Randy Wells spells relief with D-R-O-P H-I-M.  3 2/3 IP, 3 ER in his previous start.  4 IP, 5 ER yesterday.  If this were an SAT question, the next game’s line in this series is 4 1/3 IP and 7 ER.  Four months of a 3 ERA is a good run, right?  Send him a postcard in March when he’s down in Arizona.  Or send him a basket of Port Wine cheese logs from Cracker Barrel.  Whatever.  He’ll forgive you for dropping him.  Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:

Edwin Jackson – 5 IP, 5 ER.  I’m Rockwell, and I’m watching you.  Now punt Jackson.

Brett Tomko – Shut down for the season.  Who makes a deal with the devil for only three weeks?  I know Dorian Gray.  You, sir, are not him.

Willie Bloomquist – 4-for-5 yesterday and he’s hitting .500 over the last week.  I’d say he’s going to be in this afternoon’s Buy/Sell, but he’s here.  You get the gist… Or is it the ‘quist?

Alex Gordon – 1-for-4, Now batting .205.  [sarcasm] Yeah, the Royals were totally wrong to hold him down in the minors for financial reasons.  He’s totally producing now. [/sarcasm]

Zach Greinke – 5 IP, 0 ER, 8 Ks.  Left the game with some swelling after a comebacker hit him on the elbow.  Word on the streets of Steve Balboni Blvd. is Greinke will be fine for his next start.

Miguel Olivo – Another homer yesterday.  Telling you right now, if you wait longer than a week.  He’ll be ice cold again.  He’s like Chiquita Banana’s boyfriend, he hits them in bunches.

Miguel Cabrera – Hit his 30th homer yesterday.  I wonder if after the game he got an Olivo hug.  (<–It’s called a hunch!)

John Danks – 8 IP, 1 ER.  Danks’s win got ganked by a jenky Jenks.  Say that fast 5 times.  Actually, don’t.  It’s a waste of time.

Brandon Morrow – 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 12 baserunners as he tied his owners to the WHIPping post.  He’s walking too many and we (me and you… I’m actually sitting next to you — Hey!) don’t have time for him to correct himself.  He gets the Rays next, which isn’t an awful start, but it’s highly risky right now.

Wade Davis – 9 IP, 6 baserunners, 10 Ks.  This start and his last start (2 2/3 IP, 8 ER) epitomizes the rookie pitcher.  You like to ride the roller coaster, but sometimes you end up vomiting.

Shane Victorino – Speaking of vomiting, Victorino has food poisoning and will miss a day or two as he’s now, The Upchucking Hawaiian.

Brad Lidge – 1 IP, 1 ER and the save.  This is a pretty comical set-up Manuel’s configured here.  If the Phils are up by three runs, they bring in Lidge for the save.  1 or 2 runs, it’s Madson.  That’s gotta be a nice confidence booster for Lidge.  You suck, but I trust you enough to not be totally sucky.

Chris Coghlan – 4-for-4, 1 Run.  If anyone can have a 4-for-4 with only 1 run and no steals or RBIs, it’s Coghlan.  He yawnstipates me pretty badly.

Rich Harden – Will have a start skipped for ineffectiveness rather than an injury.  This is an absolute first for Harden.  I mean, a missed start because of an injury is his Pass Line.

Carlos Zambrano – This doesn’t have a huge effect on fantasy baseball, but I found it slightly amusing.  The Cubs said they would try to trade Big Z in the offseason.  He said he would use his no-trade clause.  Now Carlos doesn’t necessarily strike me as someone that would be happy-happy-joy-joy if he were on another team, but I like that he doesn’t even want to try for happiness somewhere else.  I pitch poorly at home (almost a full run higher in Wrigley over three years), I attack the Gatorade bucket with my fisticuffs and I look downright miserable in just about every start, but, you know what?  I’m staying right here. I imagine Big Z reads a lot of Sylvia Plath.

  1. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:

    Coghlan post All-Star:

    .363/.416/.546 (AVG/OBP/SLG)

    He’s batting leadoff. We should expect RBI?
    Common, those are darn repectable numbers.

