After a great first week (3 HR, 5 RBI), Troy Tulowitzki has done a whole lot of nothing. From 4/12 to 4/29, 0 HR and 0 RBI. He’s K-ing in 28% of his ABs, almost double his career rate.  He’s now sporting a .200 AVG for the year. He got ‘benched’ for a game in favor of Clint Barmes.  So what’s the silver lining?  First and foremost, Tulo is a slow starter.  Unlike Robby Cano and LaRoche Sr., he lived up to his historically poor form.  In 2007-2008, he hit .197 over 187 April ABs.  When his K goes back to his normal 15% and the BABIP pendulum swings at least a little to the middle (at .225 right now), the AVG will take care of itself.  He’s too young and Colorado is too elevated to think he can’t get 20+ HRs if he stays healthy all year.  Once the weather starts heating up, expect Tulo to heat up as well.  Anyway, here’s some more players to buy and sell this week in fantasy baseball:


Lance Berkman – He’s batting .162.  I think owners might fear Berkman’s too old or it’s one of those years when he just sucks.  There’s no way his average stays that low, so we’re looking at a major correction for a career .300 hitter.  Think of a .400 June.  That’s hawt!

Brandon Phillips – Like my hair during the heyday of Vanilla Ice, Phillips is streaky (with blonde highlights!).  Phillips will go a month where he’s dreadful.  April was one of those months.  He can just as easily hit .290 in May and hit 5 HRs and get 7 steals.  Check raise to the bettor, snitches!

Phil Hughes – It’s Phil of the Future… Finally, now.  Maybe.  But it’s worth a flier to find out.

Chad Gaudin – He’s in Petco?  Yes, please.

Eric Patterson – His family originates from Patterson, NJ and when Eric was born in Holy Oak Hospital they looked out the window and saw a passing bus with a man they thought was Eric Roberts driving said bus.  It wasn’t, but they liked the name.  Oh, and Eric Patterson can steal.

Ryan Madson – Whether Lidge goes to the DL or not, Madson can be owned.  If Lidge goes to the DL, Madson should be owned.

Julian Tavarez – SAGNOF!

Joe Beimel – Only if you have room on your DL.  Don’t load up on Nats relievers, they’re bad for your complexion.

Kendry Morales – When I wrote a sleeper post two months ago about this guy I was widely ignored.  And I will probably be ignored again.  He’s kind of like Mike Jacobs with less power but a better average.  Enticing!

Andruw Jones – I really don’t trust this guy to keep the bottom from falling out, but if you get a good week or two from him, whatevs.

Adam Rosales – Who knows how long Edwin’s going to be out?  You a doctor?  Nah, me either.  Though I did help deliver Eric Patterson and that was Eric Roberts driving that bus!  Rosales should be owned in NL-Only leagues.

Brett Cecil – Okay, the newest rookie pitcher to add in leagues deeper than 10 team mixed.  Cecil may do a lot of nothing in this promotion, so I’d bench him for his first start.  Why pickup a pitcher to bench, you ponder internally.  Here’s the thing, and it’s the same reason I told you to grab Holland last week, if a rookie pitcher explodes on the scene, you want to own him.  And a lot of times a rookie pitcher will come on like a comet burning brightly for a couple of starts.  (Cueto’s first two starts last year: 13 1/3 IP, 18 Ks, 3 ER, 0 Walks)  But, like a comet, his fire will probably burn out quickly when the league catches up to him.  Then hot rookie callup pitcher will go into a correction period, lasting a few months.  Now, while the whole world’s set ablaze with him, you can flip him for a junky closer.  School’s out, Alice Cooper.

Carlos Quentin – You probably think I’m dropping ‘ludes putting Quentin on the Buy list when he’s already sitting on 8 HRs.  Could he get better?  Yeppers!  Right now, Quentin’s sporting a very low BABIP, which means he’s been unlucky.  May could be even better.

