Before I get into our 1st schmohawk post (I’m including you, because without you there’s no me; wanna hug? I’m kidding, don’t touch me), a quick remembrance.  One loyal Razzball Reader, Simply Fred, kept a running tally of how many times I nailed my schmohawk posts.  I think at last tally I was 25 for 27 over the last five years.  Something like that.  The point is I don’t know the number, because around Christmas time of this year, we lost Simply Fred.  He passed suddenly around the holidays.  He was one of our most loyal readers, and he will be missed, especially around the time of the yearly of the schmohawk posts.  In his honor, MattTruss, who runs our Razzball Commenter Leagues, is changing the championship trophy of the ECFBL league that Simply Fred was a part of to the Fred Barker Memorial Trophy, a worthy gesture for a worthy man.  Any hoo!  Jose Ramirez is a schmohawk.  This is so freakin’ obvious to me that it almost makes me question myself, because literally no one else is saying this about Jose Ramirez.  Could I really be the only one that recognizes how obvious this is?  I feel like Queen Isabella when she used cover her giant bosoms with bras that were hand-painted with round globes and Spanish men would be like, “She ain’t flat, but the earth is, so her luscious breasts are factually incorrect.”  Thankfully, Christopher Columbus recognized the beauty of Isabella’s chest, raised his mast and sailed west.  Anyway, what can we expect from Jose Ramirez for 2019 fantasy baseball and what makes him overrated?

Here’s what I said in the top 20 for 2019 fantasy baseball, “The Indians got rid of Chief Wahoo at the end of last year, because he was problematic.  The liberals are also saying kids playing ‘Cowboys and Indians’ is problematic, they want them to play ‘Tops and Bottoms!’  However, Chief Wahoo isn’t the only thing problematic, Jose Ramirez’s 2nd half is too.  He hit 10 HRs and .218 in the 2nd half.  Could the league have finally figured him out?  His strikeouts were identical in the 2nd half, and his walks actually went up.  His SLG, OBP, hard contact  and line drives went way down.  His BABIP bottomed out, but I can’t write off everything on luck.  Looks like he was biting on opposite field strikes (and balls) a lot more.  Okay, so bad 2nd half, can we just write it off?  Let’s take a step further back to the full season.  His infield fly balls were terrible.  That says bad contact.  It’s not everything, but he was 26th worst in the league, and no one worst than him is above him in the rankings.  His fly ball rate was 45.9%, easily a career high.  He was 8th in the league for fly balls.  Above him, you see home run hitters and guys who regularly hit .250 or lower.  He had a 18.8 degree launch angle, that’s 7th highest in the league (sorted by 300 batted ball events).  In conclusion, he hits a lot of balls in the air.  Fine for a home run hitter, but is he?  His home run distance on average was 388, easily the worst for a guy who hit 39 homers last year.  He’s either going to continue to hit fly balls at a 46% rate and hit under .250 or he’s going to curb his fly balls and hit 27 or fewer home runs.  He cannot do both.  Right now, the nearest comp I can think of is Ian Kinsler in his prime, that was 30/30/.255, but I’m not convinced Ramirez’s 2nd half was just a blip.  I was all about Jose Ramirez last year, I had him ranked higher than anyone else, but this year, he seems to be going way before I have him ranked, and I won’t be in again.”  And that’s me quoting me!  That’s everything, guys and five girls, but let’s see if we can’t conjure up some more blech to round out the yuck.  His exit velocity was 88.8 MPH, good for 104th overall, tied with Hosmer and Gleyber.  Sound good?  It’s not.  He actually compares similarly to Gleyber Torres in other ways; they both have identical launch angles.  I am also out on Gleyber this year, I just don’t believe the power, even less so from Jo-Ram.  Gleyber’s 22 years old, he might have an extra gear.  Jo-Ram turns 27 this year, and seems to have found his gear.  Steamer hitter projections has Jo-Ram down for 28 HRs, down from 39 last year.  I believe we’re going to see even fewer homers, projecting him for 25.  He had a 87.7% contact rate last year, which was 7th in the league and his career rate is 88%.  That is the type of player he is.  Does a 87+% contact guy sound like a 30+ homer hitter?  He can be, but it’s rare.  Any guesses why?  When a guy is making lots of contact, it’s not always gonna be the best contact.  Over the last three years, 87+% contact and 30-homer hitters?  Two, Jo-Ram and Bregman with 31 homers last year.  So, lots of contact, lots of fly balls, and not deep fly balls?  Jo-Ram sounds like he could hit .218.  Wait, I just thought of something!  He did hit .218 in the 2nd half of last year.  I haven’t even bothered to mention the Indians’ lineup is not going to be great this year, except for mentioning it while not mentioning it.  Jo-Ram, as currently positioned, feels like a 25/25/.260 hitter and not a top 3 overall pick, so spritz him with some Begone Schmohawk Spray and be done with him!

  1. Scott says:
    (link)

    Do you have any favorite late round pitching lottery tickets or targets who’d be available at the end of a draft? I am talking about rebound candidates or guys coming back from injury, etc? Just looking for some names to roll the dice on who have some upside. If they don’t work out, I can cut them early and move on at virtually no cost. Thanks

    • Scott says:
      (link)

      Undervalued or under the radar also works for me too, not just rebound candidates, etc.

