Ah yes, May. The month of mothers and flowers and regretting the guy you dropped in your fantasy league in the first week of April. I, for one, was born at the Central London Hatchery and Conditioning Center, so every year I just send a Mother’s Day card there and hope it gets to the right lab technician. My ninety-five identical twins and I have been tirelessly combing the minor leagues for the prospects that could potentially receive a call to the majors this month. Cling to your chicken-wire and terrycloth milk dispenser and enjoy the fruits of our labor.
Nick Senzel, CIN – As reported by my superior officer Grey this morning, Senzel should be up in the next week. That is, if you believe what the Reds tell you. I don’t believe what anyone tells me, especially my doctor. I don’t care how big the mole gets, I won’t be using that poisonous sunscreen. Pray the rays away. If you own Senzel, you’re hoping for power and average on arrival. If you’re me, you’re hoping this article gets enough comments that Grey will let me walk the grounds unsupervised.
Yordan Alvarez, HOU – Alvarez has been tearing up Triple-A. While there is indeed no starting job open for him in Houston, injuries do happen, especially when your name is Michael Brantley. Water finds its level, and hitters like Alvarez find a job. Likely already gone in AL-only formats, it may (see what I did there?) be time to stash this guy in redrafts as well. April Stats: .347/.443/.867, 11 HR, 14%BB, 19%K
Cavan Biggio, TOR – Toronto recently called up Junior, but the bigger story might be how they’re performing with what looked to be a terrible lineup. The Jays are getting just enough from the likes of Tellez, Smoak, Galvis, and Drury to rank third in the AL East with a record one game above par. So, like Alvarez, the question becomes playing time and regular at-bats in the majors. But again, like Alvarez, Biggio has shown that he is ready and should force a hand either this month or next. April Stats: .361/.495/.625, 5 HR, 3 SB, 22%BB, 17%K
Luis Urias, SDP – Surprisingly, Urias did not begin April on the starting roster, but has played well in Triple-A and, more recently, has gone on a tear with five homers in his last four games. Urias coming back up to the majors (he spent about a dozen games with the big club last month) is inevitable. One of the important lessons from his performance this past week is that this young man can indeed hit for power, maybe more than we originally thought. April Stats: .364/.435/.891, 7 HR, 1 SB, 8%BB, 21%K
Oscar Mercado, CLE – If your team is hungry for steals, Mercado may be an answer relatively soon. He stole 37 last year in AAA and 38 the year before in AA. Here’s what I said in the offseason: “I’m near Cleveland and watch the Indians regularly and I can tell you that their outfield roster is kinda…weird. It wouldn’t surprise me at all to see Mercado get a shot at some point, maybe even battling with Allen in spring training.” Here we are on May 1st and I’m not sure the outfield situation has significantly improved. April Stats: .302/.394/.500, 2 HR, 10 SB, 10%BB, 23%K
Zac Gallen, MIA – On to the pitchers. Playing for the AAA New Orleans Baby Cakes (I know), Gallen has struck out 38 batters in just over 33 innings pitched. He’s allowed just three earned runs and five walks. Total. With Miami already occupying the basement of the NL East at 8-21 and Gallen visibly yawning on the mound between pitches in the minors, the stars seem to be aligned for a call.
Dylan Cease, CWS – Through 24 innings for AAA Charlotte, Cease has struck out 30 and walked seven with a 3.33 ERA. When you look at the White Sox depth chart, the starting rotation is, well, not exactly set in stone. Will the Pale Hose give Cease a look? Will I ever dance again? These are the unanswerable questions I grapple with every waking moment.
@Mike: you stashing alvarez in redraft leagues? or is he more of a september call up?
thanks….thats what i was hoping youd say. whoos upside ya head…..
Wow mike your the best man. Love these updates
I want to rebuild a team I took over in a 14 team 12 keeper league. Team isn’t too good this year.
Who are two or three guys I should be stashing for 2020 and beyond?
If I have to have them stashed for a year or two, that’s fine. I already have Alvarez and Honeywell stashed.
I’d want Franco and Lewis for that window.
Sorry, dynasty league. Have a great weekend!
I send Eduardo Escobar and get back Austin Hays and Odor. My team is about 2 years from competing.
Is that a good enough return for Escobar?
You too! Yup, solid.
Appreciate it bud, have a great weekend.
Hey Mike. I’m trying to figure out why Alvarez is the most added player today according to Yahoo roster trends. I know he’s been raking, but that usually doesn’t happen unless there’s been at least a whisper of an imminent callup. Thoughts?
They are most likely calling up a “26th player” for this weekend’s series. That would be my guess.
He’s not on the 40 though so I doubt it’ll be him.
Agreed. But even if they did, he’d go right back down…
Thanks, Mike. I love your columns. In an Ottoneu 5×5, I need 1B help. What do you think about a $1 Cristian Pache and $1 Ke’Bryan Hayes for $2 Josh Bell?
