Ranking prospects for fantasy purposes is a tricky exercise.  Back in February, I rolled out my Top 50 Fantasy Prospects for 2013 (part 1, part 2), and those are already garbage.  The variables involved are constantly in flux — talent emerges, talent regresses… opportunity comes, opportunity goes… clubs get cold feet because of service time, clubs don’t give a shizz about service time.  So, given the fluid nature of this prospect business, I thought it might be helpful to keep a running ranking throughout the season.  This post will run every other Wednesday, providing a biweekly glimpse of the soon-to-arrive impact talent.  Let’s get started.

1.  Oscar Taveras, OF, Cardinals:  Taveras is the most MLB-ready bat in the minors.  Elite bat speed and off-the-charts hand-eye give him a Vlad Guerrero-like ability to barrel any pitch thrown his way.  He’ll help in HR, R, RBI, and AVG, and he might net you a few stolen bases along the way.  He’s just getting started at Triple-A Memphis, and opportunity is always tough to gauge, but the outfield in St. Louis is fragile, and Taveras could step into any position if needed.

2.  Wil Myers, OF, Rays:  After shaking off a minor wrist ailment, Myers is off to a nice start at Triple-A Durham.  The Rays figure to keep him in the minors ’til June for service time reasons, but Myers has MLB-ready power, and he’s basically a guarantee to arrive before July.  He’s an easy stash if you have room.

3.  Gerrit Cole, RHP, Pirates:  Cole, too, is likely to remain at Triple-A Indianapolis until June, but the Wandy Rodriguez hamstring tightness could speed up that timetable.  The Pirates insist that Rodriguez will only miss one turn in the rotation, but Cole is a reasonable stash in mixed leagues, regardless of Wandy’s health.  If you were excited about Jose Fernandez, you should be equally jazzed for Gerrit Cole.

4.  Tony Cingrani, LHP, Reds:  Cingrani’s first start at Triple-A Louisville consisted of 6 innings, 1 walk, zero hits, and 14 K’s.  That sort of dominance will bring him to Cincy in a hurry.  I wouldn’t suggest stashing Cingrani outside of NL-only or keepers, but be ready to pounce in case of injury, or a few poor outings from Mike Leake.

5.  Jurickson Profar, SS, Rangers:  Profar is the #1 overall prospect in baseball and he’s already surfaced at the big league level, but he’s buried behind two All Star-caliber middle infielders on the Rangers depth chart.  It’s also important to note that Profar’s impressive profile is better suited for long-term results than for immediate impact.  Still, you gotta try to own this guy if he get’s the call.  The upside is enormous.

6.  Mike Zunino, C, Mariners:  Since he was drafted third overall last June, Zunino has been relentlessly dominant.  After a 1.137 OPS at two levels in 2012, the 22-year-old out of University of Florida is off to a blazing start in 2013, tallying 16 RBI and 4 HR through his first five games.  Zunino will not be held down for long if this sort of mashing keeps up.  He offers big fantasy upside at a premium position.

7.  Nolan Arenado, 3B, Rockies:  I already told you why I’m excited about Arenado.  The opportunity is there for him at third, and his gap power will benefit from the thin air at Coors.  Expect to see Arenado in the bigs before July.

8.  Zack Wheeler, RHP, Mets:  Wheeler is a front-of-the-rotation prospect with enormous potential, but he finds himself in a lousy situation, pitching in the launching pad that is Triple-A Las Vegas.  He’s part of the 2013 plan in New York, so don’t let poor Pacific Coast League outings and low pitch counts steer you off course.  Wheeler will bring big fantasy upside when he arrives, and he’s likely only a couple months away.

9.  Dan Straily, RHP, Athletics:  Straily was superb at the Triple-A level in 2012, striking out 11+ per-nine with a 2.02 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP.  It wasn’t too surprising, then, that he picked apart the Astros lineup in a spot start last week.  The A’s won’t hesitate to call him back to the majors if there’s a need.  Straily brings good fantasy potential and he’ll be pitching in a friendly ballpark.

10.  Danny Hultzen, LHP, Mariners: Hultzen appeared unhittable at Double-A in 2012, but he was quite bad after promotion to Triple-A.  The thought is that he simply hit a wall last year, which was his first full-season of pro baseball.  Off to a good start at Triple-A in 2013, expect Hultzen to work his way into Seattle’s rotation at some point this summer.  The 23-year-old can be dominant when his command is working.