    He’s 24. First year in the Bigs.

    Yawnstipated? Sure you weren’t cawnstipated?

  2. big o says:

    edwin looked pretty bad yesterday …. jim rockFORD is watching …. from his trailer on the beach .
    upton went 5 for 5 the other day , with only one run scored … but the kid is a stud . i’d give YOUR left testicle , if i could get him on my keeper team .
    will huff tame the A ‘s ?? i hope so .
    (i’m such a whore) .

  3. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:

    @Simply Fred: Notable lead-off men and their RBIs after the All-Star break:

    coghlan 27
    jeter 27
    ellsbury 22
    figgins 21
    suzuki 17


  4. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:

    @Simply Fred: Runs since the All-Star break:

    jeter 46
    coghlan 41
    figgins 39
    suzuki 36
    ellsbury 34

    I’m seeing a pattern here.

  5. penpen says:

    Beckham or McGehee (esp. for power)?

  6. TheGreatVeto says:

    @penpen: McGeehee

  7. TheGreatVeto says:

    Check this out. The following are some fantasy relevant players that played in the WBC prior to the season:

    – Dice-BB sucked, got injured… then sucked
    – Brad Hawpe was in mid-season form early in the year… now sucks.
    – Geovany Soto sucked, got injured, now he doesn’t suck… as much.
    – Russell Martin sucks all year, now seems to be coming along

    Noticing a trend here? The WBC seemed to have taken a toll on their strength and stamina. But more importantly it took a toll on their value. As long as they show a little life at the end of the season here, I think players like these could be had for cheap in drafts next year. Especially since there will be no WBC next season. So they can be in mid-season form during, well, the mid-season.

  8. penpen says:

    @TheGreatVeto: I’m skeptical as to how much of a causal link you can glean from WBC participation. I mean even the examples you gave, some of them were hot at first (Hawpe) some of them stank at first (DiceK, the rest); which way are we saying WBC affects players? As an alternate explanation couldn’t Martin just be taking the toll of years of playing catcher day in day out? Ditto Soto plus last year was a bit of a fluke?

    As counter examples I’d cite Broxton, Ted Lilly, Heath Bell, Dunn, Youkilis, Victorino, Braun, Jeter…. etc. All played in the WBC, all are having fine seasons. The link could be there, I just don’t see it yet.

  9. VanHammersly says:

    @TheGreatVeto: Don’t forget Rollins.

  10. Steve says:

    I’m rolling the Dice over the Ks. Kuo, Kilby or (sic) Kalero?

    Re: Kilby – where do the As find these guys?

  11. 101 M.P.H. says:

    For whatever it’s worth, I own Chris Coghroach in my fantasy league, and I find him to be yawnstipating. That’s not to suggest that he hasn’t been a valuable contributor in the second half for someone with a hole at 2B, but I still can’t get excited about him.

    His second half stat profile, projected over a full season, is akin to a good season for Placido Polanco (which is like saying that when your girlfriend puts on make-up, does her hair and buys a new outfit, you’re not embarrassed to be seen with her).

    Any way you slice it, it’s still yawnstipating.

  12. VanHammersly says:

    Krispie Treats! Setting my lineup for today and noticed that Young is 3-12 vs. tonight’s starter Marquis; all HRs.

  13. AL KOHOLIC says:

    GREY,lilly at st.louis and vazquez vs philly?whats your thoughts?im leaning towards benching lilly the most,im not needing the innings but cant afford losses

  14. Nathan says:

    Would Olivo be worth playing over CarGo or EverCab this week? I need steals, but I need HR more.

  15. Nathan says:

    LHP J.P. Howell and RHP Grant Balfour will be on limited duty for the rest of the season, manager Joe Maddon said. “You’re not going to see me just bring them in like we would during the regular season,” he said. “I’m going to back them off a little bit, yes, but not shut them down.”

    This seems a little weird. Does Wheeler get save opps from here on out now?

