Ayo whaddup, it’s ya boy Grey Albright aka the Fantasy Master Lothario aka White Chocolate aka The Ladder You Use To Reach New Heights aka The God Particle aka Trump’s Supreme Court Nominee Judge Reinhold aka Paid Overtime aka Close Parking Spot When You’re In A Rush aka Al Swearengen’s Swearing Dictionary aka Teacher, We Don’t Need No Education aka The Weird Guy That Latches Onto The Main Character In Oscar Films I Think His Name Is Paul Dano aka The Butcher, The Baker and The Candlestick Maker aka The Stinging On Your Pinkie Toe When You Clip Too Close aka Paul Anka aka Forget How To Spell My Name And Just Get Me My Coffee!  I just spent thirty minutes looking up Mindy Cohn and whether or not she’s a lesbian.  Ah, the offseason.  You are a soothing mistress that touches my naughty bits with idle hands.  She’s apparently not a lesbian, but a confirmed friend of the gays, and she wanted to lose weight in the 80’s, but the producers asked her to avoid it for the character of Natalie.  They finally agreed to let her wear baggy clothes.  No comment, except the “no comment” comment has the weight of a thousand eye rolls.  A quick preamble about the 2017 fantasy baseball rookie series that is coming from me over the next few weeks.  Rookies could get a post if they meet MLB eligibility requirements, less than 130 ABs or 50 IP.  That means no Greg Bird, no Orlando Arcia, no Alex Bregman, and finally no Joey Gallo.  In 2012, the first player I highlighted was Mike Trout.  That wasn’t an accident.  I said in the Mike Trout post, “He’s ranked number one for me. Numero uno. The Big Mahoff.  He’s the big Statue of Liberty in New York, not that girly one in Paris!”  Since then, I’ve attempted to make the first rookie post about a prospect that will be the top rookie for fantasy the following year.  Last year, that honor went to Corey Seager.  Yes, it’s an honor, don’t be so condescending.  This year the top fantasy prospect isn’t no ordinary man, this is the prospect I be seeing in my sleep.  Yoan Moncada will be your number one 2017 fantasy baseball rookie.  Will Moncada be named to the All-Century Team in 85 years or edged out by a robot with grabby hands named the Hitter-Tron that my great-great-nephew will sue due to trademark infringement only to find out it’s the same Hitter-Tron that once graced this little fantasy baseball blog called Razzball?  Can Moncada be a top five 3rd basemen in 2017?  So many questions and so little time to look up Mindy Cohn info!  Anyway, what can we expect of Yoan Moncada for 2017 fantasy baseball?

In his first 123 major league at-bats, he hit .220.  He didn’t hit .220, he hit the snooze button and went back to sleep!  Wait, he really didn’t hit .220.  That’s not Moncada, that’s Trout.  In Mike Trout’s first 123 at-bats he hit .220.  Okay, I’m not saying Moncada is Trout and vice versa.  By the by, someone Googling Judge Reinhold and Vice Versa just joined us.  Show them some hospitality!  Mentioning Trout’s first 123 at-bats were meant to act as a cushion against the stunods that were about to drop some, “Moncada wasn’t good in his first taste of the majors this year.”  Dip a soft pretzel in some warm water and sprinkle salt on it to form the word ‘logic’ because yours is twisted.  I’ll admit to be far more wary — farawary? — of Moncada after he looked like his bat should on a milk carton after two weeks in the majors.  The farawary seeds of doubt have been planted?  Sure, but like a self-help guru would tell you, I think we need to ignore those little evil doubters whispering their negativity in your ear.  We learned nothing from Moncada’s 19 major league at-bats and learned more from his minor league games.  He is an explosive power/speed guy, hashtag beastmode, who looks like a perennial All-Star in the making.  Moncada looks about as can’t miss as Spin Doctors’ Little Miss Can’t Be Wrong even if his career looks like the Spin Doctors’ in reverse with the valley coming early.  A guy that can hit 20+ HRs and steal 30+ bases should get your under-nethers tingly.  This past year in the minors he had 16 HRs and 45 SBs as a barely only 21-year-old.  That’s really the only problem I see from him.  He’s young.  If he’s really 21 and not a Latin 21 and really 25, then he might not break out until next season.  I have no use for that in redrafts, and that’s what this is all about, but if I were to put on my keeper hat for a brief moment, yeah, Moncada’s the bomb dot gov.  My other issue is his contact tendencies in the minors.  He had a 30.9% strikeout percentage in Double-A.  In the majors, that would be a 99.9% rate and he’d hit .001 (math might be off there), but he is young so he can get better with pitch recognition.  Do I have as much confidence with Moncada as I did with Seager last year?  I don’t, but, for this year, I’m going to be optimistic and say he gets the 3B job out of spring training and give him the stats of 77/12/79/.247/27 in 504 ABs with big upside from there.  Think as high as .300+ with another ten homers and steals.  Yeah, I’m spoonering Moan big time.

