Back in September, I sequestered myself into a sound-proof booth to create a top 100 fantasy baseball prospect list free from the mad cries of the echo chamber. Shortly thereafter I went to work breaking down the top prospects for each MLB team. A week after coming up for air following my 30-team deep dive into the minor leagues, I’m excited to share my updated 200 in an easily searchable and sort-able table!
*Note: I’ve written about each of these guys if you’d like more and are curious enough to follow the threads to September’s Top 150 for 2020 Fantasy Baseball or my organizational top ten lists or just try clicking the players names to view their recent posts.
Download Table as CSV | |||
Note: Filters and sorting in the table below apply to the output |
# | Name | Position | Team | ETA |
---|---|---|---|---|
Wander Franco | SS | TB | 2021 | |
Luis Robert | OF | CHW | 2020 | |
Jo Adell | OF | LAA | 2020 | |
Gavin Lux | 2B | LAD | 2019 | |
CJ Abrams | SS | SD | 2023 | |
Julio Rodriguez | OF | SEA | 2021 | |
Marco Luciano | SS | SF | 2022 | |
Jasson Dominguez | OF | NYY | 2024 | |
MacKenzie Gore | LHP | SD | 2020 | |
Vidal Brujan | 2B | TB | 2021 | |
Dylan Carlson | OF | STL | 2020 | |
Jarred Kelenic | OF | SEA | 2021 | |
Andrew Vaughn | 1B | CHW | 2021 | |
Kristian Robinson | OF | ARI | 2022 | |
Jesus Luzardo | LHP | OAK | 2019 | |
Oneil Cruz | SS | PIT | 2021 | |
Royce Lewis | SS | MIN | 2021 | |
Corbin Carroll | OF | ARI | 2022 | |
Adley Rutschman | C | BAL | 2022 | |
Brennen Davis | OF | CHC | 2022 | |
Bobby Witt Jr. | SS | KC | 2023 | |
Evan White | 1B | SEA | 2020 | |
Alex Kirilloff | 1B | MIN | 2020 | |
Alec Bohm | 3B | PHI | 2020 | |
Nate Pearson | RHP | TOR | 2020 | |
Spencer Howard | RHP | PHI | 2020 | |
Brendan McKay | LHP | TB | 2019 | |
Carter Kieboom | 3B | WSH | 2019 | |
Forrest Whitley | RHP | HOU | 2020 | |
Tarik Skubal | LHP | DET | 2020 | |
A.J. Puk | LHP | OAK | 2019 | |
Dustin May | RHP | LAD | 2019 | |
Casey Mize | RHP | DET | 2020 | |
Matt Manning | RHP | DET | 2020 | |
Nick Madrigal | 2B | CHW | 2020 | |
Luis Patiño | RHP | SD | 2020 | |
Brailyn Marquez | LHP | CHC | 2021 | |
Nick Solak | U | TEX | 2019 | |
Luis Matos | OF | SF | 2022 | |
Noelvi Marte | SS | SEA | 2022 | |
Xavier Edwards | SS | TB | 2022 | |
Trevor Larnach | OF | MIN | 2021 | |
Sean Murphy | C | OAK | 2019 | |
Aaron Bracho | 2B | CLE | 2022 | |
Jazz Chisholm | SS | MIA | 2020 | |
Jeter Downs | SS | BOS | 2021 | |
Michael Kopech | RHP | CHW | 2018 | |
Joey Bart | C | SF | 2021 | |
Sam Hilliard | OF | COL | 2019 | |
George Valera | OF | CLE | 2022 | |
Drew Waters | OF | ATL | 2020 | |
Cristian Pache | OF | ATL | 2020 | |
Jose Urquidy | RHP | HOU | 2019 | |
Robert Puason | SS | OAK | 2024 | |