    • Cram It says:
      (link)

      @Scott: Steven Matz

    • Old School Brother says:
      (link)

      @Scott: Seth Lugo

    • The Great Knoche says:
      (link)

      @Scott: Jimmy Nelson. Jeff Samardjzia

    • knucks says:
      (link)

      @Scott: Strahm, if he wins a rotation spot in SD

  2. Dr Easy says:
    (link)

    “Thankfully, Christopher Columbus recognized the beauty of Isabella’s chest, raised his mast and sailed west. ” That’s just poetry right there.

    The blurb about Simply Fred: is that really true? If so, RIP.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Dr Easy: Yeah, Fred passed

  3. Ante Galic says:
    (link)

    Grey!!!!

    Fantastic JoRam Schmohawk report.

    a. So, I guess the question is this. How can someone go from being a sleeper top 10 like he was last year in your books to schmohawk in just one year? I understand your reasoning so I guess that answers my question but is it not possible for him to just repeat last year? Didn’t he have the same flaws he has this year at the start of last year? Sorry for so many questions.

    b. The best John Lennon quote of the day for February 19

    Christianity will go. It will vanish and shrink. I needn’t argue about that; I’m right and I will be proved right. We’re more popular than Jesus now; I don’t know which will go first – rock ‘n’ roll or Christianity.

    c. Subdued Norm MacDonald quote of the day for February 19

    1. A deadly outbreak of the ebola virus is said to be responsible for more than 100 deaths in Africa, and a couple of really bad movies here in the United States.

    2. A Labor Department study shows that the number of temporary workers rose to 2 million in 1994. And that study doesn’t even include the most temporary of the temporarily unemployed…Kato Kaelin.

    3. Well, Gary Busey left the hospital this week after overdosing on cocaine last Friday. The doctors say Busey is okay and he should be back in the hospital in no time!

    4. Crime is down nearly 20% in NYC with only 384 murders so far this year. Only 384? You know if you ask me that’s still 307 too many!

    5. The Walt Disney company has announced plans to build a 300 million dollar hotel and entertainment complex in New York’s Time Square. Construction begins next spring on their first attraction…Crack whores of the Caribbean.

    6. The American Academy of Pediatrics has released an updated list of unsafe baby products. Topping the list this year is the really, really, really, really high chair.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood says:
      (link)

      @Ante Galic:

      “4. Crime is down nearly 20% in NYC with only 384 murders so far this year. Only 384? You know if you ask me that’s still 307 too many!”

      Ok i’ll bite why are the other 77 ok?

      • Ante Galic says:
        (link)

        @LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood: Lenny!

        It had me for a second too. 77/384=20%. If it makes you feel better, that fact also flew right over the audience too.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood says:
          (link)

          @Ante Galic:

          yeah that is Yogi Berra math…..

    • snarky anklebiter says:
      (link)

      @Ante Galic:
      Jose Ramirez
      2018 ECR 22
      2018 Grey rank 13
      2019 ECR 3
      2019 Grey rank 12

      Nothing has changed except the asking price. You’re welcome.

      • Ante Galic says:
        (link)

        @snarky anklebiter: Snarky!

        Thanks a lot man. I’m not questioning it and this makes it really clear. If he’s available outside of the top 20, go for it but don’t draft him in the top 10 hoping he’ll return you top 10 value for the a/m reasons.

        Cheers,
        Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Ante Galic: A. Boil down the post to: He overperformed last year and he will come back a little to earth

      B. Rock n roll lost that one

      C. 4 haha

      • Ante Galic says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Grey!

        Hey, man! I was actually sorry I posted that because I thought it would open up a wider discussion on Christianity. In your wisdom, you crushed the response for all in one fell swoop. I am really awed by everything you do.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Ha, no need to apologize, I’m just saying rock n roll died around 2005, I think

          • Ante Galic says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Grey!!

            In a redraft, points, mixed H2H league I have 3 guys for the U. I’m going to keep them all until the start of the season to see what’s good and what’s bad. Who do you think of these 3 has the biggest impact in a points league?

            1. Laureano
            2. VGJ
            3. Voit

            I have E5 at 1B, so he’s good for at least 2 trips to the DL where Voit can step in. I love Conforto but he may also have a trip or 2 to the DL. Who knows? It’s good to have more pitchers than bench bats to maximize on two starts in that format.

            Cheers,
            Ante

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              VGJ

  4. 4am Coffee says:
    (link)

    In a 12 T 6×6 OBP/SLG. I can keep 5 (Rounds Keeper)… J. Ramirez (13), Freeman (9), Soto (25), Judge (24), Baez (8) and Severino (25) – Rounds are forever

    I am leaning to keeping all batters but wanted your thoughts before I pull the trigger. *Note, I won’t have my first pick until pick 23, so not sure what kind of pitching staff I could put together. After reading this article, I will have to revisit a trade offer I got last night. My Ramirez (13)/Judge (24) for his Acuna (25) and Albies (8). I turned it down but should I reconsider?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @4am Coffee: I like Acuna better than Jo-Ram right now

      • 4am coffee says:
        (link)

        @Grey: so you are thinking I should pull the trigger and sell Jram (13 round) & Judge (24 round) for Acuna (25 round) and Albies ( 8th round). So essentially I am giving up Jram(cheap) and Judge ( cheap) for Acuna (cheap) and Albies at market value? Just want to clarify. :). Thanks!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yup

  5. Crime Dog says:
    (link)

    Great post Grey.

