What’s a happenin’ Razz-stuff? FOH, the player slayer, is at the helm for my first and probably last bold predictions post. I only call it my last because after this one, I’m confident that I won’t be allowed to be bold again. Kidding… sorta. I get bold from time to time, but usually play it more conservative and pick my spots. I’m getting an assist on this one, as I have everyone’s favorite commenter doing a pop-up like a rogue restaurant or a children’s book. You have to follow me after the jump to find out who it is, but I’ll give you a hint: He sets his clock to Pacific time. No fancy intro needed here… Let’s get to some predictions for the 2016 season!

 

J-FOH’s Bold Predictions

1. Pedro Alvarez will hit 40 Homeruns! Yes that is correct, the man once known as Pedro from Pittsburgh and El Burro, will max out his career in dongs and put 40 over the wall. B-More is a place where pitchers go to die, but sluggers get resurrected to god status. We had Crush Davis and now we’ll have the Punisher Alvarez. He’s finally in a hitters park, but not just any hitters park, the best power park for lefties in baseball. Couple that with a division full of lefty-friendly parks and him getting to play his most natural position, DH, and we have a recipe for success.

2. Sean Manaea will be the top rookie pitcher this year. Everyone is all over Berrios and Giolito, but this is the man to own when he arrives. He’s a fire-baller who can hit the high 90’s, and if it wasn’t for an injury in college would have been a top pick. I love the park and the Oakland rotation is a sh*t-uation that leaves Manaea an opportunity to put the A.L. West to shame. A hip issue might delay his time, but when he arrives you will be loving this guy like I love cooked swine.

3. Cesar Hernandez will steal 40-plus bases and be the darling of the middle infield. Everyone is all over Ketel Marte for middle infield speed, and don’t get me wrong, I love me some Ketel One, but Cesar is getting slept on like a Sealy Posturepedic. He stole bases at a 79% success rate last year and has been tearing it up this spring on the base-path. Seriously, what do the Phils have to lose if he gets the green light? He’ll be batting ahead of Franco and needs to get on second, so why not steal it? I predicted 30-plus in my Late Round Deep Thoughts Middle Infield post, but this is my bold post so I’ll be bold. Mark him down for 40!

4. Justin Turner will be a top-5 third baseman. He’s going to hit 25 plus homers, bat .290, knock in 100, score 90 and steal 10. In 387 AB’s last year he put up a 55/16/60/5/.294 line and nothing screams fluky. I went over a checklist, BB/K – check, ISO – check, contact% – check, swstr% – check, GB% – check, LD% – check, FB% – check, hard hit% – check.  That’s a lot of checks. I’m infatuated with red beard the way Sky is infatuated with hot dogs to the face GIF’s. Call me crazy if you must but this is the man to own and is getting grossly undervalued. I went over him in my corner infield post and now I’m giving him my bold and spicy treatment.

5. Jeff Samardzija will be a top-10 starting pitcher. The shark is circling and waiting to feed. Talk about a bust last year, seriously, his bust was so big it made Morganna look like the Bonneville Salt Flats. In 2014, among qualified starters, he went from having a top-25 fastball that he paired with a top-10 slider and a top-3 split finger (to be fair, only eight qualified starters used the split) to negatives across the board in 2015. His move to the top pitchers park and getting paired up with Bochy and Righetti can only help the super talented Shark. I don’t know what it is, but Giant dome gets the most out of his players and this will not be an exception. I’m predicting a return to a 9 K-rate while maintaining his 2 BB-rate, and with a strong defense coupled with a solid bullpen behind him, I see wins in his future. Lots of them.

Enough of me, lets get to my special guest bold predictor. He is one of my NFBC teammates, a great read, and the one commenter I look forward to one day catching a game with… Oaktown Steve!

