Before I get into our 1st schmohawk post (I’m including you, because without you there’s no me; wanna hug? I’m kidding, don’t touch me), a quick remembrance.  One loyal Razzball Reader, Simply Fred, kept a running tally of how many times I nailed my schmohawk posts.  I think at last tally I was 25 for 27 over the last five years.  Something like that.  The point is I don’t know the number, because around Christmas time of this year, we lost Simply Fred.  He passed suddenly around the holidays.  He was one of our most loyal readers, and he will be missed, especially around the time of the yearly of the schmohawk posts.  In his honor, MattTruss, who runs our Razzball Commenter Leagues, is changing the championship trophy of the ECFBL league that Simply Fred was a part of to the Fred Barker Memorial Trophy, a worthy gesture for a worthy man.  Any hoo!  Jose Ramirez is a schmohawk.  This is so freakin’ obvious to me that it almost makes me question myself, because literally no one else is saying this about Jose Ramirez.  Could I really be the only one that recognizes how obvious this is?  I feel like Queen Isabella when she used cover her giant bosoms with bras that were hand-painted with round globes and Spanish men would be like, “She ain’t flat, but the earth is, so her luscious breasts are factually incorrect.”  Thankfully, Christopher Columbus recognized the beauty of Isabella’s chest, raised his mast and sailed west.  Anyway, what can we expect from Jose Ramirez for 2019 fantasy baseball and what makes him overrated?

Here’s what I said in the top 20 for 2019 fantasy baseball, “The Indians got rid of Chief Wahoo at the end of last year, because he was problematic.  The liberals are also saying kids playing ‘Cowboys and Indians’ is problematic, they want them to play ‘Tops and Bottoms!’  However, Chief Wahoo isn’t the only thing problematic, Jose Ramirez’s 2nd half is too.  He hit 10 HRs and .218 in the 2nd half.  Could the league have finally figured him out?  His strikeouts were identical in the 2nd half, and his walks actually went up.  His SLG, OBP, hard contact  and line drives went way down.  His BABIP bottomed out, but I can’t write off everything on luck.  Looks like he was biting on opposite field strikes (and balls) a lot more.  Okay, so bad 2nd half, can we just write it off?  Let’s take a step further back to the full season.  His infield fly balls were terrible.  That says bad contact.  It’s not everything, but he was 26th worst in the league, and no one worst than him is above him in the rankings.  His fly ball rate was 45.9%, easily a career high.  He was 8th in the league for fly balls.  Above him, you see home run hitters and guys who regularly hit .250 or lower.  He had a 18.8 degree launch angle, that’s 7th highest in the league (sorted by 300 batted ball events).  In conclusion, he hits a lot of balls in the air.  Fine for a home run hitter, but is he?  His home run distance on average was 388, easily the worst for a guy who hit 39 homers last year.  He’s either going to continue to hit fly balls at a 46% rate and hit under .250 or he’s going to curb his fly balls and hit 27 or fewer home runs.  He cannot do both.  Right now, the nearest comp I can think of is Ian Kinsler in his prime, that was 30/30/.255, but I’m not convinced Ramirez’s 2nd half was just a blip.  I was all about Jose Ramirez last year, I had him ranked higher than anyone else, but this year, he seems to be going way before I have him ranked, and I won’t be in again.”  And that’s me quoting me!  That’s everything, guys and five girls, but let’s see if we can’t conjure up some more blech to round out the yuck.  His exit velocity was 88.8 MPH, good for 104th overall, tied with Hosmer and Gleyber.  Sound good?  It’s not.  He actually compares similarly to Gleyber Torres in other ways; they both have identical launch angles.  I am also out on Gleyber this year, I just don’t believe the power, even less so from Jo-Ram.  Gleyber’s 22 years old, he might have an extra gear.  Jo-Ram turns 27 this year, and seems to have found his gear.  Steamer hitter projections has Jo-Ram down for 28 HRs, down from 39 last year.  I believe we’re going to see even fewer homers, projecting him for 25.  He had a 87.7% contact rate last year, which was 7th in the league and his career rate is 88%.  That is the type of player he is.  Does a 87+% contact guy sound like a 30+ homer hitter?  He can be, but it’s rare.  Any guesses why?  When a guy is making lots of contact, it’s not always gonna be the best contact.  Over the last three years, 87+% contact and 30-homer hitters?  Two, Jo-Ram and Bregman with 31 homers last year.  So, lots of contact, lots of fly balls, and not deep fly balls?  Jo-Ram sounds like he could hit .218.  Wait, I just thought of something!  He did hit .218 in the 2nd half of last year.  I haven’t even bothered to mention the Indians’ lineup is not going to be great this year, except for mentioning it while not mentioning it.  Jo-Ram, as currently positioned, feels like a 25/25/.260 hitter and not a top 3 overall pick, so spritz him with some Begone Schmohawk Spray and be done with him!