Huston Street –  The horsies go up and down as the Rockies closer carousel continues to spin.  Put on one of those faded leather seatbelts that smells like baby vomit and get on.

Matt LaPorta – It’s a renaissance for guys with a capitalized letter in the middle of their last name — LaPorta, LaRoche, LaSagna.


Matt Holliday – Sorry, but you shouldn’t have bought him to begin with.

Kosuke Fukudome – Don’t drop him, but if you think he’s going to be productive all year, you’re mistaken.  Not mistaken like, “What Adam’s Apple?”  But mistaken nevertheless.

Fred Lewis – Maybe beans do burn on the grill.  Lewis is batting near .300 with 1 RBI and 1 steal.  Those are “Grandpa” Al Lewis levels of production.

Kelly Johnson – Johnson seems to always flirt with being benched for some also-ran, this month it’s Omar Baby.  Then Johnson always seems to come back in a month or two and hit the cover off the ball.  Happens every year.  Chuck KJ for now in 12 team mixed leagues or shallower, and come back to him when he’s hot. (BTW, how cool would it be if your name was Chuck KJ?  That’s it.  No last name.  Not short for Charles.  Just Chuck KJ.  Splash on a bottle of Drakkar, hit the bar and get laid.  Why?  Cause you’re Chuck KJ!)

  1. Johnnie LeMaster says:

    Tulo vs. Felipe Lopez, rest of season?

  2. Aaron Garner says:

    What if you have F. Lewis for only $1 in a NL only auction league?

  3. mgeoffriau

    Mark says:

    The only problem with “grabbing” Brett Cecil……he’s not in the Yahoo database yet (and apparently not ESPN’s either).

  4. Who should I drop to add Ryan Madson: Jason Frasor or Jason Motte? Need saves more than ratios.

  5. Corey says:

    how about Jake Peavy? would you buy him after his slow start? If you could get him for something like Clayton Kershaw and a hot closer like Heath Bell?

  6. ron mexico's papi says:

    @Grey: Gaudin or Jordan Zimmerman?

  7. AL KOHOLIC says:

    patterson?hmm,i like that he was hitting and running down below but playing time isnt quaranteed is it?i will be keeping a close eye on him though,never liked lewis,missed hughes and would love berkman or quentin

  8. Grey

    Grey says:

    @ron mexico’s papi: Zimmermann, but he may lose his value quickly like other rookie pitchers.

  9. cws05nuts says:

    Darnit! If you couldn’t tell already I bought Holliday.
    You have a man crush on stewart don’t you?

  10. Grey

    Grey says:

    @AL KOHOLIC: Patterson should see ABs with Ellis hurt.

  11. AL KOHOLIC says:

    man,harden getting smacked like a ho,

  12. Grey

    Grey says:

    @cws05nuts: I’m a big fan of Stewart, yup.

  13. Wait, I thought you guys loved Fred Lewis back when you were drafting your teams? Shouldn’t he be a buy low candidate? (I always thought he sucked).

    Fuck-a-dome’s career in Japan would seem to indicate that last year was an aberration, not the norm. While he obviously won’t sustain his current pace, wouldn’t translating his typical year in Japan to the MLB environment indicate the potential for a .290/90/20/90/10 year?

  14. Tom says:

    Hey Grey,
    Are Bartlett and Stewart too much for Tulowitski?

  15. Schatzi says:

    Justin Upton for Ian Stewart?

  16. ron mexico's papi says:

    I bought Berkman last week. Traded Swiser and Lindstrom to get him. So far Berkman has hit 1 HR and it is his only hit for me I think. Swisher has 3 HRs and Lindstrom 2 SVs since the trade. Good thing it is a long season, because I fully expect to win that deal.

    I’ve got Quentin in both my keeper league (kept for 3 more years after this one) and in my redraft leauge.

    @Grey: How much is Quentin’s BABIP influenced by a his high number of HRs? I’ve never studied BABIP enough to know how a high % of hits going for HRs influences BABIP.

