A subplot of this stand-off between the MLB and MLBPA is how duplicitous will MLB teams be in their excuses to not promote a top prospect if there’s no minor league season, which seems assured, at this point. What will the Orioles say to not promote Adley Rutschman? “We really wanted to promote Adley but we lost his phone number and they’ve discontinued 411, go figure.” “We wanted to promote Adley, but, after reading the Kama Sutra, we’re inclined to withhold climax for six to nine months.” “We did promote Adley. He’s now in charge of selling season tickets for the 2021 season. We have faith he can handle the promotion.” One thing they can’t say with a straight face: “We really wanted to promote Adley Rutschman but he’s not ready.” So, they hold him down and he misses a full year of development? That seems dumb, even for them. However, you can’t go too wrong betting MLB teams will be dumb. Yes, I’m saying I’m not 100% guaranteeing Adley Rutschman sees real playing time this year, but he’s got a lot more of a chance this year now, than he had before. “Did someone say Chance?” Shut up, Chance Sisco! So, what can we expect from Adley Rutschman for 2020 fantasy baseball and what makes him a great dart throw?

First I wanted to grab a quote from Prospect Hobbs’s piece on who he thinks will be the 2023 All-Stars at each position, “Adley Rutschman takes the cake at the catcher position for the 2023 All-COVID Team because I honestly do expect him to be the best catcher in the game three-plus years from now. In his Dynasty Catcher Rankings for 2021 Fantasy Baseball, The Itch ranked Rutschman sixth overall behind only Realmuto, Contreras, Mitch GarverYasmani Grandal and Gary Sanchez. The youngest within this quartet are Contreras and Sanchez, who will both be 30 years of age come the start of the 2023 campaign. Yes, there are names like Francisco Mejia (ranked No. 11, currently 24 years old) and Sean Murphy (ranked No. 8, currently 25 years old) who represent interesting competition pieces, but don’t possess the offensive ceiling that Rutschman does. Rutschman slashed .254/.351/.423 with four homers (13 XHB), 26 RBI, 19 runs and one steal in his first 154 professional plate appearances in 2019 which he split across rookie-level, Low-A and Class-A. One steal. Damn that’s sexy. What’s sexier is the 27-to-20 strikeout-to-walk ratio seen in his first taste of the minors, translating to a 17.4 K% and 12.9 BB%. Rutsch-ell Crowe, as I like to call him, came out of college with a 60-grade hit tool and 60-power, so the sky is the limit here offensively from a positional perspective. Don’t expect Realmutoan-esque steals with the 40-grade legs and one steal in 155 pro plate appearances, but he’s at the position to stay (true catcher) and could suck a whole lot less than what we’ve become accustomed to at the position from a fantasy perspective. Speaking of sucking, Grey sucks.” What the hell, my dude! That covers just about everything you need to know about Adley Rutschman. The two numbers that really stick out to me, and I 100% agree with are: 60 and 60 for his hit tool and power grades. He also signed for $8.1 million and tore up college baseball, so, if money’s an issue for the O’s, it’s as in they want to recoup some investment they’ve already made, and he’s more than ready, due to college ball, even if his minor league career is limited thus far. He’s going to be a 25-homer, .280+ hitter. Maybe not this year, but not too far off in the distance. If the O’s are smart, they’ll treat this year like Adley’s Triple-A year and just promote him to be their starting catcher. Let him sink or swim, and he will likely swim, which makes him a great dart throw, to mix metaphors and recreational activities.

 
  1. galica says:
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    Grey!!!

    Great dart throw report. As a dart toss report, kind of meh! J/k, also great dart toss report!!

    a. Poor Chance doesn’t even get a blue highlighted hyperlink below the TAGS line!! He has underwhelmed since 2017 hasn’t he. No Chance except maybe to derail Rutschman’s chances.

    b. We keep giving bottom feeder teams like the Os and Tigers the benefit of the doubt to do the right thing about their prospects and then they turn around and overpay for an aging free agent, right? Why do we do that?

    c. MLB quote of the day for October 2, 1949

    ‘Never let yourself get fooled by the same pitcher on the same pitch on the same day.’

