Yankees are absolutely stacked:
Which makes it so weird that they’re going to Wandy Peralta with the ALCS on the line. Wait, ever since I bought this DeLorean off eBay I have no idea what time I’m in. Is this October of 2023? *looks down* Oh, I’m wearing a loincloth. I know when I am now. It must be in the 70’s in the San Fernando Valley. Carlos Rodon became a jewel in my crown of lovelies this past season. I didn’t want him, but Donkey Teeth insisted we draft him in our Main Event, and I fell in love. That Donkey Teeth also had us draft Maikel Franco is another thing entirely. He’s truly special when he’s healthy. Uh, Rodon, not Maikel or Donkey. Last year, his 12 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, 2.91 xFIP (!) tells pretty much the whole story. His HR/9 was .6, and that might go up, as he does give up a decent number of fly balls. But it is a ton of weak contact, 290-foot outs. Wait, you can get 290-foot home runs in Yankee Stadium. He’s going to be great in the AL East, in Yankee Stadium, everywhere. As long as he’s healthy. If healthy, yes. That’s the riddle that we don’t know, like why did E.T. want to phone home? You can’t call other planets. E.T. was dumb if you ask me. For 2023, I’ll give Carlos Rodon projections of 16-4/3.03/1.05/224 in 169 IP. Anyway, here’s what else I saw this offseason in fantasy baseball:
Psyche! Before we get into the roundup, just wanted to announce that I’ve begun to roll out my 2023 fantasy baseball rankings on our Patreon. It’s an early Hanukkah miracle! Or late Hanukah miracle, depending on when Hanukkah is this year. The Jews should really decide on one day to start Hanukah each year, and stick with it. It’s better for branding. Anyway II, the roundup:
Mike Zunino – Signed with the Guardians. Guardians weren’t ready to go to Bo Naylor. They got cold feet. They wanted romance. Wait, I’m thinking of either Losin’ It or Biloxi Blues. So, the Guardians answer the question to who’s Zunino’ing who. No idea why, I guess they don’t think Bo Naylor’s ready, so they got a platoon guy for him. It is Biloxi Blues!
Omar Narvaez – Signed with the Mets. Damn, that sucks for the Mets’ other catcher. “Yeah, seriously, I was going to hit at least four homers this year!” Not you, McCann. I’m talking about–“Me?” No, not you either Nido. Hey, Mets’ front office, start trading catchers for a sack of potatoes so Franciso Alvarez can backup Narvaez for this one year Narvaez is in Queens. For 2023, I’ll give Narvaez projections of 34/8/43/.231 in 347 ABs.
Brad Boxberger – Signed with the Cubs. In Chicago, he has to change his name to Brad Cheeburger. I’m not going to project Boxberger right now, but I can absolutely see him stealing saves from Brandon Hughes for no reason other than the Cubs want to be cheap bastards.
Scott McGough – Signed with the Diamondbacks. After seven years in Japan, he returns with a new appreciation for ramen, and a resume that says he saved 38 games last year for the Swallows. That’s what you wish she said!
Adam Frazier – Signed with the O’s. Of all the teams he could’ve went to, he chose the Orioles because all the teams he could’ve went to was the Pirates or the Orioles, and he wanted to try something different. Some day we’ll look back on this time in MLB history and be like, “Adam Frazier got 1,000 career games?!” By the way, he’s got 43 homers and 41 steals in his career. His career is hopefully this year from Acuña. For 2023, I’ll give this schmohawk projections of 43/5/39/.261/10 in 432 ABs.
Jeter Downs – Designated for assignment. Okay, but we don’t know yet how good Mookie Betts is gonna be.
Michael Lorenzen – Signed with the Tigers. Word is he signed on the Tigers because he wants to hit against Matthew Boyd in split squad games.
