Welcome in save chasers! The closer landscape is taking shape and while Craig Kimbrell remains a free agent, most of the other dominoes have fallen. As it’s a new season, I’ll be rolling out new titling for the tiers. This week’s feature four popular 7-Eleven offerings.

 

Big Gulps

The crème de la crème of convenience offerings. Is there any mountain an entire liter of caffeinated beverage can’t help you climb? These hurlers get you going just like that literal pound of sugar juice.

A Bag Of Chips

A totally solid snack option. Nothing spectacular here, but fulfilling. You’re going to get what you pay for with these guys.

 

Crappy Coffee

It might taste burnt and stale, but the part you’re after is the caffeine bump. There’s usually a trade-off in life. Your ratios ballooning might be the one here.

 

Day Old Hot Dogs

You’re drunk, but you’re hungry. This meat tube stares at you from the roller it’s sat on for a day or more. Should you roll the dice on something just as likely to make you sick as it is awful tasting? The things we do for the love of saves.

 

  1. OaktownSteve says:
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    I’ve been reading as much Boston media as I can on the shituation there. I’m getting the vibe that they believe Barnes can do the job. Had a better K rate than Kimbrel. Almost identical BB rate so you know their ok with a little wildness in their closer. Nearly twice the GB rate and a lower HR%. Lower FIP and xFIP. Was a little unlucky with his BABIP.

    Heard Cora on multiple occasions add the narrative of post season pressure success. He was the first person on Dombrow’s list when he said who was in the running. A chance for them to reap some reward from a former top SP prospect. Brasier’s number and track record give no reason for confidence. They’re saying they absolutely will not go over the luxury tax so they are not signing Kimbrel. My guess is they give Barnes the job early to see what they have there. If they absolutely have to address it later they’ll go the trade route.

    I don’t know exactly how Tampa will handle their pen but from a skill set perspective I think Alvarado ends up in the Big Gulp tier. Went down to the minors, came back with a ridiculous cutter. K rate was 14+ with about a .5 FIP in August and September with the cutter. Triple digit heat. I think he’ll get to 25 saves and 100 Ks.

    • Roto-Wan

      Roto-Wan says:
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      @OaktownSteve: Agree on Barnes, especially since he’s a veteran. The uncertainty is what’s keeping them low in my ranks at the moment, not ability.

      I think highly of Alvarado, it just gives me pause that he’s a lefty.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I believe in Barnes

  2. Roto-Wan

    Roto-Wan says:
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    Somehow the Brewers got left on the cutting floor (stupid user error). They would slot between Cody Allen and Ken Giles for me, with Corey Knebel as the lead dog.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Fixed

      • Roto-Wan

        Roto-Wan says:
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        @Grey: Thanks Skipper.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  3. Drew says:
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    So, is Jeffress in a setup role for the Crew? He was pretty good before the playoff meltdown, especially while Knebel was in AAA. Could he vulture some saves?

    • Roto-Wan

      Roto-Wan says:
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      @Drew: I think all three guys in that pen see a good amount of saves. Hader probably gets some shots to close if the matchups are right. Jeffress works in somewhere, probably less than the other two in save opps though.

  4. OaktownSteve says:
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    I’m pretty off Osuna. The K rate took a dive as the whiff percentage on the fastball cratered. His K rate wasn’t that high earlier in his career anyway. Presley is sitting right behind him too. I won’t own him this year.

    • Roto-Wan

      Roto-Wan says:
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      @OaktownSteve: I might be reading into what Houston wants too much, but they left Giles as the closer through far worse. Seems like they just want a defined 9th inning guy and to keep the best arms flexible for other innings.

      • OaktownSteve says:
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        @Roto-Wan:

        I hear you, but if he tanks, they’ll make a change. If Pressley is anything like last year he’s a premium option

        • Roto-Wan

          Roto-Wan says:
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          @OaktownSteve: Oh I love Pressly. He’s a top 5 non-closer for me.

          • Jon says:
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            @Roto-Wan:

            Who are your top 5 non closers?

            • Roto-Wan

              Roto-Wan says:
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              @Jon: Betances, Andrew Miller, Pressly, Ottavino, Nate Jones, Jose Castillo. Roughly in that order.