    What are your thoughts on his speed? Does he steal 30 again? His Sprint speed last year was terrible (260 overall) but he did convert 34/40 which is pretty good.

    • Crime Dog says:
      (link)

      @Crime Dog: I know you have him projected for 24, but is there a good chance he goes back to the 17-20 steals he was before last year?

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        @Crime Dog: I think that is possible, yes

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Crime Dog: It was awful, he’s not even that fast… So many issues here, sadly

      • Crime Dog says:
        (link)

        @Grey: yeah he just screams 20/15 type player to me. I know he did 39/34 last year but I’m with you, I don’t see it again. I think your projections are a pretty good hedge between who he actually is (20/15) and what he’s somehow capable of (39/34)

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Totes

  6. Sweatpants Nation says:
    (link)

    BSOHL ALERT:…given all the heartache over the years surrounding the physical form of Twins slugger Miguel Sano, it seems relevant that he’s said to be in the best shape of his life — or, at least, the best shape of his MLB career. As Dan Hayes of The Athletic writes, Sano embarked upon a robust workout program this winter and seems to be in top form. (from MLBRumors)
    Change the rankings! Time to get back in on him! Sleeper post time, baby! I think this news moves him past that Schmohawk Jo-Ram, Oy. Haha

      • Sweatpants Nation says:
        (link)

        @Grey: 40 homers easily now.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yup

  7. Wally Pipp says:
    (link)

    He would have to get really unlucky to hit only 260.

    Last year he hit 270 with a only a 252 bapip, and lowered his ks to 11%. Even with a ton of shallow fly balls again hes going to hit over 260. Saying he could hit 218 is silly.

    • Cram It says:
      (link)

      @Wally Pipp: You still haven’t come around to Grey’s humor yet?

    • knucks says:
      (link)

      @Wally Pipp: Head on over to CBS if you want cookie cutter content breh, this got old a while ago.

      It sounds like you are quite the insider yourself. Which of the TGFBI leagues are you in so I can follow along and root against you?

      • Wally Pipp says:
        (link)

        @Grey: id bet a lot of money he has over a 275 batting avg this season.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          You’d have to give odds

          • Wally Pipp says:
            (link)

            @Grey: yeah, his vegas over under id guess would be like 282.5

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Prolly close to that, yeah

  8. LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood says:
    (link)

    “…….. The liberals are also saying kids playing ‘Cowboys and Indians’ is problematic, they want them to play ‘Tops and Bottoms!’ ………”

    just spit coffee………………….

  9. Earl says:
    (link)

    Hi All,

    Can anyone recommend good place/site to do mock drafts? Would be good to be going against real people instead of the computer just following ADP.

    Thanks

    • here comes the pizza says:
      (link)

      @Earl: ESPN isn’t bad but still about a week or two before they consistently fill up

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Earl: I don’t know, homey… I know some use Couchmanagers, I think

    • Crazy J says:
      (link)

      @Earl: Yahoo! has a ton of traffic. Many don’t stay around for all 23 rounds in mocks (on ANY site), but they fill them up during peak hours.

  10. Peacecoast says:
    (link)

    Off to FL for school break. My next comments will be from the beach yo. The Indians are weird. Are they trying to tank? They have some of the best pitching around. Lindor, JoRam to build around. But then they haven’t done a thing to make a good offense. Leonys in CF? Why wouldn’t they be into Harper?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Peacecoast: WUT?! Where you going in FL? I think the Indians are trying to tank, like that movie…what’s it’s name again, about baseball something major…

      • Peacecoast says:
        (link)

        @Grey: The Keys. Never been. Flight got moved back so here I am posting while still in fucking Boston.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Meh, I went to the Keys two years ago, don’t you remember? I’d cancel, go to Cuba!

  11. Timmy says:
    (link)

    I can either keep Max Scherzer as a second rounder OR keep Edwin Diaz as a 9th rounder. If I don’t keep Max I’ll have a chance at getting him back in the draft along with lindor/trea turner/kluber/stanton.
    I can also keep one of Altuve or Goldy. Any and all insight is greatly appreciated.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Timmy: Scherzer, Goldy

  12. 12 team AL only 5×5 OBP instead of average standard auction style.

    1B is ugly this year. I have an 11 dollar healy to hold that I hate in OBP. TheJoey Gallo owner wants my Gerrit Cole

    30 dollar Cole vs 17 dollar Gallo – what has more roto value – What would Joey Gallo be worth at auction in this format?

  13. Skip Mcgillicuddy says:
    (link)

    Any concern with Upton’s knee? Sounds like it could be a nagging injury thru the season

    • Skip Mcgillicuddy says:
      (link)

      @Skip Mcgillicuddy: Also, which side of this trade would you want: Correa for Vlad and Eloy? Points league, 12 keeper with minor league systems

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Skip Mcgillicuddy: The Angels said he’d be fine in 7-10 days… Sounds ok

  14. Cloudtown says:
    (link)

    Grey!

    Glad the new year is upon us, reading January Grey has been theraputic.

