It’s been a long two weeks. Gifts were purchased, wrapped, and un-wrapped. Traveling was done, and merry times were had by all. Unfortunately the by product of this joyous season is my co-host Lance Brozdowski is in high demand. As my better half traveled back to Chicago, I did what any philandering husband would do. I called my man Eddy Almaguer and we recorded a podcast behind Lance’s back. It’s all good though, Eddy’s part of the PL Team, and just so happens to be our in house Yusei Kikuchi expert. So of course we dig into our expectations for the Japanese lefty in 2019, the best place to draft him in mixed league redraft, and where we might pluck him in a Dynasty First Year Player Draft. After that we talk some ETAs for 2019 (Alonso, Tatis, etc.), before diving into ten players squarely on our radar going into 2019 dynasty drafts. It’s the Razzball Prospect Podcast powered by ProspectsLive.com.

Check out our new venture @Prospectlive on Twitter, and now Prospectslive.com! Follow me @ProspectJesus and Follow Eddy @EddyAlmaguer

  1. Evan Pasha says:
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    The Minor Graphs tool is unbelievable. Great stuff.

  2. American Troutfisher says:
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    12-team AL-only, keep 13 veterans, plus prospects, on a 45-man-total roster. No in-season waiver moves.

    Team is currently crap. I won’t be competitive in 2019, probably not in 2020 either. Shooting for 2021 and beyond.

    Offer up Bogaerts (who may leave AL after 2019, who knows) for Bo Bichette plus another prospect, someone like Kopech or Honeywell? Sound reasonable? Ask for more?

    • Harley Earl says:
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      @American Troutfisher: Ask for more. You should be able to get three high-ceiling prospects for him.

      • The Eye of Horus says:
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        @Harley Earl: Agree with Haley Earl. I’d try that with a pitcher, too, if you can.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph says:
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      @American Troutfisher: Bichette and Honeywell would be a solid get IMO. But if you think you can get three top 50 guys go for it. Personally I wouldn’t trade you three top 50 prospects for Xander knowing I could lose him.

      • Harley Earl says:
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        @Ralph: Honeywell is coming off Tommy John surgery, so he won’t be ready until at least June or July at best. And everything I’ve read says don’t expect the same returns from Bichette as the other tops prospects (Vlad Jr., Eloy, and Tatis).

        But, yeah, if you’re not even sure you can bring Xander back, might be worth considering.

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph says:
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          @Harley Earl: Eloy Or Vlad are too much for Xander in a dynasty league. Particularly AL only where you keep that many players. So to think you should get a guy like that for Xander is just not feasible.

          I watched a ton of Bichette (Manchester is my home park) and have written about him god knows how many times. Comparing him to Vlad, Eloy, or Tatis is like saying Gleyber isn’t good because he’s not Acuna.

          Honeywell is coming off TJ, but what does that matter really? Your getting a discount on the guy because of it. His command is silly and has a deep aresnel of pitches.

          Personally I think you’re getting a nice return for a guy like Xander, who more than likely showed his ceiling level season in 2018.

          • American Troutfisher says:
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            @Ralph: Thanks, Ralph, Harley, and Horus! Good advice from all. I’ll make an offer, see what I can get.

          • Harley Earl says:
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            @Ralph: You’re selling me Ralphy, you’re definitely selling me!!

            You make very good points. And I agree, we’ve probably seen Xander’s ceiling.

            I wasn’t really arguing that he should get a trade offer like Vlad. Jr., Tatis or Eloy. I was just saying that Bichette isn’t that caliber of player. But your comparison between Acuna and Gleyber makes me rethink this, especially considering Ralphy’s noted in-person analysis of watching Mr. Bichette.

            If Ralphy believes that Bichette is another Gleyber, then by all means Troutfisher, I’d do this deal!

            Ralphy, you win. SOLD!

  3. OaktownSteve says:
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    Hey guys. Don’t know if this works for you or not, but the guys over on fangraphs put a table of contents with the corresponding time in the recording in the notes for their podcasts. Sometimes if I’m researching a player I can jump directly to that segment.

    • goodfold2 says:
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      @OaktownSteve: where on their page, this sounds quite useful.