 

Commenter Oaktown Steve’s Bold Predictions

I’m big on the pop up concept  The old pop up video.  Toasters.  My girl and I do a pop up restaurant from time to time.  My boss would probably describe my work habits as pop up. Of course there’s my pop up parenting. I’ve been playing this stupid game in one manner or another for over 30 years.  God help me I love it so. I write all this while I am sitting in meetings at my day job so please attribute all grammatical errors to that and not a lack of English language fluency…And now some pop up fantasy analysis.

1. Danny Valencia will hit 30 home runs for the A’s and be a top-5 A.L. third baseman. A long time ago, a relatively unheralded 3B/OF arrived north of the border and transformed himself from fringe MLB’er to one of the top sluggers in baseball using a leg kick and a smile. Fast forward to 2015 where a fringy 3B/OF arrived in Toronto, learned that leg kick from the old dog and proceeded to rake his way to Oakland and hasn’t stopped this spring. Valencia’s PA/HR rate last year was one homer for every 18.63 PAs, not far behind Joey Bats who had one for every 16.65. Best of all, Bautista and Donaldson (another third baseman who made good in Oakland) worked with Valencia on his approach versus RHP. His career OPS vs. RHP is .664. Last year it was .881.  He will not be a platoon player, and he’ll hit fourth in what should be a surprisingly productive A’s lineup.

2. Eugenio Suarez will be the top producing N.L. shortstop. One of my favorite phrases is “damning through faint praise” and that’s a part of this prediction. The SS landscape is pretty awful in the N.L., as you know. Last year’s highest finisher was Brandon Crawford who produced 65/21/84/5/.256 in 561 PAs. Just taking Suarez 2015 production and prorating it to 561 PAs would give a 2016 line of 60/19/67/6/.280. However, it looks like there’s room for improvement in Suarez game.  He’s currently penciled in to the coveted two hole, in front of Votto, in the Reds line up. His minor league track record suggests better contact and walk rates are a distinct possibility and at 24 there’s also the possibility to see another step forward in his power profile. I wrote this before the Story story broke and he’ll possibly be a contender for the title, but I’ll gamble on some bumpy rookie days and back the second year guy.

3. Adonis Garcia will drive in 80 runs.329, .359, .366. Those are the career OBPs of the three guys (Inciarte, Markakis, Freeman) who will be hitting ahead of current cleanup hitter Garcia. Inciarte posted higher numbers in the minors and should see some growth in his OBP as well. Freeman could see higher rates still as the league relentlessly pitches around him. While Garcia has never been a top prospect, he slugged a respectable .497 last year and he has an Adam Jones like aversion to walking. With a high contact rate approach and a lot of traffic on the bases, if Garcia can get off to a respectable start and hold his position in the lineup he could become a decent late round flier and hugely valuable in NL only.

4. Chris Davis will hit 60 home runs. If you haven’t ever really, really watched Chris Davis swing the bat, go take a look.  I don’t know if I have ever seen a hitter with a stronger front side.  Check out his spray chart on Brooks baseball. If you know anything about Davis, you already know what this chart shows you; he’s got all field power. To me, he is the premier home run hitter in baseball playing in a fantastic park in a division filled with great parks and questionable rotations. The Orioles could have five guys hit at least 30 this year (Machado, Jones, Trumbo, Schoop and Davis) and the home run will be the story of the year in Baltimore. Also, and this isn’t really a reasonable piece of analysis, but I have always believed that MLB doctors the baseball to twist the knobs on offensive output. I believe that juiced balls were as much a part of the PED era as the PEDs. Last year a few people around the game talked about the ball jumping off the bat. It was easy to dismiss, in part because goofy Eric Byrnes was one of the louder voices, but when you really think about it, what’s to stop baseball from messing with the ball? Everybody still plays with the same ball. So it messes with the year over year statistical integrity of the game, but you think that’s going to stop a bunch of billionaires from trying to make a buck where they can. And one more piece of anecdotal evidence:  have you seen the spring ERA’s? Heard about the Harper home run that went somewhere Al Kaline has never seen one hit in 50 years of watching Tiger spring baseball?  Or Dickerson’s 500 footer?  Or Sano’s homer just yesterday that was purported to have gone two miles?