 
  1. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Morning GA!

    I have my doubts about Moncada. I think we could see another Cuban bust here..Just not sure he is gonna hit MLB pitching..Only time will tell..

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Malicious Phenoms: Maybe, but I don’t see it yet… Looks pretty can’t miss… Except the breaking stuff that he does miss, but he can learn

  2. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Morning Grey!

    As a Moncada keeper owner, very pumped for next season! How would you compare / contrast Moncada with Buxton? Both have similar power/speed profiles and a bit of a K issue, but everyone seems more jazzed about Moncada’s overall profile, even back when Buxton didn’t have so many MLB ABs… Does it have to do with Yoan’s batting eye/patience?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Well, Buxton obviously has an extra season under his belt, which is a big plus as we saw from him towards the end of the year… Buxton has less power and more speed, Buxton profiles more of a top of the order bat, Moncada is like middle of order

  3. Big Odio says:
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    I know part of sagnof is why we have no closer ranks but we shoukd totally have closer ranks. One to re-demonstrate sagnof and two how to find value on draft day

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Big Odio: There are closer ranks

      • Big Odio says:
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        @Grey: did you do a review and I missed it?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Oh, you mean a recap? Nah, I never do… Smokey does sometimes, I think

          • Big Odio says:
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            @Grey: yeah but I want someone funny and good to do it

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha

            • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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              @Big Odio: Ouch

  4. Dave says:
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    I thought Buxton was a sure thing too. That said, I trust Grey more than most.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      He still can be, Buxton not Grey

  5. Ralph Lifshitz

    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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    I think a few things need to be mentioned in regards to the Buxton comp.

    1. He’s a switch-hitter
    2. He has a far more advanced approach and hit tool than Buxton had at his age, and you could say his hit tool is more refined than Buxton’s now.
    3. Moncada had more homers in just over 200 AA plate appearances than Buxton had over 2 years and more than double the PA’s above A ball.
    4. Moncada had more steals last year than Buxton had in anyone season during his time in the minors.

    Could he still bust? Sure, but the floor is much higher, as is the ceiling. This is the best fantasy prospect since Trout/Harper.

    • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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      @Ralph Lifshitz: Thanks, Ralph! Hearing this from the prospect guru makes me so happy to have him as a $0 forever keeper (inflating only $3 / yr).

      Based on this, it sounds like I basically should not trade him for anything this offseason . . . unless we’re talking about a $6 Correa, $15 Goldy type get, right?

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Yes, within reason. Certainly either of those two but I could see anyone in the first 30 or so dynasty keepers being a viable return. Robinson Cano with 40 steal speed is the comp. That’s a potential top overall player if he reaches that weighty comp.

        His batted ball profile is great too. His spray chart in terms of homers is an even distribution to all fields. His LD% is over 25%, and his popup % is around 2%.

        His BB profile, actually looks a lot like Mike Trout’s with less pull side power.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks, Rapper!

  6. Dr. Kenneth Noisewater says:
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    Don’t you mean YAWN Moncada, I mean, amiright? Yeah I got nothing. You know you just moved him to a 3rd round pick in RCL’s next year.

