Welcome back to Friday DFSers! Today, FanDuel has us set up with another massive 14-game slate. We’re just over a third of the way through the MLB season and just when you think you have things figured out Carrasco leaves, Kimbrel finally arrives, and Jake Odorizzi has the league’s second-best ERA. I’m just scrambling for stability, so I’m grabbing onto my safety blanket, Clayton Kershaw ($10,700). We have the fantasy gods to thank for a healthy Clayton Kershaw after the scare in Spring Training. Kershaw’s been the image of stability, going at least six innings in all nine starts this year, and while his strikeout rate isn’t anywhere near his prime rate (23.9%), he does have his lowest walk rate since 2016 (3.9%). On this Friday, Clayton Kershaw gets a prime matchup against the Giants in Oracle Park and thanks to the Marlins’ offensive outburst against the Brewers, the Giants now have the league’s worst wRC+ against left-handed pitching. Now that you’ve seen my blue safety blanket, let’s take a look at the rest of the FanDuel slate.
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Howie Kendrick, C/1B: $3,300 – The Nationals are one of my favorite stacks today, which is what a matchup with Nick Margevicius will do. Kendrick has just crushed lefties this year to the tune of a .444 wOBA.
Derek Dietrich, 2B: $3,000 – I think someone adjusted the sliders on Dietrich, because these numbers are just ridiculous. He currently has a .468 ISO and .458 wOBA against right-handed pitching.
Cavan Biggio, 2B: $2,800 – Can you believe Baby Bigg is all grown up already? Decent paydown option at 2B, but still has some upside.
Adalberto Mondesi, SS: $3,900 – Speaking of Ivan Nova, he’s allowing a .220 ISO and .416 wOBA to lefties this year. Mondesi’s major flaw, the strikeout, is also neutralized as Nova only strikes out 13.5% of batters.
Manny Machado, SS: $3,300 – Machado has really struggled against right-handed pitching this year (.101 ISO, .284 wOBA), but Eric Fedde is not great and this is a really affordable price.
Christian Yelich, OF: $4,900 – If you’re paying down at pitcher today, this is the reason why. I’m going to try my hardest to fit in a Brewers stack with Yelich, but we’ll see what’s surrounding him.
Franmil Reyes, OF: $3,400 – Franmil SMASH!!
Alex Gordon, OF: $3,400 – Decent price in a matchup with Ivan Nova and this version of Gordon is even better than the hype we got from him coming up as the top prospect. He currently has a .253 ISO and .393 wOBA against righties, while striking out just 14.0% of the time.
Jesse Winker, OF: $2,500 – Don’t hate this price point in a play against Zach Eflin, who struggles against lefties. Winker’s been decent against right-handed pitching, sporting a .260 ISO and .356 wOBA.
Chris Taylor, OF: $2,300 – This is simply too cheap for the potential leadoff man for the Dodgers tonight.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
No rain on today’s slate, thank the lord. We have a couple of games with temperatures in the 80s with the Royals/White Sox and Athletics/Rangers, so give a slight bump up to bats in those games. As of this writing (Thursday night), there’s forecasted to be wind blowing in from rightfield at 12 miles per hour in the Yankees/Indians game.
Doing Lines In Vegas
There are some massive favorites on today’s slate. The Astros lead the way at -340 favorites against the Orioles, followed by the Brewers at -240 and Dodgers at -235, so give a slight bump up to their pitchers for the potential win. At 10.5, the Athletics/Rangers game currently has the highest total, followed by the Brewers/Pirates at 9.5 runs. I’ve been crushing some team totals recently, and if the Royals come out with a team total of 4.5 runs, I’ll be taking advantage of Ivan Nova and the terrible White Sox bullpen and playing the over.