What’s the plural for adonis?

Adoni? Adonai? 

Adonisse, in the German, apparently.

Here’s hoping you’ve got a fantasy team full of Adonisse. 

Houston RHP Luis Garcia looked excellent in Coors field, settling down after a lead off walk to Raimel Tapia during which the umpire appeared to forget it was his job to call the strikes. Undeterred by the non-existent strike zone Garcia proceeded to mix his pitches across five shutout innings. In the sixth, he got a couple outs, gave up a couple hits, and was relieved by RHP Bryan Abreu, who promptly allowed a base-clearing double. He’s still on the outside looking in at that Astro rotation—Tuesday’s having been a spot start for a queasy Lance McCullers Jr.—but Garcia is easily one of Houston’s five best pitchers and will get plenty of innings in 2021. 

The other Garcia in question today, Texas OF Adolis G, was acquired from St. Louis on December 18 of 2019 in exchange for Cash Considerations. 

Considerations had just slashed .297/.408/.472 as a 23-year-old in AA, so he seemed like a fair swap for the then-26-year-old Garcia coming off a 32 HR, 14 SB season at AAA. Garcia had struck out 30.1 percent of the time that season, while Considerations K’d about half that much throughout his minor league life. 

Sorry, I couldn’t find the actual number. I’m guessing Garcia went for $200,000 or something. Maybe five. Maybe much less than that. Interesting call on the Cardinals’ part. 

I’m not saying Garcia is about to hit 30 bombs in the big leagues, or that we’ll soon have another former redbird stud outfielder roaming the grass somewhere other than the midwest, but I do find it interesting to see them bursting onto the fantasy scene for other clubs. 

One way I have always disagreed with the Cardinals and Cubs: I lean toward shopping the players other people like most if I have two similar assets. Is Tyler O’Neill better than Adolis Garcia? I mean . . . I guess so? 

Could the Cards have gotten more than Cash Considerations if they put O’Neill on the block during that roster crunch in the winter of 2019? Perhaps not, but he had just produced a decent line (.262/.311/.411) in 151 major league plate appearances. 

I get it though. They liked one guy more than the other. It’s important to have a good feel for your own guys, and some teams are really good at this. Cough cough Tampa Bay cough cough. I’m pretty good at this with my own fantasy teams, especially in terms of projecting young players’ futures. Not trying to pat my own back. Just have 20+ years of success in this area. Even so, I do not know what is going to happen, and I know that for a fact. It’s really the only fact we’re working with in making fantasy baseball predictions. We cannot know. 

And that’s the whole reason for this jog, as far as our game goes. I’m sure it’s different for the real front offices, but I feel like embracing that unknowability as a variable gives me an edge in the marketplace. Prospect pedigree means very little to me, when held up against what’s happening on the field before my eyes. 

If there’s more profit to be made selling a player other people like and betting on an undervalued player I like more than the echo chamber, that’s what I’ll do. Even if I could somehow know the future from a certain moment in time, people change. People make decisions that surprise even themselves. People dedicate themselves to their crafts in ways that are unpredictable.

One such player with echo chamber trade value despite offering much the same stats as a lot of readily available players is Cincinnati 2B Jonathan India

The window to sell might be closing fast, but I just saw him flipped for LHP Will Smith in a 15-team dynasty and thought that was an immense return for a player slashing .283/.352/.348 at the time with zero home runs or stolen bases. 

India is a useful example of the echo chamber’s influence over our game. Here’s a prospect scouts have been bashing his whole pro career, but one who a lot of fantasy pundits liked a lot anyway. The second they could feel vindicated in their love for India, they went all out in tweets and podcasts and articles to declare victory and tout this prospect everyone should’ve been loving all along. 

“See how right I turned out to be!?”

“Give me some love for being right!” 

This constant self back-patting is not only juicing the mute quotient in my Twitter timeline but also has a real impact on player valuation around the fantasy game. 

Reality might catch up eventually, but the first lie always carries more weight than the next 100 corrective truths. Sell high might as well be coined sell the first lie. 

Arizona RHP JB Bukauskas made his debut during the postponed game Tuesday night and will pick up a W if the DBacks can secure the win when play resumes Wednesday. Go get him if he’s available in your league. Not many contenders in that bullpen, and Bukauskas has the best relief arsenal in that entire organization. 