    Keeper ?, 10TM Keep 10, 7×7 w/ OBP SLG QS HD as added cats.
    32 player roster, 24 starters 8 bench $340 Auction Budget

    As a longtime reader I have been quite successful against my longtime home league, so thanks for that!
    Onto keepers…
    Locked!
    Tildaddy $21
    Mondesi $10
    Rhysus $15
    Belly $15
    Soto $10
    Albies $15
    Conforto $6

    Need 3 of these maybeez..
    Altuve $37
    Corbin $10
    Marquez $10
    Edd Rosario $12
    Thor $16
    Severino $15
    Klubot $44
    Nola $9

    Thinking Corbin, Marquez and Ed or Nola, though the prices on Thor and Sev-e are good too. Thanks in advance!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Cloudtown: How’s things, Cloudtown? Corbin, Rosario, Nola — nice keepers!

      • Cloudtown says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Things be alright Grey, looking forward to getting out of February. The snow is ridiculous, more tomorrow ugh

        Yes very nice keepers, thanks to checking in here everyday! Won the league last year by the skin of my teeth, had a huge lead first half but hitters faded, maxed out pitching to hold on.

        Looking forward to another great season!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem, let’s do this!

  15. Old School Brother says:
    (link)

    Shipment of Blackberry Bubly hit the break room fridge yesterday, its a huge hit. You know what Kendrick says; The blacker the Berry, the sweeter the Bubly

      • Old School Brother says:
        (link)

        @Dave D: Thanks, I miss these days. Back when I got to manage a real baseball team rather than just fantasy

      • Old School Brother says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Update; there’s only one Blackberry Bubly left. These savages tore through it like Tehol at a mink coat factory outlet sale

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          If you’re not taking that Blackberry Bubly and storing it inside a giant bowl of tuna salad so no one else can find it, I don’t know who you are

  16. jon says:
    (link)

    Hampson or Ketel Marte this season? Im leaning Hampson winning 2B and crushing it

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @jon: Hampson if he has the job

    • JM says:
      (link)

      @jon: I’ve got my eye on both these guys in the late rounds…I think Marte could be on the cusp of a breakout. I’d go Marte for this year, Hampson for dynasty/keeper.

  17. Big Joey says:
    (link)

    Pressing to go 40/40 most likely. He has tremendous batting skills, he will adjust to whatever happened in the second half. Also he has elite base running skills.

    2019 projection: .300 30 95 95 28

    The only thing I’m worried about is that weak Indians lineup

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I don’t know about that, Big Joey

  18. Dave D says:
    (link)

    Hilarious but sad reference to the modern conundrum of ‘Cowboys and Indians’ versus the replacement. You had me floored but, unfortunately, like the Greeks (and back when comedians were still funny and not political propagandists) understood, comedy and tragedy are two sides of a coin. ‘Tops and Bottoms’ replacing ‘Cowboys and Indians’ is just f**king brilliant, sir! Its kind of pathetic what things have come to when Jerry Seinfeld wont do college campuses because of the cry bullies ready to treat an edgy joke as if it is the infliction of a mortal wound.

    I have this fantasy of driving to my old alma mater, UC Berkeley, and blasting some old Lenny Bruce recordings over the PA at plaza or the misnomered “Free Speech Cafe” I used to frequent. What a difference a generation or two can make.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Dave D: Haha, yeah, weird times for sure… Thinking NFBC signups are tomorrow, btw

      • Dave D says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Ok. Are you or Rudy gonna be in any of those or is it peons only? Any chance of a satellite with either slow (yes they have them now) or draft? I honestly don’t think I can tolerate a slow 50 round DC stretching for a few weeks at this juncture. Not meant as negative criticism but constructive, but I think you need to publish leagues earlier. I normally decide all my leagues already but certainly have interest in doing a razzball one.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Rudy and I will both be doing one…

    • Sweatpants Nation says:
      (link)

      @Dave D: Remember as kids sitting on the floor “indian” style. Now it’s called criss-cross applesauce.

  19. Jason says:
    (link)

    Do you prefer Arenado or Bryant/Eloy Jimenez in a 10-team H2H keeper? Thanks!

  20. 12 team AL only 5×5 OBP instead of average standard auction style.

    1B is ugly this year. I have an 11 dollar healy to hold that I hate in OBP. TheJoey Gallo owner wants my Gerrit Cole

    30 dollar Cole vs 17 dollar Gallo – what has more roto value – What would Joey Gallo be worth at auction in this format?

  21. Matty says:
    (link)

    I really enjoyed having Jo-Ram last year, but the second half did feel tenuous- there were definitely times when I wanted to drop him for waiver wire fodder, but it’s tough to justify on an MVP candidate.
    We started Derry Girls last night on Mike’s suggestion- had to turn on closed caption for subtitles almost immediately. Great recommendation.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Matty: Nice, haven’t watched yet — was watching Lorena last night, woof!

      • Matty says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Was it worth the watch outside of the squeemishness of being separated from yourself?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          It was a tough watch

  22. Bitter Beerface says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    I really like this schmohawk post. You went out on a long limb and the saw-wielding naysayers are grinning at you, but the supporting facts are solid. That’s always been my problem with JoRam, the HR distance. As a rival Tigers fan I would always get so angry at those “just enough” home runs he would hit. And it seemed like two per game against the Tigers! One has to think that just-enough power diminishes at some point (interesting comp: 2007 Jacoby Ellsbury). And his second half swoon indicates as such.