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo | OF | TB | 2020 | |
Heriberto Hernandez | C | TEX | 2022 | |
Kyle Lewis | OF | SEA | 2019 | |
Nico Hoerner | SS | CHC | 2019 | |
George Kirby | RHP | SEA | 2021 | |
Monte Harrison | OF | MIA | 2020 | |
Jordan Groshans | 3B | TOR | 2022 | |
Alek Thomas | OF | ARI | 2021 | |
Simeon Woods-Richardson | RHP | TOR | 2021 | |
Gilberto Jimenez | OF | BOS | 2022 | |
Brendan Rodgers | 2B | COL | 2019 | |
Erick Peña | OF | KC | 2024 | |
Austin Hays | OF | BAL | 2018 | |
Kevin Cron | 1B | ARI | 2019 | |
Greg Jones | SS | TB | 2023 | |
Riley Greene | OF | DET | 2024 | |
Nolan Gorman | 3B | STL | 2022 | |
Edward Cabrera | RHP | MIA | 2020 | |
Josiah Gray | RHP | LAD | 2020 | |
Heliot Ramos | OF | SF | 2022 | |
Sixto Sanchez | RHP | MIA | 2020 | |
JJ Bleday | OF | MIA | 2022 | |
Randy Arozarena | OF | TB | 2019 | |
Hedbert Perez | OF | MIL | 2024 | |
Jose Garcia | SS | CIN | 2021 | |
Triston Casas | 3B | BOS | 2022 | |
Josh Jung | 3B | TEX | 2021 | |
Kody Hoese | 2B | LAD | 2021 | |
Hunter Greene | RHP | CIN | 2023 | |
Nick Lodolo | LHP | CIN | 2021 | |
Luisangel Acuña | SS | TEX | 2023 | |
Maximo Acosta | SS | TEX | 2024 | |
Jaylin Davis | OF | SF | 2019 | |
Jorge Mateo | SS | OAK | 2020 | |
Ronny Mauricio | SS | NYM | 2023 | |
Michael Busch | 3B | LAD | 2021 | |
Orelvis Martinez | 3B | TOR | 2023 | |
Misael Urbina | OF | MIN | 2023 | |
Grayson Rodriguez | RHP | BAL | 2022 | |
Ian Anderson | RHP | ATL | 2020 | |
Ryan Mountcastle | 1B | BAL | 2020 | |
Joey Cantillo | LHP | SD | 2021 | |
Alexfri Planez | OF | CLE | 2023 | |
Joe Ryan | RHP | TB | 2020 | |
Bryce Ball | 1B | ATL | 2022 | |
Keithron Moss | SS | TEX | 2023 | |
Logan Gilbert | RHP | SEA | 2021 | |
Jordyn Aadams | OF | LAA | 2022 | |
Lewin Diaz | 1B | MIA | 2021 | |
Brent Honeywell | RHP | TB | 2020 | |
Mitch Keller | RHP | PIT | 2019 | |
Geraldo Perdomo | SS | ARI | 2022 | |
Francisco Alvarez | C | NYM | 2024 | |
Tyler Freeman | 2B | CLE | 2021 | |
Daniel Lynch | LHP | KC | 2020 | |
Shogo Akiyama | OF | CIN | 2020 | |
Hudson Head | OF | SD | 2023 | |
Connor Wong | C | BOS | 2020 | |
James Karinchak | RHP | CLE | 2019 | |
Brusdar Graterol | RHP | LAD | 2019 | |
Bobby Dalbec | 3B | BOS | 2020 | |
Taylor Trammell | OF | SD | 2021 | |
Daniel Johnson | OF | CLE | 2020 | |
Daulton Varsho | C | ARI | 2020 | |
Andres Munoz | RHP | SD | 2019 | |
Brandon Marsh | OF | LAA | 2020 | |
Nolan Jones | 3B | CLE | 2021 | |
Luis Frias | RHP | ARI | 2022 | |
Jake Fraley | OF | SEA | 2020 | |
Deivi Garcia | RHP | NYY | 2020 | |
Kyle Wright | RHP | ATL | 2019 | |
Josh Lowe | OF | TB | 2021 | |
Ji-Hwan Bae | SS | PIT | 2022 | |
Luis Rodriguez | OF | LAD | 2024 | |
Clarke Schmidt | RHP | NYY | 2021 | |