  16. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Simply Fred: He has the most RBIs p-ASB from your notable lead-off men but where does that rank him among everyone? 86th overall, along with Ryan Sweeney, amongst others. So, in your league, you have to have leadoff men. Fair enough.

    Who would you rather have p-ASB? 31/1/18/.332/5 — or Coghlan’s 43/7/27/.363/3

    Coghlan’s barely – 12/6/9/some average — Okay, but the first numbers are in 60 less ABs. So you had the ability to switch out the first guy and put in someone else to get numbers. So Coghlan probably didn’t have much of an advantage on him. The other guy is Luis Castillo.

    @big o: Hehe

    @penpen: McGehee

    @TheGreatVeto: That’s really interesting, thanks for sharing!

    @Steve: Ha re: Kilby — You are rolling the Dice.

    @AL KOHOLIC: I’d start them both. Lilly hasn’t been hit bad since July and Vazquez has been pretty great too.

    @Nathan: Eh, I guess over CarGo, but not for too long.

    @Nathan: Wheeler should see some. And thanks for the heads up!

  17. matthole says:

    @Grey: wondering your thoughts on some streamers for the stretch: west vs mets, maholm vs Cin (both next week)

    Masterson worth the gamble next week? 2 start pitcher, both at home which could be better for him

    JD martin vs mets, @ ATL,? Duensing (both possible 2 starts for final week)

    Need Wins, but also EXTREMELY close in ERA, WHIP, and K’s

    would you gamble with these guys, if so which ones, or would you advise the safe approach and pickup jepsen and gregerson to quell my pitching cats


  18. BanksyBall says:

    Start the charming double h Buchholz tonight?

  19. matthole says:

    @Grey: also, gorzelanny is supposed to replace harden next week for at least 1 game, maybe 2 (@MIL, @SF) worth the start?

  20. Nate Marcum says:

    Grey..2 Q’s First..I want to gain a few SB’s…I know SAGNOF, but who would you rather pick up…..CarGo or Eric young JR?

    Also….Since I am sure Wade Davis reads this blog and after my endorsement for him yesterday, he still didn’t start himself, I want to say thank you!

    Al Koholic…I am a St. Louis fan and native, and I woud start Lilly…We are notorious for an ineptitude against LHP. I hope I am giving poor advice and we rock Lilly, but I could see a 7IP, 2ER, 7K night….

  21. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:

    @Grey: Well, I am at least glad I got the fire lit. Thank you for giving a detailed response. In my points league (R,RBI,TB,BB=1;SB=2) the following are the overall rankings and point totals for all MLB players post All-Star. I have to believe that with Coghlan’s AVG, he must rank similarly in roto. The dollar amounts are the cost to purchase the player (i.e. their relative worth). Take a look at the names and you decide how yawnstipating his performance has been. At #23 in all of MLB, I would take that any day, all day.

    Rank Player Team Salary G PNTS
    12 Reynolds, Mark ARZ $2,490 53 239
    13 Fielder, Prince MLW $3,180 58 238
    14 Tulowitzki, Troy COL $1,940 55 237
    15 Zimmerman, Ryan WAS $2,410 56 236
    16 Roberts, Brian BAL $2,790 57 235
    17 Mauer, Joe MIN $2,610 57 235
    18 Abreu, Bobby LAA $3,310 59 231
    19 Jeter, Derek NYY $2,600 58 231
    20 Longoria, Evan TB $2,500 58 230
    21 Rollins, Jimmy PHI $2,820 59 230
    22 Morales, Kendry LAA $1,000 56 229
    23 Coghlan, Chris FLA $1,500 57 227
    24 Utley, Chase PHI $3,040 57 226
    25 Gonzalez, Adrian SD $3,150 57 225
    26 Dunn, Adam WAS $3,110 57 220
    27 Figgins, Chone LAA $2,300 58 219
    28 Ellsbury, Jacoby BOS $1,900 55 216
    29 Butler, Billy KC $1,550 57 216
    30 Jones, Garrett PIT $1,500 56 216
    31 Rodriguez, Alex NYY $3,630 53 212

  22. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:

    @Simply Fred: Costs were start of season. Morales was a low cost option beginning of season. Players added after start of season cost $1500. Hence Coghlan’s $1500. How many other low cost, new players do you see in these rankings? (G. Jones)

  23. Grey

    Grey says:

    @matthole: I’d start West and Maholm. Maybe Duensing, but I’d like to see what he does tonight before saying for sure.

