It’s a good night on Draft.com. Outside of a Coors game, there’s not that much chalk, especially with starting pitching. It’s a perfect night to dust off guys like Scooter Gennett, who don’t get much respect. A touch of contrarian play could go a long way here.
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Masahiro Tanaka, SP: Early. Pitching on the road in the pitcher-friendly confines of Marlins Park should help the fly-ball-challenged Tanaka. He’s been better away from Yankee Stadium, to the tune of a 3.86 ERA and 1.02 WHIP (4.27/1.27 at home). Without a clear-cut ace at the top, I lean Tanaka.
Hyun-Jin Ryu, SP: Middle. This is the story of Ryu: come off of the DL, tease his talent, get hurt shortly thereafter. Let’s just enjoy the ride, however brief. He gave you 6 innings with 6 strikeouts last time out, and I expect something in that neighborhood tonight.
Kevin Gausman, SP: Late. You never can be sure which Gausman you’re going to get. It’s a crap pitching slate, though, and Gausman is one of the few who can deliver 8 to 10 Ks. The downside is that he could turn into Kevin Gascan and destroy your night.
Nolan Arenado, IF: Early. An ISO of .538 against LHP at home in Coors Field. I won’t bother saying more.
Khris Davis, IF: Middle. Out of his 36 HRs, 28 have come against righties. Opposing pitcher Ariel Jurado is giving up 2 HR/9. The A’s are the hottest team in baseball. When a club has the scent of the postseason the way they do, watch out.
Scooter Gennett, IF: Late. Gennett is the Rodney Dangerfield of baseball: he gets no respect, I tell ya. Who doesn’t love a good revenge game? He actually hasn’t done much damage to his former club, but that just means he’s due. I hope. A career SLG of .416 in Miller Park has to shine through as the visitor at some point.
Christian Yelich, OF: Early. Yelich has turned his season around from early disappointment into reliable producer with a second-half wOBA of .449. That home park boost is finally starting to hit.
Manuel Margot, OF: Middle. If you’re going to go after a Padre, since they’re in Coors, I’d rather pay for a middle pick. Margot performed fairly well there earlier this season: for the series, he had a .353 OBP, two doubles, and a stolen base. That’s not going to win your night single-handedly, but it can set the table.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Check the Colorado game before lock for sure. Washington and Pittsburgh also have some T-boomers in the area, and there’s a possibility of rain in Chicago.
Doing Lines in Vegas