Another Wednesday, another slate with one less game due to poor weather the night before. Thankfully we still a healthy 8-game slate on our hands with some interesting matchups. We have good pitchers against bad offenses, as well as great offenses against poor pitching. Toronto will garner much of the offensive love and for good reason but don’t ignore the 2nd team in that game.
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Zack Wheeler, SP: $11,200 – Since June 1st the Cubs are dead last in MLB with a 75 wRC+ and batting .194 as team. Wheeler is in the midst of a breakout season and would likely be a Cy Young front runner if not for Jacob deGrom.
Alex Wood, SP: $8,300 – The red birds aren’t much better, 28th in wRC+ since June 1st and are 29th in runs scored. They don’t strike out a ton as a team but 6 strong innings are definitely in play here.
Catcher/First Base
Trey Mancini / Ryan Mountcastle, C/1B: $3,300 / $2,900 – Hyun-Jin Ryu has not been himself as of late, he’s given up 3 or more earned runs in 5 of his last 6 games. It will be a hot one in Baltimore tonight and the ball is sure to be flying out.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr., C/1B: $4,600 – Anytime Matt Harvey takes the mound it should be plug and play at this point against him. I know it’s only July 7th but Vladdy is placing himself with a legit shot at a triple crown. Add in 90+ degree heat & humidity and a small park, I like the idea of a full game stack in this one.
Second Base
Marcus Semien / Cavan Biggio, 2B: $4,200 / $2,800 – Slim picking at second base tonight, I would either take one as part of your stack or simply punt the position to save salary.
Gavin Lux / Wilmer Flores, 2B: $2,300 / $2,400 – These are my punt choices. Lux is going to face a spot starter or a bullpen committee tonight (probably both). Flores faces Johan Oviedo. While this isn’t on the correct platoon split for Flores, Oviedo is walking almost 5 batters per nine and has an ERA and FIP north of 5.
Third Base
Kyle Seager, 3B: $3,000 – Domingo German has had a HR/9 higher than 1.5 dating back to 2018. At first glance, I thought this was just Yankee stadium fodder. However, his ERA is almost 1.5 runs higher on the road than at home.
Manny Machado, 3B: $4,000 – Patrick Corbin has been brutal, his K rate is declining, and his barrel, home run, and walk rates are up, and an ERA over 5.5. Manny has collected hits in 5 of his last 6, including 3 home runs.
Short Stop
Fernando Tatis Jr., SS: $4,500 – Not much to say about one of the games best going up against one of the league’s worst starters.
Didi Gregorius, SS: $2,500 – He has two homers in four games since returning from the IL. Alec Mills has allowed a .371 wOBA against LHH in his short 162.1 IP career thus far.
Outfield
LaMonte Wade Jr, OF: $2,900 – Another platoon bat that has struck gold for the Giants. He’s slashing .261/.336/.505 en route to a 131 wRC+. He gets a soft matchup against Johan Oviedo and a Cardinals bullpen that has a 4.84 FIP since June 1st.
Austin Hays, OF: $2,700 – Hays has had an average season but he does have some pop and currently has a 10.7%-barrel rate. A number that should serve him well as the temperatures rise in Baltimore like we’ll have tonight.
Wil Myers, OF: $2,300 – This price is too hard to pass up. Myers has four hits in the last two games and hits in heart of the Padres order.
Randal Grichuk / Teoscar Hernadez, OF: $3,100 / $3,400- Grichuk has homered in consecutive games. Teo has cut his k-rate by nearly 5% this year and has solidified his spot in the middle of one of the game’s best offenses.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
There is a 30-40% chance of rain for the Cubs/Phillies game. Very high temperatures in Baltimore, which will make for a good run environment.
Doing Lines In Vegas
Nationals (Patrick Corbin) at Padres (Chris Paddack) O/U 8.5 runs scored, take the over. Both of these teams are in the top 10 offensively since June 1st. Corbin has been as bad as his 5.56 ERA indicates. Paddack checks in with 4.56 ERA, leans on mostly a two-pitch mix. His fastball is not very good and has .346 wOBA against it. Not great for a pitch he throws almost 62% of the time.