 
  1. Scott says:
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    Do you have any favorite late round pitching lottery tickets or targets who’d be available at the end of a draft? I am talking about rebound candidates or guys coming back from injury, etc? Just looking for some names to roll the dice on who have some upside. If they don’t work out, I can cut them early and move on at virtually no cost. Thanks

    • Scott says:
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      Undervalued or under the radar also works for me too, not just rebound candidates, etc.

    • Cram It says:
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      @Scott: Steven Matz

    • Old School Brother says:
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      @Scott: Seth Lugo

    • The Great Knoche says:
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      @Scott: Jimmy Nelson. Jeff Samardjzia

    • knucks says:
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      @Scott: Strahm, if he wins a rotation spot in SD

  2. Dr Easy says:
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    “Thankfully, Christopher Columbus recognized the beauty of Isabella’s chest, raised his mast and sailed west. ” That’s just poetry right there.

    The blurb about Simply Fred: is that really true? If so, RIP.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Dr Easy: Yeah, Fred passed

  3. Ante Galic says:
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    Grey!!!!

    Fantastic JoRam Schmohawk report.

    a. So, I guess the question is this. How can someone go from being a sleeper top 10 like he was last year in your books to schmohawk in just one year? I understand your reasoning so I guess that answers my question but is it not possible for him to just repeat last year? Didn’t he have the same flaws he has this year at the start of last year? Sorry for so many questions.

    b. The best John Lennon quote of the day for February 19

    Christianity will go. It will vanish and shrink. I needn’t argue about that; I’m right and I will be proved right. We’re more popular than Jesus now; I don’t know which will go first – rock ‘n’ roll or Christianity.

    c. Subdued Norm MacDonald quote of the day for February 19

    1. A deadly outbreak of the ebola virus is said to be responsible for more than 100 deaths in Africa, and a couple of really bad movies here in the United States.

    2. A Labor Department study shows that the number of temporary workers rose to 2 million in 1994. And that study doesn’t even include the most temporary of the temporarily unemployed…Kato Kaelin.

    3. Well, Gary Busey left the hospital this week after overdosing on cocaine last Friday. The doctors say Busey is okay and he should be back in the hospital in no time!

    4. Crime is down nearly 20% in NYC with only 384 murders so far this year. Only 384? You know if you ask me that’s still 307 too many!

    5. The Walt Disney company has announced plans to build a 300 million dollar hotel and entertainment complex in New York’s Time Square. Construction begins next spring on their first attraction…Crack whores of the Caribbean.

    6. The American Academy of Pediatrics has released an updated list of unsafe baby products. Topping the list this year is the really, really, really, really high chair.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood says:
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      @Ante Galic:

      “4. Crime is down nearly 20% in NYC with only 384 murders so far this year. Only 384? You know if you ask me that’s still 307 too many!”

      Ok i’ll bite why are the other 77 ok?

      • Ante Galic says:
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        @LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood: Lenny!