 

 

Before I go, this is Jack again, I have to link you to Oaktown’s  bold predictions from the staff picks post on Thursday. Another round of great contributions Oaktown! That’s what is great about this site, we have such a tremendous community of contributers right in the comments section. Before I go, I just want to say that being a commenter turned contributer and getting to co-write a bold prediction post with one of my old school compadres has been the highlight of the pre-season. That and finding out that Magoo looks like the Million Dollar Man Ted DiBiase.

  1. OaktownSteve says:
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    Thanks for the action, Jackson. Great work from you as usual and thanks for letting me pitch in.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @OaktownSteve: You are my Carl Weathers!

  2. Raindoggg says:
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    Drafted Milone but Pomeranz is available…….K’s aside since we have IP instead of K’s…..who is the better bold prediction pitcher for this year?

    • OaktownSteve says:
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      @Raindoggg:

      Pomeranz

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Raindoggg: Pomey fo sho

    • DisEnFranchised says:
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      @Raindoggg:
      My bold prediction is that Pomeranz finishes the season as a top 20 SP.

      • J-FOH says:
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        @DisEnFranchised: I got one because top 20 is a tall order. Pomeranz will have a better year than Rodon.

        • DisEnFranchised says:
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          @J-FOH:
          That seems too easy to me. Since number of teams tends to vary per league, I was hesitant to say a SP2 but that’s the kind of potential he has imo. I looked at Steamer’s FIP projection and it comes in around the top 20-30 pitchers. About the same as Archer if I recall correctly.

          • J-FOH says:
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            @DisEnFranchised: eno over at fangraphs had a really good article about drew back in December. He appears to have two pitches but what he really does is change speeds a lot. If his curve is breaking then we coukd have gold. Good bold prediction.

  3. Ralph Lifshitz

    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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    J-FOH you’re completely insane!

    On the other hand I agree with everything Oaktown says. Between this and the Givens comment the other day (+the predictions that included Cody Anderson). He might be my favorite fantasy writer and he isn’t even a fantasy writer…..sort of. Where am I going with all this? Great stuff Oaktown.

    • OaktownSteve says:
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      @Ralph Lifshitz:

      Thanks Ralph. I’m like the guy jabbering to himself on the street corner. You pass by him everyday until one time you kind a tune and you say to yourself, “wait a minute, I think this guy might be making sense…”

      • J-FOH says:
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        @OaktownSteve: That is oddly true. Odd because I get those guys more than I care to admit

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Ralph Lifshitz: don’t be crushing on Oaktown, it doesnt look good, with that said I might be able to get you an autographed pic.

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @J-FOH: I lack shame or respect for myself. I also lack the ability to identify the additional prepositions in my posts until the 20th time I read them.

        FOH how could I not show love to someone who backs my Scout picks of Valencia and Adnois. Plus he already got a shout out in my post this morning on the Givens thing. I also listened and added Givens.

        • OaktownSteve says:
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          @Ralph Lifshitz:

          Thanks for the shout out, Ralph!

          • Ralph Lifshitz

            Ralph Lifshitz says:
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            @OaktownSteve: Thanks for sharing!

  4. Big league choo says:
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    Going to need someone to talk me off the ledge later…doing a 12 team auction keeper 280$ 16 hitters 9 pitchers, keep up to 10 for next yr. Can’t decide whether I want to grab rizzo or Bryant or Betts as my stud. What’s Betts upside 20hr 40sbs .300ish? I think Bryant is going to be ridiculously overpriced. I did an nfbc slow draft 2 years ago with razzball and finished 3rd….do you grab a bunch of 20$ hitters or 1 or 2 studs for 35-40ish and find value.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Big league choo: I like the Stars and Scrubs approach

    • OaktownSteve says:
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      @Big league choo:

      I probably go Betts, Rizzo, Bryant. It’s pretty close between Betts and Rizzo. Rudy, Jack, Magoo and I had a pretty long debate about Bryant with Magoo and I on the anti- and Jack and Rudy on the pro, so you know, who can say. Magoo and I didn’t like the K rate. I like Betts as he can fill up the stat sheet, as they say in hoops.