Carlos Correa – Signed with the Giants for 13 years. Thirteen years?! M*A*S*H only lasted 11 seasons! This is the longest commitment the public’s ever made to a Correa! He’s gonna outlast Hawkeye?! I’ll tell ya what, M*A*S*H’s WAR is gonna hold up better too. A look in the future:
Correa in his final year pic.twitter.com/yUnZWrgrNd
— Razzball (@Razzball) December 14, 2022
Also, because this just made me laugh:
Me now vs when Carlos Correa hits free agency again pic.twitter.com/f7wxf1FIT4
— ??? ?????? (@_ShadowStro) December 14, 2022
Any hoo! Correa’s not even a fantasy star, and he got 13 years! Sorry, I any hoo’d, but I clearly didn’t move on as an ‘any hoo’ would indicate. It’s just so freakin’ funny! Okay, really moving on now, Correa goes to a seemingly worst park for offense, but it was better than his one-year home in Minny. It’s a worst park for homers though, and Correa couldn’t hit 27+ homers with the Crawford Boxes, so he’s not a great bet to do it now. He only once cleared 150 games too. Man, this deal sucks for the Giants, but it prolly helps my Thairo Estrada sleeper and doesn’t really hurt Correa. Just a push on his value. For 2023, I’ll give Carlos Correa projections of 81/23/90/.283/2 in 538 ABs.
Ross Stripling – Signed with the Giants. He had a 3.01 ERA last year with a 3.67 xFIP (decent, if you weren’t sure), and a 7.4 K/9 and 1.3 BB/9 in 134 1/3 IP. Clearly, can’t trust him for a full season, but any guesses on his ADP? Bzzt! Wrongo! He’s going at 453rd overall next to Sean Manaea, who absolutely sucked last year. Oh, and to put the whispers to bed that was Stripling’s one good year, he has a career 3.78 ERA. Get to bed, whispers! What I’m saying is currently Stripling is plenty undervalued. For 2023, I’ll give Ross Stripling projections of 8-9/3.77/1.07/131 in 148 IP.
Noah Syndergaard – Signed with the Dodgers. In Los Angeles, we like our breasts fake and our pitchers to throw a sub-3 ERA–*door flies off its hinges* Cancel Police?! No! Breasts fake as in Fakin’ Chikin! The soy-based poultry! Please! So, Dodgers are the one team that can turn Noah Syndergaard into a 1.75 ERA pitcher with a 7.5 K/9. I’m only partly joking. By the way, it’s kinda cool Mark Prior has become the greatest pitching coach ever after being the greatest pitching prospect who was ruined by Dusty Baker. Syndergaard’s stats last year were so wildly awful it’s hard to imagine him being decent this year, but, honestly, for the right price, I’m willing to take a chance we get this year’s Gonsolin. For 2023, I’ll give Syndergaard projections: 10-4/3.82/1.22/128 in 142 IP.
Cubs got Swanson for 7 yrs and $177 million which is basically half of what Correa got from SF. I’d much rather have Dansby Swanson on the Cubs at that contract price than Correa at his $350 million price tag.
Absolutely…Swanson’s great
So you call the Cubs cheap and moments later they announce signing Dansby Swanson to a 7-year, $177 million dollar contract. Karma is real.
Karma for who?
You, for doggin’ the Cubs for being cheap!
Hmm…I don’t feel any karma
He’s just getting over the fact he’s a punk and nothing he says matters. That’s the karma.
whatever you say fanboy
Grey,
These are my 10 keepers. 12 team H2H category league. 7×7.
1st M.Olson
2nd Albies
SS Bichette
OF Alvarez
OF Tucker
OF JROD
OF Mookie
SP Max
SP Strider
SP Gilbert
Non keepers
1st/ 2nd / 3rd France
2nd / SS Grissom
SP Cabrera
SP Gonsling
SP Bassitt
SP springs
I’m trying to get Cease and or Sandy. Who do you like better?
Was offered sandy or Cease w/ either wright, mustgrove or Gallen for K. Tucker and Gilbert or Gonsling.
Which combo would you do for tucker Gilbert or Gonsling?
