Manny Machado ($3,600) is tearing it up with six homers and three steals in the last month while batting .350. He’s in a spot to drive in lots of runs batting cleanup against Erick Fedde, who has a 4.59 ERA for the Nats. Machado is best used as part of a stack, and there are affordable bats like Tommy Pham ($2,800), Trent Grisham ($3,400), and Jake Cronenworth ($2,800) surrounding him. The Padres can easily be the highest-scoring team tonight, making them an enticing tournament play.
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Robbie Ray, SP: $9,800– Ray is the highest ceiling pitcher on the slate, as he’s posted a 32.0% K-rate this year with a 3.13 ERA. He faces the Rangers, who have a poor .307 wOBA against lefties. Consider Ray in GPP tournaments.
Charlie Morton, SP: $8,700 – Morton has been dominant in his last five starts, throwing 33 innings with a 1.91 ERA and 39 strikeouts. He has a shot to rack up even more strikeouts in a revenge game against Tampa Bay, a lineup that strikes out 26.6% of the time against righties.
Will Smith, C: $3,200 – Smith is obliterating right-handed pitching this year with a 152 wRC+, and he’ll be in the league’s best hitter’s park in Coors Field. While he will be highly rostered, along with other Dodgers and Rockies hitters, the upside is massive.
Jonathan India, 2B/3B: $3,000 – India will bat leadoff against one of the weakest starters on the slate in Adrian Houser, who has a 4.60 FIP. India is batting .318 since the start of June and is a great cash gameplay at this price.
Bo Bichette, SS: $3,600 – Bichette is a true five-category stud with 16 homers and 12 steals, and for FanDuel that means he has lots of ways to score points. Not that he needs many ways against Jordan Lyles, who has an abysmal 4.91 FIP.
Giancarlo Stanton, OF: $3,700 – Stanton has absurd home run upside at home against a lefty in Martin Perez, owner of a 4.60 SIERA.
Yordan Alvarez, OF: $3,600 – Alvarez is another home run bet, as he’s now got 44 homers in 164 big league games. Opposing starter Dylan Cease has a 1.53 HR/9 for his career.
Christian Yelich, OF: $3,300 – I’m not sure what’s up with Yelich right now, but I certainly think he’s worth a gamble at this price. He will hit second in a hitter-friendly environment in Cincinnati.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Not weather related but keep an eye out for updates regarding the Red Sox-Yankees game, as there could be another postponement.
There is also lots of rain to look out for. Mets-Pirates, Rangers-Blue Jays, and Brewers-Reds all face potential delays or cancels.
Doing Lines In Vegas
Atlanta at -125 should hold with Morton pitching.