    You watching Westworld yet? I didn’t watch last night’s but I’m digging it so far.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      HA, oops, I might’ve… Not joking, if Moncada is announced super early as a starter out of spring, and he hits well in March, he could get to the 4th or 5th rounds of some late spring drafts

      Nah, haven’t watched it yet, steeped in Justified, but I do want to watch Westworld, the problem is I have to wait for Cougs which means watching something one episode a week… You’d think she had a job how little TV she watches

      • Dr. Kenneth Noisewater says:
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        @Grey: Oh yeah, forgot you’re in the middle of a Justified binge. We got nowhere on Veep and I’m annoyed by it.

        I’m sure you don’t watch, but I now love Bob’s Burgers. And it’s hilarious that both Bob and Archer are H. Jon Benjamin and he does nothing to change his voice.

  7. WCP says:
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    Benintendi or Moncada in 2017 and who will be drafted higher in 2018?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Gotta go Moncada

      • WCP says:
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        @Grey:
        I guess that should have been obvious given your article but I’m not sure I agree with you for 2017.

        Benintendi has an easier road to playing time and a better approach at the plate so I think he has the advantage in R, RBI and AVG while being close in HR. I’ll take the potential 5 category guy in the OF over the 2B/3B who’s downside is a SAGNOF.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          It’s not fun to say, but it’s hard to say what any prospects are going to do by a certain date… I will say Benintendi is a higher floor guy, safer… Yoan is higher ceiling, less safe

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @WCP: I’m going Beni, but he’s also like one of my children. I love him, and only want the best for him. I’d happily own him in 2017, and my belief is Moncada will have to come up around June and go straight 2015 Correa to pass Benintendi for 2018 drafts.

          In OBP, Beni is a monster.

          • Malicious Phenoms says:
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            @Ralph Lifshitz:
            Beni Lifshitz

            • Ralph Lifshitz

              Ralph Lifshitz says:
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              @Malicious Phenoms: I’d feed him the finest Chic-Fil-a and brush his beautiful hair each night.

              • Malicious Phenoms says:
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                @Ralph Lifshitz:
                Is there such a thing as “finest Chic Fil-a?”

                • Ralph Lifshitz

                  Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                  @Malicious Phenoms: I don’t know but he goes to the one next to my house all the time. I’m not stalking him, I saw it on twitter….I SWEAR!!!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  They’re relatively the same, no?

                  • Ralph Lifshitz

                    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                    @Grey: nods head

  8. Martin says:
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    Grey- Keeper league. Looking towards the future, so I value potential stars over everything. Out of the following 11 which 7 should I keep? There is some strategy involved as the ones I don’t keep will be put back into the general pool for our 12 team draft next spring. I may want to not keep players I think others won’t draft early. I’m leaning towards Kepler, Cain, Gallo, Eloy, O’neil, Tapia, and Reed.

    Ryon Healey
    Kepler
    Kiermaier
    Gallo
    A.J Reed
    Eloy Jimenez
    Raimel Tapia
    Tyler O’neil
    Joe Musgrove
    Brantley
    Lorenzo Cain

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Kiermaier, Healy over Reed and Gallo, prolly, but things could change in the offseason

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Grey: No love for Brantley?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I considered him too, and maybe, but he needs to prove his health in March before I’d say for sure

          • Ralph Lifshitz

            Ralph Lifshitz says:
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            @Grey: I’m not sure if he’s one to buy or avoid. I got burnt y him pretty bad in a lot of leagues this year, and shoulder injuries make me weary.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Me too, but I think I’m buying at the right price…

              • Ralph Lifshitz

                Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                @Grey: Yeah the 5th or 6th round of the perts league draft last year was not the right price. LOL! (So many mistakes I made)

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Not bad for the first year, you were definitely competitive

                  • Ralph Lifshitz

                    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                    @Grey: I think it’s my mix of Catholic and Jewish blood. I shame and belittle myself until I make things right.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Don’t tell me you’re a pizza bagel like me

