It’s the all blizzard podcast, as Lance and I dig out from a foot plus of snow. We took a quick break from shoveling to geek out over the very exciting Chicago White Sox Top Prospects. We jump right in with Eloy Jimenez, and a deeper discussion of just how good he can be. Next up is Michael Kopech, and a discussion of the improvements to his mechanics, and secondaries since the middle part of 2017. We then dive into Luis Robert, Dylan Cease, Zack Collins, Dane Dunning, and Jake Burger, before getting into a bigger discussion of some of these DH-Type hitters in the system. We hit the high points, the low points, and stop for a couple of Chi-Town dogs and an Italian beef before it’s all said and done. Finally, please make sure to support our sponsor by heading over to RotoWear.com and entering promo code “SAGNOF” for 20% off the highest quality t-shirts in the fantasy sports game. It’s the latest edition of the Razzball Fantasy Baseball Prospect Podcast:

 

Find all of the 30 Minor League Previews, and Offseason Rankings on the Minor League Index
On Twitter as @ProspectJesus

   
  1. Jose says:
    (link)

    Gabriel Arias is having a great game today Saturday (in Ausralia), throw 6+ ininings he is 4 for 4, with 3 RBIs. Raising his AVG to .271 with 5 HRs and 19 RBIs hitting out of 8th and 9th spots in the order. The clean up hitters has 21 RBIs.

    • Jose says:
      (link)

      @Jose:
      Arias grounded out to SS in the top of the 9th inning. His average dropped to .268.

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
        (link)

        @Jose: ARIAS ALL DAY ERRRDAY! Dat boy is good!

  2. goodfold2 says:
    (link)

    so now at pick 74 i have nabbed guzman, paredes and jo adell, pretty sick to get 3 top 100’s in a 30 at that juncture when draft started with only 20 of them available. going over the systems you’ll get to last, and it being january (god damn i hate early F’ing drafts, so little up to date info) i have these things to go off: tools listings at mlb.com where they are what around 7 months or so old, any of the sites listed at fantasy rundown, your last year stuff, and in particular minorleagueball as they do extensive posts, albeit, they are as far as you (11/30ths through). i’ve now got 15 1st year top 50’s left, plus a mix of your sleepers, some positional top list guys (mostly 2B and catcher with any depth though), and about 7 top 200 back end prospects from your midseason list (those i already asked about though). seeing if any of these would mix into the top 200 or better or roundabouts, i’ve left guys with B- or better, at least 50 or better in tools ratings overall, top 10 at BA, or good words from you in past to this list:
    WAS: w.crowe SP, perkins OF
    TOR: woodman OF, maese SP, olivares OF
    TEX: palumbo SP (BA gives him solid all over ratings), k.cody SP, enright 3B, drullard OF
    TB: wow, none, system is tapped out besides vargas (near 200th) and brujan (near 100th from previous post)
    STL: jose adolis garcia OF (longenhagen likes this guy, calls him a major league regular and ranks him 6th with a 55/50/60), hurst OF (sounds similar to arozarena, who was listed at 96th in midseason, assuming he fell a little at least back to around 180th?), helsley SP
    j.a. garcia sounds as tasty as those 2 CLE guys valera/capel

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @goodfold2: I would go Jose Adolis Garcia first. I spoke with Longenhagen for an hour the other night and he sold me on Garcia. My second choice would be Brujan. Of the above list those are the two names I’d like the most.

  3. Packers says:
    (link)

    Happy New Year Ralph.
    In a 12 team roto dynasty keep all but with only 6 reserves what side do you want?
    My Ohtani & K. Tucker or Acuna & Carrassco. Is it close?
    Thanks.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Packers: Acuna and Carrasco

  4. Matt says:
    (link)

    Question somewhat related to this system: I have the number 1 pick in my dynasty point leagues upcoming milb draft that is kinda a defacto otani. His arm thing scares me a little as does the fact that Espn may put him in their universe as two players and have him take up two roster spots.

    Would basing a trade around that #1 pick and kopech be reasonable? I’d probably ask for kopech, a third rounder, Corbin, and martes for the #1, an mlb pitch I wasn’t keeping (sims?), and an milb I wasn’t keeping (Adames is the last guy for me, Corey ray, or Holmes). Thoughts? Am I selling otani too low already?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Matt: If you get Kopech and something else of value I think you’ve done well. The injury threw a wet blanket over the Ohtani excitement.