    But you also kinda hedged your schmohawk post with the “not a top 3 overall pick” line at the end. I’m gonna go one step further, I don’t think JoRam is a top-20 player this season! The position eligibility is nice (2B and 3B, right?) but in the 1st/2nd rounds I’m already sold on some combo of Acuña/Trea, Judge/Goldy. And I’m out on Tribe hitting this season. With Lindor iffy, JoRam loses a ton of lineup help. I agree, JoRam is an pass at his price point.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Bitter Beerface: Yeah, you could be right about not being top 20, I think the floor is much lower than people realize

  23. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey! Great tribute to a former commenter.

    Rankings Q for you . . . is the reason you like Springer (29th) a lot more than Matt Chapman (118th) a ceiling/upside/higher floor sort of call?

    I was using the top 500 to look for potential ~30 HR guys I may have missed + stumbled upon the similar projections for those two:

    .263 91/29/93/2
    VS
    .262 110/30/77/7

    Thanks!

    • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
      (link)

      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: I should add, not disputing the ranking at all! Just curious as to the basis for the difference…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: I think Springer has higher ceiling and higher floor… Chapman is loved by some people who I respect their opinion tho, so I could be off him — Ralph likes Chapman a lot

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Cool, thanks! Makes total sense.

        Ah cool – yeah, people seem to love his statcast numbers + batting profile changes (swinging at better pitches etc.). Heard someone refer to him as potentially Khris Davis at 3B if he maintains his 2018 profile but makes a minor launch angle adjustment, which definitely raised my eyebrows/sweatpants. We’ll see!

        Totally agreed on ceiling though – Springer still can put together a monster season and has a great floor.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha, No problem

  24. The Great Knoche says:
    (link)

    Speaking of commenters, have you heard of anything from Vinwins yet?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @The Great Knoche: I haven’t sadly… I sent him an email a while back and never heard a response… Not sure how else to reach him either

  25. Mickey Maloney says:
    (link)

    Thanks for the tough love this morning. Was literally just contemplating taking him at #4 in a H2H Points League (assuming Trout, Mookie, Scherzer go 1-3) even though I know I shouldn’t. You’re right, of course. Back to the drawing board… Any advice at #4 in this type of league?

      • Bitter Beerface says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Pitching is massive in H2H Points structure but I would take the Tilde AND Yelich over Scherzer.

        CBS H2H rankings have Scherzer 6th or later. Consensus Trout-Betts-JoRam (Cummins has Betts first). Other names ahead of Max: Altuve, Arenado, JD….

        Don’t you dominate these fools in ‘perts leagues, Grey?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I do, friend!

      • Mickey Maloney says:
        (link)

        @Grey: I don’t hate Acuna, think it’s more that I really wanted Mookie or Scherzer. I agree with your rankings except I’m considering Arenado too. Yelich, Acuna or Arenado. 3rd base seems deep though. And pitchers go early and often in this league so trying to figure out who will be there when it comes back to me. I need a fantasy zanex!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I hear ya, so stressful!

  26. Chris D says:
    (link)

    In a dynasty, would you trade Luis Robert for AJ Pollock or Cain for bench depth (team is built to win this year)? He wouldn’t play over Mookie, Beni, Blackmon, K.Davis but like having him there if I need it?

    Love Robert’s skills, but like, AJ, dude can’t stay healthy and Cain doesn’t seem like a wise investment for Robert.

    Thanks Grey!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Chris D: I don’t like any of those guys to be honest… I’d prolly go Robert, but league depth might matter

      • Chris D says:
        (link)

        @Grey: I can prob hold off and hope to snag a guy like Inciarte who is a FA but I could easily see him being taken before I get a chnace for him. Either way, there is usually some decent OF available through the year in FA. This isn’t really a pressing issue to get a backup and I think Robert has a way higher ceiling then either of those two. Just wasn’t 100% sure if it was worth it to dump a a solid, yet oft injured prospect, for some vet backup. I’ll prob hold.

        Hope you have a great rest of the day Grey and thanks again!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Ender Inciarte!

  27. jon says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey!

    Im in a 10 team keeper league. we keep 20-

    league stats- R 2B 3B HR RBI SB BB AVG & W SV HR K ERA WHIP K/9 QS

    C: Empty
    1B: Abreu- Votto
    2B: Merrifield- Torres-
    SS: Seager/ Torres
    3B: Andujar- Moose
    OF: Betts, Benintendi, Springer, Conforto
    SP: Cole, Paxton, Carrasco, Corbin, Madbum, Ray
    RP: Diaz, Jansen, Champan.

    We are starting a redraft to fill out roster. Im thinking im low on W and QS so going to target Heaney early and maybe Jimmy Nelson or Musgrove later on.

    Also was thinking of targeting Hampson for speed and Ian Happ and Franmill Reyes or Tyler O’Niell for Power. Have 5 picks to total 25 after the 20 keeps.

    Just wondering your thoughts on the squad and if those are my smart targets to fill in the roster.

    Thanksssss!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @jon: Your pitching is way more solid than you need, don’t love Bum, your RPs are crazy good too… Your hitting is solid, but light on speed and power

  28. Rbid for her pleasure says:
    (link)

    Thanks in advance wanted your opinion on pending trade should I trade my Stanton for Trevor story in a 6×6 roto league? My current 6 keepers are freeman, seager ,machado, Bryant, Stanton and marte.

