The Braves, like the Padres, are incredibly stacked in the minor leagues. This is scary, considering they’re also in the mix to repeat as NL East champions and sport young stars like Ozzie Albies and Ronald Acuna on their MLB roster. tl;dr – Good team that’s probably gonna be good for a while.

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1. Christian Pache, OF | Age: 20 | ETA: 2020
At first glance, my ranking probably looks like crazytown. I’ll admit the profile right now reads as one that is better for reality than fantasy – brilliant defense, great speed but poor SB/CS ratio, and good bat skills but not much power to show for it. I’m betting on this player to figure some of those things out over the next year or two in the minors, turning him into an extremely high floor prospect with at least average power and a chance for 20-30 steals near the top of the batting order.

2. Austin Riley, 3B | Age: 21 | ETA: 2019
Donaldson is going to delay Riley until later this summer or even next, but he’s a profile most will still be comfortable investing in for dynasty leagues. He has plus power and hit 19 homers in 2018 between AA and AAA. He also hit .294 on the year, which is super. Only blemish is a 28% strikeout rate, but there will be some more seasoning in AAA this year for him to work on that.

3. Touki Toussaint, RHP | Age: 22 | ETA: 2019
Soroka might have more upside but Touki looks like he’ll give you a quicker return on your investment. He’s currently duking it out for the final spot in the Braves rotation and with a full season could be a cheap source of strikeouts (9.0 K/9). The ERA and walk rate will – like most rookies – be shaky. He’s currently getting drafted as a crapshoot in the late rounds, which is where he belongs.

4. Mike Soroka, RHP | Age: 21 | ETA: 2019
Long term, Soroka is the better investment than Toussaint, but with only 50 innings pitched last year I doubt we see Soroka in the rotation before midseason or even later, and then my guess is he’ll have his innings limited. The Braves have no reason to push their best pitching prospect with so many other options on the table.

5. Kyle Wright, RHP | Age: 23 | ETA: 2019
Here’s one of those other options mentioned above. Although, my guess is he’ll also spend most of the season in AAA. Wright could play as a back end starter who offers average strikeout numbers and good control. The downside is he gets boxed out of the rotation and eats innings in middle relief.

6. Drew Waters, OF | Age: 20 | ETA: 2021
Waters is a similar profile to Pache – table setter but with a little less defensive prowess, a grade less speed, but a touch more in-game power. He hit .303 with nine homers and 20 steals in 2018. That’s likely the MLB ceiling (closer to .280 on the average though). He’ll hit the upper minors this season, which should be a good test against better arms.

7. Ian Anderson, RHP | Age: 20 | ETA: 2020
Anderson put up some killer numbers in the FSL in 2018 – throwing 100 innings with 118 strikeouts and a 2.52 earned run average. That’s a league that favors arms, but still. Like a lot of prospects who have success at the lower levels, I’m saving some of my excitement until he does similar work against the bats in Double and Triple-A.

8. Luiz Gohara, LHP | Age: 22 | ETA: 2019
Fun fact. I lived in Brazil for a month doing some research prior to the Olympics. Beautiful country. Muito legal. That’s where Gohara is from, and he’s a horse with a nasty fastball/slider combination. Of all the pitchers mentioned here, he probably has the biggest risk to end up in the pen, but even there I think his numbers could be fantasy relevant in some leagues – especially if he ends up in high-leverage situations that yield saves/holds.


Grade B

9. William Contreras, C | Age: 21 | ETA: 2021
Contreras is a hit/defense profile that probably can’t be counted on for much more than 12-15 homers down the road. However, if he can pair that with an average of .280 or higher at the catcher position, that’ll indeed play in some deeper formats.

10. Bryse Wilson, RHP | Age: 21 | ETA: 2019
Wilson being last on this list might look like I’m down on him, but remember this farm is stacked and we’re still in Grade B territory. Wilson’s numbers in 2018 were excellent, and he may even get some reps in the Braves rotation this year. It’s just a really deep system, and one that is deep with arms as well.


2019 Index

  1. Trust The Process says:
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    Mike awesome stuff… 12 team keep up to 10 + 10 farm roto … in a complete rebuild .. yesterday I traded Florial Jesus Sanchez Tyler White and my 2nd overall pick (essentially a 13th rounder) for Kyle Tucker .. just trying to stock my farm … that gives me

    Royce
    Senzel
    Tucker
    Bichette
    Trammel
    Rodgers
    India
    Robert
    Valera
    (Open spot)

    Did I do Ok ? Felt like a good move .. a year away from competing .. Thank you as always

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Thanks! Yeah I think you did fine. As you get closer to competing you’ll want to consolidate your farm and start landing MLB players or specs that are MLB ready.

