Today we pickup where we left off last Wednesday, with the second part of our 2016 MLB draft preview. I tried to write the entire thing in emojis, but it didn’t work, and I was told explicitly by Grey that wing dings is never appropriate for print on Razzball. Then again who prints anymore? Seriously where have all the paperboys gone? What are our children to do to learn entrepreneurship? Lemonade stand? Pffft!!! Whatever!!! I can see this is going into a “get off my lawn” type rant…So let’s move along. After reviewing the top 10 prospects in the first installment of the draft preview, this morning we look at the next 15+ prospects that should be on the first round radar. This should take us through the first 30 or so selections. So you know, there’s 30 teams, so that means there’s a player for each team figuratively. I didn’t know math would be involved either….Life hack; use calculators….they work.

 

Braxton Garrett, LHP (Alabama H.S): There’s been little question so far this spring about who’s been the best “active” lefty in the prep ranks. With Groome on the shelf, Garrett has risen up draft boards. He was impressive at the National High School Invitational tossing a shutout. This generated a lot of buzz amongst scouts and cemented his place in the mid-first round. The Vanderbilt commit possess one of the better curveballs in the 2016 class. He mixes his plus-plus curve, with a plus fastball (that maxes out at 94), and a developing change that completes his arsenal. The ceiling here is a number two starter, and possible borderline ace.

Ian Anderson, RHP (New York H.S): High ceiling prep arm from the northeast in the model of the Rockies Mike Nikorak from 2015. He features a fastball that touches 95, he mixes that with a developing slider, and an average change. Looks like a risk/reward type target in dynasty leagues.

Alex Kirilloff, OF (Penn H.S): Where’s Malicious Phenom? MP is one of my favorite Shitz stiks! Who are the Shitz stiks? That’s the Ralph fan club. It’s like my answer to Beyoncé’s Beyhive. (Time to pause and reflect on my delusions of grandeur) Any the freaking who, Kirilloff could potentially be the best prep hitter in the draft. He has mammoth raw power, that he showcased at the Perfect Game All-American Classic home run derby. (That’s a freaking mouthful!!!) When he messed around and won the whole damn thaaang… He shows the ability to control the barrel and make good contact. The lefty bat should end up going just outside the top 10, but he’s one of the more intriguing fantasy prospects in the draft.

Josh Lowe, 3B (Georgia H.S): Lowe is an intriguing prospect as both a hitter and pitcher. With many scouts labeling him the best Georgia prep arm since Zack Wheeler. Regardless, he will be drafted to play 3rd base. The best corner infield prospect in the draft, Lowe brings a balanced skill set with a above average hit tool, projectable raw power, and plus speed. He looks to have the defensive chops to stick at third, though has the ability to play centerfield too.

Joey Wentz, LHP (Kansas H.S): A big high school lefty with a 60 grade fastball that touches 95. He pairs the heater with two developing offspeed offerings in a curve and a change. Both offspeed offerings look like they could develop into plus pitches. He pairs good stuff with desirable attributes like a clean delivery, athleticism, and a competitive makeup. The ceiling is a top 2 starter.

Buddy Reed, OF (University of Florida): A switch hitting college speedster, looks like a prototypical leadoff hitter. He mixes 70 grade speed with an above average hit tool, and single digit homer power. Any what little power he does show is from the right side. Kinda sounds like Billy Burns, right? His off the charts athleticism and tools make him a first round level talent.

Jordan Sheffield, RHP (Vanderbilt): Brother of “Shhhh It’s” Justus Sheffield, the Cleveland Indians lefty farmhand. Neither of whom are related to MLB great Gary Sheffield. Jordan is the ace of the Vanderbilt staff, with a nasty three pitch repertoire consisting of a 70 grade heater, a plus slider, and an above average change. He looks to have the K/9 upside needed to make him fantasy relevant. Put the other Sheffield brother on your radar.

Forrest Whitley, RHP (Texas H.S): If you haven’t figured it out yet, this draft’s first few rounds will be defined by the development of the prep pitchers. Whitley is another of the dozen or so high school pitchers that will go in the top 50 picks. I’m not sure what Whitley’s mother was feeding him, but whatever it was it looks to be either some sort of black magic, or something from the bowels of Victor Conte’s loins. As the Texas righthander went from a high school freshman under 6 feet, with a fastball in the 70’s, to a 6’7 behemoth that can touch 97 on the gun. Whitley mixes a plus plus fastball with a plus curve, a plus change, and an average slider. He’s a high ceiling prep arm, with a good mix of size and stuff.