      I used to go very stars and scrubs in auctions. Last year I tried a very flat approach. I think I’m coming around to a more moderate approach. If you look at Rudy’s $ rankings you can kind of look at the first 12 guys and try and get one from that tier or two from the bottom of that tier (which becomes like picking on the turn 1/2). Then try to get a guy from “round 2” values and etc down the line. Don’t have to slavishly follow it, but can help you hold back enough $ to take out some of those mid round values while avoiding playing yourself out of the end game.

      • J-FOH says:
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        @OaktownSteve: Good points, I’m not as in touch with auction but I do like the moderate approach, spread the risk, find those guys that will outperform their price and keep money to fill up the back end.

    • Cram It says:
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      @Big league choo: I second OTS’s approach. I pay for no more than two studs (Top out at one for $40 price and one in the $30+ range) and then a few second tier guys in the $20 range, and trickle down from there. You should be able to fill out your roster with quality as opposed to the stars and scrubs approach. My draft as a template: Rizzo at $40, Betts at $35, Upton and Heyward at $25, etc.

  5. Happy Opening Day OTS and Jack!

    • OaktownSteve says:
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      @Wake Up:

      You too Wake. How does George Wendt draw first pitch duties in Tampa?

        • OaktownSteve says:
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          @Wake Up:

          busy scrambling eggs and tossing salads

          • @OaktownSteve: “The trick is to use the freshest possible, keep the heat low, add a little cream, and always keep it moving. Scrambled eggs on the other hand, no idea how to do them.”

  6. greys butt hair says:
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    In a holds league

    Do you prefer Lowe of Detroit or N feliz at Pitts

    BAA also a cat

    Thanks

    • OaktownSteve says:
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      @greys butt hair:

      Feliz slightly. Neither bad

      • J-FOH says:
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        @OaktownSteve: thanks for the assits today. I’m doing the daughters birthday stuff today (her birthday is tomorrow but celebrating today)

        • OaktownSteve says:
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          @J-FOH:

          My kid and I are playing pitch and catch in the kitchen. I’m the catcher. Oy 46 year old knees. Good excuse to take breaks and answer a few questions.

          • J-FOH

            J-FOH says:
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            @OaktownSteve: I wish my kitchen was that big or at least not so poorly designed

  7. Glenn Halpern says:
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    Hey whaddya think about this trade?

    Trade Cain and Cueto to get back Kluber and Ozuna.

    • OaktownSteve says:
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      @Glenn Halpern:

      Really close. What are you trying to accomplish? Just upgrade the talent? I’m lower on Kluber than most. Trust him more than Cueto but Cueto higher ceiling this year for me. Very high on Ozuna but much more risk than with Cain. Depends on the way your team is constructed. Can’t judge this one in a vacuum. Hard to do anything in a vacuum.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Glenn Halpern: agree with Oaktown here, Hard to say without knowing roster and goals

      • Glenn Halpern says:
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        @J-FOH:
        Hey Oaktown, J-Foh, thanks for the responses. i’m loaded in outfield, and just pretty good in starting pitching. so looking to balance out. sounds like its even enough to go for if i like kluber.

  8. Magoo looks like Eddie Vedder’s cousin!

    • Kid A says:
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      @Wake Up:

      I saw the milk carton, and I’m pretty sure Vedder looks more like Magoo’s cousin.

      • @Kid A: Emancipate yourself from sin-gle ladies…

        • Kid A says:
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          @Wake Up: The look on his face when Mrs. J-Z starts to croak out her warble at 1:05 is magical.

          • @Kid A: If this was in Reno, he’d be thinking…”I’ve made the biggest little mistake”

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
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        @Wake Up: @Kid A: A dissident is here

  9. Kid A says:
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    Digging your predictions, OTS. Nice to see the Valencia and Suarez nods.

    You enter the NFBC main event this year?