DL Hall | LHP | BAL | 2022 | |
Seth Beer | 1B | ARI | 2021 | |
Liover Peguero | SS | PIT | 2022 | |
Ethan Small | LHP | MIL | 2021 | |
Matthew Liberatore | LHP | STL | 2022 | |
Abraham Toro | 3B | HOU | 2019 | |
Hunter Bishop | OF | SF | 2022 | |
Brett Baty | 3B | NYM | 2022 | |
Jackson Kowar | RHP | KC | 2020 | |
Benyamin Bailey | OF | CHW | 2023 | |
Luis Campusano | C | SD | 2021 | |
Daulton Jefferies | RHP | OAK | 2020 | |
Emmanuel Clase | RHP | CLE | 2019 | |
Blake Walston | LHP | ARI | 2023 | |
Zach McKinstry | 2B | LAD | 2020 | |
Angel Martinez | SS | CLE | 2022 | |
Alex De Jesus | 2B | LAD | 2023 | |
Sherten Apostel | 3B | TEX | 2021 | |
Alexander Mojica | 3B | PIT | 2023 | |
Brady Singer | RHP | KC | 2020 | |
Kameron Misner | OF | MIA | 2022 | |
Alek Manoah | RHP | TOR | 2022 | |
Cory Abbott | RHP | CHC | 2020 | |
Jhoan Duran | RHP | MIN | 2020 | |
Bayron Lora | OF | TEX | 2024 | |
Leody Taveras | OF | TEX | 2021 | |
Keoni Cavaco | SS | MIN | 2024 | |
Jesus Sanchez | OF | MIA | 2020 | |
Yusniel Diaz | OF | LAD | 2020 | |
Jonathan India | 3B | CIN | 2021 | |
Ethan Hankins | RHP | CLE | 2023 | |
Luis Garcia | RHP | HOU | 2021 | |
Miguel Vargas | 3B | LAD | 2022 | |
Brayan Rocchio | SS | CLE | 2022 | |
Luis Medina | RHP | NYY | 2022 | |
Peyton Burdick | OF | MIA | 2021 | |
Shane McClanahan | LHP | TB | 2021 | |
Jackson Rutledge | RHP | WSH | 2022 | |
Jake Cronenworth | SS | SD | 2020 | |
Shun Yamaguchi | RHP | TOR | 2020 | |
Bryan Abreu | RHP | HOU | 2019 | |
Jeremy Pena | SS | HOU | 2021 | |
DJ Peters | OF | LAD | 2020 | |
Edwin Rios | 1B | LAD | 2019 | |
Andy Young | 2B | ARI | 2020 | |
Marcus Smith | OF | OAK | 2023 | |
Will Wilson | 2B | SF | 2022 | |
Andy Pages | OF | LAD | 2023 | |
George Feliz | OF | SEA | 2024 | |
Kevin Ginkel | RHP | ARI | 2019 | |
Jeremiah Jackson | SS | LAA | 2022 | |
Darryl Collins | OF | KC | 2023 | |
Eqequiel Duran | 2B | NYY | 2022 | |
Jose Fermin | SS | CLE | 2022 | |
Mauricio Dubon | 2B | SF | 2019 | |
Tahnaj Thomas | RHP | PIT | 2022 | |
Maikol Escotto | SS | NYY | 2023 | |
Alexander Ramirez | OF | NYM | 2024 | |
Pedro Martinez | SS | CHC | 2023 | |
Reggie Preciado | SS | SD | 2024 | |
Shane Baz | RHP | TB | 2022 | |
Seth Brown | OF | OAK | 2019 | |
Art Warren | RHP | SEA | 2019 | |
Mason Martin | 1B | PIT | 2022 | |
Seth Corry | LHP | SF | 2021 | |
Isaac Paredes | 3B | DET | 2020 | |
Ka’ai Tom | OF | CLE | 2020 | |
Jasiah Dixon | OF | PIT | 2023 | |
Alexander Vargas | SS | NYY | 2023 | |
Michael Baumann | RHP | BAL | 2020 | |
Kyren Paris | SS | LAA | 2023 |
Wondering what your thoughts are on Alexander Canario. Saw him listed as high as top 100 on some lists, including your own at the end of 2019. Any reason in particular he doesn’t make the cut here?