  5. Jose says:
    (link)

    Ralph: Non prospect Question.
    What is your opinion of 2B Josh Harrison?
    I am looking for a 2B with a little pop , with no luck so far.
    There are some rumors that he may go to the Yankee. Would he be a starter over there?

    what kind of numbers would you expect for him in 2018?

    • Lance

      Lance says:
      (link)

      @Jose:
      Feels like a 200-250 overall kind of guy. Finished 244 last year overall in roto and had one of his better years so keep that in mind, there really isn’t room for him to jump up in value to me. Also keep in mind he has only played 135+ games once in his career.

      If he goes to NYY that’s only going to muddy his playing time, even if it’ll boost his stats because of that lineup.

      I think .270 15 HR, 10 SBs is a reasonable expectation.

      Who else are you looking at in that area of picks?

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
        (link)

        @Lance: Yeah I would think he could be sneaky in the Yanks lineup, if and only if, he’s their starter at 2B or 3B. Could produce a buttload of runs.

  6. Lance

    Lance says:
    (link)

    New audio set up>>>>>>>>

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
      (link)

      @Lance: It’s like you’re in the same room! – Grey Albright 2018

  7. Kluber Lang says:
    (link)

    Need a trade feeler. I have JD and a bit worried I might get only 120 games again from him. Got offered J.Upton and Dahl for JD. Is that worth it? Upton seems to be trending up. I could also stash Dahl on my minor league roster so he would not use up a keeper slot.

    This is also an OPS roto league.

    • Lance

      Lance says:
      (link)

      @Kluber Lang:
      Upton is trending up but I think it’s lineup based more than performance based; Dahl is an enigma.

      Speculating on injuries is a really tough thing to do. The decision goes back to how worried you are about JD, and how worried you are about JD relative to the general injury risk all players possess.

      That said, I would probably hold JD or ask for more. I think his 120 games could theoretically give you the same value than Upton at 140ish (he is 30 as well). This is almost exactly what occurred last year.

      Good luck.

  8. Winteriscoming says:
    (link)

    Acuna 25 bellinger 25 Hoskins 25 sano 25 moncada 25 ray 15 carrasco 7 JoRam 5 rizzo 2 lindor 1 – have to pick 5 for keeper league Who would you guys pick?

    • Lance

      Lance says:
      (link)

      @Winteriscoming:
      In a vacuum I’m going…

      Lindor 1 and Rizzo 2.

      Then I would probably combo JoRam 5, Bellinger at 25, and Carrasco 7. Leaves you some money to get any of the other guys back in auction (assuming you league is run that way).

      JoRam, Acuna in consideration as well. I don’t mind any combo of JoRam, Belly, Carrasco, Hoskins, Acuna really.

  9. goodfold2 says:
    (link)

    for long term value as a starter what’s best order out of these:
    – wil crowe WAS (is ranked fairly high at BA and got a 65/55/55/50/50 overall 50 at BA, actually i’m finding it hard to NOT find him in any WAS top 8 list at least) also he’s already had his 1st TJ, which by this point i’d think consensus would mostly agree is a good thing, esp when we’ve seen prosperity afterwards.
    – canning LAA (BA in the 2017 draft page had this guy 17th, tools 55/50/50/60/55, overall 55). so crowe has the much better fast, better curve and slider, much worse changeup and worse control, guessing the control led to the overall lower grade, guessing they value the more likelihood of starting/health to mean that. i’d think the upside of crowe would be better though.
    -y.almonte – who you like, but also 11th at COL. and sounds bullpeny risk. and of course COL.

    i know you have borucki (near 100) /barria (150-160) higher but at this stage of the draft guys drafted in top 2 2017 rounds are way more likely to be nabbed than close proximity #4-#5 types, and i have 5/6 of a decent this year rotation (sale/quintana/r.lopez/davies/urena). at same time the utter shit show that CI prospects are (only ones available now are vientos/sheets/rizzo/c.santana (LAD)/spanberger) so while i’d like to lock up some upside longer term SP guy(s), i probably have to nab one of those CI soon as there’s simply none left, few to start with. still tons of OF value to be had. can more likely get one of the floorbored-type SP with good proximity slightly later, maybe, and if not i already have these types (b.martin, yarbrough, a.smith). MI even has depth left compared to CI left.

