Andrew Bailey bettah work on his non-rhotic (Word of the Day!) pronunciations cause he’s headed to the town of beans.  This is my town and these are my beans!  Not to say I told you so, but to tell you I told you so.  When Melancon went to the Sawx, I said, “The GM over in Beantown says Melancon is “capable of closing.”  In big market speak, that means he won’t be the closer.  Melancon is the stereotypical small market closer, big market set-up man.”  Prescient ain’t just a word you need a spell checker for.  It’s a state of mind!  Bailey will be absolutely fine as a closer when he’s healthy, which is to say maybe 4 of 6 months of the season if the Sawx are lucky.  So Melancon will get some saves, say, maybe, I don’t know, interjection, 10 saves.  It’s not bad for a guy that won’t be drafted in many leagues.  This also solidifies the Sawx’s intention of putting Bard into the rotation.  I think it’s slightly crazy talk, but I’m wearing a burlap sack and drinking a Capri Sun without a straw so what do I know?  Anyway, here’s some more offseason moves and what they mean for 2012 fantasy baseball:

Sike!  Before we get into today’s post, just want to say that if you’re into fantasy basketball, you should check out the work Adam’s doing; it’s smart and funny, and I don’t know basketball at all.  One time I was playing a pick up basketball game and I tried to do a layup and I threw the ball over the backboard.  I was like, “Call me Calista Flockhart cause I’m throwing up shizz.”  Ah, the laughs we had.  Then I was never picked to play on a team again.  Anyway II, some offseason moves for 2012 fantasy baseball:

Josh Reddick – Heads to the A’s on the other side of the Bailey hullabaloo.  Did Beane get enough?  I don’t know.  Instead, let’s ask ourselves this:  Did Braun test positive because he was treating herpes?  In Triple-A, Reddick hit .127 in 2009, then .266 in 2010, then .230 last year.  So I’d be surprised if he hits above .260 over the course of the 2012 season.  He has shown the ability to hit for power, but now he moves to the unfriendly confines of Oakland.  Best case scenario, you’re getting a 15/10/.260 guy.  It’s all right, but if he fails to meet those modest expectations, he’s nothing but a third outfielder for AL-Only leagues.  Herpes, Braun, really?  That’s your defense?  That’s like telling your wife you killed her cat to take your mind off cheating on her.  Braun, you couldn’t say you tested positive because you were taking some non-FDA approved Chinese medicine for migraines?  Who’s advising this schmohawk?

Casey Blake – To Rockies.  When Blake’s healthy, Cuddyer will move to the outfield.  (30% of the time.)  When Blake’s injured, Cuddyer will play 3rd base.  (45% of the time.)  When Helton’s injured, Cuddyer will play 1st base. (20% of the time.)  When Cuddyer and Blake are both healthy, but the Rockies feel like playing someone else they’ll work in Seth Smith or Eric Young Jr.  (15% of the time.)  (I have no idea if those percentages add up, but you get the general gist.  By the way, General Gist would be a great band name.  “Have you heard General Gist’s new album, Neither Here Nor There?  It’s awesome!”  Speaking of great bands, loving the new Black Keys album.  Love!)  In the end, this has nothing to do with Casey Blake or Michael Cuddyer or even Nolan Arenado.  The Rockies absolutely refuse to give Seth Smith a regular job.  Maybe someone in the front office has a lisp and can’t stand to say Seth Smith has a starting job.  Oh, and they hate Eric Young Jr.’s guts.  The Rockies are Mike Scioscia and Eric Young Jr. is Mike Napoli.  Just trade that ain’t-getting-any-younger Young to a team that will let him play.  Please.

Sean Marshall – Off to the Reds in a swap of Marshall and Travis Wood.  Right now the Reds are saying Marshall may serve as the closer.  That’s just a bargaining tool against Francisco Cordero.  Marshall’s not going to be the closer.  He’ll be a setup man to either Cordero or Chapman, who is supposed to start as of right now but I don’t think that’s gonna happen either.  Here’s a formula for you:  What a GM Says + Reality = Nothing.