Sorry if this double posts, got a message that it did double post. Refreshed, wasn’t even there once.
I’ve been referencing back to this page a good bit during the final days of the preseason. I appreciate the work! Wondering what your thoughts are on Alexander Canario. I’ve seen him as high as top 100 on some lists, including your list at the end of 2019. Any reason he’s fallen out of the top 200 during the offseason?
13 team roto dynasty with OPS/holds/QS/hits added, OBP over AVG. 30 man active rosters, infinite DL’s, 10 man max prospect lists (and in season 10 NA slots that can be different than the prospect list).
C: grandal, mejia
1B bellinger (CF/RF), goldy
2B altuve, laSTELLA (3B)
SS machado (3B)
3B bregman (SS)
IF bogaerts
LF mercado (all OF), w.calhoun
CF robles (RF)
RF blackman
OF brocktune (polanco RF)
util (1) otani (hitter only)
BN ceager (c.seager)
DL: mccutchen (but he ain’t gone long)
SP (5): (1800 innings max here so you do want a lot of them, and when injuries hit stream too, i’m actually fairly short currently)
ryu, glasnow, fried, luzardo, lynn, maeda
RP (7): osuna, kenley, pressly, rogers, gallegos, colome, m.barnes, bummer (gotta drop one, bummer i’d think)
DL: pineda (suspendeds can go here too), r.hill, rodon
prospect list (some drops needed here): k.cron, pearson, larnach, trammell, x.edwards, o.cruz, brujan, duplantier, r.armentaros, mize, graterol, vientos, l.garcia (WAS), valera, k.lee
so for now i gotta cut at least 5 prospects and 1 RP. i’m thinking the 5 prospects are: l.garcia, k.lee, duplantier (or promote him if he’s in MLB shortly, could NA stash him in season if not), armentaros and i guess trammell or vientos? after dropping bummer and before mccluchin’ comes back i do have 2 open spots on active though. obviously try to trade c.seager i’d think.
forgot about gonsolin, i have him too, can be prospect listed. so i gotta drop 11 out of the list above + gonsolin is on it. for now he could also just fit on active too.
have toussaint too (has to be up). guess la stella is the next dropped to make space (could be mejia or somebody else too).
shit, OUT of the 16 on prospect list 6 will have to be dropped at some point, more when i draft, we slow draft in not too long. already dropped florial off of it.
Hey itch,
I’d love to pick your brain on about the baseball card scene sometime. I don’t even play dynasty, I mainly use your lists for cards to target. I’ve been out of the card game for 25 years or so, but started picking it back up because of my 6-year old. I’ll blame him anyway!
Hi, Worm Burner!
Would love to talk cards w you!
And love hearing you read Prospect stuff mostly fur that. Been there!
Top of my head things to discuss would be fading pitchers hard and focusing on big markets to at least some degree!
Good luck and have fun with it!
Oh and consignment sellers can be your best friend if you find your cards piling up. Can save a lot of legwork.
Curious why you rank Vaughn over Adley? They played in the same conference and Adley’s number were far superior in almost every cateogry in their last year. I know he is a Catcher but his bat is so special I’d be shocked if he doesn’t DH most days when he isn’t catching. Thanks! Enjoy your articles very much…
Thanks, Silent Heat!