    George Clyde Kell. He was the guy who denied Ted Williams his 3rd Triple Crown. On October 2, 1949 Kell batted 2/3 while Williams went 0/2. Kell’s final average was .3429 and Williams’ was 0.3427. In the next season, Kell batted .340 with 56 doubles but lost the batting title to Williams’ team mate Billy Goodman.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks, Ante!

      A. Chance Sisco is auto-highlighted

      B. Haha, no history that tells us we should, so you’re right…But in a shortened season, they’d be real fools to play someone like Pedro Severino or Jeimer

      C. An under-appreciated old-timer! Nice quote

      • Ante Galic says:
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        Grey!

        Am nitpicking, was referring to the TAGS line below the report and above the start of the comments line. There there (stutterer) is only Rutschman and no Cisco. He’s there above in the report so almost a moot point. An almost moot point.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ah, gotcha

          • Ante Galic says:
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            Grey!

            Sorry man. Just a tiny technical glitch which is what Cisco has become which makes your lack of including him a propos making my comment totally inappropriate. Ga!!!

            Hopefully the posturing ends soon. Really going nuts.

            Cheers,
            Ante

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, me too! Be well, Ante!

              • galica says:
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                Grey!!!

                Just a final note on the quote! I was looking for Hal Newhouser quotes (aka the other pitcher to win the MVP twice just like yesterday’s quote subject – Carl Hubbell), but Newhouser had very few quotes and all super boring. On that same page in the google search of ‘Hal Newhouser funny quotes’ images, I get George Clyde Kell and his quote above sounded funny at least. Tune in tomorrow for the connection from today’s quote (if any, I’m full of caveats!).

                Cheers,
                Ante

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Haha, love it!

  2. Jolt In Flow says:
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    “We did promote Adley. He’s now in charge of selling season tickets for the 2021 season. We have faith he can handle the promotion.” – hilarious stuff and sounds exactly like something an exec would say.

    Thanks for the write-up.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha, thanks!

  3. NUX says:
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    Copy/Pasted my comment from mid-day yesterday about bestball leagues.

    Grey, you are already in this one, so ignore this post! I’m going to make another comment with the link for our league that is 11/12 full and ready for you to join this morning. It’ll start as soon as you join, scroll down to my next comment for that link.

    Starting up a $10 NFBC Bestball league, which you may have seen me commenting @Grey and @Knoche about the last few months. The link to join is below. The Password is “Bobby” (caps B).

    https://bestball10s.shgn.com/signup/baseball?for=0;399,70,2972,7200&private_code=75243k

    NFBC doesn’t appear to work in all 50 states or overseas. So if you have an issue joining, it may be that.

    A few things to point out about this type of league:

    Starting Lineups as follows:
    1 Catcher
    1 1B
    1 2B
    1 3B
    1 SS
    2 OF
    1 UTIL
    4 Pitchers

    Yes you read that correct, only 2 OF and 4 OF start in your weekly bestball lineup. There are 12 starting slots and 32 rounds in the draft, so you’re drafting 20 bench slots.

    You don’t select your lineup, you draft and then your done. Optimized lineups run by NFBC does the rest of the work.

    The points/scoring can be found within the league page.

    Payout:
    $75 to 1st
    $20 to 2nd
    $10 NFBC Credit to 3rd

    When this league fills, the draft will start. There is a 2 Hour clock on picks until the last round or two, then its a 1 hour clock.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Join up, fellas!

      (What happened to the rest of the crew who were in?)

      • NUX says:
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        This one here above is a second draft, I started it cause we were seeing multiple commenters here that were interested. There’s a handful of the regulars in here already.