Next Five: Travis D’Arnaud, C, Mets; Mike Olt, 1B, Rangers; Jake Odorizzi, RHP, Rays Trevor Bauer, RHP, Indians; Billy Hamilton, OF, Reds

92 Comments
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TheNewGuy
TheNewGuy
9 years ago

How about a recent prospect as of last year Matt Harvey.

What do you think of him? I watched him once last year and am watching him deal right now and am so impressed by his stuff. His power fastballs as good as most in the game.

Never had him in my keeper league as a prospect, but got him in my H2H league this year and love the round I got him in. The only weakness of his right now is is control? Otherwise he’s looking mighty impressive, almost ace-like I’d say, huge bargain. You been a big fan throughout his minors career, is this what you expected from him?

Shows this value of prospects in my keeper league that ‘hit’ once they reach the show. The guy with him has him for $0 all this year.

AttiliMob
AttiliMob
9 years ago

In our 23rd year of a 12 team NL only keeper league with 2 rounds of minor league draft, I have final 2 picks in ML draft this year and it’s slim pickings at this point. Already have Yellich, Bradley and Wong from last year.

JR Graham, Lucan SIms, Andrew Heaney, Hunter Morris, Max Fried and Marell Ozuna still out there.

Any stand outs and in order of preference please?

PublicEnemy#1
PublicEnemy#1
9 years ago

Aside from Profar, can you name a couple/few other middle infield prospects who might come up and be able to impact a 16 team league? I’m in a league where you really need to think two steps ahead and would like to stash someone.

Duke
Duke
Reply to  PublicEnemy#1
9 years ago

@PublicEnemy#1: Brad Miller and Carlos Sanchez

PublicEnemy#1
PublicEnemy#1
Reply to  Scott Evans
9 years ago

@Scott Evans: Thank you!

Clint
Clint
9 years ago

What do you think of Julio Teheran’s 2013 debut? Aberration and he’ll return to spring numbers eventually or is he just not ML ready yet? I dropped him for Maholm since I already have potential youngster headaches in my rotation with Shelby Miller & Jose Fernandez and with my aces of Gallardo, CJ Wilson, and Morrow struggling, the only hat I’ve been able to hang onto for ERA/WHIP’s been Lester so far.

bill
bill
9 years ago

How about Bogaerts? Think there is a chance he comes up this year? Dude is a stud!

Rob
Rob
9 years ago

What’s your current stance on Billy Hamilton. Will he see the bigs this year?
My other concern is whether or not he’ll be able to get on base enough at the big league level. Any thoughts?

Rotten Rookies
Rotten Rookies
9 years ago

I have Stanton, McClutchen, gonzo in OF, Rutledge, Segura, and Zobrist playing SS/2nd

I am in a head to head 6×6 non keeper league. We have two spots for minor league guys.. Which two would you hold on to Myers, taveras, Puig, or Hamilton.. Right now I have Myers and Hamilton but the others are available…

Not sure if it makes but I really need a 3rd basemen. Can one end up playing 3rd? Thanks for your help

Wake Up
Wake Up
9 years ago

You moved Cole up over Bundy? I’m liking it!

Wake Up
Wake Up
Reply to  Scott Evans
9 years ago

@Scott Evans: Totally agree with you. That’s what I was hinting at earlier and I agree with you that Cole looks like a Price-type guy.

Wake Up
Wake Up
Reply to  Wake Up
9 years ago

@Wake Up: Do you like Gattis over Jesus Montero this year?

Wake Up
Wake Up
Reply to  Scott Evans
9 years ago

@Scott Evans: Thanks

ROLFAMLO
ROLFAMLO
9 years ago

Would you say it is safe to drop Chris Carter or Peter Bourjos to stash Arenado on a 14-team 14-keeper league?

Hawk
Hawk
9 years ago

Thoughts on Kershaw and Crawford for Fielder and Cuddyer. My other SP are Sale, Medlen, Bumgarner, Scherzer, Minor and Kuroda.