Some of it was Vaughn’s consistency as the man to attack in that lineup for three years, some of it was the risk of catcher, some of it was the incredible on base skills across three years, some was landing spot as CHW is looking monstrous in the near future,
but I can definitely see the case for Adley and did have him neck and neck with Vaughn at times. Even though catchers get faded heavily in most my leagues, especially prospect catchers, they’re incredibly valuable if actualized.
Still, their peaks are brief and sporadic, and first base is looking pretty barren in its own right.
I took Bishop and Puason fell to the 2nd who I was delighted to grab there. ROunded out with Daniel Lynch so overall a good yearly job done there. I don’t usually draft far proximity prospects so doubt Puason will ever see my lineup, but it’s knowing when to trade him to get the best value. If he is a big hit in 2020 do you see him flying up the rankings, is top 50 easily possible? Top 30?
Wanna talk about Varsho, doesn’t get much love always ranked around the 100 mark, probably because people don’t know if he’ll catch. But I think he’s likely he catches some and plays rest of time in the outfield, making him a regular at C who can really hit and even steal bases. Couldn’t that make him a catcher fantasy beast if he’s a 15/15/.280 catcher?? I’ve owned him a few years now and that seems a realistic hope to me, could be way more valuable than people realise.
Loving the O Cruz rank here too, having just traded for him recently. What do you see him potentially becoming, an Aaron Judge with less plate patience?
And I’ve scoured your list to find any unclaimed gems, and found one in Gilberto Jimenez. Now it would mean promoting Dustin May or McKay, neither who I want to start their clocks for another year as they aren’t projected to get a full starters workload in 2020 (contracts league so have to be prudent when to promote). However if this Jimenez kid is what you say, do I have to make the move now? If so, which of those SP’s is most likely to rack up a quality 160 innings?
I’d promote McKay because there’s good momentum toward a rotation spot in that we recently learned he’ll be on a five-day schedule where hitting is a side project, as opposed to the early winter threat of a two-way focus.
Hi, Swfcdan,
I think next winter is the time to move him if he hits and you don’t want to wait. No need to hold out for the perfect moment if that’s the end goal and you see a decent opportunity to add a piece that helps soon.
With Cruz, I think the clay is so soft that yeah, he could go down a somewhat Judge-ish road, but he’s got a lot of possible outcomes, and people are just assuming he’ll get slower, which, yeah, he’s tall, but 6’7″ guys in the NBA don’t just automatically lose their burst at 23. Maybe they have more incentive to stay lean than Cruz will, but looking at the Fangraphs page that calls him a 60 present runner with a 45 future run tool . . . I dunno . . . just feels aggressively presumptuous.
And Varsho . . . his biggest problem has nothing to do with him. The Diamondbacks are becoming kinda loaded, and if he’s 15/15 280, I’m not certain that’s enough to stay in their lineup on an everyday basis.
Please don’t take this the wrong way…
So many of your rankings deviate so significantly from those of others that your list is, I’m afraid, difficult to take seriously. It comes off as being contrarian for contrarian’s sake. What precisely about your methodology and expertise should make me (or anyone else in the dynasty game) take your word over those who are far more established in the prospect game?
Hi Heathcliff,
For one thing, and maybe this will sound ridiculous, I’ve made a small fortune prospecting baseball cards over the past decade.
I started by purchasing Mike Trout Bowman Chrome autos at $75 when he was in AA and selling them for $500 a little while later. (The base auto sells for about $5,000 today). I had no idea this world existed and went a little crazy with it, was even buying from two distributors wholesale, prospecting whole lists of sets. Like in 2018 Bowman Draft (released in November). The guys I wanted who didn’t have their first chrome autos were Kristian Robinson and Yordan Alvarez. Both have seen their eBay sales prices skyrocket since then.
Back in the day, I bought a huge Aaron Judge collection when the prospect world had convinced everyone he struck out too much.
Bought a little mountain of Mondesis on the cheap when everyone had dismissed him.