        The usual crew is locked and loaded. I just posted the link for you to be our 12th and the draft will trigger.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Gotcha, okay…This was prolly the one I was in originally

          • NUX says:
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            Yep this one is the one you were in, I see that you removed yourself and joined the other. Looks like Knoche has the first pick there.

            I do multiple drafts at the same time and enjoy it, so if you want to do more than one at a time, go ahead and jump back into the one in this thread. It seems like there are less people interested today so far than I thought might be. Maybe I’ll try again tomorrow.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Meh, I only one to do one at a time, that’s plenty for me

  4. Shallow League Decisions says:
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    Grey,

    How would you approach pitching versus hitting in a standard roto league that used QS in a proposed shortened season and a shortened spring 2.0?

    It may take a few starts when the season begins for SP to ramp up and teams may employ a 6 man rotation to protect their pitchers and be cautious with how often they work relievers too.

    Would you use all your bench spots to load up on SP’s and/or relievers and not be concerned about QS and just focus on K, ERA, WHIP, S+H?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      QS are going to be terrible in a shortened season, whereas they were once used to take out luck — I think they’re gonna add in more luck this year — they’ll also heavily weigh on the top guys — I would go with 5 to 6 SPs 3-4 RPs

      • Shallow League Decisions says:
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        When you say QS will weigh heavily on the top guys – do you mean that it’s the top guys that will end up getting more QS?

        I’m in a small 6 team league. We have 3 SP slots; 2 P slots; 2 RP slots and 7 bench slots. 3 of my bench slots are taken with hitters and 4 bench slots pitchers. I was thinking of trading one of my hitters for Lance Lynn or Woodruff to add to the stable of pitchers to go with a quantity approach of innings eaters for K’s and QS. That would leave me with 2 hitters on my bench. Good call or no? Also, drop Montas for another closer or set-up guy?

        My pitchers:

        Flaherty
        Clevinger
        Corbin
        Giolito
        Castillo
        Glasnow
        Sonny Gray
        Montas

        Nerris
        Rodgers
        N. Anderson

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I think maybe top 5 guys will matter on QS, and only barely — I wouldn’t draft top SPs, I would get a full rotation tho, otherwise you’re punting Ks too — I love Woodruff and Lynn, so I would take one in right deal

          • Shallow League Decisions says:
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            I could get either by trading away Correa. I have Story and Baez for SS and J-Ram occupies one of my 2 UTIL slots with Beaz. So, Correa seems expendable. Agree?

            Also, who would you take between Woodruff and Lynn? I think Woodruff’s ratios will be better. His FIP, xFIP and SIERRA where better and K/9 same as Lynn. Lynn just had more IP.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Correa is very expendable there…I’d take Lynn

  5. Eeyyy1289 says:
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    Grey,
    In my 12 team, H2H Keeper league I just traded Abreu and Snell for Olson and JD Martinez. Good deal? What side would you prefer?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Works for me!

  6. Hobbs

    Hobbs says:
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    Great post! Especially love the quote, although I may need to revisit my understanding of what constitutes as a quartet.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, I enjoyed that, as well!

      Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Why does it say 6/12?

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Meaning number of people, not date

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Forget it, I’m in — I’m not sure what other league I was in before that said it had 6 people

          • NUX says:
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            That’s the other link that I sent in the other comment. There are 2 leagues right now. You just filled the one. And your in the other one that will start once 6 more Razz commenters join us.

            Sorry, tryinta be as clear as I can in all my comments but I can see why it’s prob confusing

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, we’re all good

          • Cram It says:
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            I commend you that this seems to be the extent of your confusion, considering that you’re in like 43 of these $10 drafts.

            • NUX says:
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              Yea jumping in them in the Lobby is a piece of cake. Its setting up the Private ones, now that the lobby never fills, since we are the only heathens drafting… lol

              The issue really is that this is my only way to communicate with Grey. If I send a link here on the Razz site before i have the other 11 in, we run the risk of @LOLmets joining our league and Grey being left out in the cold. I can’t choose a set draft time. It fires when filled.

