Starting pitching is deep for this Wednesday evening slate with the likes of Cease, Gilbert, Singer, Skenes, Rodon, and Berrios. There are a couple less expensive options, but it feels like it is generally worth spending the big money on pitchers you truly believe will perform. Yes, you want the best hitters too, but that feels more risky than getting an ace-level arm at the top of your lineup. With that said, we are rolling with Logan Gilbert at a price of $9,200 against the A’s and Carlos Rodon at a price of $8,400 against the Twins. I fully support you grabbing Cease at $9,400 against the Angels if you think you can find some value for some hitters. We’ll try to piece together a formidable lineup around these arms for tonight’s games that start at 6:40pm EST.
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Logan Gilbert, SP $9,200 – Logan Gilbert has not faced the A’s this season and has been on a bit of a rough stretch per his standards. His 18.6 fppg make him an attractive option and it’s possible he exceeds that average and puts up a nice 25-point performance. He had a 5 start stretch in April into May where he had no less than 25 points in a start. More recently, he has 2 starts around his overall average fppg and 2 starts that were duds. I’m putting plenty of confidence in Gilbert to have a strong outing against the A’s this evening.
Carlos Rodon, SP: $8,400 – We named a lot of starters in the opening paragraph and Rodon is probably the least sexy pick there is. His $8,400 price point feels like a bargain at his 17.7 fppg. He faced the Twins in May, where he finished with a line of 6ip, 6h, 0ER, and 6ks for a 23.9-point showing. He’s hovered right around 20 points per start (17.9 being his lowest) in his 3 starts since last facing the Twins. Let’s take a shot at a potential deal with Rodon against the Twins tonight.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr, 1B: $4,900 – When you’re hot you’re hot. We did pick him last week, and he gave us a whopping 5 points, but today is a new day. Since May 1st, Vlad hit .367 with 3 HR and 16RBI. He has bounced back from his dreadful start of the season and returned to his offensive-producing form, albeit with less power. Albert Suarez of the Orioles has been good this year, but it feels like a nice time for some regression and Vlad Jr will be the one who takes advantage of the opportunity.
Nico Hoerner, 2B: $4,200 – Another player we had last week that underperformed. We do not give up that easy. Hoener can easily provide a double-digit performance with a couple hits and a sb, especially against the White Sox. Fedde is on the mound for them, and while he’s been good to this point, he’s been susceptible to giving up a good bit of runs. He gave up 4 in his last start against the Brewers, and maybe the time is right for Hoerner and the Cubs to take advantage as well.
Maikel Garcia, 3B: $4,500 – 3B is the biggest question mark of this slate for me. There are pricier options like Machado, Westburg, and Jose Ramirez, but I settled on Garcia. It looks like the Guardians are going with a bullpen game, starting Nick Sandlin so there are some concerns with matchups throughout the game. He had a 17-point game last night, and looking back at previous games, he’s been known to rattle off multiple games of double-digit output. Expect the Royals to score some runs, with Garcia getting on base, and even adding another steal to his 10 total this year.
J.P Crawford, SS: $3,600 – Another position where there is more star power at the top of the position for much higher prices. J.P. has been solid for the Mariners since his return from the IL. He hits leadoff, so him getting on base puts him in a decent opportunity to score some runs, not to mention he can get it done with the bat as well. Again, we’re going for some value here and hoping he outperforms his average of 6.8 points per game.
Luke Raley OF: $3,700 – Raley has 4 straight games of 10+ point performances which includes 2 home runs. Joey Estes is on the mound for the A’s, and he has a 6.10 ERA in 20.2 innings this season. The Mariners will score runs, and Raley will play a factor in that.
Alex Verdugo, OF: $4,300 – Verdugo has been hitting behind Soto and Judge in this lethal Yankees lineup, and with how often Judge and Soto get on-base, Verdugo should have plenty of opportunities to drive in some runs. Eventually, teams have to start pitching around Soto and Judge more, right!? When the Twins do on Wednesday, Verdugo will be there to clear the bases while providing us with a double-digit performance at the plate.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
As of 10am EST Wednesday, there is no potential for delays or rainouts. Some 12mph winds are possible for the Yankees/Twins game. These winds are predicted to be blowing in from rightfield. There are a plethora of options for players to swap out if needed. All the studs are available, and if you prefer them, make sure to consider guys like Jose Siri, Zach Neto, and Connor Norby.
Doing Lines In Vegas
The largest over/under of the slate is 9 between the White Sox and Cubs. You’ll see plenty of 8.5 as there are 4 games with that total. The Yankees are the biggest favorite of the slate at -192, and surprisingly the Mariners are only -155 with Gilbert against the A’s. This one feels like a nice option.