Bought Fernando Tatis Jr. Chrome Rookies at $10 a pop. They go for $500 all day today. Bought several of Jose Fernandez’s first base chrome auto for 15 and a gold at 50. Sold before tragedy struck, which makes me think . . .
I’m sure I missed plenty, but my biggest miss was Oscar Taveras. Had more than a grand in him. Best barrel control I’ve seen on a minor league field. Saw him take five swings and pick up five hits in a AAA game.
Anyway, I’m no Johnny come lately. I’ve poured my own money, work and time into this arena at a level that’s frankly ridiculous, but it’s brought me a lot of money, and that’s just in cards, which follow fantasy, not the other way around. Got my first fantasy writing gig 16 years ago, Been playing keepers for 22 years. Dynasty just the last few, but our keeper league auction was always a little dynasty, so the transition has been smooth and fun.
Anyway I don’t mind coloring outside the lines. That’s where the profit is. That’s why the list looks different.
I have articulated at various points in my time at Razzball about the general direction of the dynasty game RE the value of speed, and how the combination of speed and hit tool seems incredibly undervalued to me, given everyone’s easy access to power in the juiced ball launch angle era, and the chance that speed and hit tool guys add power as they age into muscle and experience.
My list is meant to reflect the comparative lack of value most pitching prospects have in dynasty leagues. If you’ve played dynasty and tried to shop them, some owners have just requested bats or shut down the idea of paying apparent prospect market value for a Liberatore or a McKay in some other way.
. . . but mostly I hope readers will give me a chance . . .
see how it goes . . .
. . .
maybe even think of me as they ring the register year over year . . .
Truly appreciate the response. No offense to your predecessor but I kinda pulled out of this site for the past year plus and haven’t had the opportunity to check out your work. You’ve convinced me to take the time to do so.
Don’t mean to butt in but that was one keck of a reply, kudos snr inchy. I had similar thoughts to Slocumb, a bit unsure if I show follow your differing rankings but now am sold that you’re a guy well worth following and taking advice from!
Brennen Davis at 20 is BOLD! Also, the highest I’ve seen him ranked anywhere. What’s the justification for a guy who doesn’t even have a full season of A ball that has a severely questionable hit tool?
Hi Mack!
Davis has an advanced hit tool in my opinion, and according to the statistics. Specifically, his ability to cover the plate and go to right field while minimizing strikeouts as a 19-year-old in the Midwest League was . . . a little mind-blowing.
Especially considering he was supposed to be a raw athletic type.
Have 1st pick in our FYPD this year. Would you take Abrams over Dominguez, Vaughn and Rutschman? It’s a 6×6 Roto league with OPS and we have 11 keepers each. Current keepers are Cole, Snell, Rizzo, Albies, Semien, Chapman, S Marte, Pham, E Rosario, Kepler and either E Rodriguez or Julio Urias.
Thanks.
Kevin
Hi Kevin,
I would, and did, just last Monday at 1.1 in the Real Fake Dynasty.
I tried to trade the pick and get 1.2 because I knew I’d be the only one taking Abrams there, but I couldn’t get a decent deal done, so I just took CJ.
And felt fantastic about it!!!!!
When do the White Sox call up Madrigal ?
After the fifteen day window or whatever it takes in this year’s math to get another year of service time, I suspect.
Itch!!!!!
Look at you with Robert Puason at #54!!! Beating everyone to the punch!! And a nice nod to Bayron Lora at #154. I see what you’re doing!
How about a real-life comp to who you think Puason can be? .. Semien seems like a good comp to me.
I’m surprised so many other rankings gurus have ignored Puason. I mean, if Atlanta is trying to pay the kid off when he’s 14 years old, and Oakland — of all teams — spends $5 million-plus on him, you know there’s got to be something special there. Well played State Farm. Well played.
Thanks, Harley!!
And well said on Puason!
