No Doubt

Name Team Opp. 1 Opp. 2
Justin Verlander HOU @CLE SEA
Shane Bieber CLE HOU LAA
Patrick Corbin WSH ATL @ARI

The Biebs has been getting plenty of attention since throwing his complete game shutout that was almost a perfecto. Let’s take a look at the ridiculous stuff that Patrick Corbin has been doing though.

He had a bit of a rough patch at the end of May/start of June, but has pulled it together since then, and has only allowed more than one ER in 2 out of his previous 7 starts, and only gave up 2 ERs and 3 ERs in each. He’s gone at least 6 innings and all but one of those starts to the tun of a 1.60 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 6.3% BB rate, and a b-e-a-utiful 32.8% K rate.

It’s not some crazy lucky streak either as we’re looking at a .317 BABIP, 2.00 FIP, and only 3 of the starts against below average offenses.

Here’s how the rest of the tiers look…

 

Pretty…Pretty Good

Name Team Opp. 1 Opp. 2
Noah Syndergaard NYM @CHW @PIT
Jake Odorizzi MIN @MIA KC
Caleb Smith MIA ARI @TB
Sonny Gray CIN PIT @ATL

Noah Syndergaard has been a little less like the god of thunder, and more like sparkles this season, but it’s not end of the world in a snap of fingers bad.

Thor got off to a rough start with a 4.93 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in his first 11 starts of the season. The K rate was down slightly to 25% and there were serious reasons for concern.

While the next 9 starts haven’t been old school Thor, he’s at least been Tropicalia drinking beer belly Thor, who can still kick some a** in his own right. 3.61 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, but the K rate fell even more to 22.3%. Despite the K rate issues, he has upped his swinging strike rate from 11.3% to 13.9% during his last 9 starts, which is more in line with his career norms.

 

Serviceable

Name Team Opp. 1 Opp. 2
Marcus Stroman TOR @KC @BAL
David Price BOS TB @NYY
Kenta Maeda LAD @COL SD
Julio Teheran ATL @WSH CIN
Dallas Keuchel ATL @WSH CIN

Julio Teheran has been a bit of an enigma his entire career, but he’s put it together this season outside of a few bumpy starts, which every pitcher has faced this season.

Over his last 5 starts, Don Julio has gone down smooth like it’s the beginning of the night with a 1.67 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and just under a 24% K rate. The underlying numbers say he’s been getting a little lucky, but they always do with Teheran. I don’t love starts at Washington and home for the Reds, but pretty much have to ride this out.

 

Place Your Bets

Name Team Opp. 1 Opp. 2
Yu Darvish CHC @STL MIL
Ross Stripling LAD @COL SD
Tanner Roark CIN PIT @ATL
Reynaldo Lopez CHW NYM @PHI
Kenta Maeda LAD @COL SD

In 61 innings (12 games) as a starter this season, Ross Stripling has performed about as well as you can hope for out of someone who is back and forth from bullpen to rotation. As a starter, Ross has a 3.54 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and a 24.2% K rate with only 5.2% BB rate. He deserves to go higher than this on the list, but hard to recommend starting anyone in Colorado.

 

Brown Paper Bag

Name Team Opp. 1 Opp. 2
Jon Gray COL LAD SF
Merrill Kelly ARI @MIA WSH
John Means BAL @SD TOR
Brad Keller KC TOR @MIN
J.A. Happ NYY ARI BOS
Jaime Barria LAA DET @CLE

John Means officially moved from the pen to the rotation back in April. While the Ks are not impressive, in his 15 starts since earning his spot, he has a 3.39 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP.

With blowups in 2 of his last 3, there’s definitely some added risk that regression is sneaking up on him, but at least he’s heading to sunny Miami for his first start.

 

I Immediately Regret This Decision

Name Team Opp. 1 Opp. 2
Drew Smyly PHI SF CHW
Tyler Beede SF @PHI @COL
Jordan Zimmermann DET @LAA @TEX
Jordan Lyles PIT @CIN NYM

Free Streamonator Pick of the Week: Maybe the Streamonator isn’t feeling well because it spit up Drew Smyly as your pick for the week.

Best of luck! Eat some chicken and noodle soup, drink a sprite, and keep hydrating to take care of the pain in your gut that’s fighting you to start Smyly.

 

Notes

  • Padres still doing their 6 man rotation until further notice. Does seem like they’re becoming more comfortable moving some of these young arms to the bullpen, so, maybe we see more 2 start options from them as we wrap up the season.
  • There are 2 starters that are still to be announced. The Tuesday starters for the Brewers and the Blue Jays.

 

Probable 2 Start Days and Opponents

Team 2 Start Days Opp. 1 Opp. 2 Opp. 3
AL EAST
BAL Monday @SD TOR
BOS Tuesday TB @NYY
NYY Tuesday (doubleheader) ARZ BOS
TB X @BOS MIA
TOR Monday, Tuesday @KC @BAL
AL CENTRAL
CWS Tuesday NYM @PHI
CLE Tuesday HOU LAA
DET Monday @LAA @TEX
KC Monday TOR @MIN
MIN Tuesday @MIA KC
AL WEST
HOU Tuesday @CLE SEA
LAA Monday DET @CLE
OAK X MIL STL
SEA X @TEX @HOU
TEX X SEA DET
NL EAST
ATL Monday, Tuesday @WSH CIN
MIA Monday ARZ MIN @TB
NYM Tuesday @CWS @PIT
PHI Tuesday SF CWS
WSH Monday ATL @ARZ
NL CENTRAL
CHC Tuesday @STL MIL
CIN Monday, Tuesday PIT @ATL
MIL Tuesday @OAK @CHC
PIT Monday @CIN NYM
STL X CHC @OAK
NL WEST
ARZ Monday @NYY WSH
COL Monday LAD SF
LAD Monday, Tuesday @COL SD
SD X BAL @LAD
SF Tuesday @PHI @COL
  1. Chucky says:
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    Vince Velazquez looks like a 2 start, both home games, v SF and ChW. Where does he slot in? If nothing else, I like those 2 matchups.

    • B_Don

      B_Don says:
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      I only see VV as a one start guy for next week vs SF. SF has been hitting well, but I still think he’s a positive starter for this upcoming week.

  2. Robert says:
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    Matz or Odorizzi ROS?

    • B_Don

      B_Don says:
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      I think I’d lean Matz, but not necessarily trying to drop Odorizzi either even after getting blown up a couple times.

  3. Stantonovation says:
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    You’ve got Maeda listed twice

    • B_Don

      B_Don says:
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      Place your bets is where he should be. Not sure why he’s in the grouping above.

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