I just couldn’t help it, it was staring me right in the face. As I was going through the options for tonight’s slate and eliminating the ones that I have zero shot at rostering (Adam Wainwright, Archie Bradley) I kept looking at Duffey and Duffy as options and the double dose of Duff alliteration potential was too much to pass up. Danny Duffy and Tyler Duffey are more than just a grammar enthusiast’s amusement though, they are both legitimate options and probably the two I will be rostering as my starting pitchers, at least in GPPs. Danny has been stellar and I don’t believe anyone will need much convincing to get him in there against the Angels. The only hesitation I have here is that the Angels are not striking out this year. They are the same level the Royals were on last year, striking out 100 times less than the next nearest team. While that’s not an automatic “Avoid”, it’s something to think about. Tyler doesn’t give me much pause, mostly due to the opponent. The Braves are always a target, as their .652 team OPS is worst in the league by 30 points. Sure, Tyler has been inconsistent, but the promise has flashed here and there. The Braves are most likely using Gordon Beckham at DH, need I go on? I expect both pitchers to be contrarian plays tonight, you’re not running them out in cash games, but when looking to differentiate in a sea of GPP lineups, these are nice options. Plus, the pair only costs you $14,000. That’s basically one Clayton Kershaw! Let’s take a look at a few non-Duff options for tonight’s DraftKings slate:
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Jason Hammel, SP: $9,300 – The White Sox are one of my more recent favorite targets. I had this thought in my head they were a decent offense until I started digging into the numbers a few weeks back. I feel like I might not be the only one with this thought. Therefore picking against them might not be a popular play. Outside of his Mets implosion, Hammel has been very consistent. On top of facing a weak lineup, he’s opposed tonight by Anthony Ranaudo, who last I knew was busy working on a horrendous ERA for Boston and Texas. What could possibly go wrong against arguably the best team in baseball? He’s nothing flashy, but consistency has it’s place too.
Lance McCullers, SP: $10,100 – Yu and Gray are your highest strikeout upside pitchers of the night, but McCullers is right there with them. With two double digit strikeout games in his last 4 starts McCullers provides a slightly cheaper option with similar upside. Honestly, Gray has been worse on the road and the match-up with Baltimore is uglier than one at home vs. the Yankees, who seem ready to start selling. If I was were to go pitching heavy, Yu and McCullers would be my guys tonight.
Salvador Perez, C: $3,200 – I’ve been harping for awhile about Salvy’s DraftKings salary, and while it’s gotten better, he’s still cheap. A top 5 catcher with a top 10 price tag is pure value. The icing on the cake is he’s 6 for 8 vs. Shoemaker with a HR.
Anthony Rizzo, 1B: $5,300 – I don’t think there’s a more no-brainer play tonight than Rizzo. Despite the price, I think he pays it off and I’ll be doing everything in my power to get him in my lineup vs. Anthony Ranaudo. Ranaudo has a 17.5% chance of making it out of the first inning. Stack those Cubbies.
Matt Adams, 1B: $3,900 – If you don’t feel like paying $5,000+ for a bat and/or you are paying up for pitching, Matt Adams makes a nice pivot play at first base. Fatty Adams has a couple home runs in the past few games and has the platoon advantage tonight against glorified reliever, Logan Verrett. That’s not too shabby for under $4K.
Scooter Gennett, 2B: $3,600 – As bad as the Brewers have been, they still scare me at Miller Park and I don’t think Archie Bradley has a fun night. Scooter has hit in 5 straight and has always feasted on RHP (.779 OPS vs. .464 OPS vs. LHP). Sign me up.
Manny Machado, 3B/SS: $3,500 – The fact that Kris Bryant isn’t the most expensive 3B option is almost as head scratching as Manny Machado being so cheap. I know it’s been a tough month for the stud slugger, but come on. I mentioned above that Gray has struggled more on the road than at home and if anyone is going to get him, it will be the Orioles with the benefit of a DH at Camden Yards. Alex Bregman is already more expensive than Machado, that’s just silly.
Eduardo Nunez, 3B/SS: $3,600 – Mike Foltynewicz has been looking good of late, but he’s still not someone I would trust from start to start. He was lucky to escape Coors relatively unharmed and I’m not sure he’ll get out of Minnesota with the same fortune. The Twins aren’t a powerhouse by any means, but Nunez is dangerous at the top of the order.
Melky Cabrera, OF: $3,500 – Our BvP play of the night is a bit counter-intuitive as it’s vs. Jason Hammel. Melky just seems to have Hammel figured out as he’s 5 for 16 (.313) with two of those going for HRs and he’s even added in a stolen base.
Delino DeShields, OF: $3,600 – With all the money saved above, I can’t imagine needing to dig too deep at OF. If need be we’ve got a couple outfielders fresh from Triple A. DeShields is on nobody’s Christmas Card list, but I think he can make up for it a bit tonight vs. Sean Manaea.
David Dahl, OF: $2,800 – We’re picking on the inconsistent rookie pitchers here and for good reason. We’re all trying to be on the other end of the Roofie for once. Wow, that sounds awful. We’ve seen the good and the ugly with Bundy and for $2,800 I’m willing to roll the dice on Colorado’s super-prospect.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
There’s rain possible in a few spots tonight, which would really turn this slate into a bummer. There’s about a 30% chance of showers in Baltimore and Texas. There’s more of a chance for rain in Minnesota given the humidity. Keep an eye on that one.
Doing Lines In Vegas
No surprise that Jason Hammel and the Cubs are the biggest favorite tonight. Anthony Ranaudo doesn’t inspire confidence in Vegas. There are several games with 9 run totals tonight, the biggest total of the night. Those games are: [email protected], [email protected], [email protected] and [email protected] The lowest total of the night is in the [email protected] game which makes me love Lance McCullers even more. He’s a -130 favorite in that game and will likely be a staple in all my lineups tonight.