I’m up next in my rookie/fa dynasty draft. This is a 14 team h2h league. Some guys available are Aaron Bracho, Corbin Carroll, Orelvis Martinez, and Brennen Davis. Who should I take and why?
Also out of curiosity who do you like more jeter downs or noelvi marte?
Hi Ryan,
The rankings are so recent I’d just follow them in my answers, so I’d go Davis.
Any reason why let’s say Davis over Carroll?
I snagged Brujan and Carlson the last week of last season. What do you see as their value/overall rank potential moving forward? We keep 15, and my last 5 in are Tim Anderson, Gary Sanchez, Castellanos, JAbreu, and Muncy. Any chance you’d keep one of those prospects over any of those guys if I’m competing this year coming off a championship? May be a silly question but figured I’d ask
Man, it feels wild but I don’t see who you can swap out . . .
any chance of a consolidation play?
or would you rather just toss em back than strengthen another team . . . ?
What’s up Itch,
Great List overall, just curious about a couple things
What red flags do you see with the Braves OF duo that has them dropped down in the 50s on prospect lists? Waters in particular has seen a lot of hype this offseason, but I’m guessing the K rate is scaring you away?
Secondly, I’ve never seen Tarik Skubal ranked this highly by anyone. His numbers were incredible last year without a doubt, but do you really see his stuff translating to Top-of-Rotation upside akin to guys like Mize, Manning, Whitley and Patiño?
Thanks again, love your work!
Thanks, Will!
Part of the Waters thing is that I’m skeptical he can really impact our game in the HR or SB categories, and part of it is Ralph believes he can’t hit right-handed, which . . . his swing . . . it’s not ideal from that side.
Pache I just don’t see the upside at the moment. See the steady value of a likely starter, but not top-end value.
And about Skubal, yes, I think he might be better than all those guys.
Will be key to track how it plays the second time thru because I kind of expect him to dominate early.
Hey Itch,
Thanks so much for this.
I’ve graduated from roto to a keeper league to my first full dynasty league this year.
It’s a 14 teamer and we keep 35 minor leaguers. And there is a 5 round minors draft in July to restock from the FYPD and international signings.
Assuming that I will only get 1/14 of the top 50, after that any advice on what sort of balance I should aim for (in time) in my farm between average talent but close to majors vs potential international superstars who are only 17 year olds?
And any value in trying to keep a balance of different positions or pitchers vs hitters. Or just aim for highest ceilings no matter what…?
Thanks!
Hey BravesUK,
WELCOME TO THE FOREVER-FUN ZONE!!!
By which I mean dynasty is my favorite format, and I hope you like it!
Can you add minor league free agents during the season?
Even with 14 and 35, you should be able to mine some solid talent.
I suspect you’ll get more than 1/4 . . . might even get someone off the 50 in all five rounds . . . dynasty is very wild west in general but maybe nowhere moreso than the FYPD.
In terms of balance, it does help to have a lot of differently shaped pieces because you never know who you’ll be trading with and what they’ll want.
I generally value proximity and production more than the crowd because that dictates near-term opportunity, and even in rebuild, it’s great to pick up a player from AAA and have them in your lineup a few weeks later . . . it’s also how you land the Whit Merrifields, Nelson Cruzes, Jon Bertis, Trent Grishams, David Ortizes, Matt Olson and on and on and on.
Or even guys who fall into opportunity like Mike Tauchman and Gio Urshella. I suspect both would’ve been available in this sized league last year. Even Frankie Montas might’ve been out there.
No need to go all kids to chase upside, is all I’m saying. It’s important to follow that market and invest there, especially with a minors that deep. That factor probably increases the value of players who are far away.
Anyway, fun question, and that’s one of the keys to dynasty in general–moreso than a redraft in my opinion–acquire players you believe in or want to watch and try to have as much fun with it as possible . . . while winning of course.
Thanks so much! Very sobering….. I think dynasty is my future but I appreciate there are no quick wins….!
We can pick up off the wire at any time during the season….