Zack Collins, C (University of Miami): The annual hitting catcher with questions about his ability to stick behind the plate long term. Let’s call him the Schwarberra of this draft. Why Schwarberra? Because he could go two ways, Schwarber and get moved out or Berra and stick behind the plate forever. As for fantasy relevancy, the bat has 20 homer pop and the advanced approach and patience to make him an OBP league threat.

Connor Jones, RHP (Virginia): The ace of the defending national champions, Jones looks like an unexciting, but refined college arm. He’s not going to develop into a high end fantasy pitcher, but more a nice 4 or 5th starter to round out your ratios. In deeper dynasty formats (16 or more teams) those are valuable pieces.

Bryan Reynolds, OF (Vanderbilt): What’s a draft list without a Vandy hitter right? Reynolds has been a standout since his freshman year, when he helped the Commodores win the national championship while hitting .338. He followed that up with a strong 2015, and has been solid so far in 2016, hitting .324 and leading the team with 10 homers. He’s a lot like a switch hitting Blake Rutherford, in that he lacks one high end tool, but possesses an above average set of tools across the board. The big difference is the ceiling is lower with Reynolds than Rutherford, but floor might be higher. Either way I like Reynolds track record and pedigree. It also helps that Vandy is on TV enough that I’m familiar with their players. In fact, I think he could turn into one of the better hitters in this year’s first round.

Nolan Jones, 3B (Penn H.S.): A 6’4 corner infielder from (near) the fighting city of Philadelphia, Jones is the second Penn prep bat with first round written all over him. He features a refined hit tool and approach, as well as excellent raw power. He’s a high school shortstop, but most see him playing 3rd, 2nd, or left in the pros.

Will Craig, 3B (Wake Forest): The best college corner bat outside of Nick Senzel. The reigning ACC player of the year is once again chasing the league’s triple crown. His bad body/dad body, and hitting ability have drawn Billy Butler comparisons. Many feel that if he had a more athletic build he’d go within the first 5 picks in the draft. Maybe these scouts are unaware of the “anti-body shaming” movement. I’m willing to ignore the moobs and focus on the bat, but I’m a chubby chaser. Seriously I love BBW smut. Those girls work hard.

Drew Mendoza, 3B (Florida H.S): A high school shortstop that projects as a 3rd baseman at the next level. His frame and knack for making strong contact has led many scouts to believe he could develop into a power hitting corner infielder. He has a strong commitment to Florida State and there have been some whispers he could spurn a pro team in favor of the Seminoles.

Taylor Trammell, OF (Georgia H.S): A super athletic prep outfielder, Trammell was a two sport standout in high school winning the Georgia class A offensive player of the year award this fall for his play on the gridiron. As is, he brings one plus tool to the table, speed. Which grades a 70 on the 80 scale. Due to splitting time between football and baseball, his hitting is still very raw. Will be a nice pick for a patient dynasty owner in first year player drafts.

Cal Quantrill, RHP (Stanford): As a life long Red Sox fan the name Paul Quantrill sends shivers down my spine. In fact next to the word mediocrity is a picture of old “Quilly”. Seriously Cal’s father turned ERA’s in the high fours and low fives into an art form. I’m exaggerating, 14 MLB seasons and a sub-4 career ERA (mostly in the steroid era) is anything to sneeze at. Cal is yet to pitch this season as he finishes his rehab from Tommy John surgery last spring. So there’s some question as to what you’re getting. Pre-surgery, Quantrill featured an excellent four pitch arsenal with the ability to locate. How he looks upon returning could dictate how the first round plays out.

 

Others to keep an eye on: Matt Manning, RHP (California H.S), Jared Horn, RHP (California H.S), Kyle Muller, LHP (Texas H.S), Robert Tyler, RHP (University of Georgia)

 

Follow me on Twitter @ralphlifshitzbb

  1. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Hey Ralph, thanks for mentioning me as an honorary member in the Ralph fan club! How cool to be a “Shitz stik”. LOL!