Idk anything about the Fibs fabs xyz and zips lol.
Thanks!
Keep Tucker
Was offered both Cease Sandy for tucker Gilbert.
Still keep tucker?
That seems pretty fair for Cease and Sandy but you have so much pitching, it’s H2H where bats are more important and you’re getting rid of one of your best
No. Tucker is first round.
nobody asked your opinion, fanboy.
Grey,
Digging the Patreon entries as always. Looking forward to the pitcher rankings.
Looking for some guidance. I’m in a keeper league with 5 year contracts. What do you think about this trade:
I send Tatis Jr. (4th year), MH2, and C. Javier (both 2nd year)
For Kyle Tucker and Corey Seager (3rd year each.
Thanks!
Thanks! Tucker side
Different Positions, but let’s play a fun game quick. These stats exclude their rookie call up years.
Player A is going into his Year 28 season. He missed some time in 2017, 2018 and 2019 due to injury, but has been a healthy steady contributor for the last few seasons. Excluding the Covid shortened season he is averaging 21 HRs, 72 Runs, 77 RBIs, and 3 SBs (Although he hasn’t swiped a bag since 2019) to go along with a .279 career BA and a .467 SLG.
Player B is going into his year 32 season and has been much less healthy, he’s missed much more time each season he has been hurt which was 2018,2019, 2020 and 2022. He also has one of the worst injuries known to man on his resume. Even with all the extra missed time and excluding the COVID season which he missed entirely, he is averaging 21 HRs, 67 Runs, 61 RBIs, 4SBs to go along with a .261 Career BA and a .476 SLG.
Which player do you want? One of these guys got a 13 year 350M contract. The other got a 3 year 43.5M.
A
Just from injury perspective alone sure. A is Correa. B is Haniger. Healthy full season Haniger>Correa IMO and 10 years $300 million cheaper.
I knew Correa was A, I didn’t know Haniger was B, but the thing that threw me about B is you said “one of the worst injuries known to man on his resume” I thought you meant like something with his back, now that I know what you mean — ha!
Hi Grey,
Great article as always!
I’m in a 12 team h2h keeper. Standard categories. We keep 8 players.
My for sure keepers are Betts, Trea Turner, Corbin Burnes, McClanahan, Mullins and Musgrove.
Which 2 would you keep of the following:
Bohm, Kwan, Darvish and Clase?
Thanks a lot.
Cersy
Thanks! Clase and toss up between Kwan and Darvish…You have three SPs, so I’d go Kwan
I gotta admit I am pretty stoked to get Steve Kwan, I mean Sal Frelick, in round 32. I’m not sure how that happened but I’ll take it…
I see you drafted Drew Waters. Pretty good flier in KC I think.
I like Frelick a lot, but when the Brewers have so many outfielders…Not a bad flyer tho this late
Sure, I guess it comes down to whether you think he can beat out Garrett Mitchell and Tyrone Taylor for PT. I’ll take that flyer. Its not like Winker is any guarantee either.
Yeah, I hope Frelick gets ABs, I like him a lot…just lots of hurdles in front of him
Please don’t disparage Kwan like that
Haha, I have that shirt!
Haha me too
Nice!
Since 2020 Miguel Cabrera has 2 more stolen bases than Correa (0- his last SB was 2019 hahahahaha). Albert Pujols has 3 more just to name two old farts that had long contracts and played well beyond their expiration date. Neither were real speedsters but Correa’s 162 game average for homers is 28 now at age 27. Pujols retired with 37 and Cabrera has 30 HR per 162 even with their late decline.
Somewhat apples and oranges but just to show the impact of age. And I’m in the middle of a snowstorm so I’m a little bored.
HAHA, that is pretty funny about the SBs — Gotta think Judge’s deal will be awfulk too…But Correa was never even that good (besides defense)…He’s gonna be like a 8-homer, .220 hitter by the end…get shoveling now!
