I was clicking buttons on YouTube last night when I came across Freerunning. Man, those videos are so mesmerizing, especially with the music and slow-motion graphics. After the third video, I considered myself a Freerunning expert. I knew how to run. I knew how to jump. I understood that E=mc2. I was good at math so I could calculate the proper angles and such. After tying my shoes, I kicked open the screen door and jumped on top of the porch fence to vault myself onto the sidewalk. Beep….Boop……Bop……”911, what’s your emergency?” I’ve fallen and I can’t get up. The amazing things we see being done on tv are the result of years of practice and honing a craft. What makes them more fantastic is the effortless nature with which they are done. To the point that you and I often think that we could pull off the same feats. For most things in life, though, patience and persistence are good guides. You want to practice and/or perform due diligence before committing to anything. Fantasy baseball is no different. Patrick Wisdom of the Chicago Cubs has taken the league by storm recently. He’s hit seven home runs in 40 plate appearances and has been added in 44.3% of ESPN leagues. Refrain and show some Wisdom or is the Wisdom in riding the horse until it rides no more?

Wisdom is 29 years old, 6′ 2″, and 200 pounds. He plays 1B/3B and bats from the right side. Grey wrote about him HERE and HERE and HERE. Choose Your Adventure – a Razzball production.

He was drafted by the St. Louis Cardinals in the first round of the 2012 MLB Draft. He hit 31 home runs in Triple-A during the 2017 season while he had two seasons with over 11 stolen bases. He made his MLB debut in 2018 and produced four home runs and two stolen bases with a .260/.362/.520 slash and a .260 ISO. The walk rate was 10.4% while the strikeout rate was 32.8%.

He was traded to the Texas Rangers in December of 2018. In Triple-A, he hit 31 home runs and stole eight bases in 453 plate appearances. The slash was .240/.332/.513 with a .273 ISO. The walk rate was 11.7% while the strikeout rate was 27.6%.

In August of 2020, Wisdom signed a minor league contract with the Cubs. In 34 plate appearances in Triple-A, he had three home runs and one stolen base with a 17.6% walk rate and 35.3% strikeout rate. The ISO was .400 while the slash was .160/.353/.560. The BABIP was only .091, though.

The power is real and he’s always shown the capacity to take his walks. The strikeout rate is an issue and the batting average will rarely be high.

So far this season, the slash is .389/.450/1.028 with a .639 ISO! The walk rate is 10% while the strikeout rate is 37.5%. He’s not going to have a .639 ISO and the batting average is fueled by a .500 BABIP, so let’s get that regression is going to come out of the way.

Let’s dig in to see if we can glean anything for the future.

The HR/FB is 58.3% so…..uh, yeah. That’s not sustainable. Wisdom hasn’t had a GB/FB rate of 1 since rookie ball in 2016 and in the prior MLB stints he had fly ball rates of 45.5% and 38.7%. The launch angle has been at least 17% in every MLB season so hitting the ball into the air is what he does. That’s good for home run prospects going forward.

When he makes contact, he smashes the ball. The average exit velocity is 98.5 mph while the max is 111.5 mph. He had an average exit velocity of 94.3 mph back in 2019 while he had a max of 112.2 mph back in 2018, so this is not unchartered territory. The barrel rate is 38.1% so there’s going to be regression there for sure.

I’m all about the plate discipline numbers so I’m curious to see what I find. The swinging strike rate is 16.9%. That number has always been high for him. If he qualified, that’d put him in the top 10. The chase rate is only 25% so that’s really good to see. That correlates with the high walk rate. The swing percentages also look good as he swings at 76.1% of pitches in the zone and 43.6% in general. That’d place him in the top 25 and bottom 30 respectively.

The contact rates are where things get gross. In the zone, it’s at 68.5% while he has a 61.2% contact rate in general. For perspective, Joey Gallo has the worst contact rate in the zone at 70.1%. That said, Gallo has 10 home runs on the season with four stolen bases. The batting average is only .207, though, and it’s been above .210 only once in his career.