  29. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    Having reached the later rounds of my draft champ league, I bring you:

    Jackoff-All-Trades/n/: a player who is eligible to suck at several positions; see also Jairo Munoz, Hernan Perez

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @OaktownSteve: HA! I like Hernan Perez as a jackoff-all-trades

      • OaktownSteve says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Hernan Perez had 29 RBIs last year…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          When you want a giggle, look at Yadiel Rivera’s stats and how many ABs he had

          • Ante Galic says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Grey!!

            Ha! 139 ABs with only 9 RBIs. That is some sick production, sick as in vomissant as the French would have it.

            Cheers,
            Ante

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              It is pretty remarkable… Not sure how he even pulled it off

              • Ante Galic says:
                (link)

                @Grey: Grey!

                He is rated 79/100 for runs, like baby-chit brown diarrhea runs!

                Cheers,
                Ante

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Haha

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              111 games too!

          • OaktownSteve says:
            (link)

            @Grey:

            Looks like the Marlins clean up hitter. Dual position eligible (3 pos in 10 game leagues). Ultimate Jerkoff-all-trades. I actually did laugh audibly when I saw the numbers.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Hilarious, right? When I’m feeling blue, I look at Yadiel Rivera’s stats from last year and I cackle

              • Crime Dog says:
                (link)

                @Grey: what’s funnier, yadier Rivera stats, Cody bellinger playing 162 games, or Brian doziers avg. HR of 370 ft.? Brian dozier is hilarious, I think you have to wrap the ball just around the foul pole right down the line every single time to accomplish that average.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  That deserves a poll

  30. MattTruss

    MattTruss says:
    (link)

    Wasn’t planning to lose two of the founding members of ECFBL in one off season, sad times for our league. With that it’s only fitting they get honored together, so the ECFBL trophy will be the Fred Barker & Paul Nebenfuhr Memorial Trophy.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @MattTruss: Ah, I didn’t know Paulie Allnuts was also in the league… That sucks… I still haven’t from VinWins either…

      • MattTruss

        MattTruss says:
        (link)

        Yea, pretty rough. Ditto on VinWins, it’s been over a week since I sent him an email…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, I’m not feeling good about Vin

        • AL KOHOLIC says:
          (link)

          @MattTruss: thats awesome Matt,Paulie would have loved to see that,when its done send me a picture so i can send his beloved Princess a picture

  31. Mike

    Mike says:
    (link)

    That Tribe lineup is woof.

    Rumor has it they might experiment with Carlos Santana in the outfield. “He’s a better athlete than people realize.” Cue Yakety Sax.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Mike: HA! Nice

  32. Boomer19 says:
    (link)

    Uh oh. Carlos Martinez shut down for a couple weeks. Hope it is just precautionary…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Boomer19: Yeah, he’s one setback away from being dropped like an anchor in the rankings

      • Crazy J says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        But he’s one of the top middle-relievers out there! ;)

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha

  33. Wally Pipp says:
    (link)

    He was crushing fastballs in hitters counts. He led the league in slugging percentage vs fastballs for most of the season. Pitchers adjusted to him, and he saw more off speed in those spots and wasnt making great contact second half. Now its on him to adjust back. I could see him cutting down on his power and hitting for a better avg. He only struck out 11% last year vs 15% walks. Show me a guy who does that with decent speed that hits for a bad average. Be fair.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I mentioned one in the post who he reminds me of

      • Wally Pipp says:
        (link)

        @Grey: very fair, its a solid comp when you look close.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I know, right? To think I wrote it in the post too

          • Cram It says:
            (link)

            @Grey: *face palm*

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Haha

  34. BAMstutz says:
    (link)

    Are you guys doing a downloadable war room this year? It helped me win my league last year. Thanks for that.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hot Rod is, but I’m not sure when it will be ready, maybe this week, maybe beginning of next week

  35. Omar says:
    (link)

    8 team AL Only 5×5 Standard Roto: 1 year keeper – 3 players max. Who gets the boot for 2019?
    Trout
    Sale
    Judge
    Jo-Ram

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Judge

  36. The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
    (link)

    Have we taken enough of a beating on Delino DeSheilds or are you willing to go back up to the altar with him after hearing this news:

    “Rangers manager Chris Woodward plans for DeShields to start in center field, Evan Grant of the Dallas Morning News reports.”

    To be honest, with SB’s being tough, I’m interested here…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      DeShizz!

  37. The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
    (link)

    Machado to the pardres….

