The Cincinnati Reds’ Trevor Bauer ($10,200) is in a prime spot to carry your FanDuel entries on Monday. The right-hander has a 27.6% K%, which is the second-highest among the starters on today’s DFS slate. With the San Diego offense striking out at a 25.4% clip this month, Bauer should rack up the K’s in this one. While Bauer has gotten himself in trouble with the long ball this season, that threat is negated some today as the Padres have just a .171 ISO in the month of August. Look for Bauer to put together a big FanDuel score in this one.
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Wade Miley, SP: $9,000 – While Wade Miley is not a sexy pick, he likely is not going to get into much trouble with a 52.4% groundball rate and a matchup with the lowly Detroit Tigers’ offense. With a great chance to get the win bonus, Miley represents some excellent value for the Monday FanDuel action.
Trey Mancini, C/1B: $4,100 – Mancini has scored at least 12 FanDuel points in seven of his last eight games. That trend should continue in this one as he faced the Royals’ Jorge Lopez. Mancini owns a .256 ISO and a .367 wOBA versus righties, while Lopez is allowing a 40.6% hard contact rate to right-handed batters in 2019.
Paul Goldschmidt, C/1B: $3,600 – Over the last seven days, Goldschmidt has a .292 ISO and a 111 wRC+.
Jose Altuve, 2B: $4,300 – Altuve’s .336 wOBA and 113 wRC+ versus righties is nothing to write home about. But when the righty he is facing is named Edwin Jackson, those numbers will do just fine. Jackson is allowing a .396/.450/.824 slash line to right-handed sticks in 2019.
Keston Hiura, 2B: $3,500 – Hiura has recorded multiple hits in four of his last five games. The infielder has the matchup to add to that total. He has a .431 wOBA and a 166 wRC+ versus righties this season.
Alex Bregman, 3B: $4,400 – Bregman has crushed right-handed pitching all season long. He has a .260 ISO and a .393 wOBA. His success in such situations should continue tonight. Righties have a .513 wOBA versus Edwin Jackson this season.
Miguel Sano, 3B: $3,400 – On a night where the Astros will get a lot of love (deservedly so) the Twins’ stack could sneak up on some people. And a Twins’ stack needs to start with Miguel Sano. The third baseman has punished right-handed pitching all season long with a .306 ISO. With the White Sox’s Ivan Nova throwing a fastball on 54% of the time this year, Sano should continue to smash in this one. He has a .347 ISO against fastballs in 2019.
Carlos Correa, SS: $4,000 -Houston’s shortstop has a .294 ISO and a 135 wRC+ against righties this season. With Edwin Jackson allowing a 43.4% hard contact rate to righties this season, it is safe to assume Correa hits a ball or two hard in this one. And it is very likely to leave the yard as Jackson is allowing 4.74 HR/9 to righties in 2019.
Trea Turner, SS: $4,100 – Turner has a .211 ISP and a .355 wOBA versus righties this season and enters play on Monday smoking hot. He has scored at least 15.4 FanDuel points in four straight and five of his last six.
Mike Trout, OF: $4,900 – At the same price point you certainly could go Christian Yelich, but you also can’t go wrong taking the best baseball player in the world against a lefty. Trout has a 1.010 OPS and .416 wOBA against southpaws this season.
Yordan Alvarez, OF: $4,400 – You could go Springer or Brantley here and not be wrong but Alvarez gets the nod. It certainly is not a bold call but Yordan Alvarez seems like a safe bet to go yard in this one. He owns a 1.133 OPS versus righties this season, while Edwin Jackson is 2.18 HR/9 to righties this season.
Max Kepler, OF: $4,000 – The White Sox’s Ivan Nova is allowing a .344 wOBA and 1.64 HR/9 to lefties this season. Kepler has raked against righties in 2019 with a .294 ISO so no need to think either party bucks the trend in this one.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Does not appear that rain will play much of a factor in DFS on Monday but the humidity sure could. The Kansas City and Baltimore games very well could turn into a shootout given the teams’ lack of quality arms combined with a hot and humid situation that feels like 104 degrees. The Padres/Reds, the Brewers/Cardinals and the Angels/Rangers games also will play in heat that feels like it is 100+ degrees.
Doing Lines In Vegas
With the heat of the dog days of summer really taking it to bullpens of late, you will want to eliminate the late-inning meltdowns from your betting portfolio. So with that in mind, look to attack your bookie with the Reds F5, Astros F5, and the Twins F5. If you don’t like the juice on those plays, consider going round robin with them or even a straight three play parlay.
