My prior, uber, hard-line stance has been that you with that one hair wrapped around your head acting as a hairstyle don’t want to draft a sleeper 1st baseman. By the by, I tried to replace Uber with Lyft in the previous sentence, but it didn’t make sense. My wokeness has failed. Previously, I’d tell you to go to my top 20 1st basemen for 2020 fantasy baseball (not clickbait at all) and draft some top guys and stop fooling around with sleepers at this position. Of course, I’m malleable like Gumby and this year there are no top 1st basemen *ducks head*.  Whoa, someone threw a wrench into this! Fine, Pete Alonso and Matt Olson get nethers ablaze, but 1st basemen dry up quick. As with other positions like the catchers to target (again, not clickbait), these are 1st basemen that are being drafted late. For the 1st basemen, I’m going with an ADP of 150 or later, so you should have a 1st baseman already, and these are more corner infidels or utility guys. Anyway, here’s some 1st basemen to target for 2020 fantasy baseball:

Danny Santana (192 ESPN, 189 Yahoo) Haven’t mentioned this yet, so what better time than now? (No better time, that’s the answer, my dude.) ESPN’s rankings are goofy. NFBC has Antana going off the board around 131 overall. I’ve ranked him around 140th overall. So, I guess there’s a chance you’re playing against all schmohawks who use ESPN’s rankings and type with their elbows and chew with their mouth open and insist Klara Bell’s making sense in his rankings, but, for the most part, Antana won’t be available. Any hoo! Antana, by conservative projections, is going to go 20/19/.242, and by conservative I mean our Steamer projections. Those numbers alone would make him around 120th overall in value. And, again, in case you missed it, that’s conservative.

Christian Walker (199 NFBC, 175 ESPN, 260 Yahoo) As I mentioned previously this preseason (and sorta 150 words ago in the opening), I didn’t used to write 1st basemen sleepers, but in this post alone there’s two. So, you can check out my Christian Walker sleeper, if you so desire. (Saying the word “desire” out loud automatically makes you creepy. It’s impossible to give an example where it doesn’t make you creepy. You trying to explain how it doesn’t make you creepy to say “desire” actually makes you more creepy.) You know what Christian Walker screams to me? DESIRE! Kidding, he reminds me of a guy we look back on in September and think, “How on earth was he undervalued in the preseason? He was good in 2019 already. There was no surprise here. What the hell was I thinking in March not drafting him?” I don’t know, to be honest. I knew Walker would be a sleeper and undervalued, but I never really wrapped my head around why. He was good for a full year already.

Hunter Dozier (208 ESPN, 202 Yahoo) Very similar to what I said for Walker — also, you check out my Hunter Dozier sleeper too — Walker was already good. Are people just fading these guys because they’re 28 years old? Is age why people are fading Dannys Antana too? What, are you guys Hollywood producers trying to find a date? What do you care if they’re 28 years old? You’re not interested in their ovaries. You’re trying to get one year of production from them! By the way, I wrote this post about a week ago, but am editing some of the draft slots for ESPN and Yahoo now and they’ve all moved up dramatically. Last week, ESPN and Yahoo had Dozier about 30 picks later. Don’t worry, ESPN still has Votto and Hosmer about 40 spots higher than any of these guys. What a jizzoke.

Michael Chavis (235 NFBC, 232 ESPN, 270 Yahoo) The hesitation with Chavis is obvious, and why he’s ranked and/or being drafted after the top 200. He’s not a clearcut breakout waiting to happen. He’s…well, I don’t know what he is, and most don’t, if ADP is accurate. Last year in 347 ABs, he hit 18 homers with a 23.1% HR/FB and 35.5% fly ball rate. That’s not a straightforward uppercase yay. His exit velocity was kinda meh, but he did average 419 feet on his homers, so Chavis wears Big Boy pants. He looks a little like he could be Rhys Hoskins — think 30 homers, .240 average — but Fenway might help his BABIP and average. It wasn’t by accident he had an xBA of .222; it was by sheer luck he hit .254. With all that said (wrap this puppy up, Grey!), at his price, Chavis is well worth the flyer.

Renato Nunez (276 NFBC, 226 ESPN, 311 Yahoo) Does drafting and liking Nunez hurt or help Mountcastle? I’m not sure. Are the Orioles really going to play Chris Davis and Rio Ruiz? Don’t answer that if you’re near an Orioles fan; you will make them openly sob, which isn’t cool.

Evan White (378 NFBC, 281 ESPN, 373 Yahoo) This is the first time ever ESPN is the highest ranker for a rookie. Okay, I’m not sure if that is true, but I’m saying I think it’s true, and those two things are the same. ESPN still has Votto in the top 160 and thinks Kole Calhoun and Kevin Pillar are top 120 overall hitters, so the bar is super low to be impressed by them, but I’m so shocked they are high man on White. But, when I see my projections for White, and how he’s a 15-homer guy with a possibly okay average, I sorta understand ESPN’s ranking of him more. They look at projecting Votto with 15/5/.265 and think that White’s great like an end-of-summer P. Diddy Hampton party.

