendi can see some RBI opportunities batting fifth. He went 2-for-5 with three RBI yesterday.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
There’s possible rain in Cleveland, but the Tigers-Indians matchup should be safe from a delay. Nothing else to be worried about on the slate.
Doing Lines In Vegas
Anthony DeSclafani shut out the Cubs over six innings the last time he faced them, and he could lead the Reds to a win at +118 against Alec Mills.