  17. Jobu's rum says:

    Howie Kendrick put it together this week (okay, small sample) and his AVG over the last 2 yrs should keep 2B from infecting my team. Why is nobody else a believer?

  18. cws05nuts says:

    And we need to get the buzz going on Cansecito as CQ’s nickname because of the uncanny resemblance in face and batting stance.

  19. bobbo says:

    Hey Grey, I know it’s crazy to ask but do you want Peavy or Greinke in a keeper? How about Hamels or Greinke?

  20. Scott says:

    @ron mexico’s papi: I fully expect that you will win that deal too. The way Lindstrom’s looked, he may not be the closer on Memorial Day. On that note, @Maitland: I probably also like Leo Nunez more than Frasor and Motte once Lidge is back.

  21. Wizo says:

    trade Holliday for Tulo?

  22. Scott says:

    @bobbo: Funny that you mention crazy and Greinke in the same sentence. As afraid of Hamels as I am right now, I like him the best of those 3. I am really hoping that what I heard Hershiser say about his ’89 season (after the ’88 season – 310 IP, 45 more than the previous year) is what will happen to Hamels. He said he just felt kind of out of it for the first month then once it warmed up was fine. He went on to lead the NL in IP’s and post a 2.31 ERA.

  23. Sam says:

    How deep should my roto league be to carry David Aardsma? Does 16 teams do it? Him or LaPorta?

  24. Infamous says:

    Magglio for Peavy?

  25. cws05nuts says:

    @ron mexico’s papi: I watch cansecito daily and listen to Steve Stone drool about him. He is swinging the bat incredibly well despite the average. Making good contact. Lot of warning track fly balls meaning his power index will remain constant and as the Cell plays smaller well see better rbi’s and r’s. The problem with his BABIP is that he doesn’t hit ground balls. At all. It’s just not his thing. And the line drives he has gotten good wood on (if you’ll pardon the expression) have been right at the darn left fielder. However, he took a HR the other way over the weekend which is another good sign of things to coem according to Stone.

  26. brad says:

    You’re right, I shouldn’t have bought Holliday in the first place. I’m thinking of offering him for Josh Johnson just to be rid of him.

    9 team roto, I would replace Holliday with Bruce who is currently on my bench.

    Should I aim hgher or is Johnson a good get?

  27. cws05nuts says:

    Stewart or Hank Blalock?

  28. Schatzi says:

    Ok, thanks :)

    Which SP would you accept for Wainright with I.Stewart:

    J.Upton+Wainright for I.Stewart+Liriano or Josh Johnson?

    I’m guessing wainright for Liriano is no brainer, but would you trade Wainright for Josh Johnson?

  29. cws05nuts says:

    @Grey: Do you have any inkling when LaPorta will arrive on the scene?

  30. Scott says:

    @brad: I think Johnson and Bruce is a great deal for you. Holliday’s career numbers: 348 games away from Coors: 279/45/181/197; 368 games at Coors: 353/84/314/287. Sell while you can. Billy Beane will too, if the A’s are out of it and it won’t be back to Colorado.

  31. cws05nuts says:

    @Grey: And just to make sure I ask you about every bad 3b in the league… stewart vs. Blake? And then I will promptly act on your advice and pickup stewart. And forever hold you accountable!

  32. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Schatzi: Why are you trading Wainwright for Liriano or JJ? Wainwright has a 2.76 ERA and is 3-0.

    @cws05nuts: Nope and Stewart.

  33. David Souter says:

    Bedard or Beckett?

  34. dbhammel says:

    Totally the wrong forum for this but all the stats in the world havent convinced me to pull the trigger on this trade in a 5×5 10 team keeper…thoughts?

    In a keeper league is the upgrade from ian stewart (22nd round) to chris davis (25th round) worth me downgrading (in my mind) from javier vazquez (11th round) to lester (20th round)?