        It had me for a second too. 77/384=20%. If it makes you feel better, that fact also flew right over the audience too.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood says:
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          @Ante Galic:

          yeah that is Yogi Berra math…..

    • snarky anklebiter says:
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      @Ante Galic:
      Jose Ramirez
      2018 ECR 22
      2018 Grey rank 13
      2019 ECR 3
      2019 Grey rank 12

      Nothing has changed except the asking price. You’re welcome.

      • Ante Galic says:
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        @snarky anklebiter: Snarky!

        Thanks a lot man. I’m not questioning it and this makes it really clear. If he’s available outside of the top 20, go for it but don’t draft him in the top 10 hoping he’ll return you top 10 value for the a/m reasons.

        Cheers,
        Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ante Galic: A. Boil down the post to: He overperformed last year and he will come back a little to earth

      B. Rock n roll lost that one

      C. 4 haha

      • Ante Galic says:
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        @Grey: Grey!

        Hey, man! I was actually sorry I posted that because I thought it would open up a wider discussion on Christianity. In your wisdom, you crushed the response for all in one fell swoop. I am really awed by everything you do.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ha, no need to apologize, I’m just saying rock n roll died around 2005, I think

          • Ante Galic says:
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            @Grey: Grey!!

            In a redraft, points, mixed H2H league I have 3 guys for the U. I’m going to keep them all until the start of the season to see what’s good and what’s bad. Who do you think of these 3 has the biggest impact in a points league?

            1. Laureano
            2. VGJ
            3. Voit

            I have E5 at 1B, so he’s good for at least 2 trips to the DL where Voit can step in. I love Conforto but he may also have a trip or 2 to the DL. Who knows? It’s good to have more pitchers than bench bats to maximize on two starts in that format.

            Cheers,
            Ante

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              VGJ

  4. 4am Coffee says:
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    In a 12 T 6×6 OBP/SLG. I can keep 5 (Rounds Keeper)… J. Ramirez (13), Freeman (9), Soto (25), Judge (24), Baez (8) and Severino (25) – Rounds are forever

    I am leaning to keeping all batters but wanted your thoughts before I pull the trigger. *Note, I won’t have my first pick until pick 23, so not sure what kind of pitching staff I could put together. After reading this article, I will have to revisit a trade offer I got last night. My Ramirez (13)/Judge (24) for his Acuna (25) and Albies (8). I turned it down but should I reconsider?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @4am Coffee: I like Acuna better than Jo-Ram right now

      • 4am coffee says:
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        @Grey: so you are thinking I should pull the trigger and sell Jram (13 round) & Judge (24 round) for Acuna (25 round) and Albies ( 8th round). So essentially I am giving up Jram(cheap) and Judge ( cheap) for Acuna (cheap) and Albies at market value? Just want to clarify. :). Thanks!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yup

  5. Crime Dog says:
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    Great post Grey.

    What are your thoughts on his speed? Does he steal 30 again? His Sprint speed last year was terrible (260 overall) but he did convert 34/40 which is pretty good.

    • Crime Dog says:
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      @Crime Dog: I know you have him projected for 24, but is there a good chance he goes back to the 17-20 steals he was before last year?

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        @Crime Dog: I think that is possible, yes

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Crime Dog: It was awful, he’s not even that fast… So many issues here, sadly

      • Crime Dog says:
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        @Grey: yeah he just screams 20/15 type player to me. I know he did 39/34 last year but I’m with you, I don’t see it again. I think your projections are a pretty good hedge between who he actually is (20/15) and what he’s somehow capable of (39/34)

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Totes

  6. Sweatpants Nation says:
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    BSOHL ALERT:…given all the heartache over the years surrounding the physical form of Twins slugger Miguel Sano, it seems relevant that he’s said to be in the best shape of his life — or, at least, the best shape of his MLB career. As Dan Hayes of The Athletic writes, Sano embarked upon a robust workout program this winter and seems to be in top form. (from MLBRumors)
    Change the rankings! Time to get back in on him! Sleeper post time, baby! I think this news moves him past that Schmohawk Jo-Ram, Oy. Haha

      • Sweatpants Nation says:
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        @Grey: 40 homers easily now.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yup

  7. Wally Pipp says:
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    He would have to get really unlucky to hit only 260.