Ryan Mountcastle (450 NFBC, unranked ESPN, unranked Yahoo) It’s absolute crickets on Mountcastle early on in draft SZN. (Did I do that right? Abbreviating it SZN? Prolly not.) Maybe now that Trey Mancini is out for “who knows how long” with “no one has any idea what he has,” people will be clamoring for Mountcastle, but I haven’t heard a chirp about him. Perhaps I like Mountcastle because I’m just a huge fan of anything that sounds like a British detective drama, and nearly drafted Jose Broadchurch in one league, but Mountcastle at 450th overall? Possibly it’s his lack of walks, but in standard 5×5 he shouldn’t be off the board for free. Why exactly is he not breaking camp with the Orioles and getting 500+ ABs? He hit 25 HRs and .312 last year and absolutely murdered the ball. British detective, “Mountcastle murdered the ball, but what if…there were two balls and they both had the same father?!” That’s Jose Broadchurch flipping through Mountcastle’s family album. I’ve already talked about him at length in my Ryan Mountcastle fantasy. There’s no guarantees with him, but, at his price, there’s nothing but upside from Mountcastle, coming this summer on the BBC.

305 Comments
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baby seal
baby seal
2 years ago

Nice post, Grey!

I just can’t wrap my head around drafting Santana — understand the argument — but just isn’t for me. I’m usually a fan of these later career breakouts because they’re usually such nice market inefficiencies.

I love the “experts” who don’t feel comfortable drafting younger players who should grow, nor the late career breakouts, then wonder why their teams are always average… sir, a team of Goldschmidt, Merrifield, Blackmon, Cain, etc., etc. was lit like 3 years ago. Not anymore!

Back to Danny. He’s got such a weird profile. Suddenly, his EV and LA become elite. Terrible K rate, Contact% got worse, Z-Contact% is not good, SwStr% got worse, and an uptick in FB% and BABIP. He got a little slower and isn’t exactly young. (Wait, RR really has Todd Frazier batting 4th in that lineup after the Willie news?? lmaooooooo)

IDK what happened from 2015-2017, but a -2.5 WAR over ~600 ABs… is, uh, not good. Hold on, let me clear my throat … *cough* *cough* ROIDS, anyone??

Whatever, hope it works out for ya! Can’t be in on everyone.

Back to the positives! Love Dozier and Walker. I got one Evan White share. Just usually have 1B and a backup locked up by then. I’m taking Nunez over Chavis every time if I need someone there. Or I like CJ Cron better than both.

Draft SZN! You did it right!!

No Mountcastle yet. Hmmm. He was a 1st round pick in 2015. Age 23. International League MVP last year! Now we’re hyping properly! There’s always a bad team discount, as you know. O’s are moving Chris Davis to the 3-hole, baby! *facepalms*

One issue maybe is that the team keeps moving him all over the diamond. Has gone from SS to 3B to 1B, and now to LF. They didn’t call up him last year, so clearly they want to manipulate.

I’m like 90% sure Mancini is getting a vasectomy. You heard it here first! Either that, or his family just got back from Italy and now he’s got the Corona. Hopefully it’s not cancer (read in comments), because then I’m just an asshole, which would be par for the course tbh.

RazzSlam update! What do you think? Not a great question right now since it’s so early… 7th slot:

Story
Devers
Baez
Muncy
Rizzo
Darvish

I’ll hit you w/ DC update later or tomorrow. About to grab dinner. Still going fine there.

Trader
Trader
2 years ago

12 teamer. Would you trade away picks 24,25,48 and 49 for their 4th and 11th pick. I also have the first pick in the draft. So I end up with three first rounders but don’t pick again until the sixth round.

jnienow
jnienow
Reply to  Trader
2 years ago

yes yes yes !!!

FrankGrimes
FrankGrimes
Reply to  Trader
2 years ago

Meh

gargamel04
gargamel04
2 years ago

A guy in a $100 Yahoo 5×5 league just dropped Kris Bryant and blamed his child.

Normally, I’d grant the guy a reprieve, but it isn’t possible in those yahoo leagues.

$100 FAAB. My offense is already strong. How much would you bid?

jnienow
jnienow
2 years ago

Austin Meadows for Luis Robert, keeper forever 6×6 16 teams no $ or draft pk involved? who wins?

jnienow
jnienow
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

thanks boss, it is close and i had Robert on hold for a year so it’s hard to let him go considering his upside!

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
2 years ago

Grey,

Two quick things:

1) I have Jurickson Profar. Would you rather have Profar or Hansel Adelberto?

2) As soon as MLB places Severino, Sale, Paxton and Kluber on the IL I will go sign: Chatwood, Trevor Williams, and either Brad (don’t call me Helen) Keller from KC or Austin Voth

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

is it because you have him higher in your rankings than Adelberto, or because it’s Baltimore? LOL

Big Magoo
Big Magoo
2 years ago

People are treating Danny Santana like he has the coronavirus this year. If I told you that a player went .283/28/21 last year, wouldn’t you think there’d be at least a little bit of excitement over him? Betts went .295/29/16. Jo Ram went .255/23/24. One’s a top 10 pick, the other’s a top 20 pick. Santana’s outside the top 120. I get the negatives (high K-rate, high BABIP, power spike), but his exit velo was top 25 in MLB and his line drive % was up there too. xBA was .275 according to baseball savant. Already have a share in the DC league and another one in an online championship 12 teamer (that randomly has Liss and Del Don in it).

We’re almost through 29 rounds now. Where are you at?

LaRockakis
LaRockakis
2 years ago

12 team, points, keeper league.

I have the first overall pitcher pick (We do separate pitcher and hitter drafts). After keepers, I’m looking at guys like Luis Castillo, Clevinger, Greinke, Chaz Morton, Kluber, etc.

I am in the last year of my rebuild. Would you recommend I trade my #1 pick for a younger keeper with big upside instead of one year of any of the guys mentioned above? I’m thinking Julio Urias?