  5. Ken plane says:
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    BLASPHEMY!!!!!!!!
    One of the best blurbs in Razzball history, and you change it! No it is $12 Salads, Donkeycorns, Employed, and of course Brain Freezes starring Carlos Marmol. C’mon Man

    • Roto-Wan

      Roto-Wan says:
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      @Ken plane: Haha. While I greatly appreciate Smokey allowing me to borrow his tiers to finish out 2018, I feel like it’s only right to forge my own path, the lack of Carlos Marmol be damned.

      • Ken Plane says:
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        @Roto-Wan: Ah newbie, newbie, those were Grey’s original tiers.

        • Bill says:
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          @Ken Plane: salads etc were tired 3 years ago!

          • Roto-Wan

            Roto-Wan says:
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            @Bill: don’t worry, we’ll have fun with it.

  6. Roto-Wan

    Roto-Wan says:
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    Haha. While I greatly appreciate Smokey allowing me to borrow his tiers to finish out 2018, I feel like it’s only right to forge my own path, the lack of Carlos Marmol be damned.

  7. Curious George says:
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    Love the post. In a league of 2sp, 2rp, and 5p (10 team h2h categories w, qs, k, k/9, era, whip, hr, sv+hld) how many RP would you draft? What tiers would you target or what rounds? Happy to hear any razzballer’s thoughts too

    • Roto-Wan

      Roto-Wan says:
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      @Curious George: That depends on your league landscape. What do most managers do? I’d like 3-4 RPs generally. The top-priced guys scare me this year. Some of my favorite targets are Jose Leclerc, Kirby Yates, Cody Allen, and Hunter Strickland.

      • Curious George says:
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        @Roto-Wan: other managers carried anywhere from 2 to 5 RP last year. TBD on their plans this year as many were left looking for RP help last year and may make an adjustment. With the shift in mlb strategy giving us fewer true closers, im half tempted to punt saves and focus on high upside arms with good shots at holds or occasional saves. Something like Leclerc, Allen, Miller, and Barnes.

        • Roto-Wan

          Roto-Wan says:
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          @Curious George: Do you think you’d finish higher than last in saves with that crew?

          • Curious George says:
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            @Roto-Wan: since it’s saves+holds? Not sure. Running a mock now to see where that puts me relative to the pack.

            • Roto-Wan

              Roto-Wan says:
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              @Curious George: holds come less frequently than saves. If you want to go the route of set up men you might need five. If you get daily lineup changes that’s easier to do.

    • Steve Stevenson says:
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      @Curious George: I play in a league w/ a similar format and have done well going RP heavy (and spending almost all of my early picks on bats) for years. Depending on bench size and move limits (daily v weekly or, in the case of my league, severely limiting annual pickup restrictions), you could do well having all of your P slots occupied by RP on a daily basis. The idea is you put yourself at an advantage in 5 of 8 pitching cats pretty much every week, and because you’re mostly drafting bats while midlevel SPs and fancy closers are going off the board, you also have a sick offense. So my roster will typically have 1 decent closer (someone from the back end of the top 10 who I think has a shot at ending in the top 5), 2 cheap closers, 3 awesome setup men, 1-2 strong SP, and then the bench is filled out w/ midlevel SP from the mid-late rounds for streaming, etc. (because as everyone else is filling out their offense during that time you can just draft SP after SP and still have your pick of good setup men in the late rounds).

      • Roto-Wan

        Roto-Wan says:
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        @Steve Stevenson: I usually do this in one league each year. It can be tight, but it’s usually effective.

        • Steve Stevenson says:
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          @Roto-Wan: Yeah. H2H categories is the perfect format for it, though. Assuming the same # of hitting cats, it’s not hard to build an offense that’s pretty dominant in at least 5 cats if that’s all you’re really worried about for most of the first 9 rounds or so.

  8. zuleta says:
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    Gotta list Jeffress for Brew Crew.

    • Roto-Wan

      Roto-Wan says:
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      @zuleta: he’ll be in there next go round. The Brewers line got deleted in the initial post because I have fat fingers.

  9. Steve Stevenson says:
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    NL-only 5×5 keeper, keep $2 Vizcaino or $7 Minter? FWIW there’s a strong possibility I don’t come out of the auction with another closer, and pickups are limited (you pretty much have to have a guy hit the DL or get sent down to make a move).

    • Steve Stevenson says:
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      @Steve Stevenson: alternatively, i can keep both but it’d require throwing back a $3 luis castillo, $1 freeland or $3 bader (in which case i’d also only be keeping 3 bats)

      • Roto-Wan

        Roto-Wan says:
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        @Steve Stevenson: I’d take the savings with Viz and cross your fingers.

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