    If so, would love to peep your team/read a draft breakdown.

    Make for a great follow-up article.

    • OaktownSteve says:
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      @Kid A:

      Thanks Kid. I actually have 3 of the 1500 dollar online 12 teamers this year. Executing a plan I’ve had for awhile to pull together some different FBB skill sets and run the team collectively. Recruited some of Razzball’s finest. Maybe will get a chance to post some of those teams and talk about them at some point this season.

  10. Cabreras Cab Company says:
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    Fantastic write up as always!! Thank you for the time and effort you put into your articles and answering the comment questions etc.

    Speaking of questions, 12 team h2h ops and qs are extra cats. Keep 7 every year. We play on extra infield slot( all infield positions eligible) and only one util slot.

    Been offered
    My tulo Grienke
    For
    Severino Castro Belt.

    I wanna hit accept but I can’t seems too.

    Quick roster rundown.
    Castillo,Prince,Cano,Tulo,Bryant,Fraizer,Cargo(Col),
    Pederson,Deshields,Schoop. BN: Carlos Santana, piscotty.

    Grienke,Salazar,Ventura,Fiers,Hammel,Moore,Aaron Sanchez. KRod McGee Miller

    Thank you in advance!! Happy B Day to the little one!!

    • OaktownSteve says:
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      @Cabreras Cab Company:

      I’d reject that one. Greinke is a QS machine. without looking it up I’d bet dollars he led MLB in QS last year. Severino is solid and younger than Greike but I don’t think he’s going to end up being a must keep guy. More like a SP2 or 3. I think Belt and Castro are marginal as well. I do like them. Tulo has the most upside there still though.

      I’d hold.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Cabreras Cab Company: Thank you and Thank You. I agree with Oaktown on that deal, hold for now

  11. duk_hunter says:
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    Great article and thanks! Long time lurker here. Hate to play 20 questions, but here goes.

    Drafted yesterday, and not overly thrilled with my CI and DH slots. Currently have Castellanos, Moreland, and Segura. Both Turner and Valencia are on the wire; think either (both) would be an upgrade?

    12 team mixed, no bench (only minor league or injuries).

    • OaktownSteve says:
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      @duk_hunter:

      I think Turner and Valencia are both strong plays. Valencia currently has the clean up spot locked. Not always great to project based on line up spot as it can change.

      I’m going to have to be convinced by Castellanos. Moreland is sneaky good. Probably the highest floor of all the guys on this list.

      I like Segura. Pollock going out moves Segura more firmly to the top of the line up, and some of Owings is going to get some reps in CF meaning fewer platoon days off. In fact they are going to Zobrist Owings so given health look more and more like Segura gets close to a full season of PAs.

      • duk_hunter says:
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        @OaktownSteve:

        thanks! nothing like 2nd guessing your picks a day later!

        about the only other guy i could see dropping is hicks, to move Valencia to my 5th OF slot. But he’s another high upside guy that i like.

        I ran all of the teams through the latest war room, and i’m weakest in RB and HR respectively, but not by a ton.

        • J-FOH says:
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          @duk_hunter: You want Turner and Valencia over Castellanos and Moreland

          • duk_hunter says:
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            @J-FOH:

            thank you Sir!

  12. From Beyond says:
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    Any general thoughts on Corey Dickerson this season? He almost fell to 200 in my draft and I felt obligated to pick him up as a bench bat even though I suspect he could be a really frustrating own this season (although Grey ranks him in the 80s, I think). Thanks!

    • Bye Felica says:
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      @From Beyond: I’d be tickled pink to own him at 200. He just hit a bomb off Stroman btw. I’m all in if he’s healthy this year because he can easily hit 25 dongs and hit for a high 290-300ish avg.

      • From Beyond says:
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        @Bye Felica:

        Yeah, just saw that dinger. Keeping my fingers crossed that it’s a sign of things to come!