My current rotaysh is Paddack, Gallen, and then one of Manaea, Heaney, Carlos Martinez, Nate Pearson.

LaRockakis
LaRockakis
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Dude, I am p sad. They won’t announce what it is. Has me afeared for the worst.

Castillo is good, but I’m building for the future. You still think one year of Castillo is worth than a lifetime of Julio Urias?

FMFBL
FMFBL
2 years ago

Hey Grey,
which option on keepers is better for my 12 teamer – keeper rounds in ()
not sure who to keep as 6th in either scenario…

Arenado (1)
G. Cole (2)
J, baez (7)
trea turner (15)
soto (24)
(either sonny gray 27 or muncy 23)

or

Baez(7)
Devers (10)
Turner (17)
Soto (24)
Bieber (24)
(either sonny gray 27 or muncy 23)

FMFBL
FMFBL
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Ok…who should i keep as the 6th?
Javy Baez (7)
Devers (10)
Turner (17)
Soto (24)
Bieber (24)

and then either Muncy (23), Sonny Gray (27), Snell (6)

Thanks.

FMFBL
FMFBL
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

you mean w/ the scoring, or?
we havent drafted or anything I just didnt know which 6 to go in with.

FMFBL
FMFBL
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

In my league muncy qualifies as 1/2/3b so I could play him at 1/2 or a util slot. But we don’t have and CI/MI Slots. You think him or na. Thanks greyman!

Sam
Sam
2 years ago

Thanks for this info, you guys are amazing!
10 team league, we keeper 1 hitter and 1 pitcher.
I’m keeping mondesi and have the tenth pick. Hopefully, Soto and Tornado are still there soI can take both, but assuming one is gone, my options are joram , Freeman, albombso, and Bryce. I know proper pairing is important at this point… which one?

Sam
Sam
Reply to  Sam
2 years ago

And rendon will be there

stuey
stuey
2 years ago

Looking forward to another great season. I have to choose 4 keepers for my head-to-head 6×6 OBP league. I have 6 I’m considering. Standard Yahoo budget for 10 team league. Any strong feelings? Thanks!

Yelich for $23 (duh)
Buehler for $10 (I think duh)

Bregman for $20
Lindor for $24
Hiura for $5
Javy for $14

stuey
stuey
Reply to  stuey
2 years ago

Those would be the keeper prices for my Auction league…I forgot to mention that part.

Earl
Earl
2 years ago

I have picks 12 and 13 in 12 team roto 5×5.

Part of me wants to take stud pitcher there if DeGrom or maybe Buehler available but then I hear most of you Razzers including Grey himself (except for Rudy) say dont do it and go 2 hitters and wait until 36 and 37 to take pitcher.

Just cant get those voices out of my head. Guess have to decide by tomorrow afternoon as draft starts in morning (email slow one).

The Great Knoche
Reply to  Earl
2 years ago

I like DeGrom at 12, and like 6 bats in a row after that.

Earl
Earl
Reply to  The Great Knoche
2 years ago

so if it was not Cole or Degrom then no go on any other pitcher like perhaps Buehler?

The Great Knoche
Reply to  Earl
2 years ago

Wouldn’t take Cole. Maybe Buehler. I’d still go two bats though if it was me.

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Earl
2 years ago

I don’t think you’re going to find anybody to agree with you taking Buehler as a top 13 pick.

Earl
Earl
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Okay, now you are taking a poke at me but i get it.

I normally would not hesitate to take 2 hitters to start so maybe i will stick with that.

What are your thoughts of Bryce Harper at say 13 or is it stick to the rankings my boy.

Thanks

Toro33
Toro33
2 years ago

In my H2H Keeper league – we keep 10

Do i trade Conforto and Carlson* for Paddock and a 4th rd pick?

the * on carlson means its either him, Erod, or Gallen for Paddock and the 4th rd pick.

thoughts?

Cram It
Cram It
2 years ago

This Evan White madness is….madness. He just went in my NFBC. Everyone’s gotta have this 15/.250 guy and they gotta have it now!

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

I just realized it was Knoche who took him….at 318, and I still see corners I’d take before him. You guys is kookie.

I’m loving this Mauricio Dubon kid though. Looks like a 15/25, high avg floor.

The Great Knoche
Reply to  Cram It
2 years ago

Meh, I look at him as most upside around there. only reason I grabbed where I did was the Mancini news. I did a whole lot of film watching on him this AM. Swing will play at next level. I like Dubon, he’s 20/20 potential playing everyday.

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  The Great Knoche
2 years ago

Ah, Mancini, yeah. Makes sense then. Still a couple of other 1B I would have taken instead, but if you like him that much.

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

And what is White’s 15 HRs gonna get him hitting 7th in that lineup? 60 RBI?

I don’t have any burners on my roster…handful of 10-15 SB guys, so I like the cheap steals with a solid avg and everyday job.

HERNAN
HERNAN
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Dubon’s overrated…, 84 Mph exit velocity, decent sprint speed, he might play some in second half when team trades Wilmer or Yolmer…., lol , Giants should sign Yonder Alonso…. Wilmer to Yolmer to Yonder .., Kapler already said Yaz, Dickerson , Gangly Man Bird are his everyday outfielders…, Easily most boring team in Baseball when Longoria and Posey are your best players..

FrankGrimes
FrankGrimes
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

You love to hate

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  HERNAN
2 years ago

I didn’t even know he was rated. I was under the impression he’s going to fill a super utility role. And he’s having an impressive spring.