    Sad emoji

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yup

  38. Boomer19 says:
    (link)

    Machado to Padres. The park isn’t as bad as it used to be but that lineup isn’t great. Hope it doesn’t change his value too much.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Think he gets marked down a bit

      • Dave D says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Definitely gives another bump to Lucchesi, Erlin. Might even be worth streaming Lauer too. They almost have to sign or trade for a veteran SP now.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I know, I wanna draft Lucchesi quickly before his price goes even higher

          • Dave D says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Yeah, no kidding. 2/3 on him and Glasnow so far. I wish it was 3/3.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Ed-Rod just revealed Pedro Martinez taught him a slider this offseason

              • Dave D says:
                (link)

                @Grey:

                Nice! It’s challenging when all the SP sleepers are in the range of 150-180 or so. In a 15 teamer that means likely only two of: EdRod, Pivetta, Bieber, Heaney, Glasnow…and gotta be lucky for it to snake back to Lucchesi. Tough sleeper year on ADPs.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Yeah, wasn’t my intention to put them all in the 150-80 range, but those were the guys I liked this year

  39. The Great Knoche says:
    (link)

    Well that means Harper is getting $350 million. White Sox please for fantasy purposes.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, imagine Harper goes to Giants, yuck

      • Cram It says:
        (link)

        @Grey: I don’t care where he lands, as long as it’s not an NL East team.

        • The Great Knoche says:
          (link)

          @Cram It: what if it’s the Mets?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Ha

      • FrankGrimes says:
        (link)

        @Grey:
        I disagree!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Oh no!

    • Mantis Toboggan MD says:
      (link)

      @The Great Knoche: i’d think machado gets more based on his defense. but if that’s true harper didn’t gain anything telling WAS to suck it on their 30 per for 10 years IF that number was ever really an offer from WAS at all.

  40. Bk says:
    (link)

    After MM news signing in SD, rather have him or Jram as keeper?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Machado

  41. LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood says:
    (link)

    Down goes Muchado……………Padres $300 mm

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yup

      • Dave D says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Manny “Mucho-dough”

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Nice

          • Dave D says:
            (link)

            @Grey: you can have that one if you want… ;-)

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Ha, sad emoji

  42. Harley Earl says:
    (link)

    You make a lot of sense with this Schmohawk post. Great work, Grey!

    Sorry to hear about Simply Fred. RIP.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      RIP, indeed

  43. Mantis Toboggan MD says:
    (link)

    12 team h2h dynasty. keep exactly 26 (have to they are auto drafted. we have an NA only draft in message board shortly). 1 of each hitter (3 specific OF), 1 util. max DL, max NA (we can protect the NA’s now up to 7, but i got 2 guys who don’t have them yet paddack/keller so i’ll have to keep them as active 26). 5 max RP slots. 5 SP. fielding %, BB’s, K’s, slugging and OPS added for hitters, for pitchers: losses, HR’s against, holds, QS, OBPA

    C kraken
    1B E5
    2B scooter
    SS mondesi (this used to be a steals weak team before acuna came up and i grabbed this guy)
    3B muncy
    LF k.davis
    CF cain sugar
    RF (grichuk is only option, still haven’t been able to trade upton or k.davis for a similar RF)
    util acuna (CF/LF, be great if he could get some RF)
    BN profar (backup all infield)

    SP: carmart (STILL isn’t healthy, STL really f’d him up bringing him back hurt 3 times last year, now he’s the new wacha shoulder issue guy), darvish, kluber, carrasco, reyes, hendricks, pivetta, heaney, ryu, gibson, paddack, keller
    RP: osuna, pressly, morrow (can DL later), raise the church, hand

    that’s 26. the possible NA’s are:
    r.lewis, y.alvarez, marsh, mountcastle (hard to tell if i should keep all 4 since i’ll probably be able to improve on):
    marsh (87th at ralph’s site list, 94th on mike’s)
    mountcastle (98th ralph, 86 mike)

    2. keller at ralph’s midseason top 500 was 45th. now he’s off ralph’s top 100, 68th on mike’s. ralph has on one of his podcasts explained that, says his K upside is gone, in the minors based on the kind of deception that won’t fly in majors and his GB’s will be hit hard in majors, whereas in minors he’s getting by on that stuff. could keep one of these instead: grichuk (for my only RF spot), mcmahon, g.richards (would go to DL slot), shoemaker or both of rogers/pressly

    3. t.rogers or pressly for last RP? (morrow is DL to start year so will at some point get a 5th RP, but holds guys are easy to stream anyway in a 12 x 5 RP league)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      2. Grichuk 3. Pressly

      • Mantis Toboggan MD says:
        (link)

        @Grey: should’ve listed the possible other non owned RFs: bader, mallex, eaton,winker, JBJ, sunday santana (no guarantee i’d get him in WW’ing though). most of those aren’t the kind of RF i need though, a power guy. mallex/eaton/bader i should probably rule out as too little of that stuff. there was a good winker article in here about how it’s possible his lack of power was just him taking FOUR years to get surgery he needed back in like 2014 or something.

        • Mantis Toboggan MD says:
          (link)

          @Mantis Toboggan MD: i’d have around the 6th WW slot to start year to get sunday santana.

          • Mantis Toboggan MD says:
            (link)

            @Mantis Toboggan MD: scratch the grichuk question, i forgot to add upton in here, meaning i have to drop keller for him anyway (or a good RP). with those other RF out there i’ll WW best one (hopefully sunday santana) after NA draft, when i get to hopefully DL morrow or NA paddack.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Those are pretty sweet RFs

          • Mantis Toboggan MD says:
            (link)

            @Grey: i guess when we do the NA draft, and i can WW a RF, if morrow/paddack still aren’t stashable (very possibly true) pressly is the drop for the RF?

            • Mantis Toboggan MD says:
              (link)

              @Mantis Toboggan MD: let’s get acuna 5 starts at RF somehow, or shifts or something else. having to bench upton or k.davis or cain sugar every day is bat shit silly.