  35. Baron Von Vulturewins

    Baron Von Vulturewins says:

    @brad: Think pitchers who went in rounds 4 through 6. Start at Hamels and work backwards. You could/should get a Hamels/Haren type.

  36. mgeoffriau

    Mark says:

    @David Souter:

    This is why you are retiring? To spend more time debating the relative merits of Bedard and Beckett?

  37. Baron Von Vulturewins

    Baron Von Vulturewins says:

    @David Souter: Roe or Wade?

  38. Jobu's rum says:

    Looking to tomorrow (sorry, don’t really surf the net when not at work) how do you guys feel about starting Jurrjens at home vs. Houston? He has good numbers, but his home numbers are not nearly as good as road. I’m over-paced for IP so I could afford to sit him.

  39. JR says:

    @David Souter: I think you meant Bedard v. Beckett

  40. ron mexico's papi says:

    Per fangraphs, Berkman has a career BABIP of .324, but this year it is just .149. His lowest BABIP in a full season was .303 in 2007. Yeah, he’s due for a big month sometime very, very soon.

  41. Frank Rizzo says:

    @Grey: Would you consider moving Lind and Ellsbury for Quentin? I’ve got a ton of OF for only 3 starting spots in my Yahoo league. (Braun, Kemp, Bruce, Ellsbury, Hunter, Lind on roster). Trying to move quantity for quality here.

  42. Schatzi says:

    @Grey: Was thinking of replacing Wainright for a better SP because of high amount of walks and WHIP.
    I will stick with Wainright.
    I got whip lashed the other day with wainright/myers, then yesterday with Beckett. I was just a bit interested in seeking some improvement.

  43. p0rk burn says:

    According to the Elias Sports Burea, when the Cubs brought in Carlos Zambrano to pinch-hit for Sarmardzija in the 4th inning it was the first time in major league history that a Pitcher with a Z in his last name was called on to bat for another Pitcher who also had a Z in his last name.

  44. ron mexico's papi says:

    @p0rk burn: …during a day game in the state of Illinois that had experienced some rain during the contest.

  45. Scott says:

    @Frank Rizzo: I always love to move quantity for quality. Quantity-type players can be found on the waiver wire. I may keep Ellsbury though because of the speed for your utility. Not sure what you have in the infield, though. An outfield of Braun, Kemp, and Quentin would be ideal in my mind.

  46. dbhammel says:

    Choose a side in a keeper;

    Lester (20) and Davis (25)
    Vazquez (11) and Stewart (24)

  47. Jobu's rum says:

    @dbhammel: Lester & Davis

  48. Scott says:

    @dbhammel: Definitely the former. Vazquez can be had in the 11th again next year, but it is doubtful that either Lester and Davis will.

  49. royce! says:

    @ron mexico’s papi: I agree that Berkman is getting unlucky, I’m just not sure how unlucky. His BABIP is terrible, but so is his LD% and K%, meaning that he is either not making contact or not making good contact nearly as often as he has in the past. I’m concerned that he may be more affected by the biceps injury than he’s letting on. Not enough to hit under .200, but I don’t think it’s all bad luck.

  50. Colin says:

    So who’s starting Zimmerman vs. the Redbirds tonight?

  51. boknows says:

    If Hawkins and Gaudin are available can I drop Maine and Davies for them?

  52. Paulie Allnuts

    Paulie Allnuts says:

    @David Souter – Forgot what your ruling was the on Should Luke Scott wear Dredds decision

    I will admit toyour legal brilliance in regards to Josh Hamilton was apparent in the Kelo case.

    And I always believed that Emil Brown was bored of Education.

    But most of us didn’t know your intense feelings on (Preacher) Roe, likely because that before most of us blogger’s time, except for AL-KOHOLIC

  53. Paulie Allnuts

    Paulie Allnuts says:

    @Colin – I am. Then again, I am also starting Hack Duke in our Commenter League, so why would you listen to me?

  54. dbhammel says:

    You guys think my concerns over lester and davis are unwarranted?