Beat the Bots
Beat the Bots
Reply to  Cram It
2 years ago

I heard he’s gonna play every day alternating between MI & CF

Mike
Mike
2 years ago

What do you think the Dbacks do with Kevin Cron?

Reid Harrington
Reid Harrington
2 years ago

Hey Grey, 12 team, H2H, 6X6 with Holds. How would you rank theses pitchers for Holds, and who is the best out of the young SP’s?
Holds:
Ty Buttrey, LAA
Aaron Bummer, CWS
Scott Barlow, KC
Tyler Duffey, MIN
Emilio Pagan, SD

Young SP’s….Cease, Pearson or Yarbrough?

moses mashers
moses mashers
2 years ago

I finally got the first pick in a standard draft. My team so far is Acuna, Tatis, Devers. Would Olsen/SP be the way to go on the 4/5 turn?

moses mashers
moses mashers
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Thanks! He just has to fall 5 more picks

Member Berries
Member Berries
2 years ago

DonkeyTeeth!
I heard you drafted Acuna Yelich Trout LouBob Bieber in an auction league. After a chuckle, I loved it. Big Balls Donkey Teeth BBDT !

Fish
Fish
2 years ago

slotted as a batter *in a pitcher spot*.

Fish
Fish
2 years ago

RazzSlam Question:
Ohtani is listed as a UT/P, which I’m taking to mean he’s considered one player.

So how does his point accumulation work in the Bestball format? Say, he’s not pitching for the first two months of the season. Would/Can the points he accumulates as a batter be counted as a pitcher?

If so, he could be wildly valuable, not just as a dual player, but because the scoring is so tilted towards batters that he can score a significant amount of points if slotted as a batter.

The Great Knoche
2 years ago

I’m getting more on board with the Evan White flyer vs guys going around him. If he’s playing everyday I think the floor is .250 and 15 HRs. Simple metrics from minors shows good line drive and flyball rates, BABIP looks like someone who hits the ball hard. Concerns are slightly high pull rate, and IFFB%, and the unknown of is he gonna have a 30% K rate in majors?? Swing from the few clips I’ve seen is tight and compact so I am not concerned as much about the K rate. Could see .280 and 25 happen is things break right.

Also Kelenic is going to be a stud.

hot corner
hot corner
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Haha. And then you go and pick him. The entire draft room is following you and you are following Knoche!!!!

The Great Knoche
Reply to  hot corner
2 years ago

Yeah I just took him too.

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
2 years ago

Is this like a sleeper post or something? I can think of a lot of first basemen to target, and none of them are on this list.

Yuck LOL. Pass!

Take Muncy and thank me later.

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

HaHa!

I always love your sarcasm when I don’t agree with you!

I wouldn’t touch Christian Walker if my life depended on it after that bastard went 1-for-21 the week I was in my playoffs! He can eat a turd, shit it out, and eat it again!

Take Muncy!

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

I do like the Evan White pick. I think he’ll be a nice piece so I’m not totally out on this list!

Forgive me? Haha! No!

swaggerjackers
swaggerjackers
2 years ago

People keep abbreviating D Santana as if there aren’t two outfielders with a last name of Santana and a first name that start with D.

Poor Domingo Santana.

That is all.

swaggerjackers
swaggerjackers
2 years ago

Happy draft season Grey.

Some questions now that my two drafts are done:

1) Any concern Mercado doesn’t play everyday once Naquin comes back?
2) Happ or Solak in an OBP weekly roto league?
3) In a holds league, are you jumping on the hype train for that Indians reliever with the crazy K per 9? Karincheck, I think?
4) If the answer to #3 is yes, is he better than Bummer, Ottavino, or Pagan?
5) Does Edman play enough to matter in weekly lock leagues?
6) Wild guesses on when Adell gets called up?
7) Are all of these guys actual closers? Edwin Diaz, Melancon, Givens, Leclerc? Feels like I just drafted a bunch of landmines as closers. SAGNOF!

leon
leon
2 years ago

16 man dynasty

Montas, Ryu, Paxton, Maeda, Weaver are my Sp, Osuna is my closer

got offered Kela for weaver.

Smell The Glove
Smell The Glove
2 years ago

12 team 5×5 keeper league with OBP instead of AVG. Would you give up a 2nd rounder to get Juan Soto with a 12th round keeper value? If so, I am currently planning to keep these 4 and would have to cut one loose: Devers (6th), Gleyber (7th), Buehler (10th) and Yordan (13th). Would you pull the trigger? If so, who do you throw back?

Smell The Glove
Smell The Glove
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Thanks. Who would you throw back?

Nightpandas
Nightpandas
2 years ago

1st draft last night….12 team roto std 5×5 plus k and OPS for bats and K/9 and Sv+hold (keep7)

C Garver
1 Olson
2 McNeil
3 Chapman
Ss Lindor
Lf Brantley
Cf Kepler
Rf Meadows
Util Bichette
Util Semien
Bn Ohtani (b), Buxton
Sp Cole, Bauer, Berrios, Lamet, Lynn, Paxton, Boyd, Ohtani (p)
Rp Yates, Workman, Iglesias, Gallegos

Think my bats are strong enough?