Thanks! I dig that. Big fan of Bell.
Great stuff as always. Thoughts on Alec Hansen and David Peterson? Hansen is apparently working in relief these days, time to cut bait? And how close do you think Peterson is to the majors? Someone cut Lazaro Armenteros in my 12 team dynasty league with 15 man MiLS rosters, my plan is to either cut Hansen for Armenteros, or promote Peterson (I’m not contending and already have guys like Alvarez, Tucker, Hiura, Keller and Mateo on my big league roster), just wanted to get your thoughts.
I don’t think Peterson is particularly close, so I’d say cut Hansen to free up the slot.
Hey Mike, great stuff here. Grey should give you a longer leash!
How do you feel about stashing Gallan or Cease over Alex Reyes and Julio Urias in a 12 team points keeper league where you keep 13 out of 20 roster spots?
Any of the batters over either of Reyes or Urias? Pitching is at a premium in this league.
haha thanks! At this point you have to think of Reyes and Urias as relievers, but I prefer Urias over Reyes. I would want Senzel over all, but if pitching value is that skewed in your league I guess your best bet is to either ride Urias or stash Cease.
WRT Luis Urias, he hit 6 homers in a 5 game series at Las Vegas…with the juiced ball, that stat is meaningless IMO. All these PCL power #s are now suspect with the juiced ball being used in AAA.
Correct. The juiced ball is an issue across the league. As long as we are comparing apples to apples among AAA players, I think strong performances are still worthy of recognition. I think Urias does in fact have more power than most give him credit for, with or without a juiced ball.
Fyi Alvarez has a 30 grade for fielding ability LOL! Houston loves Gurriel for whatever reason, so 1B is out. Alvarez is absolutely NOT capable of playing in the outfield.
Ah yes, but my main point was that good enough hitters often make their way despite other failings. Alvarez has been a good example of adjusting and succeeding. I try to avoid absolutes, they are indeed loud but often not very helpful.
But, J.T. White has pretty much sucked ballz. I could easily see Alvarez stealing his PA’s.
Could you please rank for long term value in a K/9 league: Luzardo, Gore, Mize, Cease, Pearson, Puk, Reyes, Canning?
Luzardo, Cease, Mize, Gore, Pearson, Puk, Reyes, Canning
how far away do you think sean murphy is from the bigs? i thought for sure he would make this list.
Considered, but I think he’s more appropriate for the June list.
Great work Mike. I appreciate the prospect information.
If you do have a suspicious mole, get to the dermatologist. May is skin cancer awareness month.
I’m in a 10 team H2H keeper, keeping up to 10. I kept Vlad last year, Acuña the year before, looking ahead to 2020, do you think anyone will reach the Acuña/Vlad level of helium/high floor/high ceiling? Thanks.
Thanks! Luckily I was just kidding.
Royce Lewis could be that guy.
Phew! I don’t like being “that guy,” however having kicked Melanoma’s ass twice has provided a different perspective.
Do you think Senzel will see some time at 2B? I’m hoping he’ll be my 2B off of the future.
Oh wow. I’m glad to hear you beat it! My gram lost her nose to that shit. Eff cancer.
For Senzel, yes I think it’s a possibility. Not sure where he “ends up” but 2B should be an option.
Who do you like more long term in a dynasty league …
Garrett Hampson or Cole Tucker?
Canning or Gallen?
Would you stash Alvarez for what he will do in 2019 or Kiriloff for that he will do in 2020?
They’re about equal. I prefer Gallen.
I like Kiriloff more overall.
13 team dynasty roto with defensive stuff added (putouts, double plays, assists, OF assists, fielding %, hits, doubles, triples, BB’s and OPS for hitters, complete games, shutouts, double plays, holds, K/9, relief wins, pickoffs, QS for pitchers. 10 man prospect slots on separate stash rosters and up to 10 NA stashed on team as well and infinite DL’s (and suspended guys can go into fake stash rosters as well)
C OBP wolf
3B bregman (SS)
IF (1) devers (3B)
LF mcclutchin’ (RF)
RF choo (LF)
OF (1) brocktune (RF/LF)
util (1) bellinger (1B/RF/LF)
BN (we have deep total benches, and 1800 innings max): principal blackman (CF/RF), posey C/1B (could just drop him here easily, stream a 2nd catcher if/when needed), ceager (SS), renfroe (LF/RF)
hitter prospects: l.garcia (WAS), vientos, o.cruz, valera, b.thompson, x.edwards, varsho, mejia, larnach, trammell, florial, k.lee, w.calhoun, brujan
SP: glasnow, V2, fried, ryu, maeda, gibson, bassett, rodon the monster
RP (7): g.holland, k.herrera, colome, kela, pressly, kenley, osuna
DL: a.wood, archer
pitching prospects: graterol, luzardo, touki, n.pearson, duplantier, mize
got an offer of machado for my devers + andujar, is that enough or try to get a bit more in that? machado isn’t a whole lot older than those 2, 4 years older than andujar and around 3ish older than devers (or i have that backwards, i know the times are right though as i looked them up yesterday)
the ROS rater says this is near tie (if we use andujar’s per at bat numbers for OPS), but obviously dynasty and i can’t often use both of devers + andujar as is. grey says machado.
