Red Sox made a huge splash yesterday trading away Yoan Moncada, Luis Alexander Basabe, Victor Diaz and Michael Kopech for Chris Sale. ¬†Red Sox must be appealing to Bernie Sanders with their rotation: two lefties named Sale and Price. ¬†Dave Dombrowski sure does love to trade away his top prospects. ¬†Dombrowski buys 10 copies of Baseball Prospectus every year, crosses out the ‘u,’ and barters them for two cartridges of Nintendo Baseball Stars. ¬†Dombrowski used to have four young kids, until he traded them to a Mormon family for an honors student three months from graduating high school. ¬†Dombrowski dreams of finding the Fountain of Youth so he can trade it for a veteran fountain. ¬†I’m not going to compare Sale to Price even if the Jew in me wants to talk wholesale. ¬†Price had concerning stats going into last year and is older. ¬†Of course, some of Price’s concerning stats were a lower K-rate and a falling velocity on his fastball, which are two warning signs with Sale too. ¬†Okay, maybe I will compare the two. ¬†Sale’s fastball velocity went from 94.5 MPH to 92.8 MPH, while relying on it 7% more of the time. ¬†You’re a big-time Razzball noob — Razzboob? — if you think I’m going to suggest you draft an ace, and Sale is no different. ¬†I’m not about to say he’s going to fall off, but declining¬†velocity, K-rate and rising xFIP is not an ace I’d be excited about. ¬†For 2017, I’ll give him the projections of 18-8/3.31/1.08/244 in 225 IP. ¬†Anyway, here’s what else I saw this offseason for 2017 fantasy baseball:
Tyler Thornburg – Traded to the Red Sox for Travis Shaw because only the Red Sox were invited to the Winter Meetings this year. ¬†Thornburg is under team control for three years, had a 12+ K/9 and a 2.15 ERA last year. ¬†Next week, JB and I are going to do a Winter Meetings recap podcast, so I’ll be interested in hearing what our resident Brewers fan, JB, thinks of this trade. ¬†What I think of it? ¬†The rich teams are supposed to do terrible deals for overpriced free agents or veterans that have only a few years left in their awful, bloated contracts while the poor teams are supposed to get back players under team control that look like future All-Stars, not the other way around. ¬†Damn, the Brewers got had. ¬†Only thing worse would’ve been if the Brewers also took Sandoval off the Sawx’ hands and seated him next to the life-sized kielbasa from the Sausage Races just to see him sweat. ¬†Thornburg is a possible¬†$12 Salad if Kimbrel gets hurt, Travis Shaw is a platoon player that looks replaceable by players already on the Brewers. ¬†What in the name of Harvey Kuenn¬†are the Brewers doing? ¬†For 2017, I’ll give Thornburg the projections of 4-1/2.77/1.03/82, 6 saves in 64 IP.
Mitch Moreland – Signed with the Red Sox to play 1st. ¬†Last season’s Sawx 1st baseman Hanley¬†phoned in to reporters, “I’m bummed I won’t get to play first in 2017.” As he said that,¬†he touched one foot against his couch and reached for the remote¬†his daughter tossed him. ¬†Unfortunately, Hanley¬†pulled his foot¬†off the couch, collapsed to the ground and¬†lost his sofa¬†spot to the family dog. ¬†I think Moreland can be one of those signing that doesn’t trend on Twitter and pretty much is forgotten about by most, but¬†can actually have huge fantasy repercussions. ¬†Moreland is slated to bat fifth for at least 80% of the time, and will¬†find out he enjoys hitting balls around the Pesky Pole in right. ¬†For 2017, I’ll give him 61/25/75/.259/1 in 465¬†ABs with a chance for more(land).
Travis Shaw –¬†As mentioned above, went the over way to the Brewers. ¬†Brewers have serious problems locking down a 3rd baseman, huh? ¬†I’m not counting Villar, who was always more of a middle infielder.¬†Casey McGehee and Aramis manned the hot corner dating back about six years; an era that¬†butted its ass into Bill “Mother’s Day Ain’t Just For Mothers” Hall. ¬†The Brewers even recently considered another Red Sox cast-off, Will Middlebrooks. ¬†Better results to come with Shaw? ¬†Pshaw, as a scoffer might say. Miller Park is a good stadium, but it’s not like Fenway is miserable, and Shaw hit .242 with 16 homers in 145 games last year. ¬†For 2017, I’ll give him 51/18/64/.247/3 in 435 ABs.
Yoan Moncada – Acquired by the White Sox. ¬†Chicago is acquiring prospects like NBC is acquiring Chicago shows. ¬†Have you seen recently that Dick Wolf has like four Chicago shows on NBC? ¬†Chicago Fire, PD, Med, Justice! ¬†Waiting for Chicago Pizza which can have crossovers with Chicago Med when people have heart attacks after a slice of pizza. ¬†Make it happen, Wolf! ¬†I already gave you my Yoan Moncada fantasy. ¬†More or less stays the same, only find/replace Red with White. ¬†There, I gave him the projections of¬†77/12/79/.247/27 in 504 ABs. ¬†Now, he likely has a better chance of getting those 504 ABs, especially when Todd Frazier is moved. ¬†For now, I’m keeping Moncada’s projections the same, and will adjust if Frazier remains.
Wilson Ramos – Signed with the Rays. ¬†I’m told in no way are the Red Sox involved with this Winter Meetings deal, but you never know. ¬†Ramos is recovering from an ACL tore, the 2nd one he’s endured. ¬†That’s one injury stamp card you probably don’t want to fill up as a catcher. ¬†I couldn’t see a concrete timetable — where’s Stonehenge when you need it? — for Ramos’ return, but I’d guess June. ¬†For 2017, his projections are 31/13/41/.274 in 305¬†ABs.
Carlos Gomez – Re-signed with the Rangers, though it¬†might be more accurate to say the Rangers were resigned to re-sign Gomez. ¬†Or maybe re-sighed. ¬†CarGomez¬†did have his best month last September (6 HRs, .326), and was solid with the Rangers overall (8 HRs, 5 SBs, .284 in 33 games), so it comes down to what Gomez you believe. ¬†The one that looked like a shell of his former self, or the one that broke out of his shell and was turtley awesome. ¬†I’m more in the former camp. ¬†For 2017, I’ll give him the projections of 73/17/57/.238/24 in 521 ABs.
Fernando Rodney –¬†Signed with the Diamondbacks. ¬†There’s said to be a lot of performance-based incentives in the contract like “will pitch so terribly that our fans forget about Shelby Miller,” “will close at least one game with¬†his hat totally crooked,” and “won’t pitch like Fernando Rodney.” ¬†For 2017, I’ll give him the projections of 2-5/3.88/1.41/68, 22 saves in 65 IP.