Got an offer of my Bichette and Berrios for his Strasburg and Andrus….Seems fair to me but wondering if I should keep Bichette and maybe move him and Semien and Berrios for a better bat

MarvPesos
Marv
2 years ago

Hey Grey,

H2H 12-team cat. keeper (keep12) balanced stats (R,H,HR,RBI,SB,BB,AVG, OPS,XBH / W,CG,SV,K,GIDP,ERA,WHIP,QS), limit of 35 moves/year

We’re coming up to our Keeper deadline and I must select 12. My first 9 are easy but having trouble selecting the final 3. I’m currently torn between: J. Hader, C. Kluber, S. Gray, E. Suarez, J. Paxton. Currently have selected Gray, Kluber and Hader as pitching is hard to come by (most people keep 4-6 pitchers. My league is all pretty active and tends to favour youth & pitchers (typically 4-5 bench spots are pitchers on most teams). I never like to keep a reliever but good value if he’s my 12th kept.

I’ve marked the 9 selected and my team is below, who would you keep ?

My team:
C – W. Ramos
1B – A. Rizzo *K
2B – K. Marte *K
3B – E. Suarez
SS –T. Turner *K
CI –P. Goldschmidt *K
MI – S. Castro
LF – J.D. Martinez *K
CF – C. Yelich *K
RF – C. Blackmon *K
Util –C. Santana
BN – G. Urshela
BN – H. Dozier

SP – J. Paxton
SP – J. Verlander *K
SP – W. Buehler *K
RP – K. Jansen (RP)
RP – J. Hader (RP)
P – K. Giles (RP)
P – C. Kluber
BN – S. Gray
BN – Z. Gallen
BN – D. Lamet
BN – A. Heaney
Thanks bud
Marv

Crime dog
Crime dog
2 years ago

Thinking about this dynasty friend league I’m in. Who do you like for the next 4 years. Hiura or bichette?

183414
183414
2 years ago

But who would you take ? Not a pitcher or catcher, I presume.

183414
183414
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Thanks Grey !

183414
183414
2 years ago

Dude took Vazquez (his 2nd catcher) and Hand (his 2nd closer-has no starters).

BBHHI
BBHHI
2 years ago

Grey,

You’re probably going to hate the trade I just made:
Yarbrough $6 for Dandy Yandy Diaz $2.

I know you hate that he’s constantly pitched as a sleeper, but it sure seems the potential is there and more importantly, the Rays clearly intend to bat him 3/4. Maybe he never has the true break-out expected, but if he’s batting 3/4, at some $ level he’s worth owning….rights?

183414
183414
2 years ago

Polanco, Kingery, and D. Santana went right in front of me. Dahl gone too. Dozier, McMahon , Wilson Ramos, and a bunch of Soroka, Ed Rod, Urias available as well. I think I may be able to get JD Davis @159/162.
I’m leaning toward McMahon (get’s me 2nd/3d cover). Listened to your blurb on McMahon, and the mgr. does say he’ll be getting 500 a.b.’s. I think McMahon’s upside may be higher than Dozier.
What do you think of McMahon over Dozier, assuming wither 1 is not taken ? Reynolds also available now (adp 160). Dozier/McMahon w/ 156/157 adp.

183414
183414
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

But who would you draft ?

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  183414
2 years ago

Ditto with Grey. McYes.

183414
183414
Reply to  Dave D
2 years ago

Dave, I’m awesome in roto, but not in this venue. I’m thinking McMahon is 25. Broke out a bit last year. Plays 1/2 his games in Coors, and apparently the mgr. said he’ll be playing 2nd base regularly.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  183414
2 years ago

I like both McM and Doz, but I like McM’s home games especially. That matters a lot in best ball.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  183414
2 years ago

For what its worth I own McM in 4/4 NFBCs and Dozier 2/4.

183414
183414
Reply to  Dave D
2 years ago

Took McMahon. Stay around Dave. Out of my element here. I would have taken Soroka. haha
Definitely taking a starter or closer w/ 1 of my next 2 picks. What about a spec on Buxton, if Dozier or Reynolds ain’t available. Or Amed ? Or Wilson Ramos.
This format is like Greek to me.

bigbear
bigbear
Reply to  183414
2 years ago

You got this. Deep breathe. When in doubt, grab the guy you think will be more fun to own if they are who you think they’ll be.

183414
183414
Reply to  bigbear
2 years ago

Thanks Doc. Good advice. Great attitude !!

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  183414
2 years ago

Amed is solid in the format. SBs very valuable. Pitching can go either way with SVs 8 points and Ws 6.

183414
183414
Reply to  Dave D
2 years ago

Went right after I took McMahon. This is way more challenging for me than my 12 team drafts. I guess I shouldn’t anx over this but I’ll be asking more questions pretty soon.

183414
183414
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Already took him w/ last pick. Essentially, assuming a pitcher or catcher is off the table w/ this pick, it’s down to McMahon or Dozier.

Ryan741
Ryan741
2 years ago

Grey, need a trade opinion in a H2H points league. Was offered Alonso and Carrasco for my Mondesi and Nola. Alonso has quite a bit more value in our league with the HR, but worried about Carrasco staying healthy.

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
2 years ago

Before the season even started, theinjury bug has already bit me. I have lost Paxton, Sale and Severino to injuries, and am starting to look for replacements. My current choices are:

CHatwood,
Keller
Lauer
Wainwright
Wacha
Anderson
Quantrill
Suter

Would you pick any of those three, or can you suggest possible pitchers that is under the radar?

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
Reply to  Scott Kimmel
2 years ago

Also Auston Voth, Shane Anderson, Alec Mills are available

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

wrong anderson. This is the full list

TYler Chatwood
Brad Keller
Ryne Stanek (Is he closing in MIA?)
Eric Lauer
Adam Wainwright
Michael Wacha
Shaun Anderson
Cal Quantrill
Brent Suter

Which 3 would you pickc up once they are placed on the IL?