  55. What are your concerns about Lester/Davis?

  56. andy says:

    Trying to take your advice and grab Berkman while giving my team some flexibility. What do you think of me grabbing Berkman, Hamels, and Putz (who I’d drop after the deal) for Votto, Joba, and Wandy?

    With the extra roster slot I’d probably grab Hughes off the wire.

    Is this any good, would a deal like this be accepted?

  57. BigFatHippo says:

    @Colin: @Paulie Allnuts: Beware, opponents are slugging .500 vs. Zimmerman n.

  58. Am I overlooking something about Gaudin? I don’t see why he’s anything more than NL-only material with the potential for superfluous facial hair.

  59. BJ Upton and Josh Johnson or Alex Rios and Josh Beckett?

  60. Colin says:

    @Paulie Allnuts: LoL…well Paulie, Duke has pitched well this year….you have every reason to start him.

  61. ABell says:

    alright grey, you like wolf over gaudin right? also, would buying tulo with victorino be a huge ripoff? peralta is killing me, along with the sonuvabench outfield. and yes, i am a doctor… almost.

  62. dbhammel says:

    @ Maitland, that Lester has underperformed his FIP for too long and wont be anything more than a 15 win 150 k 4.0/1.4 pitcher and that Davis will always K so much that his potential wont be realiezed and that he may lose playing time.

  63. Paulie Allnuts

    Paulie Allnuts says:

    @BigFatHippo – Are you saying that Zim may have problems with Big Albert? I always allow a new pitcher one chance to get bombed. then I get more wary. I figure he should be ok at least the first time around the league. Then again, if Lud goes wild, it will help me in my Commenter League.

  64. Cheeeeeeeeeeeze says:

    I currently own an outfield cast of markakis, sizemore, kemp, pence, and hawpe. Its a 4 OF league so I think it would do me good to trade one in for a SP. Out of those, who has the most inflated value right now? And idea’s of a SP to target for them would be helpful. Thanks

  65. blingoching says:

    adam rosales or Andy laroche who u got?

  66. Cheeeeeeeeeeeze says:

    Also, I just made that trade for J-Roll and a guy is offering me Billingsley for him, what do you think about that? My heart is saying go, but my brain is sayin NO

  67. royce! says:

    @Paulie Allnuts: Brilliant! Now I can bill this time!

  68. Grey

    Grey says:

    @andy: Not crazy about that trade for you.

    @naughtandcross: He’s got about a 7.5 K/9 (off top of head, not sure exactly) and around a 4 ERA. In deep leagues, that can be very helpful. Not saying grab him in 10 team leagues.

    @Maitland: Upton over Rios puts that side slightly over the top. But very close obviously.

    @ABell: Wolf, yes. I want Victorino over Tulo.

    @Cheeeeeeeeeeeze: Trade Markakis for a very top SP. Think CC.

  69. blingoching says:

    adam rosales o Andy laroche who u got?

  70. cws05nuts says:

    @andy: Stand pat.

  71. blingoching says:

    adam rosales is short stop thats tight

  72. blingoching says:

    manny corpas dump da chump 4 rosales right ima do it

  73. @dbhammel: Lester’s numbers might hit that, but when dealing with Vazquez, I think he compares favorably. With Davis, sure, he’ll K, but I don’t know if I’d be too concerned with that compared to Stewart.

  74. Paulie Allnuts

    Paulie Allnuts says:

    The amazing Marco has more dingers then David Wright, Ortiz, J.J. Hardy, Abreau, and Derrick Lee combined, all players whom I have on one or more of my fantasy teams. Is this but a wide variance of a seasonal permutation, or should be tested for ‘Roids? Marco Scuteroid has a nice ring to it.

  75. Dingo says:

    Ricky Romero — worth stashing? My DL is full, but my league has big benches. When’s he expected back?