    • OaktownSteve says:
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      @From Beyond:

      He’s a good buy at that spot. Big power. I’d probably project him closer to .270 than .300 but that’s still pretty good.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @From Beyond: 200 is a great price. Worth using til hurt or is a drain

  13. TBone says:
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    Any quick auction advice you have for a 10-team league with only 4 OF and no CI/MI? Pitching is 2 SP, 2 RP, 3 P.
    weekly h2h 6×6; added categories of OBP and L.
    Go big on a few elite hitters and value play the rest?
    Go balanced?
    Closers and setup men and value starters?

    • Cram It says:
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      @TBone: You need studs in that format. Pay for offense.

  14. Joeg414 says:
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    You guys think Robbie Ray could be a sleeper this year ? Maybe win 15 with K’s ?

    • OaktownSteve says:
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      @Joeg414:

      I like Robbie Ray a lot. Trying to buy him in FaaB in the NFBC right now.

      • JoeG414 says:
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        @OaktownSteve:
        You think it safe to drop Farquhar for him ? I own Colome.

        • OaktownSteve says:
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          @JoeG414:

          I don’t have a good read on the Rays pen. Your guess as good as mine if Farq gets saves. Depends really on whether you need rotation depth or if you need to chase the pen

          • JoeG414 says:
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            @OaktownSteve:
            I could cut Eovaldi or Roark .
            Daily 6×6 roto

            • J-FOH says:
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              @JoeG414: EVOO for me is the cut

              • JoeG414 says:
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                @J-FOH:
                Thanks

                • J-FOH

                  J-FOH says:
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                  @JoeG414: no prob

  15. Mmm my pitching heavy RCL team doing what it should do so far: 8 IP 14 K 0.00 ERA 1.13 Whip, 1 W, 1 Sv. Nice start!

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Elijah: many ways to skin a cat

  16. The Great Knoche says:
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    You guys see how goofy the live stats screen is on Scout?

      • J-FOH says:
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        @OaktownSteve: It says the Dodgers play the D-Backs this week. Such a turd

  17. Chris says:
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    Thanks J-foh good stuff!

    I guess Matz is getting skipped in week 1 would you start eovaldi or Eickhoff in his place? Sorry about the spelling lol. can u also let me know what you think of my team? just got done drafting.
    Eickhoff has the mets at the mets eovaldi is home against Houston.
    14 team h2h roto

    Thanks!

    C- Hundley/Norris
    1-Abreu
    2-Walker
    SS-Crawford
    3-Carpenter
    CI Encarnacion
    MI_Andrus
    DH-Duda
    DH-Deshields
    OF-Kemp-Pence-Polanco-Conforto-Joc Pederson
    SP
    Carrasco-Liriano-Matz-Rodon-Corbin-Gio-Fiers
    RP-Krod
    RP-Street

    Thanks for any feedback from all!

    • @Chris:

      Great power with Abreau/Encarcion and solid SP…rest of the team a bit iffy? Don’t like the Kemp/Pence picks.

      • Chris says:
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        Thanks. I can see what your saying, it is 14 team though. anyone know if Gio is going to start this week, geez louiz!

        • OaktownSteve says:
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          @Chris:

          He will start this weekend

    • Cram It says:
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      @Chris: What Elijah said. That OF/MI isn’t great.

      • Chris says:
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        Same reply, LOL. Thanks. I can see what your saying, it is 14 team though. Anyone know if Gio is going to start this week, geez louiz!

    • OaktownSteve says:
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      @Chris:

      I like your team better than the guys above. 14 team is an unusual size so it tends to look thinner when you’re used to look at 12 teamers. I buy the Carpenter power spike last year. Crawfish too. Magoo and I believe that Walker will see the Kevin Long (Mets hitting instructor) power spike. Citi actually a better park for left hand power than Pitt (death for left handers). I actually think Kemp was sneaky good last year. Guys like Pence and Carpenter pretty good in H2H format. Consistent grinder types. Corbin is another guy I heard a lot of consensus to the positive about this year.

      I think it’s a nice, solid, very playable team. Shows some smart choices.

