Phillies slugger Rhys Hoskins ($3,900) has been phenomenal against left-handed pitching this year, as he’s posted a 158 wRC+ and a walk rate (25.0%) significantly higher than his strikeout rate (18.4%). Hoskins gets another chance to feast on a southpaw tonight against Steven Brault, who has outperformed his 4.23 FIP and 5.03 SIERA. The majority of Hoskins’ homers have come at home in a hitter’s park in Philadelphia, so this is an ideal opportunity for him to break out of his recent cold streak. His new spot batting leadoff is certainly unconventional, but it’s awesome for daily contests, as an extra plate appearance can make a big difference. And if the Phillies lineup has a big performance, he’s a virtual lock for production atop the order. With so much going for him, Hoskins can easily finish as tonight’s top first basemen, if not one of the top scoring hitters overall.
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Patrick Corbin, SP: $10,000 – Corbin feels a bit under-appreciated for the year he’s had, as a 3.17 ERA and a 27.9% K-rate are quite valuable. He should be able to dominate at home against an Orioles lineup that has a weak .311 wOBA versus lefties. You can’t really go wrong with any of the high-end options at starting pitcher tonight, and Corbin is the most affordable guy in the top tier of arms.
Andrew Heaney, SP: $8,200– Heaney has a sparkling 2.41 ERA in three starts since returning from the injured list, including a gem last time out against the Rangers where he struck out 14 batters in eight innings. He has a ton of strikeout upside in this rematch against Texas, who have the highest K-rate against lefties at 26.2%.
Ozzie Albies, 2B: $3,000– Albies is a good buy low candidate, as his recent slump has brought his price down. He’s worth looking at in cash games, as his spot batting second for the Braves gives him a high floor. Albies also has just a 16.4% K-rate and a .285 average, so his ability to get the ball into play in a hitter’s park in Toronto should play well.
Matt Chapman, 3B: $3,600– Chapman is one of the hottest hitters in the game, batting .319 with an 1.141 OPS over the last two weeks. He dominates lefties to the tune of a .946 OPS and gets a weak one in Mike Montgomery, owner of a 5.53 FIP. Chapman’s power will play even better away from home, and while the A’s probably won’t score 19 runs again, they are still a lineup to consider stacking.
Trea Turner, SS: $4,200 – Turner has been a five category fantasy stud over the last month, batting .330 with five home runs and seven steals. Batting leadoff against the league’s weakest pitching staff in the Orioles, Turner is a tremendous play.
Yasiel Puig, OF: $3,400 – Puig is in a nice spot for RBI batting cleanup for the Indians against Spencer Turnbull, who has a 6.35 ERA in the last month. Puig has lacked in on-base skills, but he has made up it for with 24 homers and 16 steals, making him a GPP tournament target.
Alex Dickerson, OF: $3,000– Dickerson has torched righties, putting up a 164 wRC+ in a small sample this season. He’ll be batting third or fourth against Mike Leake, owner of a 1.93 HR/9 and a 4.77 ERA.
Jarrod Dyson, OF: $2,700– He’s not sexy, but you can’t argue with a leadoff hitter at this price. Dyson does have 27 steals on the year, so he can provide more than hits and runs.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
As of this morning, there do not appear to be any weather issues to look out for.
Doing Lines In Vegas