              • Cram It says:
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                Right, regardless of how you communicate, organizing a draft is a pain in the arse. Doing it this many times and keeping track of who is drafting when sounds like my purgatory.

              • The Great Knoche says:
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                You could email him.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha, oh I have no idea with these leagues, but for $10 a week to draft and stay familiar with ADP and players, it’s doing the job

  7. 183414 says:
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    Seems like MLB going the way of the NBA and NFL for me.
    Not only will a 45-55 games season kill baseball and fantasy baseball for me this year, I think I’ll retire as a reigning champion in the NFBC On Line Championship.
    1st Manfred dealt with the worst baseball scandal in history, with essentially no accountability.
    Then the leaderless MLB dragged their asses and then offered up nothing in terms of a viable baseball season with no fans, no less.
    Always thought Manfred was a weak puppet for the owners, and I was right. Didn’t take him very long to destroy America’s Pasttime.
    Good luck with darts that you’ll be able to utilize in a year or whenever everyone is forever protected from viruses .
    Personally, I think baseball will lose millions of fans , but certainly myself and many others I know.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      55 game season would be pretty crazy — but I still think players said 114 games and MLB came back with 50 so they meet somewhere in the middle

    • Cram It says:
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      50 games, half a season, what does it matter? This season will be a hiccup regardless and we’ll all be back in next year with a fresh start.

  8. primetime says:
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    Grey,

    Why 50 games?

    If they start in July. You have July August and September. Thats like 90 days. Normally teams have off 1-2 days per week and then have to reschedule rain outs.

    I don’t understand 50 games. Does that mean season would be over at the end of August. If they plan on doing 7 weeks of baseball, why bother.

    Very disappointed with baseball. Watching NBA, NHL and NFL at least trying to make it a go and a sport that represents summer, total disappointment.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Why would the owners listen to 114 games from the players and say 50 games, it doesn’t make any sense, which is why I think the owners are posturing in a negotiation… I think they’re still aiming for around 80-100 games — i.e., owners say 50, players say 114…owners say fine 70, players say 100…owners say 85 and season begins…Something like that (hopefully)

  9. waffles says:
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    hi grey, thanks for keeping up the content during these times

    i drafted 1st overall in a 20 team league, 8×8 categories with OPS, XBH, H, BB and IP, L, QS and came up with this

    C Sean Murphy (pick 280)
    1B Luke Voit (160)
    2B Ketel Marte (40)
    SS Carter Kieboom (321)
    3B Josh Donaldson (80)
    OF Mike Trout (1)
    OF Michael Conforto (120)
    OF Alex Verdugo (200)
    U Nomar Mazara (241)

    B Michael Chavis (240)
    B Brendan Rogers (360)
    B Alec Bohm (401)

    P Mike Clevinger (41)
    P Julio Urias (81)
    P Jesus Luzardo (121)
    P Lance McCullers (161)
    P Joe Musgrove (201)
    P Griffin Canning (281)
    P Spencer Howard (320)
    P MacKenzie Gore (361)

    B Casey Mize (400)

    Punting saves in the 16 category format. Went pretty young, will wait and see which of these guys will stick with the club. Any thoughts would be appreciated!

    Also would you trade Musgrove for Luke Weaver in this format?

    Thanks and stay safe

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      You look much stronger on pitching than hitting and you are very young overall…I would prefer Weaver, but your pitching isn’t the issue…You need hitting

  10. Harley Earl says:
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    Grey,

    You know what? Of the three leagues I play in, one is a keeper league and we have 10 keepers for next year. I noticed nobody had picked up Adley and after reading this, I figured what the hell, this might be worth a long term investment. So I picked him up.

    Here’s to Adley the Dart Throw, courtesy of Greybo!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nice! Hopefully it works out!

Comments are closed.