Travis Wood – To the Cubs in the aforementioned mentioning of Marshall.  I have a feeling the Reds are going to regret losing Wood.  Dusty Baker, “I haven’t lost wood since that one time in the 70’s when George Foster unexpectedly walked into my hotel room.”  If the Cubs play their hand right, they’ll send Wood to the minors to regain his confidence then bring him back when the time is right.  If he makes the rotation, he’s nothing but a cheap flyer in NL-Only leagues.  I would be very aware of him in keeper leagues though.  He does have number two starter upside.

Gio Gonzalez – Beane pulled another trade.  Can someone say Moneyball sequel?!  Actually, if you can’t say it, you should see a speech therapist.  How about the Nats looking like they’re gonna be contenders?  Hopefully they get some new announcers so it’s not as wretched watching them.  Get back Dibble so he can call into question a guy headed for Tommy John surgery!  I love that kind of manic enthusiasm.  Anyway, Gonzalez wasn’t nearly the pitcher his 3.12 ERA showed last year, but he has far exceeded his xFIP the last two years while posting solid K numbers.  I’m willing to get on the Gio aeroplane in twelve past twenty (BTW, that’s what I’m calling 2012, go with it).  A guy that is moving to the NL with a 8.78 K-rate is plenty all right, even with the wonky walks.

Brad Peacock – With Gio going to the Nats, Peacock gets inserted into the A’s.  That sounds like it hurts!  Which Billy Beane is making these trades anyway?  Peacock had a great season in Double- and Triple-A last year, putting up a 2.39 ERA and a 177/47 K/BB line.  The A’s basically got Gio Gonzalez back.  I’m gonna be all about Peacock in 2012 like I just woke up from a nap after drinking seven glasses of water.

Tommy Milone – Just another great arm bagged by Beane.  I’m not saying the Nats paid too much for Gio but — Well, actually, I am saying that.  They just paid the price of two potential Gios for one real Gio.  (Not to mention, A.J. Cole, who was also received, has a great arm but is just a bit young for our purposes, and Derek Norris will slide in nicely once the A’s move on from their Suzuki sidekick. What an ugly trade by the Nats.)  Milone’s 2011 in Triple-A was 3.22 ERA with a 155/16 K/BB ratio.  Hello, beautiful.  Peacock and Milone will have match-ups appeal in 2012 for mixed leagues and be sexy sleepers for AL-Only leagues.

Jim JohnsonO’s said he’ll open the season as the closer.  I’d go ahead and drink that Jim Johnson Kool-Aid.  O’s are competing for 4th place in the AL East so they have no reason not to use Johnson.  Though I think Selig now made the 4th place finisher in the AL East a playoff team.  Need to double check that.

Carlos BeltranCards add Beltran to their Rafael Furcal/Lance Berkman-powered lineup.  Your 2012 Cardinals are brought to you by Bengay and the used 1994 Chrysler LeBaron in your driveway.

 
  1. Curt says:
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    Gio as a 12th round keep or Neftali Feliz at 14????

  2. YourMomsBoyfriend says:
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    The Sawx didn’t sign Melancon, they traded Jed Lowrie for him.

  3. Jeff says:
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    16 team 5×5 roto keeper league where we keep 3.

    I’m keeping Kemp (3rd round), and Votto (7th Round).

    My 3rd keeper choice is between the following;
    J. Upton (2nd Round)
    Kinsler(2nd Round)
    Gallardo(5th Round)
    Beckett(6th Round)
    T. Hudson(7th Round)
    R. Romero (13th Round)

    I’m leaning towards Upton, but since I won last year that would be the 1st pick or round 2. Should I think about keeping a high K pitcher like Romero in the 13th?

  4. chata says:
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    @ Grey :
    been out of touch for a couple of days , but is that really what braun said
    (herpes medicine) , or are you funnin’ me ?

    re: your cuddyer math ,
    it’s the old story about the guy trying to improve his cars’ performance .
    properly inflated his tires … got 4 more mpg
    changed spark pluds and got tune-ups every 2000 miles … 15 % better mileage .
    other changes … new battery , better grade of gas , washed his car , stopped his jack-rabbit starts coming off a red light , etc. etc .
    now , his only problem is , when driving down the highway ,
    his gas tank over-flows .