    • The Eye of Horus says:
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      @OaktownSteve: YES! I concur. It is very helpful to have a drop-in time. It is a little more work for you guys, but it is unbelievably helpful.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph says:
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      @OaktownSteve: We’ve done it before, but it’s one more thing in my plate. Someone wants to do it, be my guest and I’ll post it.

  4. goodfold2 says:
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    ok, got victor victor in a 30 teamer (start 25, 40 minors slots, first year it didn’t go up 5). 6 draft rounds. i got the 20th in all rounds, him in 1st round.

    1. another one of those 1st year player list merging with just a large overall list possible flubs. l.garcia PHI or victor victor as i actually HAD that choice (clearly this isn’t as bad as that time that i took kirilloff in his draft year when acuna was out there at around this same 1.20 or so spot, having even less info to go off back then for one big list vs 1st year player only list). still, who’s higher, l.garcia or victor to the 2nd? l.garcia back in the midseason 500 was 128th (behind the top 1st year guys such as victor victor now is) but l.garcia is now 1st overall at PHI.

    2. this year i DO have a BUNCH of resources to go off of though, your massive top 30 lists at your site, your massive 1st year list (and often i CAN figure out who’s over who overall by checking a team list and the 1st year list), your last year top 500 (outdated i’m sure somewhat now, but still it’s the closest thing to a DEEP master list), i’m running about 3 of your prospect podcasts a day (was behind due to football/hockey till last few weeks been catching up) lately most days, mike’s list, a bunch of nice lists compiled together at fantasy rundown etc. see where’d you’d slot these names roughly in the 1st year list (or top 500, obviously more roughly if that’s the case). for example i know e.montero is over nunez and i know where nunez is in the 1st year (WOW, remember when STL had no good CI prospects, now according to one list they have THREE top 17 or so 3B/1B guys), also hankins CLE is over oviedo barely and where hankins is in the 1st year. pitcher list.com has a pretty good october-made top 150 list, but of course i’ll need to go far deeper than that by round 3 or later.

    tirso O SD (83rd top 500 midseason, SD one of the few teams not put out yet at yours now)
    cal mitchell (75th top 500, 7th at PIT now)
    k.smith TOR, not mallrats (99th top 500, 6th TOR now)
    vargas LAD (not in 500, you have mentioned on podcasts though)
    rengifo LAA (124th, 6th LAA)
    looks like if i’m lucky i’ll get one of the above and/or montero/a.thomas ARI (highest 1st year guy left, 5th ARI)/k.smith with upcoming 2nd rounder (pick 56th overall).

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph says:
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      @goodfold2: We have our top 100s dropping soon. The Top 30s are prospect lists but not fantasy lists. For example I’d have Oviedo over Hankins.

      Of the bottom list I like Tirso.

      Victor Victor over Luis Garcia PHI as of now

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Ralph: you responded to somebody in the SF page (newest one) to that same effect, that the 1st year list is more fantasy relevant, which is good to know. i new it wasn’t an accident or time based when you’d see a guy lower here but higher here (also could’ve been that the 2 of you doing the 1st year list aren’t always the same as the team lists) this explains it. both oviedo/hankins went nearly back to back just before my pick (i probably wasn’t going pitcher yet anyway at 2.20). got that mallrats NJ guy, hopefully tirso be around in another couple of days. funny right as i’m listening to you discuss vavra he goes in draft.

        based on draft slots in real life i’ll guess gray rod SP BAL and roederer won’t be around then but they might be. tirso/cal mitchell probably more likely to be. bunch of other upsidey infielders probably will be around (carmona, jc encarnacion, rocchio (other CLE guys))

        • goodfold2 says:
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          @goodfold2: yep as i was typing that gray rod BAL left. rengifo (who i was nearly coin flipping 8 hours ago with smith) too. at least in these deep ass leagues you never have too hard of decisions with too many options when it’s finally yr turn.

          • goodfold2 says:
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            @goodfold2: hehehe, so it just “happens” that vavra AND l.gonz WSOX go to the same owner in a span of 6 picks right after this podcast mentions both in the span of about 20 minutes. so i might as well say HELLO NYM, might even talk to you more here than the league itself. whole league is glad you replaced the previous NYM, who routinely took 24-35 hours per pick and was near incommunicado with comish for weeks at a time.