    @BanksyBall: I would.

    @matthole: Nope re: Gorzelanny.

    @Nate Marcum: CarGo

    @Simply Fred: Interesting. Your points league counts BBs. Coghlan is an OBP beast. I would never argue against him in an OBP league. But not many people are in those leagues.

  24. The Dude says:

    Streaming through the playoffs:

    who would you prefer to put up tomorrow?

    Ross Ohlendorf vs SD
    John Lannan @ Metco
    Ricky Romero @ TB

    Tight race in K’s, W’s and ERA – I’m healthy in WHIP though. Thanks!

  25. Grey

    Grey says:

    @The Dude: None? I guess Lannan, but they’re not great matchups.

  26. The Dude says:

    @Grey: Yeah, I thought that too…but my opponent’s got 6 starters going over the weekend to my 4, he’s got the edge in Wins (5-4) and I’ve got a slight edge in K’s atm (52-42).

    On the plus side I’ve got Lincecum going on Sunday and maybe he’ll rack up 15+ K’s for me…

    Thanks for the season of advice and entertainment btw!

  27. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:

    @Grey: You know some one might call you stubborn. Me, I call you thorough. OK, here are the points sans BB. He ranks #18 without BB–up from #23.

    Rank Player Team Salary G PNTS
    1 Holliday, Matt STL $3,490 57 258
    2 Braun, Ryan MLW $3,130 56 233
    3 Kemp, Matt LAD $1,920 57 230
    4 Lee, Derrek CHC $2,510 56 230
    5 Davis, Rajai OAK $1,000 55 226
    6 Ramirez, Hanley FLA $3,320 56 225
    7 Howard, Ryan PHI $3,700 59 224
    8 Pujols, Albert STL $3,670 55 224
    9 Teixeira, Mark NYY $3,330 58 221
    10 Rollins, Jimmy PHI $2,820 59 220
    11 Ethier, Andre LAD $2,210 59 220
    12 Morales, Kendry LAA $1,000 56 216
    13 Cabrera, Miguel DET $3,380 58 214
    14 Mauer, Joe MIN $2,610 57 213
    15 Reynolds, Mark ARZ $2,490 53 211
    16 Tulowitzki, Troy COL $1,940 55 210
    17 Zimmerman, Ryan WAS $2,410 56 208
    18 Coghlan, Chris FLA $1,500 57 207
    19 Jeter, Derek NYY $2,600 58 207
    20 Roberts, Brian BAL $2,790 57 207
    21 Fielder, Prince MLW $3,180 58 206
    22 Longoria, Evan TB $2,500 58 204
    23 Ellsbury, Jacoby BOS $1,900 55 198

  28. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Simply Fred: Okay, but there’s no homers in your points league. He’s near the top in singles p-ASB. Singles without steals aren’t that exciting.

  29. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:

    @Grey: Sorry, Bud. HR are tallied in TB (total bases). The actual points are 1 for singles, 2 for doubles, 3 for triples, 4 for HRs. I just reported TB since these incorporate each. I checked the calculations. They don’t change.

    Take a deep breath. Sleep on it for a week. Then – GIVE IT UP.

  30. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:

    @Grey: @Simply Fred: Interestingly (or not) readers can peruse the thread in Forums>active topics>Passive managing better? and read where I actually predicted Coghlan (obviously a favorite of mine) to have a down week based on the fact that he was facing a combined opponent pitching ERA of 3.32 for the upcoming week. Guess what? He under-performed considerably for that week. cust’ kayin’

  31. big o says:

    wow , fred .
    there’s nothing simple about those last few posts .