  2. johnnyhobbes says:
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    I listened to ditka sausage podcast with a guest talking about THOME projections for teams, Has Phillies 4th even after the Harper signing. Has Braves smoking the NL East…. AM I not seeing something- are the braves pitchers that much better?
    take a look here http://www.thomeprojections.com

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Interesting, I hadn’t seen those before. I usually just go by Vegas, which currently has Nats Phils and Braves within like three games of each other. Should be an exciting division. I don’t see the Braves or anybody else smoking it.

  3. Skip Mcgillicuddy says:
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    There are teams that i religiously trust to develop arms. The Braves being one, Rays and Cards being others. Some teams just have a proven track record of developing arms/bats, i don’t think the organizational aspect gets enough credit.

    Also, Ian Anderson is gonna be a stud

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Yes, I think there is some truth to that.

      Word, certainly delivered the goods in 2018.

  4. drew says:
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    Hoping to get your thoughts on a trade involving MiLB.

    pitching cats are W, K, ERA, WHIP, and NSVH
    Potential trades:

    1. I give Folty and one of Nate Pearson, Nolan Gorman, or Luis Garcia (wsh). I get wheeler

    2. I give two of Nate Pearson, Nolan Gorman, and Luis Garcia (wsh). I get wheeler.

    Would you do either of these? If so, which prospect or prospects to include?

    BTW
    Current SP keepers: Sale, Flaherty, Folty, and JA Happ
    Current MiLB keepers: Tatis, Kirilloff, N. Pearson, N. Gorman, Yordan, Larnach, L. Garcia (wsh), and Valera.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I’d hold TBH.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          Anytime man

  5. Sagacious Sally says:
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    How does Max Fried compare to Touki and Soroka? All indications is he’ll make the team, possibly as the 5th starter considering the injuries.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Most of the projections are giving him less innings than the other two (~30-40). Statwise (Ks, BBs, ERA) probably similar though. If he wins the 5th starter gig outright I would take a similar flyer on him.

      • Sagacious Sally says:
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        Thanks Mike. From what I’ve seen, which hasn’t been a lot, Fried looks like the higher floor, lower risk, lower ceiling than the other two. I feel once he gets his shot in the rotation he will stick. I used to be higher on Soroka but think the shoulder issue has knocked him down for me. @Mike:

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          No problem…yeah similar to Pads just so many options up and on the way.

  6. I got $100 for groceries, $1400 for liquor, and $6000 for you to bail a couple of shit puppets out of jail says:
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    12 team h2h dynasty roto auction league. contracts are on 3 year cycles. max 257 budget predraft and max 18 players predraft. during draft it’s 25 players and 342 max budget. in season budgets mean nothing. anybody can be cut with no penalty, guys that aren’t drafted or kept at a certain price are 10 in year 1 already (unless prospects, who’s clocks don’t start till the year they hit a total of 130 at bats/50 innings). OPS, QS, K/9 in play here. i had to match a bunch of guys with price ups that are good.
    C
    1B freeman (matched 47 year 1/3 now, 1B is so damn weak)
    2B
    SS peraza 10 (2/3, assuming he’s a keeper)
    3B rendon 26 (2/3)
    LF k.davis 25 (matched, 1/3)
    CF robles 10 (0)
    RF stanton 35 (2)
    util (2)

    SP (around 8 is useful):
    reyes 10 (0)
    nola 22 (2)
    morton 5 (2)
    hendricks (10, i matched the 10, 1/3)

    RP (saves only, room for 5)
    yates 13 (2)
    treinen 7 (2)
    chapman 10 (1/3, i matched for this price, HAD cost 29 which i was letting go, so if nobody bid he’d have gone back into the draft where he most certainly would’ve cost more than 10)

    NA (10 slots): kieboom SS WAS (top guy), 10 (0)
    DL (5 slots): kopech 1 (0)

    so far that’s 15 out of max 18 and 241 out of 257 max. we do a 2018 MLB drafted player rookie draft, round 1’s cost 10, round 2’s cost 5 (both in year 0)

    keep any of these?
    – buxton 18 (1/3, got bid up from 1, would have to drop somebody else here for the money)
    – moncada 1 (3/3)
    – mallex 10 (2)
    – mcneil 10 (2)
    – brantley 10 (2)
    – schwarber 1 (2)
    – wacha 5 (2)
    – gausman 3 (2)
    – a.wood 10 (2, probably not with the move to CIN)
    – givens 10 (2)
    – y.alvarez 1B/LF HOU 10 (0)
    – paddack SP SD 10 (0)

    only 16 bucks left and max 3 spots left predraft to keep. i let kraken (25) and c.seager (30) go in the bidding. OPS rater says i’m a fool if i don’t keep schwarber and mallex (from war room) would lock my steals up nicely. could fit both, along with moncada. but one of paddack/y.alvarez might be smart too. probably priced out of buxton having matched on k.davis/freeman/hendricks/chapman.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Moncada, Schwarber, Paddack…Brantley interesting too though

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