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Is Stanek closing/setting up or starting in MIA?

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
Reply to  Scott Kimmel
2 years ago

THe three I was thinking about were: Chatwood, Austin Voth, and Trevor Williams. Thoughts?

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Scott Kimmel
2 years ago

Didn’t he just give you his thoughts?

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  Cram It
2 years ago

lol, classic

Brown L
Brown L
2 years ago

First draft of the season! 10 team ESPN H2H 5×5, with 5 keepers at previous year’s round (held up to 3 years). I used Grey’s rankings pretty closely.

C: Christian Vazquez (29)
1B: Jose Abreu (5)
2B: Keston Hiura (4)
3B: Jose Ramirez (2)
SS: Jonathan Villar (3)
MI: Mike Moustakas (9)
CI: Max Muncy (11) – K
OF: Mookie Betts (1) – K
OF: Jorge Soler (6)
OF: Oscar Mercado (7)
OF: Ketel Marte (15) – K
UT: Yasiel Puig (16)
UT: Didi Gregorius (23)
BN: Dansby Swanson (27)

SP: Lance Lynn (8)
SP: Jake Odorizzi (12)
SP: Kenta Maeda (14)
SP: Patrick Corbin (17) – K
SP: Chris Sale (18)
RP:Josh Hader (10) – K
RP: Craig Kimbrel (13)
P: Alex Colome (19)
P: Joe Musgrove (20)
P: Mark Melancon (21)
BN: Adrian Houser (22)
BN: Joe Jimenez (24)
BN: Chris Archer (25)
BN: Anthony DeSclafani (26)
BN: Yonny Chirinos (28)

First impressions: it’s a 10-team league, so all lineups are stacked, my hitting values are through the roof. A fairly conservative draft room meant guys like Puig, Kimbrel, Sale, and Archer all fell to levels where I couldn’t help but pick them up. The waiver wire is stocked enough that I’m not too worried.

LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood
LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood
2 years ago

Welll here it is my H2h team….what do you think?

S. Perez
C. Bellinger
O. Albies
J. Villar(R)
L. Arraez(R)
J. Donaldson
T. Story
B. Harper
R. Laureano
J. Soto
A. Aquino(R)
B. Buxton(R)
M. Olson
L. Giolito
M. Fried
S. Gray
J. Lester
C. Paddack
M. Foltynewicz(R)
I. Kennedy
G. Gallegos

LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood
LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

10 teams so all are pretty stacked

Jason
Jason
2 years ago

C Vazques
1B Rizzo
2B Biggio
3B Donaldson
SS Lindor
OF Harper Soler JD Davis
UTIL E Suarez, Peralta, Buxton, Braun

SP Giolito, Lynn, Maeda, Josh James, Urias, C mart, Civale, Houser, Keller
RP Colome Kela

Drafted this 12 team Keeper H2H 6 x 6 team yesterday, not sure how to feel. What are the areas I can approve on?

Twins Peaker
Twins Peaker
2 years ago

Can you rank these players for me in a pts league. I’ve put them in my order.

Amed Rosario
Nick Solak
Scott Kingery
Ian Happ

Though I do think all of them have upside. Love Solak now that Calhoun is out for awhile.

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
2 years ago

Had my first draft of the year last night. Pretty psyched with how it turned out, even though a missed out on a few of the guys I was targeting due to weird bidding (Franmil went for $29?!). Anyway, roster below . . . any thoughts on room for improvement?
12 team keeper, weekly roto. Put an asterisks next to my keepers.

C – $1 Jansen
C – $1 Stallings
1B – $20 Olson (woo!)
2B – $1 Chavis
SS – $16 Story*
3B – $7 Chapman*
MI – $6 Notorious D.I.D.I
CI – $12 Encarnacion
OF – $50 Yelich*
OF – $29 Acuna*
OF – $7 Eloy*
OF – $21 Robert
OF – $15 Mercado
UTL – $1 Puig (NO IDEA why no one bid…he’s going to sign and start somewhere!)

SP – $16 Bieber*
SP – $4 Giolito*
SP – $10 Wheeler
SP – $10 Odorrizi
SP – $2 Archer (lottery ticket for new pitching coaches)
SP – $1 Josh James (woo!)
SP – $2 Nate Pearson (woo x2!)
RP1 – $16 Hand
RP2 – $7 Nick Anderson

RESERVE ($0)
ARMS – Desclafani . . . H. Harvey . . . Rich HIll (will DL and grab another arm, some good options on wire).
BATS – C. Walker (he’ll be my UTL, can’t believe he wasn’t drafted earlier) . . . Sam Hilliard . . . Julio Rodriguez (excited for 2021) . . . Jorge Mateo (will drop in the preseason FAAB if he doesn’t win the 2B job)

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Thanks!

Yeah, Archer sucks, but I like the lottery ticket and will drop him if he doesn’t immediately show a difference. Guys like Cueto, Gibson, Kikuchi, Plesac, Lyles, etc. are all on the wire, so there will be random options to replace him.

Don’t love my RPs, but they should get the job done until I SAGNOF someone.

Nate Pearson and James feel like guys who would be a lot more in keepers if my draft had been closer to opening day.

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
2 years ago

I’ve always hated Archer, but worth a flier to see if the new regime in PIT can turn him into someone who at least sucks less…

Ecto
Ecto
2 years ago

How should I divide my Auction Budget %?