      Good chance Eovaldi and Eickhoff in danger of rainout with @NY games later th is week. I’d probably go Eichoff rather than risk a start against the Stros.

      • Chris says:
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        Thanks! I hope you and I are more correct than cram it and Elijah, I always appreciate the feedback. My prompt me to look at a trade. I may have to start both Eovaldi and Eickhoff. Do we know if Gio is starting this week? cbs doesn’t have a start next to his name?

        What do you think about Conforto? Got him for $8. The back and the possible polatoon scares me but $8 I thought was worth the risk.

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Chris: I agree with oaktown, very undervalued high floor guys there in kemp and pence. Pederson and Conforto could be a hair pulling experience

          • Chris says:
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            Thanks J-Foh, I feel better two people think it might work. Conforto went for $8 and Joc $6, I hesitated but made the bid. I bid on JOc because Grey likes him. I thought a Grey endorsed pick couldnt be all bad for $6, well he likes Conforto also so hopefully he’s right on those guys! I got Polanco and Deshiznit for $12 each. I hope Grey would beproud lol. He might say less pitching not 100% sure on that.

            • J-FOH says:
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              @Chris: The sexy looking fantasy teams on opening day rarely win it all.

              • Chris says:
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                I wanted to be solid all over. Didn’t overpay for anyone at least I don’t think so. In my mind, maybe I’m crazy but the big difference between Abreu and Encarnacion and Goldy is the stls. I got Abreu for 32 Encarn for 29 ( Duda for 8 ) and Goldy went for $43 that’s insane to me. I like those guys better for the price.

                Do you think it’s crazy to trade Joc for Michael Taylor right now? Seems crazy thinkking I should sty put for a minute. I can put Saunders in The OF or Move Deshields there. I have Valbuena on my bench also who can DH.

                • J-FOH

                  J-FOH says:
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                  @Chris: I wouldn’t trade for Taylor, Give Joc a chance

      • Cram It says:
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        @OaktownSteve: I don’t disagree that some of those things could happen. But that’s a lot of optimism across the board. Counting on 30 year old vets to suddenly do things they don’t normally do. Crawford, Walker and Carpenter all hitting 25 HR’s? Add in Duda losing AB’s against lefties, Conforto not playing everyday and Deshields not hitting .280 with 50 SB’s and there’s a lot of risk in perceived upside.

        Like the pitching though!

        • Cram It says:
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          @Cram It: Right, and Pederson hitting .220 and losing PT because of it.

        • OaktownSteve says:
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          @Cram It:

          Walker and Carpenter have pretty established floors even if the power doesn’t hold. Duda hit 27 in 554 PAs last year.

          Abreu about as solid as you’d want to find. Probably only need one of the two between Pederson and Conforto to hit.

          Didn’t say it was loaded on offense but this pretty much feels like what a team should feel like in a 14 team format. Couple of risks and holes. Any team in that format in a balanced league is going to have some flaws.

          • Chris says:
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            You’re making me feel comfy thanks. Some guys went crazy on guys like Correa and Gold $43 Goldy $41 Corrrea. Some guys went huge pitchuing Kershaw $43 Arrieta $38. I wanted balance some star power some good solid higher floor guys and some upside. I think we think alike we’ll see come late Sept. I hope we’re right!

  18. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
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    I’m diggin these predictions. If half of them are even somewhat true, we should be in good shape, although I did just drop Garcia in the one league (needed the pitching). Great job fellas.

    • J-FOH

      J-FOH says:
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      @Big Magoo: Thanks buddy. You know all about my infatuations alreaady but always god to get some support in print.

  19. Chris says:
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    Me too!! Some are extremely balsy though! Love it. Guess we’ll see in September!
    I’m also in an 8 team yahoo league so all the teams are stacked. I have Kluber going tomorrow as well as Iglesias. Is it crazy to go Iglesias because of the matchup or do I start Kluber regardless? Kluber has Boston Iglesias has Philly.

    • J-FOH

      J-FOH says:
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      @Chris: Pitch them both!

