One of the most unlikely stories of the 2015 season has been the surprising renaissance of 35-year-old southpaw Rich Hill (+30.9%), who was ESPN’s most added player over the past week. In three September starts, Hill is 2-0 with a 1.17 ERA, 0.52 WHIP and 30/2 K/BB ratio over 23 innings. He’s logged 10 strikeouts in each of those outings, which represent his first MLB starts since 2009 due to injuries and control issues (5.95 BB/9 from 2010-14). In terms of impressive comebacks, this one has to rank somewhere between that of Super Mario (the hockey player, not the plumber) and Kim Kardashian. Hill is scheduled to pitch once more this season on Thursday in The House Next to the House That Ruth Built in what appears to be a tough matchup for the comeback kid. However, the Yankees have the 4th worst team wOBA (.303) in MLB during the month of September thanks to a pedestrian .232/.302/.394 triple slash line which places them in the bottom four in each of those individual statistical categories during that span. I think that the Bombers will have some trouble with the curve. I know that Clint Eastwood baffles me these days.

Here are a few other significant adds and drops in fantasy baseball over the past week:

Jake Peavy – 33.6% owned (+11.4%)

Do you remember when Peavy dominated the National League en route to winning the Cy Young Award in 2007? I’m sure that those of you who were Padres fans and/or won fantasy leagues thanks to that performance (thanks Jake!) certainly do. The good news is that you’ll always have those precious memories to cherish. The bad news? Peavy isn’t the same dominant pitcher that he was eight years ago. That doesn’t mean that he can’t help your team make another championship run during the final days of the regular season. Peavy has been one of MLB’s best pitchers in September, going 3-0 with a 1.99 ERA, 0.76 WHIP and a 23/4 K/BB ratio in 31 2/3 innings (5 GS). He’s been especially good at home, where he’s logged 7 quality starts in his last 8 outings including allowing 2 earned runs or less in 6 of those starts. His last scheduled start of the season is on Saturday at home against the Rockies, who have produced the worst wOBA (.281) and 2nd highest strikeout rate (24.3%) of any MLB team on the road this season. TREASURE.

Erik Johnson – 17.7% owned (+9.4%)

I get why fantasy owners might be interested in streaming Johnson. In 5 starts this month, he’s struck out 26 hitters in just 28 2/3 innings and has a solid 3.45 ERA over that span. Dig a little bit deeper though and you’ll discover that he’s issued 14 walks and allowed 7 home runs as well. The HR rate seems abnormally high but control issues are nothing new for him (40 walks in 80 MLB innings). Streaming Johnson could lead to Johnson streaming all over your ratios when it matters most. TRASH.

Ketel Marte – 17.0% owned (+9.3%)

For this bonus pick, I’ll stick with the most added list and feature Marte since the most dropped side is a complete dumpster fire. Anyway, you can call this the bonus SAGNOF pick of the week. Marte has thrived since being promoted and inserted into the everyday leadoff spot for the Mariners, producing a .281/.347/.412 triple slash with 23 runs, 2 homers, 16 RBI, and 7 steals in 52 games. Both of his homers and all but one of his steals, however, have come in his last 33 games, putting him on a 10/30 full season pace. In reality, he’s more of a 5 homer player, but he certainly has 25-30 steal speed (20 SBs this season prior to his call-up; 29 SBs in 2014). Think of him as a young Alcides Escobar. Need steals? Sip on some Ketel-One. TREASURE.

 

 

  1. james says:
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    What do you think of Marte long term. I picked him up to my major league roster in a league with a 10 player minor league team (12 teams). I knew if he stuck in the bigs he would exceed the 130 PA to be a minor leaguer, but could not figure out why he was not on a minor league roster (and at the time I had MLB roster space, but my worst prospect was either Gleyber Torres or Willy Adames, so did not want to cut bait on either of them for a guy who would not qualify next season).

    THe basics I know about him is that he was a boarderline top 50 prospect midseason, is only 20/21 and started the year in AA (really young for the level). I picked him up thinking that prospects at age 20 in AA that are just league average there are normally future stars (Machado, ect). Is this a future star, is this a guy who will get inflated this offseason where i can cash him in (i have Correa at SS and Rendon/Schoop at 2b so no need for him for a while), or cut bait now and add a Lind/Trumbo/REddick.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @james: Marte looks like a solid high floor option moving forward. I don’t think that he has Machado/Correa kind of upside. Lacks the power of those guys. Maybe more like an Escobar/Segura type – .270/5/25 or so. It’s not out of the question that he puts up a 2013 Segura kind of season at some point though. It’s just hard to see him cracking double digits in homers, especially in Seattle. Good speed, contact skills, and plate discipline though for such a young player.