  5. chata says:
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    @ Grey :

    speaking of jack-rabbits ,
    “tell me about the pod-cast , george .”

    p.s. in case my drugs aren’t working tomorrow ,
    have a safe and happy new year’s !!

    (and , plucky , too , tonight .)

  6. chata says:
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    edit * # 4
    pluds = plugs

  7. Tony says:
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    so my tribe isn’t getting beltran, that woulda actually been a nice addition for them….

    is this braun/herpes medicine true? what? im lost.

  8. chata says:
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    time will tell

  9. royce! says:
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    It might just be my juvenile sense of humor, but the Peacock jokes killed! I’m hoping he succeeds in OAK– I could use the laughs.

    Elsewhere, you got me thinking how rad it would be to have a NEW 1994 Le Baron in my driveway. It would have to be the only one in the world, and therefore priceless, right?

  10. Wake Up says:
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    Melancon most likely ends up in the 7th…in my humble opinion

  11. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
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    I feel bad for Oaktown Steve – the A’s look like they might lose 110-120 games this year. Grey, have you read anything recently about where Prince might end up? I saw rumors about Seattle and Chicago, but I don’t see the Mariners happening and the Cubs look to be rebuilding. I haven’t seen anything about the Nats, but I always thought he would fit perfectly there hitting cleanup between Zimmerman and Morse. With the top three starters and Clippard and Storen at the back end, they could make life interesting in the NL east. Any insights on Prince?

  12. OaktownSteve says:
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    @BigMagoo: thanks for thinking of me, man. Luckily, I’m at an age where I’m a bit more relaxed about these things. I’ll have tickets to see major leauge baseball games at minor league prices and crowd sizes. The A’s are going to suck and the deliberate tanking is pretty hard to swallow. But there are no crowds to fight and the whole experience is so low fidelity that it’s a little like being in a time warp when baseball was simpler. Plus my 4 year old likes roaming those vast seas of empty seats.

    I hate to see Bailey go. He’s a real bulldog and when healthy a heck of a closer. He would go stretches where he’d go 20-30 hitters in a row where he’d throw strike one. He can really attack the zone because he’s a rare 4 pitch closer with great location the fastball, change, curve and cutter. I personally think he should get back to throwing the cutter a little more (it’s a bat breaker) unless he’s got concerns with the elbow throwing it.

  13. royce! says:
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    Awaiting moderation!!?? Gonna be a while…I’ve been trying moderation for 15 years and had little success.

  14. Eddie says:
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    Happy new year, Grey.

  15. Steve says:
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    Greetings from Waiheke Island on the last day of 2011. A happy new year to you all.
    It has been raining here for two days.
    If you have drought problems in your town, my family and I will come and take a holiday there and fix that.

  16. OaktownSteve says:
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    @Wake Up: If they move to San Jose, it’ll be fun to root for them like a regular team that’s trying to win, but for me it’ll be mostly through the newspaper, the radio and the tv. I will probably cut back from 30 games a year to 5 or fewer and that would be a bummer.

    Michael Taylor will be 27 this year. You look at him and you go damn, but when you evaluate him as a ballplayer, it’s just like there’s something missing. You’d think if it was going to be happen you would have seen more in AAA by now.

    @royce!: my 4 year old is actual my daughter and she is a fantastic ball fan. She knows every starting line up in the AL West…or did at the end of the season. I don’t know how I am going to tell her Gio Gonzalez is gone. She’d going to cry like crazy.