      • Chris says:
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        It’s a wierd league daily change we only start one SP and 1 RP pitcher per day. That being said whatdo you think?

        • J-FOH

          J-FOH says:
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          @Chris: find a new league…kidding…sort of. Kluber is the guy

          • Chris says:
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            Thanks! It’s the less serious of the two. When everyone has all styar teams it’s not as fun. I dropped out of another league with th same crew. I can’t stomach getting to keep Trout for an 18th rounder the first year then 2 rds less each year thereafter. Correa last year now is a 16th rounder. Take the fun out iof ut in my mind.

            • J-FOH says:
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              @Chris: yeah but it it also makes the decisions tougher. I like round value leagues myself

  20. Big League Choo says:
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    12 team auction keep 10 league 1st year 6×6 OPS, BAA

    someone talk me off a ledge, guys were really overpriced, missed out on franco 31$ and rizzo 46$

    C Hundley P Pineda
    C Swihart P Corbin
    !B Duda P Matz
    2B Rendon P Severino
    3B Bryant P Ventura
    SS Marte P Chapman
    MI Lawrie P Betances
    CI Belt P Osuna
    OF Martinez P Doolittle
    OF Springer
    OF Deshields DL Darvish
    OF Hanley Ramirez DL Eduard Rodriguez
    OF Myers
    OF Conforto
    Util Fielder
    Util Byung Ho Park

  21. Big League Choo says:
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    forgot about bench guys

    we have 5 NA Spots and 7 Bench

    Schoop
    AJ Reed
    Trea Turner
    Jose Peraza
    Jake Lamb

    • J-FOH

      J-FOH says:
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      @Big League Choo: @Big League Choo: I don’t see the point of owning Lamb, i’d rather grab another starter or stream until Darvish gets back. Looks fine, light on pitching, but that can be corrected and if Pineda stays healthy he will be a stud. Matz is a total wildcard but a damn good one to have.

  22. de nachos says:
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    This worked. Only thing missing were hidden Captain and Tennille lyrics. Nice job, men. Let’s Do That To Me One More Time before the season’s out, at least.

    I’m in for a taste of both Turner and Valencia in one league after getting out bid top tier.

    • J-FOH

      J-FOH says:
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      @de nachos: I’m telling ya, its the year to not panic over 3rd base on draft day. Firstbase is where a huge drop off happens where 3rd had players up and down the draft board that could far exceed their draft day price. Well played deNacho

  23. nick the dick says:
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    I love everything that just happened here. Fantastic.

  24. Nitro says:
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    I have Berrios and Giolito in a keeper 10 team HTH points league. I need to drop one, which one would you keep?

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Nitro: Keep Berrios

  25. knucks says:
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    Had to make sure we hit 100* Comments JFOH!

    Also, Day 1 Batty Call for me = Aaron Hicks. Whatdya think? HitterTron isn’t a fan, but can’t tell if that is because we didn’t expect him to start. I don’t live too far from NYC and its pretty messy out so hope there isn’t more rain this afternoon.

    • knucks says:
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      @knucks: Nevermind game was already PPD :(

      • J-FOH says:
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        @knucks: batty call blocked…..bummer

  26. Tacorrea says:
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    5×5 H2H league. 3B is my weakest link. Brett Lawrie, Justin Turner, Cesar Hernandez, or Danny Valencia? I’m leaning Turner.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Tacorrea: go turner but try to find a way to roster valencia too

      • Tacorrea says:
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        @J-FOH:

        Thanks J-FOH

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Tacorrea: No prob

  27. Scott Kimmel says:
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    Hey J-Foh,

    Just got a trade offer. I give up Cueto and I get Lucroy to backup Posey. Would you make it?

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Scott Kimmel: you don’t need a backup to posey. Hold cueto

      • Scott Kimmel says:
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        J-FOH eventually he will lose c eligibility

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Scott Kimmel: maybe in 5 years but that shouldn’t matter for this year or really any league format

Comments are closed.