      It doesn’t really look like you need him right now though, and I’m not sure that other owners will value him enough to give you a significant haul in a trade. Depending on your OF options, Reddick could be a solid choice. He cut down on his Ks significantly this year, and he’s still just 28 years old. Should be a .265/25/8 kind of player for another couple of years.

  2. Scott says:
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    Wow, they moved Hicks to the 7-hole today. Seems a bit of an over-reaction. I mean, he did face Kluber yesterday.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Scott: Definitely. Probably just trying to kick-start the offense though.

  3. Bill Lee says:
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    Start or sit Daniel Norris @Texas.

    Thanks in advance for any response.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Bill Lee: I’d sit Norris there. Not a great matchup, and he hasn’t thrown 80+ pitches in a start since mid-August. There’s no reason for the Tigers to increase his workload now that they’re playing for next year either. No problem!

      • Bill Lee says:
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        @Big Magoo: thanks.

  4. Snag says:
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    Which is a better keeper prospect for next year Grandal or Welington Castillo?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Snag: Grandal has the edge in an OBP format. In a standard format, they’re about even. Maybe a slight edge to Grandal since he’s a year-and-a-half younger.

  5. Pick 2 please; Hill @ NYY, Corbin vs COL, Jamie Garcia @ ATL, Peavy vs COL, Pineda @ BAL, McCullers @ ARI , Happ vs CIN, Elias vs OAK or Porcello @ CLE. For all u do, this beer is for u!

  6. I had the wrong website copied. Don’t want to miss ur response. Sorry for the double question… Pick 2 please; Hill @ NYY, Corbin vs COL, Jamie Garcia @ ATL, Peavy vs COL, Pineda @ BAL, McCullers @ ARI , Happ vs CIN, Elias vs OAK or Porcello @ CLE. For all u do, this beer is for u!

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @madden_curser: No worries. For me, the top four out of that group are Garcia, Corbin, Peavy, and Happ. Happ was pulled after just 56 pitches yesterday and might not even throw on Sunday if it’s a meaningless game for the Pirates, so he’s out. Tough call between the other three since they all have solid matchups. Garcia has been awesome, and Peavy has the edge on Corbin in terms of park factors, so I’d go with those two. Thanks!

      • @Big Magoo: I don’t know Garcia’s home and road splits this year.. over his career they have been one sided, with the home splits being one sided the superior. I think he has done well home and away this year. something to look at

        • @Dnut Eastwood: Another thing to consider is do the Cards wrap up the division before his next outing.

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
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            @Dnut Eastwood: Yeah, that’s definitely something to consider. My thinking was that those four pitchers have the best combination of skills and matchup out of the bunch. Happ was already treated with kid gloves yesterday night and the D’Backs have no reason to push Corbin at this point.

            The Braves (Garcia’s opponent) are tied with the White Sox for the lowest wOBA vs LHP this season, and have the worst wOBA overall in MLB for the entire season and the 2nd worst for the month of September. Garcia has been solid on the road this season (3.16 ERA, 1.18 WHIP), and those numbers would look much better without his last two road starts in Cincinnati and Milwaukee, two extremely hitter-friendly parks. Definitely a situation worth monitoring though.

            • @Big Magoo: Hard to pass up considering Atlanta. If the Cards haven’t clinched go fORRR it

              • Big Magoo

                Big Magoo says:
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                @Dnut Eastwood: Haha. Definitely! The last week is always tricky.

  7. Stroman game ppd and pitches in a double header tomorrow. Does he still get a turn Sunday or did that get pushed out too? That would like suck and stuff because Sunday is the final day for the championship. Kroyckies!

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @madden_curser: No, they wouldn’t pitch him on short rest, so he’s no longer a two-starter unfortunately. I have him going in a couple of weekly leagues too. Dah!

  8. FrankGrimes says:
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    Keep one Lindor or Sano for 2016?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @FrankGrimes: Grimey! As much as I like Lindor, Sano has rare power. Fantasy-wise, he looks like Chris Davis 2.0 in 2-3 years, and maybe even as soon as next year. I’d go with him.

      • FrankGrimes says:
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        @Big Magoo:
        Thnaks!
        I had similar thoughts.

  9. Weird Al Yankabitch says:
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    You like Rich Hill’s start over Henry Owens @CLE? Streaming to keep lead in Ks and Ws AL only. Rode Matt Moore for his start last night (still tonight if you don’t count day changing till you sleep/wakeup) lol

    Getting slim out there.. Also considered Erik Johnson vs Detroit

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Weird Al Yankabitch: I like Hill a bit more than Owens there. Owens might be at risk of being shut down as well since he’s already thrown 181 combined innings this season and the Red Sox aren’t playing for anything.

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