Speaking of dominant pitch mixes, Cleveland called up 6’6” LHP Sam Hentges before Saturday’s game. A starter in the minors who could hold high nineties heat deep into his outings, Hentges could be a wipe out option in a bullpen bursting with them. Might even challenge Clase for velo king of the mountain. 

RHP Camilo Doval appears to have entered the late inning picture in San Francisco even faster than I anticipated. Wouldn’t be shocked to see him sharing the big chair at some point this season.

Minnesota OF Alex Kirilloff is coming up any day now, I think, for the third time, largely because everyone in Minnesota is sick or injured. 

Will Seattle OF Jarred Kelenic join him? Seattle’s got plenty of options. I suspect he’ll be in the waiting room until June. 

Oakland 1B OF Seth Brown is finally getting a little extended run, and he’s doing fine so far. The club released OF Ka’ai Tom partly due to Brown looking like he belongs and Steven Piscotty coming back from paternity leave. When the A’s sold Khris Davis to the Rangers, Brown enjoyed a little stock boost on the strength of roster resources declaring him the starting designated hitter. Then Oakland signed Mitch Moreland off the freebie pile, but as these things typically do, talent should win out here, long term. Brown’s no superstar, but he was 2-for-2 with a walk and the game-winning hit in Tuesday’s nightcap, further proving himself as a competent big league bat making the minimum on a team that needs exactly those types of assets. 

Thanks for reading!

I’m @theprospectitch on Twitter.

 
  1. Jimmy says:
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    Hey Itch!….Brandon Marsh and Nico Hoerner floating on the wire in my 18 team dynasty league….thinking of dropping Luplow and Calhoun for them ….thoughts when they might arrive?

    • The Itch

      The Itch says:
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      Hey Jimmy!

      Nico was something like 37 service days to turn the clock back a year.

      Marsh is kind of a wait-and-see situation. Hopefully we get a look in AAA. Even though Maddon seems to be, let’s say, not the world’s biggest Jo Adell fan, I still think he’s next in line.

      • Oddball Herrera says:
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        I thought this was a particularly brazen move by the Cubs after the Bryant fiasco. This is why I think he won’t come up right at day 37 even if he should.

  2. Hamporter says:
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    Itch,

    I actually have that dilemma now. 16 team H2H points league. We lose points for strike outs. My OF is currently Robert, McKinstry, Soler, and Calhoun with Kepler on the IL. I have O’Neil on the IL, but was debating dropping him for Garcia or Renfroe to have as a backup outfielder, or to plug in between Soler cold streaks. Daza and Seth Brown have been playing well too. What are your thoughts?

    Thanks!

    • The Itch

      The Itch says:
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      Timing of the universe, I suppose.

      I’d actually bet on Brown among this group.

  3. Giacomo Guidozzi says:
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    When will Brujan arrive in MLB?

    • The Itch

      The Itch says:
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      Rays are so tough to predict. Could literally happen as I’m typing. Might not happen until 2022.

  4. Giacomo82 says:
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    When do you think Vidal Brujan will get the call?

    • The Itch

      The Itch says:
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      My insta-gut-guess is mid June.

  5. Harper Better Than Trout says:
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    Hey.

    Who do you think has the highest chance of making an impact for my team this year?

    Jo Adell
    Kirilloff
    Drew Waters
    Deivi Garcia

    Also, who do you think are the top 5-10 rookies prospects to pick up for this year?

    • The Itch

      The Itch says:
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      Kirilloff

      You mean like, stashes in redraft?

      Kirilloff
      Kelenic
      Wander
      Gore
      Downs
      Duran
      Gilbert

      something like that I think off the top of my dome

      Prospects in general? Ke’Bryan Hayes.

      Under the radar guys? I think Seth Brown is headed for a big stretch.

  6. toolshed says:
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    So you believe kiriloff is coming up any day now. I have held him in a redraft league. I thought he was going to be in their opening day lineup when I did this draft. I was considering moving on since he wasn’t called up yesterday with Kepler going on the covid list. I took it as the twins being cheap and also he wasn’t ready. He had a bad spring. Thanks

    • The Itch

      The Itch says:
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      Yeah I think they might’ve risked the new CBA contract stuff if he’d been hot in spring, but he kinda settled that for him. He probably needs to be hitting at the alt site to move him up, and we can’t really track that in any effective way from our distance.