  76. blingoching says:

    WTF mang

  77. Vince says:

    @Grey: Drop Fred Lewis to pick up LaPorta in mt RCL team? My other OF are Victorino, Hart, Damon, Torii and Kubel…

  78. dbhammel says:

    Its tought to hang on to J-Roll right now, but id much rather have him than billingsley for the whole season.

  79. Dingo says:

    Scu-scu-scutaro. Whoa-oh!

    Tell me I’m not the only one who hears that every time Scutaro hits a home run.

  80. Billy says:

    What Should i do with Chris Davis? in a deep 16 team, -1 k, does he have any trade value?

  81. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Dingo: He’ll be back in a week or two. Stash him.

    @blingoching: LaRoche has a firmer grip on the job. I wouldn’t drop Corpas right now in any leagues deeper than 10 team.

    @Vince: Go for it.

    @Billy: Of course he does.

  82. sean says:

    Stashers: Ervin Santana to start at AAA on Monday.

  83. BigFatHippo says:

    @Grey: Start little brother Jered against Yankees?

  84. sean says:

    @grey: should I shop Rios to the Bowden look-a-likes in my league, or will the slow start mean that I can’t come close to getting equivalent?

  85. Grey

    Grey says:

    @BigFatHippo: Sure, but it’s by no means confidently.

    @sean: Yeah, you’d be selling low.

  86. Dingo says:

    @BigFatHippo: Over his past two starts, Jered’s given up 28 fly balls. If he gives up 14 more tonight, how many do you think are going to get sucked up by the jetstream? I’m gonna say two.

  87. BigFatHippo says:

    @Grey: @Dingo: Don’t really need the start but I sat him vs the Sox and it cost me. Why not, I’m starting Parra in the other league fercrissakes.

  88. daniel p says:

    david wright’s owner is impatient and also really wants youkilis. give it a shot?

  89. BigFatHippo says:

    @daniel p: Oh yeah, he may do it straight up with Wrights start.

  90. Dean says:

    @grey: All this talk of selling Holliday has me feeling a bit of buyers remorse. I figured he was a decent buy lo candidate since hitting is hitting. I just bought him for Choo and Kershaw in my keeper league (5×5 OBP and QS). I dont expect 1st round numbers, or even second, but the guy has proven he can hit, has shown he can hit for power and steal bases, i playing for a contract, seems healthy, and could be traded to a contender before the deadline. Sure, hes not going to steal a bunch of bags for Beane and Co. and he wont hit as many HR’s as he did in Coors but I figured Kershaw could continue to hurt me more than he helps (shallow bench) and that Holliday was a nice upgrade over Choo. Did I get ripped off?

  91. BingoIsMyName-O says:

    Fallacy Alert!
    “Lance Berkman – He’s batting .162. I think owners might fear Berkman’s too old or it’s one of those years when he just sucks. There’s no way his average stays that low, so we’re looking at a major correction for a career .300 hitter. Think of a .400 June. That’s hawt!”

    It doesn’t really work that way. What you should expect is Berkman to be Berkman in June. High average, very good power. Smells like a Puma. Etc. If the Berkman owner is nervous about Berkman after a lousy April, you can pounce on that, puma-like, but you shouldn’t expect to get Puma-Plus in the other 5 months.

    Shitty Aprils happen and doodes do not go Grape Nuts in other months just to help balance that out. Otw, they’d probably go Grape Nuts in April and say, “You can kiss my ass in June, ’cause I’ll be napping in sunflower seed shells that month — I had an awesome April!”

    Shitty Aprils are why sometimes you look at the back of a baseball card and wonder why a guy’s BA dipped for one year. Answer come back, “Shitty April.”

    And the Shitty Aprils did once open for Smashing Pumpkins, but everybody hated them.

  92. Tom says:

    I’m anxiously awaiting the results of Lidge’s bullpen sesh. I have Madson. Lidge’s owner has Hawkins, and he would love to protect his saves with Madson. Do I trade Madson for Hawkins right now, or just wait until we hear about Lidge’s knee.