    I disagree slightly on the prospects for on the field this year. I don’t have much faith in either Allen or Carter…crazy bad contact rates…though I would love to be surprise. Suzuki appears to be all but gone. I like Weeks and Pennington is underrated and might have a mini-breakout this year. The rotation has a lot of questions. McCarthy, Moscoso, Parker, Ross, Milone, Peacock and possibly Rich Harden, Dallas Braden, Anderson, and Josh Outman will all be in the mix, but it’s not the kind of staff that’s going to be able to stand up the Rangers and Angels and the rest of the AL night after night. They don’t appear to be as good defensively as they have been and probably worst of all is they have a horrible pen. They’ve had good relief up until last year when it started to fade and it allowed them to stay in games and hover at respectability. But without a bunch of workhorses in the rotation, it could get real ugly.

    @Big Magoo…I think even if the A’s weren’t playing a new ballpark gambit, they kind of needed this reboot anyway. Even if they are still in Oakland in 2014/2015 they might have the right mix of guys still under team control coming of age at the right time. Grant Green and Michael Choice are much more legitimate projectable big leaguers than the guys they have ready now. They really like Sonny Gray, the guy that they got #1 this year as a future #2 starter. Mix in the possibility that Michael Ynoa comes back strong from TJ as a 1 and then mix Parker and Peacock in there, looks pretty good. Plus they can probably count on a close to #1 over all in 2013. So maybe the end game becomes the A’s make a Rays like run after a couple years of sucking and somehow Oakland gets them a new stadium after all.

  17. JoeC says:
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    Look at the Gio love from Grey! I never thought I’d see the day. Yeah, he’s gonna be good on the Nats. Not Clayton Kershaw good, but good none the less.

    As sad as I am to see him go from my A’s, I hope the 3 Nationals fans are ecstatic like they should be. Now you have a solid rotation that might actually give you a chance to make noise in the NL East.

    The A’s, meanwhile, are destined for the dumpster. Yay, more rebuilding! Yay another 5-year plan! At least if they get the new ballpark in San Jose, there might be a glimmer of hope that they’ll be competitive again. Until then… Triple A city.

    OMG, it’s only 3 months until Spring Training! EXCITED!!

  18. Steve says:
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    @royce!: Good luck with that rule.

  19. Wake Up says:
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    Happy New Years to all! I’m saying it now because I’ll most likely be indisposed all day tomorrow, and by indisposed I mean shit-faced, my apologies, I’m not sure if you can say faced on Razzball!

  20. chata says:
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    when i 1st visited this site , I don’t think there were any A’s fans here .
    now , they’re coming out of the wood-work .
    we may be the majority , now .

    @ Grey
    sitting up twice in one day !
    new world record .
    thanks for your well wishes .

  21. Steve says:
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    @chata: I have a soft spot for them too. It’s mainly down to Moneyball, but a soft spot nonetheless.

  22. Terrence Mann says:
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    Here’s how I envision a day at the ballpark for OaktownSteve and his daughter (or at least want to envision):

    OaktownSteve: OK, honey….can you tell me who’s playing shortstop for the Mariners?

    OaktownCutie: Wilson

    OtS: Right…but which Wilson?

    OtC: I know, dad. There’s two of them. You can’t trick me.

    OtS: Very good! So which one is starting today?

    OtC: Does it matter? They both stink. I’m surprised they don’t play for us.

    OtS:

  23. Terrence Mann says:
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    OtS Sighing in resignation as he knows that she’s right and it won’t be long before the team skips town…

  24. Steve says:
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    2012 here. Happy New Year snitches!

  25. chata says:
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    oakland A’s fans should be ever mindful that fans of other teams have
    NOTHING to bitch about .

  26. chata says:
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    let’s make that everyone’s new year’s eve resolution .

  27. royce! says:
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    Carlos Quentin is a Padre! 2011 was the best year ever!

  28. SwaggerJackers says:
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    What does the Chicago outfield look like now? Rios then who? Is Juan Pierre still around? Is De Aza an everyday OF now? He put up some decent numbers last season.

  29. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @royce!: Ah, but now I’m still drunk from last night. Yeah, I see very little reason to make the trade, but if the prospects don’t pan out then they’ve lost nothing of the future for a little present excitement.

  30. Dirck says:
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    Did you know that there was a General Gist in the Confederate Army , and that his given name was States Rights ? That is true –General States Rights Gist .

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