Ordinarily I do it 60/40 in favor of the batters. Would you change it with these settings?

C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, OF, OF, OF, UTIL, UTIL
SP, SP, RP, RP, P, P, P, P
7 Bench Spots

H2H League w/ Hits OBP Losses and QS as added categories making it a 7×7 League.

Most teams roster 10 SPs, 3 RP, and 12 Batters…

How should I divide my Auction Budget %?

Thanks for the help in advance!

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Reply to  Ecto
2 years ago

I like 70/30, but have seen a lot of people do 65/35 or so. 60/40 could work but feels a little heavy on pitching.

Ecto
Ecto
Reply to  Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
2 years ago

Why doesn’t anyone ever divide it up 50/50? I don’t understand why it’s always tipped in favor of the batters when the categories are split equally (7×7)?

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Reply to  Ecto
2 years ago

The best pitchers only give you 4 categories (and wins are super subjective and out of their control). The best hitters give you 5 categories (or 7 in this case). In a 7×7, not sure what the pitching categories are, but SPs won’t get you any SV/HD stats and tend to be harder on k/9 than relievers. Also, pitchers are much harder to predict than hitters, so better to spend your money on more predictable outcomes.

Ecto
Ecto
Reply to  Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
2 years ago

I mentioned the scoring categories in the original post.

The categories are:

Hits, Runs, Home Runs, RBI, SB, AVG, OBP
Wins, Losses, Saves, Ks, ERA, WHIP, Quality Starts

There is a minimum 40 IP per week.

With those categories how would you allocate your budget?

I’m hoping multiple experts help me out here!

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Ecto
2 years ago

Because you don’t pay for pitching.

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
2 years ago

Great stuff, Grey. No idea why people are ignoring these guys, Walker in particular!
Also – Shane Bieber is my hero . . .

Long story short, Shane Bieber recently joined Cameo–so, naturally, as the ace of my rotation in one of my keeper leagues, I asked him to trash talk my leaguemates ahead of our draft yesterday. HE. DID. NOT. DISAPPOINT. Happy to shoot it over to you if you wanna email the address linked to my Razz account. It’s hilarious + he clearly plays fantasy.

FrankGrimes
FrankGrimes
Reply to  Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
2 years ago

Link it here!

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

New favorite player. He turned it around in less than a day too, so I got to send it around right before the draft.

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

only $30

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

I think he just joined. Pretty sure a lot of people just enjoy it (money aside). Gold like this means he’s gotta up his rate tho!

FrankGrimes
FrankGrimes
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Shit even high pitch Erik gets $75 a pop lmao

I think you should get on there too

FrankGrimes
FrankGrimes
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

HAha exactly.

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Hah, amazing! His legend continues.

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
2 years ago

MADE MY DAY!

LOLmets
LOLmets
2 years ago

It’s crazy even if Stanton and Judge miss a bunch of time the Yankees have so many bats. I’m still in on the long shot Ford becasue he looks legit but I think Voit will hit too so idk. Will be an interesting roster crunch.

LOLmets
LOLmets
Reply to  LOLmets
2 years ago

Credit to an article from pinstripe prospects:

“Here’s Mike Fords batted ball profile:
Average Exit Velocity: 91.9 mph (MLB average is 87.5 mph)
Launch Angle: 15.6 (MLB average is 11.2)
xwOBA: .365 (average .318)
Hard Hit Rate: 45.6% (average is 34.5%)
HR/FB: 23.5% (average is 15%)
This is important for any player, but it’s especially important for guys that are just cracking into the MLB. Throughout his time in the Major Leagues Ford has shown the ability to hit the ball hard at the plate consistently.
As noted earlier, Ford is exceptionally patient at the plate as well. Of course, this ability has helped him in hitting the ball harder. Below are his plate discipline stats for 2019
Walk Rate: 10.4% (average is 8.5%)
O-Swing: 24% (average is 32%)
Z-Swing: 63% (average is 69%)
Z-Contact: 88% (average 85%)
Swinging Strike Rate: 8% (average is 11%)”

Back to me. If Mike ford played everyday he would hit about 40 dongs in Yankee Stadium this year.

Mike Ford SZN

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  LOLmets
2 years ago

I’m with you Mets. I own him in two spots. Seems like a good 30th round flyer to me in 15 teamers. He’s worth a bench spot to see what happens. Good risk/reward candidate to me.

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  LOLmets
2 years ago

hahaha, let’s go!!!

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  LOLmets
2 years ago

His numbers look good, but I wonder why, now 27 years old, were they out signing Voit and dicking around with Greg Bird all this time?

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Exactly! There are only 2 possibilities…he’s not that good, or he slept with Boone’s daughter.

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  Cram It
2 years ago

ROFL

LOLmets
LOLmets
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Bird had like 600 total career at bats as a Yankee

LOLmets
LOLmets
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Yeah he battled injuries. Yankees thought he would eventually be the guy but it never happened. I guess that means Mike Ford isn’t good at hitting baseballs

baby seal
baby seal
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

They talked him up for so long. IDK, biases are a b*tch. Ford has the body of a car mechanic.

His minor league wRC+ is like 140, lol, WTF?!?

LOLmets
LOLmets
Reply to  Cram It
2 years ago

Joe Burrow was third string at Ohio State and couldn’t win the starting quarterback job there. He transferred to LSU and just won the Heisman trophy. Sometimes things just happen that way.