    Last year he hit 270 with a only a 252 bapip, and lowered his ks to 11%. Even with a ton of shallow fly balls again hes going to hit over 260. Saying he could hit 218 is silly.

    • Cram It says:
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      @Wally Pipp: You still haven’t come around to Grey’s humor yet?

    • knucks says:
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      @Wally Pipp: Head on over to CBS if you want cookie cutter content breh, this got old a while ago.

      It sounds like you are quite the insider yourself. Which of the TGFBI leagues are you in so I can follow along and root against you?

      • Wally Pipp says:
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        @Grey: id bet a lot of money he has over a 275 batting avg this season.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          You’d have to give odds

          • Wally Pipp says:
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            @Grey: yeah, his vegas over under id guess would be like 282.5

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Prolly close to that, yeah

  8. LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood says:
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    “…….. The liberals are also saying kids playing ‘Cowboys and Indians’ is problematic, they want them to play ‘Tops and Bottoms!’ ………”

    just spit coffee………………….

  9. Earl says:
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    Hi All,

    Can anyone recommend good place/site to do mock drafts? Would be good to be going against real people instead of the computer just following ADP.

    Thanks

    • here comes the pizza says:
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      @Earl: ESPN isn’t bad but still about a week or two before they consistently fill up

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Earl: I don’t know, homey… I know some use Couchmanagers, I think

    • Crazy J says:
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      @Earl: Yahoo! has a ton of traffic. Many don’t stay around for all 23 rounds in mocks (on ANY site), but they fill them up during peak hours.

  10. Peacecoast says:
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    Off to FL for school break. My next comments will be from the beach yo. The Indians are weird. Are they trying to tank? They have some of the best pitching around. Lindor, JoRam to build around. But then they haven’t done a thing to make a good offense. Leonys in CF? Why wouldn’t they be into Harper?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Peacecoast: WUT?! Where you going in FL? I think the Indians are trying to tank, like that movie…what’s it’s name again, about baseball something major…

      • Peacecoast says:
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        @Grey: The Keys. Never been. Flight got moved back so here I am posting while still in fucking Boston.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Meh, I went to the Keys two years ago, don’t you remember? I’d cancel, go to Cuba!

  11. Timmy says:
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    I can either keep Max Scherzer as a second rounder OR keep Edwin Diaz as a 9th rounder. If I don’t keep Max I’ll have a chance at getting him back in the draft along with lindor/trea turner/kluber/stanton.
    I can also keep one of Altuve or Goldy. Any and all insight is greatly appreciated.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Timmy: Scherzer, Goldy

  12. 12 team AL only 5×5 OBP instead of average standard auction style.

    1B is ugly this year. I have an 11 dollar healy to hold that I hate in OBP. TheJoey Gallo owner wants my Gerrit Cole

    30 dollar Cole vs 17 dollar Gallo – what has more roto value – What would Joey Gallo be worth at auction in this format?

  13. Skip Mcgillicuddy says:
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    Any concern with Upton’s knee? Sounds like it could be a nagging injury thru the season

    • Skip Mcgillicuddy says:
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      @Skip Mcgillicuddy: Also, which side of this trade would you want: Correa for Vlad and Eloy? Points league, 12 keeper with minor league systems

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Skip Mcgillicuddy: The Angels said he’d be fine in 7-10 days… Sounds ok

  14. Cloudtown says:
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    Grey!

    Glad the new year is upon us, reading January Grey has been theraputic.