Staying on SS will be tough too- defense will go down as he ages. The legs will go. Maybe the Giants think enough ABs at DH can stretch him out. Who knows.
Agree on Judge but at least he’s a stud now (like Miggy and Pujols)
Shoveling is my favorite!
Yeah, agreed, it’s a baffling contract…Haha, you’re gonna have plenty to shovel if you’re where I think you are
West of Albany but at least I’m in a valley. Higher Els are going to be sorry they have that view.
Nice, was getting a Bills vibe from your username
Grey, a little keeper help needed. Thoughts on contract length and/or if you just wouldn’t sign them based on too much risk (SP’s).
I can keep any of these for up to 5 years with an additional $4 increase to their salary after the base salary for each add/l year I keep them.
Jesus Luzardo – $1 base for 2023 i.e. $5 for 1 year contract in 2024 and it would be $1,$5,$9 for a 3 year contract.
Tony Gonsolin – $1 base for 2023
Jack Flaherty – $1 base
Lance McCullers – $1 base
Alejandro Kirk – $2 base
Gleyber Torres – $2 base
Amed Rosario – $2 base
Andrew Vaughn – $2 base
Rhys Hoskins – $2 base
Nestor Cortes – $2 base
Ryan Helsley – $2 base
The rest of the guys I picked up during the year so their potential keeper base price will be set by the Fantasy Pro’s consensus auction dollar value for 2023 when those get posted. Without those maybe your thoughts on years you would keep and up to what dollar amount which would determine if and how many years I would keep them.
Josh Jung
Gunnar Henderson
Jose Miranda
Corbin Carroll
Edward Cabrera
Clearly I was tanking EOY and was picking up prospects galore to see if any were keepers going forward. Any help is appreciated. Love your work – I enjoy it almost every morning in the summer with my coffee.
How big is this league?
10 team – $280 auction dollars for keepers and auction
If Correa gives me a .283 with a .360+ on base. I will be happy, because I plan to lead him off in front of Goldy, Jazz and Machado.
Ha, nice
Grey!!!!!
Awesome!!!!
a. So good, can’t wait for ST and then of course OD!! You are the gin in the world’s best gin and tonic, the best 0-malt whiskey (because if single-malt is better than double and triple malt whiskey just imagine how good 0-malt is!!) known to mankind! Top shelf! Thanks!
b. Happy 252nd birthday to Beethoven
c. Have a nice weekend.
d. George Carlin quote of the day for December 16, 2022
‘Huh? You know every time I go through this well-used tunnel I think of my ex-wife. Nah, she’s from Jersey. Those people know about sex. They came up with those names, Middlesex County, Essex County, Sussex County, Point Pleasant, Long Branch, Cherry Hill, Succasunna, Fort Dix. Jersey’s not so bad. A lot of yuppies live out here. Maybe if we’re lucky most of them will die.’
WHAT AM I DOING IN NEW JERSEY? (1988)
Cheers,
Ante
A. Thanks! B. Crap, I forgot to get him something C. You too! D. Jersey! Haha
Grey!!
Be kind to dead folk, man. I was planning to go to the planned celebration of his 250th birthday in Bonn and then the plandemic cancelled everything.
Jersey, you asked for it, you got it Pontiac!
Cheers,
Ante
Haha
Correa will be 41 the end of that deal. Bobby Bonilla is laughing somewhere. Speaking of a dead money deal, how did that 8-year Miggy deal work out for Detroit? The last time Miggy produced anything near his contract value was in 2016 when he was 33. Miggy will turn 40 this season.
Miggy is who I’ve been thinking of as well during this time of craziness. Maybe he was never as good as an athlete as a lot of these guys, but they are nowhere close to the hitter that he was.
Yeah, the tools fall off
Right?! Like why would you ever? Correa prolly will be awful for at least 7 of those years
I believe it was simply to spread out a seven year contract to lower the AAV for salary cap purposes. The team of Barroids now has the Trash Can Man locked for life. Perfect.
Haha, yup