    • goodfold2 says:
      (link)

      @goodfold2: scratch canning, he’s gone.

      • goodfold2 says:
        (link)

        @goodfold2: got vientos, damn scarcity. valera/solak went right after and before me.

        • goodfold2 says:
          (link)

          @goodfold2: flip s.jennings SP PIT into that. so crowe vs jennings vs almonte. BA shows decent tools, logenhagen has him decently ranked (10th) (jennings)

  10. sh says:
    (link)

    Ralph would you do any two of the following for the 2nd overall pick in the 1st year player draft.
    M.Keller,C.Stewart, K.Lewis, S.Gonsalves, Soroka or A.Riley.

    Thanks for any help.

    • Lance

      Lance says:
      (link)

      @sh:
      Hope you don’t mind me answering for Ralph here.

      Keller is who I would pick of that five, I have a feeling Ralph might agree.

      • Sh says:
        (link)

        @Lance: I was leaning towards keller. I am a riley fan as well. Thanks for the comfermation

  11. Swfcdan says:
    (link)

    Hi bud, are you buying Dahl being a big factor next year? Promoted him last year and he goes and puts up a big fat NOTHING, dah(l)!

    We only keep 8 year to year and he’d have to be one of mine (likely $3 for just 1 year). I could get DeGrom for him who could be kept another year for $21. Most ace type pitchers are already kept and I need one so would you go for it?

    • Swfcdan says:
      (link)

      @Swfcdan: And just downloaded your podcast ready for my cycle ride into work tommorow, love me some Eloy. Please no more snow gods!

      • Lance

        Lance says:
        (link)

        @Swfcdan:
        I see Dahl being a factor, don’t know if I would say “big factor”.

        Fangraphs currently has him at 130 games with a projection that puts him near what a slightly watered down Chris Taylor looked like in 2018, which is around 100-overall value, or around there. I think that’s a little bit bullish, but I like their optimism.

        Rockies have options as well, even if Desmond is full-time 1B.

        Was just reading this column that Dahl is finally pain free and started hitting off a tee about 3 days ago. This can be taken two ways: 1) His is hitting off a tee! 2) He is just hitting off a tee???

        https://www.denverpost.com/2018/01/04/david-dahl-takes-swings-after-injury-rockies/

        I’m most concerned with the fact that he didn’t play last year. Coming back to full-season workload is something that, even at 23, can cause some rust to accumulate, his injury was also just so odd.

        Best advice would be to wait as long as possible before making this call and see how quickly Dahl progresses.

        At the moment I would probably take deGrom for $21 and the extra year. But wouldn’t blame you if you like living on the edge.

        • Swfcdan says:
          (link)

          @Lance: Great answer Lance! You can answer mine around here anytime haha.

  12. Peter says:
    (link)

    Do you have any creative solutions for inactive managers? I’m in a 14 team 18-cat money league with guys that have know each other for a while, but a couple of teams average less than 10 FA pick ups per season, don’t change their lineups, and the like. But we don’t want to boot them because we’re all friends. Any thoughts?

    • Lance

      Lance says:
      (link)

      @Peter:
      A couple – I’m guessing two? – out of 14, in my opinion, isn’t a lot of dead weight in a league, especially if it’s a hometown-style one.

      My hometown league is usually 12 and we usually have 4 fall off completely by midseason and then another 2ish when football starts. It’s a pain, but it’s the same group of guys that I play football, basketball fantasy leagues with.

      But I get your want for a solid league, that’s always the goal.

      For category leagues, I would consider adding in a weekly payout for something, biggest win per week, most categories won, to keep them engaged. It’ll shrink end of year payout, but I think category and points league playoffs are fluky to start.

      Unfortunately, I can’t guarantee that will work. The best way to get somebody engaged in a league is to make them care about the sport itself more; I’ve noticed this worked with a few of my buddies. The more we talked about baseball with them in season, the more activity we saw.

      I don’t have anything more creative than that, sorry! Google around for some other tricks, I’m sure this is a consistent issue in leagues.

Comments are closed.