The big component for me is the playing time for Wisdom. A player like Gallo is firmly entrenched in the heart of the lineup. Wisdom is not, and was only called up due to the Matt Duffy injury. What happens when he returns from the IL? If Wisdom continues hitting home runs, then Sal Goodman. But he’s not and some serious regression is coming his way. When the strikeouts accumulate and the home runs dry up, I don’t see how he’s given a leash to bat through it. Duffy doesn’t have the power that Wisdom possesses but the slash is .278/.377/.356 for him with the walk rate at 10.4% and strikeout rate at 17%. TRASH

 
  1. this ain't no disco says:
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    Does anyone know whats going on with razzslam satellites on nfbc. No point totals or league updates in a week or so. Are they shut down??

    • Son

      Son says:
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      No idea. I did notice that last week. Sad

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      I’ll email the NFBC guys and see what’s up. Thanks for the heads up!

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      Turns out the scoring periods were still set to 2020 parameters for the shortened season.

      They’ve corrected it for the full season now and it should be reflected in the standings within the hour.

      • this ain't no disco says:
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        Thank you

      • Son

        Son says:
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        You are the Donkey!!!

  2. scoboticus says:
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    Thank you for your Wisdom. Saved me an errant pickup!

  3. Son

    Son says:
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    Ha. Well done!

  4. Mr. Hooper

    Mr. Hooper says:
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    Nice one, Son, but this is not the news I was looking for. I’ve got 1B issues with Moustakas, Voit and Kiriloff. Picked up Patrick to play the corner and hoped I’d solved a problem. At least I know to bail when the wheels come off

    • Son

      Son says:
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      Ha! I hope he stays hot for you then

  5. Dude says:
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    It’s foolhardy to doubt Wisdom.

    • Son

      Son says:
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      Ha. Could be

  6. Ante Galic says:
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    SON!!!

    Sonny, Sonny, Sonny, can’t you see!!!!!!

    a. Have Wisdom in a trade with Sano for Olson.. My proposal that’s why it hasn’t been accepted. The trade expires tomorrow at 06h00 EST, will let you know.

    b. Terrible how Wisdom has been screwed around so much since 2018 even!!! Does he have a ‘punch me’ target on his back? ‘Member that from the 80s? I also farted into a zip lock bag and then popped the bag on someone’s head. I will still suffer for doing that into my next lifestyle.

    c. Hope you are good man.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Son

      Son says:
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      Galic! Long time my man.

      a. Good luck sir
      b. Ha! karma’s a b. i. t. c. h. You gonna pay for that one. That’s nasty.
      c. All good in Son land. Hope the same for you

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Sorry for monopolizing Ante’s time

        • Son

          Son says:
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          Ha! How’s that fart smell?

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Wow, absolutely owning me for no reason

                • Son

                  Son says:
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                  Ha! I had never heard of that genre until today

                  How come you never invited me onto your yacht, Grey?!!

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    Haha, come aboard! Your dreams will come true!

                    • Son

                      Son says:
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                      I’ve been onboard in spirit this whole time. Now just waiting for my body to catch up

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha

  7. Harley Earl says:
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    How about a Benintendi Trash or Treasure?

    Benny Baseball has been pretty good the past 6 weeks. Is it real or not? Grey says he’s “not a thing” but I say he is. What does Son say?

      • Harley Earl says:
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        You nailed it buddy, and while everyone else was dumping Benintendi and shitting all over him with comment’s like Grey’s, I was holding firm. Now he’s back to himself. It’s not like he just fucking forgot how to hit a baseball all of a sudden. Somebody got in his head and convinced him to be somone he’s not.

        Now he’s Benny Baseball again, and he’s doing just fine. Thanks! Very nice piece, even if it was written in April. You should do a follow up and gloat while shitting on Grey and CramIt for being asswipes about him.

        • Son

          Son says:
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          Ha! I try not to gloat. It’s not my style. Plus, I get plenty wrong

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