  32. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:

    @big o: Well, thank you. I try to stay out of stuff unless I see something that goes particularly against the numbers (yes, I’m a numbers guy). Often, the numbers seem straight forward to me, but Grey’s knowledge much deeper than just numbers and he frequently corrects me.

  33. big o says:

    @Simply Fred:
    i haven’t the time for weekly assessments , but ,
    despite pavano’s less than stellar numbers inside the baggy dome ,
    he figures to own mcab .
    also , guillen shouldn’t hurt him too much .
    in fact , granderson is , perhaps , his only concern .
    but considering granderson’s lack-luster play , as of late , and despite this being a big series for both teams ,
    i wouldn’t be surprised to see pavano run rough-shod over the tigers .

    i’m gonna chance sitting granderson , in favor of billy butler , on the 19th , because of my particular needs .
    but , even without morneau , i’m betting the twins to win that game .

    of course , anyone familiar with my betting history , would do just the opposite , with the opinion stated above .

  34. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:

    @big o: Woaaaa, Big Boy. There’s a lot in that post. The only thing I would begin to tackle is the decision between butler and granderson. Here’s Butler’s numbers:

    Butler- Post AS

    home: .452/.685/.396/1.137
    away: .287/.364/.229/.651

    At CHW: .348 SLG
    ALL CHW: .377 SLG

    granderson home: .312/.382/.232/.694

    Pretty similarly bad. Pick your poison.

    Or, Grey would be a much better resource since numbers don’t distinguish.

  35. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Simply Fred: Of course HRs are tallied in TBs, but total bases change things when you own someone in roto. Four singles is not the same as one homer because homers are their own category. Coghlan may be above, say, Fielder in your points league, but that’s not the norm. Coghlan is actually ranked 46th overall on the ESPN Player Rater for 5×5. Ranked 46th for outfielders alone. Behind Ludwick. That’s on the season, so for the 2nd half he would be better, but I think the point remains.

  36. Alek says:

    I don’t imagine Zambrano reads a whole lot of anything.

  37. Paul Wilson says:

    I hate to be the guy that posts this question, but here goes… next week is our H2H championship game and I’m still bleeding out the ears at 2B due to a stubborn loyalty Alexei that has finally expired. Who should man the helm at 2B? I’ve got room for 2.

    Prado (6 hits in last 2 games, super suckitude prior to those games) @NYM, @WAS
    Callapso (name is kind of a jinx) BOS, MIN
    Uribe (how is he doing this w/o steroids?) @ARI, CHN
    Alexei (i hate you alexei) MIN, DET

    I know you’ve been pimping Matsui lately but I’m already Astro-centric with Berkeman, Lee and the Wandwagon. Thanks for the help!

  38. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:

    @Grey: Not at all the same. For the season Coghlan ranks #126 overall and #54 amongst OF in my points. He found himself the 2nd half. Run yours P-ABS. Then assess his worth to roto.

  39. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:

    @Simply Fred: Edit: P-ASB

  40. Paul Wilson says:

    @Paul Wilson. Other considerations for the i-hate-alexei situation.

    Prado — gets to face the same Mets pitchers he lit up this week again, this time in NY
    Callapso — 7 home games with a .332 home avg this season, but some tough matchups (Beckett, Lester) this week. And the name karma thing.
    Uribe– 7 games, hitting well over the last month. SF still obstinately in the playoff race. Tough matchups against the Cubs, at least on paper.
    Alexei — playoff atmosphere all week with AL Central rivals, hitting for average but can’t buy an XBH

  41. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Paul Wilson: I’d go Uribe and Callaspo.

    *******There’s a new post for followups.*******

  42. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:

    @Grey: Checked out ESPN. I see it doesn’t have P-ASB. It does have the last 30 days. He ranks 16 for outfielders (that includes the recent down week).

  43. and1mcgee says:

    Simply Fred = within that rising unemployment %…

    gots time on your hands, playa!

  44. Too late for me to drop Wells — he’s already killed my ERA.

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