5×5 Roto, 12 teams

Targaryan
Targaryan
9 years ago

I dropped Mr Lincecum today in my 14 team keeper league. I really wish I would have dropped him last week for Jed Lowrie instead of Teheran. Oh well, Ce-La-Vie. I grabbed Diamond to stream for friday, but him on DL for now & grabbed Grimm… I would be interested in your opinion of him. If he doesn’t work out I plan to stream a few pitchers (max 50 moves in a season) or grab Hultzen, unless somehow Walker or Tailion beats him to the show. Is Grimm gold, garbage or mediocre? Thanks for your hard work

Duke
Duke
9 years ago

Great series!

Ultra competitive 18 team mixed traditional 5×5 keeper. Salaries increase by $5 per year or salary doubles, whichever increase is least. ie $1 player is $2 next year… $10 goes to $15.

I own both JFern ($1) and Taveras ($2) and have received the following offers.

Cueto $25 for Taveras

Or

Cueto $25 and Bourjos $2 for Fernandez.

While I like Cueto, I am inclined to pass on both.

Thoughts?

Duke
Duke
Reply to  Scott Evans
9 years ago

@Scott Evans: thanks!

Clyde Prompto
Clyde Prompto
9 years ago

Howdy, Scott. What are your thoughts on Johnathan Singleton? Once his suspension is up I don’t think he’ll have a hard time cracking the AAAstros lineup.

Clyde Prompto
Clyde Prompto
Reply to  Scott Evans
9 years ago

@Scott Evans: It warms my heart to hear you say that. Great job on the column, I look forward to the next one.

Huge Caulk
Huge Caulk
9 years ago

Dylan Bundy or Cingrani going forward keeper league?

EDUB
EDUB
9 years ago

Any guess to an Anthony Rendon ETA?

EL BURRO
9 years ago

Scott – huge fan of this series and your work. Awesome stuff.

Thoughts on a possible Hultzen promotion in the very near future (ie. this weekend)? He started last night and pitched great…again. Do you find it curiously coincidental that it was the same night that Maurer started and got shelled.. yet again? Do you think they want Hultzen on the same pitching schedule — in the event SEA decides to boot Maurer, and with Erasmo on the DL at AAA, seems Hultzen is just a call away? Maybe I’m reading too much into it, but seems logical.

I still think it’s Erasmo’s job when healthy, but curious of your thoughts …

Thanks

Eng
Eng
9 years ago

Nice roundup. Especially pleased to hear Jesus should keep his ABs even if/when Zunino arrives. By that time he’ll have guaranteed C eligibility for 2014 which is key for keepers. But what about Mike Olt?

Eng
Eng
Reply to  Scott Evans
9 years ago

@Scott Evans: Thanks for the response, Scott. How do you see Olt doing when he comes up, and more importantly in 2014? (I know there are a lot of ifs but I want to get your opinion on his upside).

CL
CL
9 years ago

I’ve stashed Cole & Olt, along with a couple of others. Isn’t Olt slated for 3B though?

CL
CL
Reply to  Scott Evans
9 years ago

@Scott Evans:

Good point. Thanks.

Thoughts on Erasmo Ramirez?

Scott
Scott
9 years ago

Do you think Cingrani will be up this year full time? I’m in a dynasty league, I can only have 9 SP on my roster and have to start 7 weekly. I’m already stashing Fernandez. Trying to see who will help me most this year as well as the future between Cingrani and Hultzen.

malamoney
malamoney
Reply to  Scott Evans
9 years ago

@Scott Evans: Do you think they are limiting his innings pitched in Louisville so that he has as many as possible remaining when he gets the call?

trick dad
trick dad
9 years ago

love this new series, thank you!

what kind of batting averages would you expect from taveras and myers this year in the majors?

Taz
Taz
9 years ago

Great idea to keep a running tab of this. Always valuable info.

Would you be able to add a quick line or two at the beginning mentioning any [fantasy-relevant] prospects that had been called up in between installments? E.g. Tepesch, Bauer (if he hadn’t been complete crap), etc. Kinda like the pre-season minor-league previews, where you begin with graduated prospects.

And, similarly, perhaps guys who were recently demoted, like Bauer and likely Maurer, maybe Aaron Hicks will be… I assume if you own those players you know they’ve been sent down, but it may be worth mentioning if you were considering adding one of them and didn’t realize.

malamoney
malamoney
9 years ago

I am currently stashing Taveras, Myers, Cole and Cingrani.

Loved reading this article.

What happens to Jesus Montero if Zuzino gets the call?

malamoney
malamoney
Reply to  Scott Evans
9 years ago

@Scott Evans: Does he lose at-bats? And who would you rather have. Jesus is currently my catcher, but if they call up Zuzino, would you drop The Jesus and pick up The Zuzino?