Hi BravesUK,
Not for nothing i played in a few dynasty leagues for a bit. I like keeper leagues but dynasty is a whole new level. I will say this, dont be in the middle. What I mean is either decide to win now and acquire talent to win now or have a plan for 3 years down the road to dominate with tasty acquisitions from teams in win now. my two cents fwiw.
Could not agree more w Whatever.
Time is a difficult factor to value.
Knowing where you’re at in the build allows you the clarity to use time as an ally.
If building long-term, you can pick up a Tauchman and know he’s a trade chip when he’s hot and semi-marketable.
Thanks so much for taking the time to comment, appareciated!
Hi Itch,
Love your work. i assume you took over for Prospect Mike?
In any case, whats your thoughts on Aaron Sabato? He is ranked higher than Torkelson in D1Baseball. When he gets drafted where do you think his initial ranking would be?
Hi Whatever,
Thanks for the kind words!!
Yeah I jumped in for Mike starting in September. Have hammered out about 50K words since then. Wild how it adds up.
Sabato looks a little bulky to do much more than DH, but if he rakes again this year, he’ll jump right into the top 100 for most fantasy-facing lists. Lotta guys have mashed for a year in college and then come back to earth as opponents focus on them. Vaughn jumping into some top tens the way he did has likely enhanced anticipation for Tork and Sabato, so I think Vaughn’s success or struggles could have a tangential impact on how these guys get ranked even though they are very different players. Vaughn is hit over power with incredible plate skills, which makes him unique.
Thanks Itch. Speaking of Vaughn I decided to trade him in my OBP keeper for Harper a couple of months ago. Its very hard to find top bats in my league come draft time and i am in a win now mode. But it hurt me to give up Vaughn. As they say flags fly forever so when you have a shot go for it.
I love that trade.
Harper every day all day there
Thanks!
Any thoughts on Pauson being ranked so far after to Dominguez?
Reasons I ask:
1. Not much video available on either.
2. They signed similar monster contracts.
Further:
1. Oakland signed Pauson and NYY signed Dominguez.
2. Significantly more people follow NYY than Oakland.
Therefore, at this point, I’ve concluded it’s simply a hype train that got Dominguez flying up the charts.
Thoughts? Btw, do you have any sources for video on either that I might not have found? I’ve exhausted all the common search areas.
Thanks Itch! Keep the stories/reports coming.
Thanks, Jolt In Flow!
And well said: the Dominguez hype train has morphed into a rocket and has already exited earth’s atmosphere.
The split is more about him getting this crazy love than anything negative about Puason.
And if you’re searching all the typical spots like google and youtube and following a variety of prospect twitter accounts, we’re probably getting the same video. Just not much available on the J2 guys until they’ve been stateside for a while, usually.
But this is an excellent question. Might start a long-term project cataloging video sources . . . Baseball America and Fangraphs have been killing it for a while and ProspectsLive has been an amazing addition to the prospecting universe, but there are some solid Twitterers, too. Need to dig a bit.
Thanks for the words.
Very much appreciated.
I didn’t see Ke’Bryan in your top 200? Give me some thoughts on why he was left off.
Hi, Chad!
Maybe things will change for Hayes now that Pittsburgh is taking a different approach to hitting than it did for much of his development, but the results so far have been . . . bad.
Not underwhelming.
Ke’Bryan Hayes has been a bad hitter for fantasy baseball his entire minor league career.
He stole 27 bases once in high A while hitting 2 home runs in 108 games, but unless he’s gonna run like that in the bigs, he’s looking a bit like Matt Duffy these days.
Could certainly turn it around, but that’s what a bet on Hayes is saying: that analyst believes pretty much everything about Hayes as a hitter will change, and soon.
Thanks Itch! The ability to filter by eta is *chef’s kiss*
Do you see Pearson up by May/June?
Thanks, Duda!
It’ll be tough for them to keep him down, and if they’re bringing him up anyway, might as well do it in May.