  5. Tommy Herr says:
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    So glad baseball podcasts are heating up! I faabed keon broxton at the end of last year for a buck just to use my money. Do u think hes a decent shot in nl only now that hes likely the mets 4th outfielder? Could be another 20/20 potential if hes gonna get 400+ abs maybe bats .230+?

    Also what can u say about edmundo sosa the inf for the cardinals farm. Any chance he cracks a roster or is an injury away from a path to playing time??

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph says:
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      @Tommy Herr: Braxton has a shot, but I wouldn’t expect anything. Is there some upside for counting stats if he sees say 350-450 at bats? Hell yes, but we shouldn’t bet on it.

      • Tommy Herr says:
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        @Ralph: yeah i agree, shouldnt count on a # of atbats. But last year even with a horrendous .179 batting average in 78 atbats he had 4 homers and 5 stolen bases. If he bats .230 and can push 300+ maybe 400 atbats hes gonna be a super cheap source of bombs and swipes. Hopefully he gets off to a bit of a hot start so we can start to count on some of those atbats

  6. The Eye of Horus says:
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    Ralph-
    I’ve been a fan of your stuff and info for a long time. That’s why I have a mess-o’ prospects on my team in a dynasty 16-team H2H. I’m rebuilding, but what a machine it may be when we get going. My question is whether or not Coochie-Coochie Kikuchi should be on my radar or passed over. In our draft, I will possibly have a chance for Wander Franco, India, Gorman, Larnach, etc. along with Kikuchi. I’m thinking I should take one of those guys over Kikuchi if they fall to me, but I already have
    Acuna,
    Vlad Jr,
    Kris Bryant,
    Tatis,
    Kiriloff,
    Royce Lewis,
    Nate Lowe,
    and on the pitching side
    Nola,
    Kluber,
    Carrasco,
    Pivetta,
    Bieber,
    Bundy,
    Reynaldo Lopez
    and a lot of young prospects (Whitley, Touki, Josh James, Sixto, Triston McKenzie, Brusdar).

    All this is to say, I have way too many good prospects. Would you pass up another one like Franco, India, Gorman, etc. for Kikuchi or just load up one more? I’m tempted to load up one more, ‘cuz I’m a prospector. What are your thoughts? Again, thanks for what you do. I’m thrilled with your new found direction in PL.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph says:
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      @The Eye of Horus: Go and get Franco, that’s a huge get. He’s going to be Top 5 on most upcoming list…

  7. Ryan741 says:
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    Ralph, just a quick trade question in a H2H points keeper league. Working on a 2 for 1 keeper deal. I have 2 options, I can receive either Soto (13th round keeper) and Bauer (2nd round) or I can get Story (5th round) and Buehler (13th). I’m getting a 2nd round pick back in either deal, so I can essentially keep Bauer for free. Which side do you prefer?

  8. Harley Earl says:
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    Curious about the comment Eddy made on Keston Hiura being ranked 33rd. Is this ranking for a redraft league? I don’t see him being ranked that low in dynasty formats.

    So, I’m curious, where would Eddy rank Keston for a dynasty league format? Thanks, and great stuff, as usual!

    • And Now the Jon Lovitz Dancers! says:
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      @Harley Earl: hiura simply cannot be ranked 33rd overall in redrafts, but agreed seems too low for dynasty (at least if it’s a prospect only list).

    • Andrew says:
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      @Harley Earl: it was 33rd for a list of prospects that will contribute only this year. So like it’s a list of prospects for the purpose of redraft.

      • And Now the Jon Lovitz Dancers! says:
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        @Andrew: that’s possible, but seems low for this year only prospect list (albeit MIL is the exact kind of team to waste good players, tripling up on hitting slots and assuming their pitching coach can luck into career seasons from a bunch of bums like last year worked). it is possible he gets like 150 at bats or some such shit, which would make a 33rd rookie this year rank believable.

  9. Christopher Roy says:
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    Anyone in need of a deep league? We just had someone back out a few weeks prior to the NPD draft. 30 teams, 10 buyin, 25 roster 15 minors. H2h categories

    • Andrew says:
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      @Christopher Roy: It’s a startup and you haven’t drafted yet? I might be interested if that’s the case.

    • Andrew says:
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      @Christopher Roy: Not drafted yet? I might be down if still open

Comments are closed.