  93. Drev says:

    @Grey: Any reason to adjust HR projections downward for Mets bats b/c of the new home park?

  94. BigFatHippo says:

    @Doug Ault: I’d still do her. She’s the perfect candidate for a ball gag……….

  95. Martin says:

    Should i start parra. I’m bearly winning in K/BB with 1.82. I’m bearly loosing in Whip with 1.48 and i’m winning in Era with 3.98

  96. mgeoffriau

    Mark says:


    Specifically, the gambler’s fallacy. I had a discussion about this the other day with regard to Scott Baker’s painful start to the season, trying to dispell another fellow’s assertion that this only meant we could expect a string of dominant starts (since of course Baker HAS to reach his preseason projections).

  97. Does Derrek Lee for Carpenter or Smoltz make sense? I have both my DL slots open and it’d allow me to ride a hot bat elsewhere through the month of May.

  98. Martin says:

    and should i offer a-gon for berkaman. Also should i offer Holliday for Berkman?

  99. Doug Ault says:

    @BigFatHippo: Take me out to the ball gag ;-)

  100. paulzone says:

    buy, sell, buy! do you see any improvements to make righ now:

    c-baker (ianetta, napoli avail)
    1b – berk
    2b – cano
    ss – hardly (escobar, barmes avail)
    3b – miggy
    lf – ibanez
    cf – victorino
    lf – kemp
    util – chipper
    bench – fukudome (morales, andruw, hill, patterson, branyan avail)

    sp’s – bills, haren, beckett, weaver, garza, e santana (gaudin, marshall avail)
    rps – franklin, qualls, gonzo, arrendando (cruz avail)


  101. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Dean: Now that’s solid for you.

    @BingoIsMyName-O: There’s no direct correlation between what he does in April and May or June, but don’t think it’s a fallacy to say a guy that is hitting .160 should at some point have his luck turn around and hit better. Will he hit .400 in June? No, that was hyperbole. Or will he go Grape Nuts just because he was bad in April? Nope. Not connected. But May until September should be better than April because of the law averages. And I went on a beer run during Shitty Aprils performance.

    @Tom: Wait, until word comes in. And let me know when it does.

    @Doug Ault: Ha!

    @Drev: I was actually thinking about putting Wright on this as a Sell, because his numbers are very odd right now. But I didn’t sufficiently convince myself.

    @BigFatHippo: Ha!

    @Martin: Nope, no Parra.

    @Martin: Offer Holliday for Berkman.

    @naughtandcross: I think you can do better than that for Lee, or just hold him.

  102. JR says:

    @Mark: @BingoIsMyName-O: You guys make a good point but I think you overstate it. Bingo, you say we shouldn’t predict a .400 Berkman next month but an “average Berkman.” But you can’t predict the “average Berkman” because an “average Berkman” does not exist. Berkman is just a composition of streaks hot and cold. Why would you assume he would start cold and then continue lukewarm?

  103. BigFatHippo says:

    @Doug Ault: Haha! OOmpah!

    @Grey: B double E double R UN, beer run!

  104. mgeoffriau

    Mark says:


    Hot and cold streaks, yes. But it’s one thing to recognize that Berkman’s successes and failures may be grouped together into apparent “streaks” — it’s entirely another to assume that because he has had a poor April (relative to what we believe is his true ability), he is “due” for a hot May, June, or July.

    If I flip a coin 100 times, I’m completely comfortable with the idea that I might get 5, 10, heck maybe 15 heads in a row. But if the coin flips 15 heads in a row, that doesn’t mean that the coin is going to “correct” for that by having a 15 tails streak later on.

  105. Paulie Allnuts

    Paulie Allnuts says:

    @Tom – Listening to Mets/Phils game – Lidge not available tonight. No more info beyond that, however.