I’d go with Machado.
Any word on Honeywell’s elbow injury?
I couldn’t find anything new since I think the 14th or so? Just shelved with elbow “soreness”. Hoping it’s nothing.
pitcher who could most likely become a keeper for next year? 15 team keep 11
He would compete with the likes of Hendricks, Lucchessi, N Lowe, L Urias, Chavis for the last couple of spots
That’s a great list. I’d put my money on Honeywell or Cease.
Thanks for the write-up Mike. Good stuff as always.
Anytime. Thank you!
Dynasty team : Honeywell or Cease?
Tough choice. They were 19 and 20 in my rankings…edge to Honeywell.
What are your thoughts on Triston Makenzie? I know he was injured and stock has fallen.
I traded Madbum for Triston and a 1st. We have a prospect list so those players dont need to be added until they reach 50ip. Good deal? Or wasted prospect?
Still like him a lot and Tribe has had success developing arms. Not a bad trade, especially if you’re trying to get younger.
If I’m going to sit on one AAA NL East pitcher in a deep dynasty would you keep the faith in Pivetta, or go for Gallen?
I’d rather have Pivetta there, but it’s close.
Hearing Pivetta to the bullpen. Reports say he has trouble 3rd time thru a lineup. That and the guys in the rotation not pitching bad seems like a speed bump or road block to the rotation.
Dang. Thanks for the info Philly!
How do you feel about Austin Hays? I’ve been waiting for him to get his chance for what seems like forever. Could he be better than many of these prospects everyone is talking about?
He’s apparently headed to extended spring training this week and then on to AAA after that. Can’t be too far off!
I like him in deeper formats. He’s more of a defense first type, which should get him an everyday gig, but I’m not sure he’ll be the offensive stud we like in fantasy.
I don’t know if I missed a previous post, but what are your thoughts on Luis Robert? From the video that I have seen and his video game numbers, he looks to be the real deal.
The jury is still out… he’s going to AA, but man, the slam and the legs look real.
Love him. Could be up later this summer if he smokes AA like he did Advanced A.
10 team dynasty h2h 5×5 OBP league 7 Minors spots
Having trouble in pitching would you drop gavin lux to grab loiasiga? We can hold player in Minors spot until they reach 50 IP even if theyre in MLB.
Other Minors eligible arms i can wait and see on Trent thornton, canning, matt manning, brenday mckay who i really like
If you need immediate help in that area sure. I prefer Manning and McKay to Loaisiga long term.
I have Kyle tucker stashed. It looks like he may be leapfrogged by Alvarez. Do I hold tucker or move on to Alvarez or somebody else. Same problem with Alvarez is the depth of the Houston roster. Thanks
Tough one. Tucker still has the better pedigree but I don’t see him beating Alvarez to the bigs if this year is your primary concern.
Is Bryan Reynolds for real? 9 game hitting streak to start his MLB career is pretty impressive…
I guess it depends. He’s not this good, but he also has at least average tools across the board, so .275 with 12-15 homers and a handful of steals isn’t crazytown.
I added Alvarez last week and have been looking at Mercado, not really sure what Cleveland is waiting for
Anytime. Yeah should be soon on Mercado.
I’m pretty skeptical about rookies on the whole, no matter what Baseball America ranks them. But long term, do you have any strong thoughts on what to anticipate from Alvarez? Is he a cornerstone in a keeper league? Like a top 25 or 50 guy year in/out?
I think it depends on whether the approach carries over. If he can keep that K% under 20? Sure it’s possible. He slashed about 5% off it from last year and I think that’s at least partly why we’re seeing this surge (better selection of pitches to drive, better discipline not to chase, etc.)
Right on. Was wondering when/if I should stash him in a limited 6 player keeper. But it doesn’t sound like he’d be worth carrying over into 2019 ahead of others. Thanks man!
No problem…yeah not with limited keepers like that.
Good stuff Mike, thanks for the heads up!
Just picked up Urias to stash this morning for $2. When he comes up, he likely sticks as the everyday 2B as long as he shows a pulse with the bat right?
Thanks! Yes I think so. I think the Pads see him and Tatis as their future at MI.
Next time maybe put positions in there too for noobs like me who never heard of half these guys.
Thanks! Good suggestion.