      They called him up as the 27th man, so they seem pretty ready to me.

  7. Slimcompoop says:
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    “Will Seattle OF Jarred Kelenic join him? Seattle’s got plenty of options. I suspect he’ll be in the waiting room until June.”

    Seattle has Haniger and Lewis in the OF. Yes, Trammell is up, but he’s a 4th OF at best right now with the big club. Jose Marmolejos is a pinch hitter.

    Kelenic will be up by or on April 30th.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yes, please

    • buckler says:
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      Crossing finger puppets with Grey. I get Kyle Lewis back just as Sexy Dr Pepper and Santander go on IL….Springer on IL and will likely have some other funky setback during his rehab….so I’d be more than happy to plug in the kid. No, now I’m convinced it won’t be until June *rolls window down, sticks head out, waits for oncoming bus to end the misery, bus swirvs into other lane while locust flies into open mouth*

      • The Itch

        The Itch says:
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        I like the locust touch

        chef’s kiss on that

    • The Itch

      The Itch says:
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      Yeah I hope I’m wrong on this suspicion.

      They want him to get some minor league at bats. I mean that’s their story and they’re sticking to it, I think.

      And if Trammell produces enough to keep his head above water, he’s a passable 3rd for a month or so and Marms is a decent fourth for that same time frame.

      An injury anywhere on the infield might open a path for him, too, but then there’s Shed Long and Frail Jakey coming back at some point too.

      • The Itch

        The Itch says:
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        I mean an injury at third or second would move France off DH, though maybe France is hurt too. Bummer.

  8. Joseph Busby says:
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    Great article.

    Kelenic !!!!

    • The Itch

      The Itch says:
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      Thanks, Joseph Busby!

  9. rhodyballer says:
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    Does Vaughn matter anymore?

    • The Itch

      The Itch says:
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      wow that’s a tough one

      Shallow leagues, yikes, maybe not a whole lot

      Super talented bat though. A little warmth might help a guy who’s played on the West Coast a while. More regular playing time too. And perhaps not learning a new position on the fly. But there’s the rub.

  10. Harley Earl says:
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    Itch!!!!

    Love that you brought up Adolis Garcia today. Wanted to throw in my two cents since I saw Garcia about as many times as I saw Arozarena when they were in Memphis (Triple-A). They looked the same to me and I saw them many times.

    Now I’m not saying Adolis is going to explode or blow up like Arozarena has, but I do believe there’s a bat that can hit major league pitching fairly well there. I literally considered them equals and both pretty good players at the time. Of course, the Cardinals then go and trade them both for nothing. So, please, tell me, how does John Mozeliak keep his job?

    • The Itch

      The Itch says:
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      What up, Harley Earl!?

      At some, it stretches the bounds of reality. How can one org see so many outfielders come through their doors yet have so few on the field?

  11. Dong Show says:
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    Itch, just great work as always!

    Dynasty question: Trevor Rogers for Jazz.

    Is that fair and which side do you like longer term?

    I always have a hard time keeping pitching and I love Rogers, but my long term needs at 2b might be happening soon. I own Whit now and have Solak as a reserve, but he doesn’t have one standout tool, just decent at everything which is a plus. I just don’t know how special Rogers is because young pitching tends to scare me. Jazz looks to be insane right now and might be headed for a top 3-5 guy at the position.

    Should I hold Rogers or is Jazz worth….well, all that Jazz.

    Appreciate any feedback you can provide!!

    • The Itch

      The Itch says:
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      Thanks, Dong Show!

      I’d take Jazz for sure

      • Dong Show says:
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        Appreciate it Itch!

      • Dylan says:
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        Hey Itch,

        I got a better one for you. In my deep keeper points league, I was just offered Blake Snell for Jazz Chisholm. I’ve been rostering Jazz for the past two years now so I have some strings attached, but seeing a trade offer come through for an early season struggling ace makes me salivate. Please let me know what you think!

  12. Dylan says:
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    Hey Itch!

    I saw your response to Dong Show about Jazz for Rogers, but I’ll do you one better. In my deep keeper points league, I was just offered Blake Snell for Jazzy. I’ve been holding on to Jazz for two years now, but seeing a trade offer for an ace really makes me want to pull the trigger. I want to know what you think!

    Thanks!

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