    @Drev. @Grey – I watch a great deal of Mets games, and have noticed that Citi-Bank is the reverse of Yankee Jetstream Stadium. Wright has been awful, but in his defense, he has hit several shots that would have gone out even in the old Shea, which was a pitchers park to begin with. Now, this may change a bit when summer comes, but right now, the stadium might be as stingy as Petco. And, of course, this would adversely effect the value of not just Wright, but Beltran, Delgado, and any power hitters playing in the park.

    @Grey – following up on an ongoing conversation of ESPN vs Yahoo – one feature that i miss is that Yahoo would put a carrot when a player was in the starting lineup, and an X when he was not playing. ESPN puts an S when the player is starting, but nothing when he is benched. I have to check up on Yahoo an hour or so before the game in order to finalize my Commenter lineup. But maybe I am missing something – I still don’t feel completely familiar with the site.

  106. Dingo says:

    Well that didn’t work at all.

    @Dean @Martin: Ain’t that a kick in the head?

    Is what I was going for.

  107. BigFatHippo says:

    @Paulie Allnuts: In all fairness to espn, you have to check Yahoo within an hour of gametime to find the ^ or the x. They can’t determine who’s starting until the manager turns in his lineup card, generally an hour before gametime.

    That being said, I wish there was an x beside Jared Weaver’s name in my lineup right now.

  108. bubba chuck says:

    Salty or Yadier Molina?

  109. Martin says:

    so u think a-gon is better then holliday?

  110. BigFatHippo says:

    @bubba chuck: Yadi, Yadi……..sorry, Homer, Doh! And Yadi’s my favorite player.

    If you need power go with Salty, but if you’re like me and your team had plenty and needed a guy with good avg and low K’s go Yadi, especially if your league counts Ks. 29 all last year. I really think Yadi’s capable of 70 to 80 RBIs this year also.

  111. Colin says:

    Wow Jordan I don’t mind the homer to Pujols, but a low IQ hitter like Duncan? Cmon you should be schooling this dumbass.

  112. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Paulie Allnuts: Agreed, the missing carats are a negative at ESPN. I find myself looking at Yahoo first to get a feel for who’s playing.

    @Martin: Yup

    EDIT: Word.

  113. BigFatHippo says:

    @Colin: I warned you, there’s more to come, see comment 63……….

  114. BKK says:

    Fukudome didn’t start today or Wednesday. Everything okay over there in Chi-town?

  115. BSA says:

    Hippo’s castaway JZimm cannot get Pujol’s out tonight. Maybe next time the hits are getting smaller each time up.

  116. BigFatHippo says:

    @Grey: Hey Thelma, Parra had a nice 1st, let’s back away from the cliff.


  117. Grey

    Grey says:

    @BigFatHippo: Cool, just finishing up work. About to start watching.

  118. BSA says:

    @BigFatHippo: Louise, pedal to the metal, and take that lard-a** hippo and his trades with ya.

  119. Colin says:

    Wow Jordan….Ryan Ludwick….slider outside off the plate…that’s how you get him out…why is that so fkn hard? UNREAL.

    At least I got 6 k’s from him.

  120. BigFatHippo says:

    Can I get some love for the Lud, fistbump anyone? Huh, Huh? Where’s everybody at?

    Aww screw you guys……………..

  121. BigFatHippo says:

    @BSA: Hehe

  122. Colin says:

    By the way Nats thanks for the friggin’ run support off a pitcher with a 7 ERA. Wow.

  123. BSA says:

    @BigFatHippo: I got a fist bump for ya, full of swine flu!

  124. Paulie Allnuts

    Paulie Allnuts says:

    !BSA, @BigFatHippo – then again, not too many pitchers get Puhols out. He is leaving with 6 earned runs in 5.2 innings. But BFH, concede that you were right. On the positive side, I have Luddwick in the Commenter League, and he got a doink. Having a bunch of teams creates strange situations concerning who to pull for.

    Also on the positive side, Zach Duke is pitching excellently, with no run support however.

  125. mgeoffriau

    Mark says:

    Needing a fill-in 1B….Chris Duncan, Nick Johnson, or Todd Helton?