                  • Big Odio says:
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                    @Grey: he also had good coaching

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      True

                    • Martin says:
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                      @Ralph Lifshitz: @Big Odio: As for Healy and Kiermaier, do you think they would last longer in a dynasty league draft than Gallo and Reed because they aren’t such big names?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Shine has worn off them big time

                    • Big Odio says:
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                      It almost backfired. I coached him up about strategy in the off season and how to draft. He did it well until he turned back into a pumpkin. Im sure with Trussy in there next year you guys will have another tough competitor

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yeah, you helped him…

                    • Big Odio says:
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                      Had I known he was going to be in perts I would of told him to fuck off. He was a last minute add to the league

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I don’t remember, was he?

                    • Big Odio says:
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                      I do remember because we needed bodies and if you invite Smokey then you have to invite his “partner”

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      That doesn’t ring any kind of bell, but it doesn’t sound crazy though either

                    • Ralph Lifshitz

                      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                      @Big Odio:@Grey: No I’m a chourico bagel with some corned beef and cabbage and bangers and mash for good measure.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      That sounds delicious!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Martin: I think those two go before Gallo, Healy 100% should. As for Reed, probably not, he doesn’t worry me like Gallo. Gallo needs a trade but my feeling is he’s Chris Carter. I don’t think we’re looking at the fantasy superstar many want to see.

      I could see keeping Reed, he’s tough to give up on. Particularly with Kiermaier being hot or cold. If you’re looking for superstar’s you go Reed over K2.

      • Martin says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Thanks! Would you also choose not to keep Colome and use the spot for one of the players above?

  9. JoeG414 says:
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    If anyone cares:
    Bryce Harper monthly OPS
    2015 2016

    .985 1.121
    1.379 .785
    1.143 .801
    1.015 .621
    .909 .934
    1.216. .648

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I noticed one interesting things while doing research on Aaron Judge, Harper hit when one of the longest homers of the year when his shoulder was supposedly messed up

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Grey: You think the Harper injury was just an excuse? Or was the homer just an outlier?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I don’t know, but it’s interesting to me he homered super far during the shoulder problem… I haven’t researched it but he might’ve had the day off before and was rested or maybe he got a cortisone shot the day before

          • Ralph Lifshitz

            Ralph Lifshitz says:
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            @Grey: Maybe it was a B-12 shot from Miguel Tejeda like Raffy Palmeiro?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I think he’s young enough to bounce back from a sore shoulder

              • Ralph Lifshitz

                Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                @Grey: I would hope so, and anything from your hands to your shoulder is going to sap power.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Totally

  10. Doc says:
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    Looking at Keepers (12 team) for next year, I can choose five, my short list is
    Todd Frazier , Corey Seager , Rougned Odor , Yoan Moncada, Addison Russell,

    Could also keep Justin Turner, MadBum, Lewis Brinson, Brendan Rodgers, Drury, Healy, Peraza
    Obviously a lot can change with off-season, but is it time to consider parting ways with Todd Frazier?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I could see Bum over Frazier

    • Big Odio says:
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      @Doc: do you have NA/minors slots?

      • Doc says:
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        @Big Odio: No, just 5 keepers

  11. Nick says:
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    Hey Grey,

    Is it worth keeping Moncada in a 12 team league? He would cost me a 15th round pick.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Depends who else you could keep, take follow ups to my newest post

  12. Wild Thing says:
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    As a lifelong sox fan, I’m officially worried about Moncada for next season. He’s not going to win the starting 3B gig if he can’t field and he has no place to play in the OF. I’m less worried about him figuring things out at the plate, but he looked scary lost in the field during his cup of coffee. And then made a bunch of errors at 3B in the Arizona fall league. Also I don’t love that he’s hurt again. Clearly he’s a special talent, I just worry we are looking at a 2018 rise to relevance instead of next season.

    • Wild Thing says:
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      @Wild Thing: all that said I really hope he figures it out and becomes a perienial all star!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, there’s some risk with Moncada but his bat is so special

Comments are closed.