Juan Soto is just 20 years old and has a .286/.397/.509 line with 18 homers and eight steals, making for a phenomenal sophomore season. He’s got a 135 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this year and is a great buy low candidate at his price of just $3,500, which is due to a mini-slump since the midseason break. He still has two homers and two steals in the last 15 days, and gets an enticing matchup against Braves starter Julio Teheran. Teheran has outperformed his peripherals thus far, and his 4.45 FIP and 5.06 SIERA are more suggestive of his true performance than his 3.42 ERA.
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Jake Odorizzi, SP: $7,300– Odorizzi isn’t an exciting play, but a 4.04 FIP with a 25.5% K-rate is useful in this environment. He faces the Marlins, a lineup that he should beat up on, as their .282 wOBA versus righties is the second-lowest mark in the league. Odo gets to avoid the designated hitter in an NL park, and is in a pitcher-friendly park in Miami. There is a lot of room for profit at this price.
Griffin Canning, SP: $6,700– Canning is another value starter to target as an even cheaper option than Odorizzi. Sure enough, he faces the only lineup worse than the aforementioned Marlins in the Tigers, who have the highest K-rate against right-handed pitching at 26.6%. Canning has struggled lately, but is still a high upside play with 79 strikeouts in 73 1/3 innings.
Pete Alonso, 1B: $3,800– Alonso is an ideal GPP tournament play, as his odds at a home run are high tonight. Well, they are high every night considering he’s got 34 dongs, but he’s even more exciting against Reynaldo Lopez. Despite Lopez’s hot streak, he’s still got an absurdly high 1.82 HR/9, with a 5.52 ERA.
Donovan Solano, 2B: $2,500– The Giants lineup features lots of interesting plays for cheap as they enter a hitter’s park in Philadelphia, which gives them a huge boost compared to their park at home. They could be a low key stack against southpaw Drew Smyly, owner of a ridiculous 7.69 ERA. Solano is leading off for the Giants, as he’s got a 128 wRC+ with just a 12.3% K-rate against left-handers in an admittedly limited sample this season. Those numbers are worth a play at this price, and he may be able to score multiple runs atop the lineup.
Matt Chapman, 3B: $3,200– Chapman is in a spot to rake in counting stats, batting second for the A’s against Adrian Houser, who has gotten torched for a 7.83 ERA in his six starts. Chapman is another high-end bat who is at a discount due to a recent slump. He’s got career bests in walk-rate and K-rate this year and should be bought until his price corrects.
Didi Gregorius, SS: $3,300– Didi has been mashing the ball over the last 15 days, batting .348 with a 1.076 OPS. He’s in one of the best offensive environments in baseball at home and facing Taylor Clarke, who gets a brutal assignment against the Yankees with a 6.10 ERA and a 2.26 HR/9.
Starling Marte, OF: $3,600– Marte is surprisingly affordable for the month of July he’s had, with 22 runs, 22 RBI, and a .966 OPS. He’s feasting out of the three-hole and is in a hitter’s park tonight.
Yasiel Puig, OF: $3,100 – Puig is on hug watch with the trade deadline approaching, but look for him in GPPs if he’s in the lineup. Puig’s 22 home runs with 13 steals makes him one of the most explosive players in fantasy.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
There do not appear to be any weather concerns for today, as of this morning.
Doing Lines In Vegas
Pittsburgh is nice at +118 if Joe Musgrove manages a bounce-back start.
Best two bats this week? Buxton [email protected], 3 v KC, Heyward [email protected], 3v Mil ( 6 RHP), Chapman 3 v Mil, 2 v StL and Yaz 3 @ Phi 3 @ Coors.