              – for 2 years now i shopped upton or k.davis for an equal value RF, got like k.calhoun offers (who i did own a few times last year)

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                That works for me

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Yeah

  44. primetime says:
    (link)

    Now what do the White Sox do with all of Manny’s relatives and mom on the team?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      HA!

  45. Chris M says:
    (link)

    Can keep two out of five at current ADP IN 5×5. JRam, Acuna, Freeman, Story and Blackmon. I’m leaning Acuna and Story. Need advice!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Acuna, Story works for me

      • Chris M says:
        (link)

        Thanks, dude, I always appreciate your assistance

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  46. Jonathan Frakes says:
    (link)

    5×5 H2H league. Keepers can only be kept 3 years before they go back in the pool. Pre-draft, should I trade my JoseRam ($22) two years left of keep eligibility for Trea Turner ($11) last year of keep eligibility?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yup

  47. Launch Angle says:
    (link)

    Will you be revising projections for Machado now that he’s signed with the Pads?

    • Mantis Toboggan MD says:
      (link)

      @Launch Angle: thought he said machado is basically the same player where ever he went (unless like COL or something). i don’t mean today he said that (i’m behind, saving leagues with lazy comishes, filling leagues currently) but recently.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        There were slight revisements made

  48. Test says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    I have been mulling a trade offer for a while now that can go into effect after we declare keepers this week.

    10 team, 10 keepers, standard categories

    JD

    For

    Rys and Vlad

    The Trade Analyzer favors JD slightly ($41 vs $38) but obviously doesn’t include the age difference that would be a factor in a keeper league.

    Would you prefer JD or Hoskins and Vlad over the next 3 years?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I kinda prefer Rhys side

  49. Let Us Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
    (link)

    apparently carmart didn’t follow his offseason training regimen the team had him to do. somehwere’s about nov the local STL scandal rag they call a newspaper started intimating (without a source EVER listed) that it was supposedly common knowledge that he didn’t follow training advice last year either which lead to his injuries. now team pres himself actually put out a quote himself about this, so i guess he leaked this to the local press (which is pretty much run and/or owned by the cardinals anyway) months ago. remember this was NEVER reported by this paper DURING last season at any time. i figured till just now this was writer speculation as they never sourced it once, nor mentioned it during the year.

    – so we don’t exactly have a wacha situation here (overuse for years leading to shoulder stuff) necessarily, but a dumbass who probably eats/lives like shit in the offseason AND during training camps. we already knew he’d get into fights at strip joints (then not payoff the guy so it finally did come out in the press, unlike ozuna (he DID pay off the jackass immediately, even though he beat a guy up it never hit the press))

  50. The Great Knoche says:
    (link)

    First slow draft….Still rolling along at 2 rounds per day…

    2B Cano
    SS Turner
    SS Peraza
    OF Stanton
    OF Dahl
    OF Jimenez
    OF Soto
    UT Murphy (Will move to 1B later on)

    P Buehler
    P Corbin
    P Castillo
    P Glasnow
    P Leclerc
    P Allen

    So I’m done with closers fo the next 15-20 rounds or so and will grab a couple vultures in the end game.

    I’m looking at my team compared to others, and I think somehow I look light on speed even with Turner/Peraza. Thinking of trying to grab a Laureano/Bader/Meadows type next time by. Otherwise 3B is getting mighty slim. Escobar is still out there, and after that it drops off to Sano/Seager/Happ who are way down your tiers. What say you Razzballeroos?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Figure you have 60 SBs with those two, maybe 20 other SBs, so you are light… I’d go Escobar, then can grab Laureano or Meadows or Bader next time around

  51. Harley Earl says:
    (link)

    I could see Machado around 32 HR and 100 RBIs in that lineup. I think you’re lowered projections/expectations are real and right on. Petco is no Camden Yards by any measure.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yup, agreed

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sounds like his groin is in the best shape of its life

  52. Speill says:
    (link)

    This is an espn auction league. I gave Suarez as a keeper at $5 but have been offered Bennitini for $19. I’m liken Benny a lot more even at that price. But he should go for around $26 at auction. Should I take the deal?

  53. nightpandas says:
    (link)

    Desmond / Lucchessi or MChapman Dozier

    who you like more in a k/9 qs, obp slg keeper?

    thanks Grey

  54. Skip Mcgillicudy says:
    (link)

    Grey was offered Khris Davis for Severino in a points league. Have Syndergaard, Buehler, Flaherty and Sev. What would you do? freeman, moustakas, correa, segura, judge, hoskins, pham, Encarnation are my other keepers.

  55. Chris says:
    (link)

    Keep Forever League, 16 teams. 6X6, OPS , HLDS.

    Keeps: Bregman, Goldscmidt, Torres, Realmuto

    Pick 2: Gallo,Amed Rosario, Kershaw, Patrick Corbin, Matt Chapman, Wil Myers

    • JCAR says:
      (link)

      @Chris:

      CK and Gallo.

      12 team H2H, CBS PTS, keep forever (moves up a round each year), 26 rounds. Pick 3:

      Tatis (26)
      Bellinger (25)
      Acuna(24)
      Suarez (19)
      Thor (12)
      Baez (9)

Comments are closed.