All right All right, I made the executive decision today to forgo the usual Top 25 Rankings really because not much has changed so far this spring and as drafts are winding down, I’ve noticed some players that should be going higher in my humble opinion. You are going to need to grab them sooner than later as spring training winds down and I want you guys to be on the cusp of recent trends and news. I used current ADP from March 14-March 29 in a 12 team NFBC format.

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First up I present you a 3B whose current ADP is around 153 and plays on a powerhouse NL team and is batting in the heart of the lineup and that is none other than Justin Turner of the LA Dodgers. Now please tell me you didn’t take KeBryan Hayes 1-2 rounds before him when you were presented with that decision. I can’t for the life of me figure out how Hayes is going to outproduce J.T. I realize there is a slight injury discount people are getting with Turner and he is older but Hayes who is being drafted at around pick 134 hasn’t been hitting at some insane clip either. Hayes is a nice young player who might have an extra level to reach still but Turner has put the hamstring issue behind him and he is healthy and ready to produce. Hayes is also dealing with his own bumps and bruises so why are you taking him ahead of a proven hitter on a great hitting team and lineup. Turner is fun to own and watch as well and shouldn’t have a problem hitting Mid .280 AVG  25-28 HR 80-85 RBI’s with a .870’s OPS. That’s damn good from where you are drafting him around the 13th rd and don’t be afraid if there is a run on 3B around the 11th to grab him sooner. You won’t be disappointed.

Next up is Josh Donaldson NY Yankees and Matt Chapman Toronto Blue Jays who are going around 179 and 166 respectively. Another couple of veteran players in Donaldson and Chapman who are being highly discounted because of age/injury concerns in Donaldson’s case and decreased BA in Chapman’s. The market hasn’t come around yet it seems to the fact that Donaldson is in a nice hitting environment in Yankee Stadium with a great lineup around him and he doesn’t have to be the focus. He will see plenty of great pitches hitting behind Stanton in the 5th spot and I can see him having a line at the end of the season something like .250 Avg 27-29 HR 75 RBI with an .800 OPS. I think Donaldson’s BABIP numbers were low in 2020 (.231) and last season (.268) and he is poised to beat both of those this season in his new environment. He should be going ahead of Yoan Moncada (ADP 156) and Ryan McMahon (156). Matt Chapman as well is in a great hitting environment in Toronto on a great team that will be contending for a World Series this season and doesn’t have to shoulder the load on a team that is rife with quality hitters. Chapman’s value is a bit depressed because of his declining batting average the last three seasons but it’s not like he isn’t capable of a high average.  Does anyone remember 2018 when he hit .278 and scored 100 runs? It can be done and will be done as they say! At least do yourself a favor and take him over Moncada and McMahon will ya?

Farther down the list we go and we find a riser in the rankings in Jonathan Villar. Villar is currently sitting at ADP 239 and my pick 368 in a 12 teamer earlier this year is looking pretty solid. If you had faith early on he was going to get a job somewhere you were picking him around 300 and that looks pretty profitable at this point. Villar is currently listed as a super utility player for the Cubs but with strikeout prone Patrick Wisdom at 3B unproven Rafael Ortega at DH and I don’t know how Jason Heyward still has a ML job in RF, you are going to see Villar plenty and have a regular starting job somewhere in the field by June. He provides a source of SB think 20-23 SB’s has some pop 15-18 HR and pitches in on runs (65-70) rbi’s (45-50). Not too bad for where you are getting him around the 20th rd as not many 20 SB guys you can still find. Get him a round or two ahead to ensure you get him so you are not stuck with a Eduardo Escobar or Eugenio Suarez both of which are going ahead of Villar which I don’t get.

That’s going to be it for today. Next week I’ll be looking at some 1B you should be looking at higher than their ADP. Have a great week Razzballers almost to the finish line.

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2 months ago

Degrom/ Moncada Vs Gausman/Haniger + 2022 3rd and 2023 2nd in our yearly 3 round milb draft. Dynasty league obp, keep forever.