There are 10 games on the Main DraftKings Slate starting with the Rays-Yankees at 6:05 CT, and this game will be a fun one to target on the Yankees side. The team boasts the best walk rate in the majors and will be facing a pitcher who struggles with walks and fly balls. Triston McKenzie is questionably pitching through an elbow injury which makes me worry that he can be much better than average even against the A’s. I don’t think Heaney can stop the Braves attack which has the highest Babip in the league by far at .358. Is this a result of all the hard hit balls or a bit of luck? Heaney will need luck to be on his side to escape this matchup without a bloated ERA.
On the pitching side, there are options up and down the pay scale. Jack Flaherty (7.7k) will probably pitch well against MIN and Joe Ryan (8.9k) should be a good play as he holds the top spot on Streamonator. Peralta (9.5k) is a pretty strong start given his K numbers so far or perhaps you prefer Yamamoto (9.6k). Yariel Rodriguez (5k) won’t put up the best score on the slate, but he’s 5k and should get a bunch of Ks.
In terms of offenses that you can stack, look to the SF-ARI game. It could be an interesting game to target given the narrative of two late signing pitchers who may need more time to get up to speed. SEA has stars who could shine in Coors Field. COL likewise could do some damage vs. Hancock. Otherwise, there’s NYY, ATL, MIN, LAD, CLE – I feel each of these teams is a good DFS team to lead the slate despite the ownership or cost.
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Joe Ryan, SP: $8,900 – I would only play Joe Ryan as a low-mid owned play. His refined offspeed pitches, like his faster slider, seem to be doing the trick. It’ll also be pretty cold in Minnesota on Friday, helping limit the HRs. He is the highest rated player on the Streamonator.
Freddy Peralta, SP: $9,500 – The Streamonator doesn’t grade Peralta out well (only the 4th best SP) and I can’t understand that with his 39% K rate and 3% BB rate. I don’t expect him to keep this up all year, but he has a good chance for a great game playing in a pitcher’s park.
Shea Langaliers, C/1B: $3,400 – The A’s are going to have chances to get their offense going most definitely vs. McKenzie and I will be trying to pay down at some positions like C. Langaliers is an everyday player hitting in the middle of the lineup and has similar hard hit data as Cal Raleigh at a cheaper price. Progressive Field is more of a pitcher’s park than Coors, but that’s another reason for the discount.
Ty France, 1B: $4,200 – I generally do not advise rostering one-off bats from Coors, but I will still highlight France as a good play in particular in this game. He is not hitting for power yet, but his contact with the ball is solid and he is spraying the ball all over the field. His line drives will find more space in Coors and he could rack up a few extra base hits and should have the opportunities for RBIs.
Gleyber Torres, 2B: $4,300 – The HRs will start to come for him and this is a great spot for a HR. He already has 3 SBs and gets on base enough to create those chances. Good value.
Jordan Westburg, 3B: $ 4,200 – Some batters have been hitting the ball very hard and Jordan is one of those. He should continue to find success against all types of pitching, Jordan is a nice play.
Anthony Volpe, SS: $4,600 – It sure seems like the trust NYY put into Volpe all of last year is paying off. He doesn’t K as often and he is hitting the ball with authority. He gets a good matchup and his price is pretty affordable.
Aaron Judge, OF: $6,100 – Juan Soto, OF: $6,000 are both great choices for your lineup. They get the premier matchup today and they just need to have good luck on their batted balls to really make an impact on this slate.
Adam Duvall, OF: $3,700 – The barrel rate is off the charts and it makes sense because Duvall is able to focus mostly on LHPs. He is mispriced because he doesn’t play every day, but the team has mostly been giving him 4 ABs when he is in the lineup.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
No rain impacting play today, but there are a few really cold games. Usually, the cold will affect the hitting, limiting the flight of the ball, but it also affects the pitchers ability to grip the ball and pitch with velocity at times. I imagine that Joe Ryan who is used to pitching in the MIN cold might handle it better than Jack Flaherty, but that’s just a guess. The other cold spot is Colorado which should help to limit the effects of that park on batted balls in play.
Doing Lines In Vegas
It is much warmer in Atlanta than in other cities today, so naturally, that game total is one of the higher ones. I trust the high total for Atlanta as something that can be used to make roster decisions in DFS and would not shy away from betting on the ATL offense in a variety of ways. The NYY total is extremely high. I agree that the spot looks good for offense, but man that’s a high total projected for the Yankees offense!!
