Positional weighting (aka ‘positional scarcity’ for fearmongers or fearophiles) in fantasy baseball is one of the most discussed and least understood variables when it comes to ranking players. I have heard arguments ranging the whole gamut on how much a player’s value is impacted by their position – everything from ‘it means nothing’ to ‘it means everything.’
In my yearly review of my Point Shares methodology, I decided to test the underlying assumptions on positional weighting. Please, blog, may I have some more?
For these pairings, I’m going to be using our 2011 fantasy baseball rankings. Notably, the top 20 starters for 2011 fantasy baseball, top 40 starters for 2011, top 60 starters for 2011 and the top 80 starters for 2011. Okay, now that we have our links and shizz done. What is a pitcher pairing? It’s how you plan on putting together a fantasy staff. It’s a plan of action. If you have A pitcher, which B, C and D pitcher goes with him? You should have six starters. The sixth starter is Mike Minor or take whoever you want. I suggest an upside pick. Mike Minor comes to mind. Or Jordan Zimmermann. Jordan Zimmermann also comes to mind. I’m going to assume you’re in a 12 team, 5×5 and some variation of 9 Pitchers league. (NOTE: What you are about to read is massively confusing. If it were found scribbled in a notebook, the FBI would be watching me.) Anyway, here’s some pairings for pitching staffs for 2011 fantasy baseball drafts:
“The best, Jerry. The best!” and “Top starters that I’m wary of.” – These tiers are from Halladay to Sabathia. There’s very little chance I have anyone in either of these tiers. If I do have one, I wouldn’t take another pitcher until the Haren tier of the top 40 starters. Then I’d grab one guy from the tier of Marcum/Daniel Hudson and one guy from the flyer tier of Chacin. Finally, I’d finish my staff off with — that just sounded like a phone sex operator — an out there flyer from the top 80 starter post (a pitcher in the top 80 post that I like, preferably), then I’d grab Minor or Zimmermann. So F-Her, Scherzer, Marcum, Chacin, Vazquez and Zimmermann. That staff will probably have 13′s in every pitching category in a 12 team league. Please, blog, may I have some more?
Member that first game J.P. Arencibia had in the big leagues? He went 4-for-5 with 2 homers. It was like the second coming of Johnny Bench. Then he was Johnny Benched for multiple games because the Kays were trying to help Buck inflate his free agent value — or he had nudie pics of Gaston — and Arencibia went 1-for-30 the rest of the season. With Buck taking his hustle somewhere else for 2011, it should be Arencibia’s job to lose. Or loose, if lose and loose confuse you. If Arencibia could hit for more average, he could challenge Wieters, Posey and Carlos Santana for value. My thought is, he won’t. So what can we expect for J.P. Please, blog, may I have some more?
Since back in June when you abandoned your fantasy baseball team because it was totally sucking and you returned to your cubbyhole of Doritos and Freezer Pops, you’ve longed for this day. As Bob Marley sang, this is your redemption song, mon. Or womon. It’s time again to join some fantasy baseball leagues. Before you close all of your extraneous porn windows and rush to sign up, let’s explain how these fantasy baseball leagues are going to work. We’re going to have a bunch of leagues and crown a winner from each, then we’re going to crown ONE winner from all of the winners. We will be be crowning the winner by taking each team’s points and multiplying it against a ‘league competitiveness factor.’ If you want to see how it worked last year, go here. Please, blog, may I have some more?
We at Razzball realize that exporting our views across the country has damaging consequences on the blogosphere. To help make amends, we are reaching out to leading team blogs and featuring their locally blogged answers to pressing 2011 fantasy baseball questions regarding their team. Please, blog, may I have some more?
I really wanted to avoid writing this post. I figured calling Rickie Weeks overrated was too easy. Like your Moms. Snap! Oh, no Grey didn’t! I did. But then I started thinking about my 25-for-26 record being right calling guys overrated. Then I started to think if I don’t do some of these broadside of the barn ones, my record might look worse than it is at the end of the year. Yes, I’m basically saying that if it’s the last day of the season and I’m batting .3995, I’m sitting out the game. Hey, Ty Cobb did it! (Or at least he did it as portrayed by Tommy Lee Jones.) So why is Rickie Weeks overrated for 2011 fantasy baseball? Please, blog, may I have some more?
Okay, so it’s not the best 2011 fantasy baseball team, but, man, that title sings, right? This is the best 2011 fantasy baseball team that I can put together when drafting from my top 100 for 2011 fantasy baseball and top 300 for 2011 fantasy baseball. If I choose Miggy Cabrera at number one, I can’t take another player until the 24th pick, then two players, then 24 picks, then 2 players and so on until the end of the top 100. Just like a snake draft. It would be nice if I was in a league where someone drafted Halladay in the first round and I was able to take Longoria and Howard, but since they’re both in the first 12, according to the rules I’ve set up for myself, I can’t take them both. Then, as we all know, once you get into the 100s, there’s wide gaps between ADP and where players are actually taken. People tend to look at team need over value. So for this exercise, once I get to pick #101, I’m going to pick two players every twenty picks, rather than every 24 picks. That’s to account for the wide margin between ADP and where players are drafted. Finally, because there is so much latitude amongst the last 100, I gave myself free reign to fill up my team. Throughout the draft, I also gave myself the ability to reach to a lower draft pick, but not reach forward. It should still be my ideal team… Or not. Let’s see, shall we? Bee tee dubya, this team is 5×5, one catcher, 5 OFs, MI, CI, 1 UT, 9 P, 3 Bench. Anyway, here’s the best 2011 fantasy baseball team:
C: Mike Napoli (10)
1B: Miggy Cabrera (1)
2B: Danny Espinosa (16)
3B: Adrian Beltre (4)
SS: Jose Reyes (3)
MI: Eric Young Jr. Please, blog, may I have some more?
This was author and innovator Lou Poulas’ introduction last year, “While Grey and Rudy do a great job of breaking down everything you need to know for 2011 fantasy baseball, drafts still trip me up. I’ve been lamenting my inadequacies from the past 3+ years which resulted in an inordinate amount of time number crunching in Excel. My quest – a draft day “war room” that allowed me to keep my finger on the pulse of the league while minimizing my effort. I don’t know about you, but I prefer to keep track of more things as opposed to fewer.”
Presenting the free 2011 Fantasy Baseball War Room. Please, blog, may I have some more?
With the Razzball Commenter Leagues sign ups starting on Monday, we decided to take a look at what last year’s RCLs showed us. I.e., this is what it took to win these fantasy baseball leagues last year. Across twenty-one 12 team leagues, you would think you’d have some wide variations, but it’s amazingly close what you need in each category to do average vs. Please, blog, may I have some more?
Atlanta Braves 2010 Minor League Review
Overall farm rankings via Baseball America (2010)
2010 (13) | 2009 (6) | 2008 (8) | 2007 (16) | 2006 (7) | 2005 (5) | 2004 (4)
Record of Major and Minor League Teams
MLB: [91 - 71] NL East
AAA: [72 - 71] International League – Gwinnett
AA: [63 - 74] Southern League – Mississippi
A+: [58 - 82] Carolina League – Myrtle Beach
A: [59 - 80] South Atlantic League – Rome
R: [34 - 34] Appalachian League – Danville
R: [27 -31] Gulf Coast League
The Run Down Please, blog, may I have some more?
The Braves graduated only one player this past year, I think you’ve heard of him – Jason Heyward.