    Keeper ?, 10TM Keep 10, 7×7 w/ OBP SLG QS HD as added cats.
    32 player roster, 24 starters 8 bench $340 Auction Budget

    As a longtime reader I have been quite successful against my longtime home league, so thanks for that!
    Onto keepers…
    Locked!
    Tildaddy $21
    Mondesi $10
    Rhysus $15
    Belly $15
    Soto $10
    Albies $15
    Conforto $6

    Need 3 of these maybeez..
    Altuve $37
    Corbin $10
    Marquez $10
    Edd Rosario $12
    Thor $16
    Severino $15
    Klubot $44
    Nola $9

    Thinking Corbin, Marquez and Ed or Nola, though the prices on Thor and Sev-e are good too. Thanks in advance!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Cloudtown: How’s things, Cloudtown? Corbin, Rosario, Nola — nice keepers!

      • Cloudtown says:
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        @Grey: Things be alright Grey, looking forward to getting out of February. The snow is ridiculous, more tomorrow ugh

        Yes very nice keepers, thanks to checking in here everyday! Won the league last year by the skin of my teeth, had a huge lead first half but hitters faded, maxed out pitching to hold on.

        Looking forward to another great season!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem, let’s do this!

  15. Old School Brother says:
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    Shipment of Blackberry Bubly hit the break room fridge yesterday, its a huge hit. You know what Kendrick says; The blacker the Berry, the sweeter the Bubly

      • Old School Brother says:
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        @Dave D: Thanks, I miss these days. Back when I got to manage a real baseball team rather than just fantasy

      • Old School Brother says:
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        @Grey: Update; there’s only one Blackberry Bubly left. These savages tore through it like Tehol at a mink coat factory outlet sale

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          If you’re not taking that Blackberry Bubly and storing it inside a giant bowl of tuna salad so no one else can find it, I don’t know who you are

  16. jon says:
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    Hampson or Ketel Marte this season? Im leaning Hampson winning 2B and crushing it

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @jon: Hampson if he has the job

    • JM says:
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      @jon: I’ve got my eye on both these guys in the late rounds…I think Marte could be on the cusp of a breakout. I’d go Marte for this year, Hampson for dynasty/keeper.

  17. Big Joey says:
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    Pressing to go 40/40 most likely. He has tremendous batting skills, he will adjust to whatever happened in the second half. Also he has elite base running skills.

    2019 projection: .300 30 95 95 28

    The only thing I’m worried about is that weak Indians lineup

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I don’t know about that, Big Joey

  18. Dave D says:
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    Hilarious but sad reference to the modern conundrum of ‘Cowboys and Indians’ versus the replacement. You had me floored but, unfortunately, like the Greeks (and back when comedians were still funny and not political propagandists) understood, comedy and tragedy are two sides of a coin. ‘Tops and Bottoms’ replacing ‘Cowboys and Indians’ is just f**king brilliant, sir! Its kind of pathetic what things have come to when Jerry Seinfeld wont do college campuses because of the cry bullies ready to treat an edgy joke as if it is the infliction of a mortal wound.

    I have this fantasy of driving to my old alma mater, UC Berkeley, and blasting some old Lenny Bruce recordings over the PA at plaza or the misnomered “Free Speech Cafe” I used to frequent. What a difference a generation or two can make.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Dave D: Haha, yeah, weird times for sure… Thinking NFBC signups are tomorrow, btw

      • Dave D says:
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        @Grey:

        Ok. Are you or Rudy gonna be in any of those or is it peons only? Any chance of a satellite with either slow (yes they have them now) or draft? I honestly don’t think I can tolerate a slow 50 round DC stretching for a few weeks at this juncture. Not meant as negative criticism but constructive, but I think you need to publish leagues earlier. I normally decide all my leagues already but certainly have interest in doing a razzball one.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Rudy and I will both be doing one…

    • Sweatpants Nation says:
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      @Dave D: Remember as kids sitting on the floor “indian” style. Now it’s called criss-cross applesauce.

  19. Jason says:
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    Do you prefer Arenado or Bryant/Eloy Jimenez in a 10-team H2H keeper? Thanks!