LOLmets
LOLmets
Reply to  LOLmets
2 years ago

Bold prediction: Mike Ford wins the Heisman Trophy

MisforMookie
MisforMookie
2 years ago

Good morning Grey-

Pre-emptive, thank you!

Got a Yahoo 12 team roto draft coming up this weekend, it’s 6×6 with R/HR/RBI/SB/AVG/OPS and W/K/SV+H/WHIP/ERA/QS. We all have 3 keepers going into the draft and I have Acuna, Betts, and Story. I was also lucky enough to have first pick of the remaining available players. My question is two-fold:

1) Is there any reason NOT to draft Yelich with pick 1 (round 4)? See below for top available players by Rudy’s rankings for my league settings. I could see taking Arenado or Freeman with my OF already hot, but, eh?

2) With my picks 2 and 3 at the 5/6 turn, would you be drafting two hitters and continuing to wait on pitching, or grabbing 1 hitter and 1 SP? I can definitely see waiting til 7/8 turn and taking 1-2 SP then, though note I don’t have a round 9 pick due to trades last year so I get just 1 player at the 9/10 turn. With the long wait between picks I’m a little afraid of getting snaked on any stable SP (and was burned on that last year), but yes I do subscribe to the Grey-patented “don’t draft top SP”.

Available players in $ order:
Yelich, Arenado, Freeman, Cruz, Stanton, Rizzo, Blackmon, Donaldson, Baez, Machado, Alonso, Alruve, Realmuto, Bogaerts, Hiura, K Marte, Correa, Robert, Schwarber, Sanchez, Corbin, Pham, Bichette, Strasburg, Mondesi…

B_Don
Reply to  MisforMookie
2 years ago

Take Yelich.

Depends what pitchers are available in that spot. I imagine a lot of the top arms go in that first round. That being said, if you want pitching this season, you have to put yourself in a bit of an uncomfortable position and just take them when you need them. Not when the values are right, because they likely won’t be.

MisforMookie
MisforMookie
Reply to  B_Don
2 years ago

Thanks B_Don (should have included pre-emptive thanks to the other commenters).

Yeah that’s my thought as well. Most of top tier pitchers are already gone which is fine (Cole, DeGrom, Scherzer, Verlander, Buehler, Flaherty, Bieber…also Glasnow, Hader, Berrios), but it makes me concerned that the mid-tier guys I like will all go quickly, especially with most of the top top hitting already kept. We’ll see what happens.

NUX
NUX
2 years ago

@BunderscoreDon and @DT

Can someone sort the ADP sheet in Razzslam for Column E? It keeps pushing down players who are getting drafted and I don’t seem to be allowed to keep updating that.

Purdy please, give me Sorting permissions!!! If it helps, I’ve been a good boy and my ADP for League 5 is nearly done in real time.

The sportsguy
The sportsguy
2 years ago

10 team AL 5×5…Choo at$14 or Giles at $11. Traditionally top closers go for $17 and closers are fairly cheap

NUX
NUX
Reply to  The sportsguy
2 years ago

Giles. There are plenty more OF popups, even in AL Only than there will be Closers to grab.

bigbear
bigbear
2 years ago

The Nunez blurb made me openly sob! And realizing that some combination of Mancini, Nunez, and Mountcastle will not get a full season of AB’s is salt on the wound…

I figured out that neither Miguel Sano nor Hunter Dozier have 1B eligibility in Fantrax this weekend in my first RCL! Doh! How’d I do? I drafted 1st, so missed a huge closer run. Took my first SP at the 4/5 turn.

C – W. Smith
1B – D. Murphy
2B – Albies
3B – Muchado
SS – Mondesi – already on my church’s prayer list
CI – Donaldson
MI – Madrigal
OF – Acuna, H. Dozier, Gurriel Jr., Mercado, Pederson
UT – Sano
Bench – Hilliard

SP – Darvish, Lamet, Woodruff, Heaney, DeSclafani, Hamels, Montgomery, Pearson
RP – Iglesias, Leclerc, Castillo

Feel like I’m light on AVG, which is why I went Murphy late instead of a guy like Walker, Mountcastle, or CJ Cron. I’m feeling pretty good about the rest of the offensive stats.

Sniped on a few SPs – Josh James and Dylan Bundy.

Who’s in my streaming spot at the moment?

Someone pissed in my Alphabet soup
Someone pissed in my Alphabet soup
2 years ago

Hey Grey 10 team 6×6 OPS league. Im drafting 10, if you’re in my spot and this is how the first round went:

1 trout
2 acuna
3 yelich
4 belli
5 mookie
6 arenado
7 bregman
8 soto
9 rendon

Both Story and Lindor are available would you…

A: take both and put Lindor at MI
B: Pair Story with Alonso or Freeman
C: Pair Story with Harper or Jram

Donkey Teeth
Admin

A

B_Don
Reply to  Donkey Teeth
2 years ago

Agree w/ DT.

Someone pissed in my alphabet soup
Someone pissed in my alphabet soup
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

You guys are the balls, ty

Scott
Scott
2 years ago

Would you take boyd$8 and Skubal $3 for tucker$9 and whitley $11..I’d be getting tucker..keep forever league

Nick
Nick
2 years ago

Hi Grey

Dynasty here…

Abreu is my starting 1B
I have Encarnacion on bench,, would you rather pick Santana or Walker for the future over him?

Looking at your rankings, Walker would be the safer bet for 30HR… with higher expectations than 2019
considerating health as well
Santana had only ONE good season, wich was 2019… juiced ball again or regression fairies !!?