There’s something about Katy Perry that just works for me. I’ve tried talking to my wife about it. ‘Do you like her voice?’, she asks. No, I’ve heard dying wild turkeys that sound better. ‘Maybe its her lyrics’, she suggests. No, I’m not a 13 year old girl so that doesn’t do anything for me. There’s just something about her, I don’t know what it is. It’s at this point I realize both of my hands around chest high, undulating and spread open like I was holding two honeydew melons. It’s also at this point that my wife let’s me know where I can sleep for the night. Don’t feel bad for me, though. The couch is pretty comfortable AND I can watch those Perry videos on mute to enjoy the bounty she has to offer. Yeah, yeah, I know you didn’t come here to see if Katy should be rostered over at DraftKings. And by ‘Rostered’ I mean…well nevermind what I mean, let’s talk Brad Peacock, m’kay? As I talked with Nick about on the Razzball Podcast on Tuesday, Peacock looked amazing at times and then seemed to fall apart out of nowhere. All this to say, my call is very to the nth degree cubed multiplied by pi risky. I’m definitely not suggesting this for 50/50 and cash games. But for a GPP go? Well, at home, the Mariners carry the second worst team wOBA in the league at .279, barely beating out the Mets for last place with their robust .275. It’s contrarian, it’s dangerous and it all comes with a cheap price tag of $6,500. Does the DFSBot like my call? Not one bit. But do I? Well…let’s just move on and see what other picks I have for you for DraftKings contests for 2014 Fantasy Baseball…
Jordan Zimmermann, SP: $9,000 – This JZ got 99 problems and a pitch IS one. I’m officially fading him. His low K-rate already makes him not worth the bucks against the Buccos. The fact the Pirates don’t strike out much as a team anyway tops the ain’t touching that taco for me.
Marco Estrada, SP: $9,300 – The matchup on paper makes it seem like one of the better ones for the day. Marlins? At their place where that weird Unicorn Barf statue is where you have to hit it 500 feet for a HR? Count me in, right? Well…Marlins have the second best team wOBA at home to only the Rockies this year. Not a bad idea to actually do a Marlins mini-stack or at least fill empty roster spots with some fish.
Tom Koehler, SP: $8,200 – What, did you expect me to tell you to start Kershaw or King Felix? If you need me to tell you that, you probably shouldn’t be playing. With Ryan Braun leaving yesterday’s game with…well, whatever ailment he has now, the Brew-crew could be looking pretty slim on the offensive front. If you think that’s cool, given they strikeout at a decent rate, you could see 6 to 7 innings and 5 to 6 K here with a reasonable shot at a win. And what could be Koehler than that?
Edwin Jackson, SP: $8,100 – As the saying goes, life is like a box of E-Jax. You never know if you’re gonna get shelled. It’s the Padres and it’s in a pitcher’s park. The situation couldn’t be more perfect. If only Edwin Jackson was so I could suggest him with confidence.
Miguel Cabrera, 1B/3B: $6,000 – His price as a hitter is reaching nosebleed territory. Oddly, that’s probably the section he’ll plant one off of Scotty Bakes. If you went cheap on Brad, squeezing Cabrera in should be a breeze, even though it’s never a breeze to squeeze him into anything.
Adam Jones, OF: $4,900 – Some dude named T.J. House is taking the mound for the Tribe. Said dude is a left handed pitcher. Said dude is prolly gonna get crushed. Both Jones and Nelson Cruz are killing lefties this year. If you can afford these two (Nelson is at $5K) along with Miggy…well, I’d like to see your pitching staff and if you have Clayton in there, I’d like to know how you scrambled the DK code and got a $100,000 salary.
Jose Bautista, OF: $5,300 – As a lefty, it feels weird picking on LHP but when a dude has a .442 ISO and .592 wOBA against them on the year, you kinda have to. In fact, there are a lot of guys who rake LHP in that Blue Jays lineup and they’re at home. Scott Kazmir starters beware.
Grant Green, 2B: $3,000 – Now I don’t believe Green has played even 5 innings at 2nd base all year so I don’t get why he has that setup. What I do know is he’s hit LHP well so far this year and Danny ‘where am I throwing it’ Duffy is on the mound and it’s in LAA-LAA land. If Green gets the start in the OF, he could be a great punt option so you can afford all the guys above that go for like a bajillion dollars.
Josh Harrison, 3B: $2,600 – Harrison has been my dirty little 3B secret when he starts because when he does, he typically leads off. He’s averaged 11 DK points a game over his last 4. Don’t expect any HRs but at his price, he doesn’t have to to cash for you.
Brandon Moss, 1B/OF: $5,300 – Not a cheap play by any means. But you know who’s cheap? Liam Hendricks. So cheap DK didn’t even price him for the day because they know you’re smarter than that.
Matt Joyce, OF: $3,700 – If you wanna give batter vs pitcher any mind, Joyce for his career is 7/22 off of John Lackey with 2 bombs. If you wanna give BvsP further mind, Evan Longoria ($4,300) is 10/34 with 2 HRs of his own off John. Hrm, sounds like he may *pinky to mouth* Lackey a good ERA after this game. Yes, I’ll leave now.
Danny Valencia, 2B/3B: $2,800 – Now on the one hand, I do think C.J. Wilson is the safest Ace taking the mound tonight. On the second hand, though, Valencia just got the starting gig at 3rd and has done most of his damage the last few years against LHP. He may not score a run or get an RBI but a 2/4 night with a double mixed in there should help and he’s definitely a cheap punt play at two positions.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Only game that looks dangerous is NYMvsAZ as likelihood of precipitation is sitting around 50% for most of the day. Damn, there goes that sexy Mets stack. Yes I was joking. I checked, I had no sarcasm font to put that in.
Doing Lines In Vegas
The two games expected to lead the offensive charge on the day at 9 for the over/under are TORvsOAK and BALvsCLE and as you can see, I clearly took note above. Plan accordingly.
CHWvsNYY at 8.5 – After yesterday’s poor showing, I’m pretty sure the Yanks will have Hector Noesi saying Hector No Likey by the 4th inning. Which you should likey just fine. Meanwhile, Scott Baker gets to give the Detroit Tigers a chance at the over on the 8 over/under. Oddly, my over/under of HRs hit off of Baker today is 8. Isn’t that weird?