TheTinDoor
TheTinDoor
9 years ago

How far down the list is Christian Yelich? With the Marlins aggressively promoting Jose Fernandez, will Yelich follow suit? How’s he been hitting so far this year?

BigR
BigR
9 years ago

This trade is on the table:
I give – Pujols and Gio
I get – Verlander and Bautista

My other 1B’s are A. Gonzalez, C. Davis, Frazier and M. Carpenter
My other SP’s are Sherzer, Moore, Anibal Sanchez, Homer Bailey, Cobb, Lynn, Iwakuma

Do I take this trade????

Hawk
Hawk
Reply to  BigR
9 years ago

@BigR:

Pujols playing hurt – plantar fasciitis. Saw some highlights of him tonight running with a pretty good limp. He’s playing through it but I can’t imagine how long it lasts. It looks bad to me.

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
9 years ago

Straily is not that good. The stuff doesn’t match the minor league numbers. The slider is definitely a plus pitch but the fastball is MLB average in both velocity and movement. Second and third tour of the league I can see teams game planning to lay off the breaking pitch and sit fastball. I like his moxy but with the stuff it’s hard to see him profiling better than a #3 MLB. The 7.29 K rate seem about right. His strand rate was 90% last year, totally unsustainable so I’d guess he ends up going in the direction of his FIP with an ERA north of 4 if he gets a lot of starts this year.

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
Reply to  Scott Evans
9 years ago

@Scott Evans:

I’d say he’s marginal in an RCL format. Definitely rosterable in a deeper league. Even though the A’s park is favorable, road starts at Texas, LAA and Seattle are all going to be tricky this year. Some quality hitters in the AL West. One thing for sure, he’s next in line at Oak and Bartolo and Anderson will be on injury watch all year.

Lou
Lou
9 years ago

what’s the word on Anthony Rendon?

supra
supra
9 years ago

Where would Adam Eaton fall on this list if you had to include him for comparison?

Charles
Charles
9 years ago

Are these ranked in the order you’d roster them? Or biggest 2013 impact? Neither? Combination?

Charles
Charles
Reply to  Charles
9 years ago

@Charles:

Sorry, just saw your previous reply. Thanks for the rankings!

Charles
Charles
Reply to  Scott Evans
9 years ago

@Scott Evans:

Maybe you could put the 12-team mixed-worthy players on the “mustache list” [must stash].

Nate
Nate
9 years ago

Is this a rank of talent upon arrival, or ranked in terms of their arrival timetable? (or both?)

Also, since you’re the prospect guy, can I ask a question of two young guys currently in rotations? Jose fernandez or Shelby Miller ROS? (It is a keeper league)

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
Reply to  Scott Evans
9 years ago

@Scott Evans:

I wasn’t super impressed with what I saw from Miller. I was expecting a little more life in the fastball and the mechanics were spotty. Mostly not repeating arm slot and changing delivery between fastball and breaking stuff. Not bad but didn’t look like elite stuff to me.

AJ
AJ
Reply to  Scott Evans
9 years ago

@Scott Evans: Of course Miller came out and shoved it right after all of these things were said.

joe bob
joe bob
9 years ago

No Puig yet?

joe bob
joe bob
Reply to  Scott Evans
9 years ago

@Scott Evans: got it. thanks. do you see him in the show in 2014, Ethier departs…?

Sort of a Big deal
Reply to  Scott Evans
9 years ago

@Scott Evans: Taveras while very good, will have a ton of competition for playing time as well no? They have Matt Adams on top of things who they want to get at bats for

Andrew
Andrew
Reply to  Scott Evans
9 years ago

Craig signed an extension, he’s not going anywhere. If the Cardinals are contending, Beltran’s not going anywhere (assuming he’s healthy). The first injury gives Matt Adams the playing time. Only if someone else is injured will Taveras get called up. Almost a full year in AAA wouldn’t hurt this 20 year old.

Andrew
Andrew
Reply to  Scott Evans
9 years ago

If it’s a short term injury to Jay, then they’ll go with Robinson and call up Chambers/Christian. If it’s a more serious injury and Taveras is raking in AAA, the team will pretty much be pressured into starting Taveras in CF even though they have doubts about his defense.