    Great write up as I expect nothing less from you.

    Thanks to you and Prospector Mike, I was able to trade a bunch of my original farm for MLB players.

    Speaking of clubs, here is my rebuilt farm as of this morning:

    Mondesí, Raúl 2B,SS,MI – KC
    Gallo, Joey 3B,CI,OF – TEX
    Hayes, Ke’Bryan 3B,CI – PIT
    Profar, Jurickson 2B,3B,SS,CI,MI – TEX
    Riley, Austin 3B,CI – ATL
    Maitan, Kevin 3B,SS,CI,MI – (N/A)
    Mateo, Jorge (R) SS,MI – NYY
    Swanson, Dansby (R) SS,MI – ATL
    Armenteros, Lazaro OF – (N/A)
    Diaz, Yusniel OF – LAD
    Smith, Mallex (R) OF – ATL – really liking this kid, 1B,2B,3B last night and a couple great plays in the OF!
    Acevedo, Domingo P – NYY
    Puk, A.J. P – (N/A)

    Thanks again for all your hard work and keep the spec updates coming!

  2. David says:
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    Ralph thanks for your work. In a dynasty league, would you trade Correa for Mazara and A. Russell? Thanks.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @David: No, I’m only trading Correa for Harper, Trout, or Machado

  3. crabman says:
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    Hey ralph Always look forward to your posts. Is it time to stash Harrison Bader? Where is he on your current prospect rankings?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @crabman: Sure depending on the format. He’s raking and is certainly in the top 100, approaching top 50

      • Swfcdan says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Approaching top 50 overall? Wow I might have to get in on him in my other keeper league then. Add him over Almora?

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Swfcdan: Yes overAlmora for sure

        • Another Dan says:
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          @Swfcdan:

          I’d have expected you to still be celebrating …. Nice result ….. Expecting to finish the job ?

          • Swfcdan says:
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            @Another Dan: Hahaha wow some people follow English championship football on here? Impressed, yeah I went to the match, great win. Gonna finish it tommorow yep!

            • Another Dan says:
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              @Swfcdan:

              Well, I am English, I live on the Yorkshire coast and I have a couple of mates who are Wednesday fans. Also have a few other mates who support ‘ull. So It’ll be interesting to see which of the Yorkshire teams wins through.

              Assume Boaty McBoatface might also be UK based.

              Best of luck.

              • Ralph Lifshitz

                Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                @Another Dan: I get all the UK readers! Must be from my time on the soccer site.

                I was gutted today with happenings at Old Traffird and then another week 38 crusher from City. Onto the FA cup!

                Wednesday is one of those clubs I always pull for if only for the Wednesday part. Underrated day.

                • Swfcdan says:
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                  @Another Dan: @Ralph Lifshitz: Whaat even Ralph has heard of Wednesday? Oh right you do fantasy soccer on here, explains it haha.

                  Yeah looking like ‘Ull as you say barring a screw up tommorow from us, don’t think it’ll happen. They’ll be favourites but so were Brighton so I’ll be confident!

                  Good to see some other UK fans on here, didn’t know of any others. What lead you to Razzball nation? I’m guessing the old baseball on five late sun night show got you into baseball as it did for me, seen a few games over in the States since.

                • Swfcdan says:
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                  @Ralph Lifshitz: Yeah wierd goings on at Old Stratford, seems was only some training equipment in the end!? Wierd.

                  Haha that’s not much of a compliment but I’ll take it! We have the playoff semi final for promotion to PL tommorow if you’re interested- you could be talking about us next year!

                  • Ralph Lifshitz

                    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                    @Swfcdan: Haha no I like the team and I follow the Championship. Don’t write soccer anymore.

  4. Boaty McBoatface says:
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    Hey Ralph, great writeup on a bunch of players I’d never heard of. Very helpful.

    On another subject: in a dynasty league, would you trade Adam Jones and Roberto Osuna for Miguel Sano?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Boaty McBoatface: yes I’d do that if you’re not competing and looking to build.

      • Boaty McBoatface says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Thanks, Ralph! Yeah, my team is mired in eighth place and seemingly going nowhere.

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Boaty McBoatface: Yeah, current hot streak not withstanding I’m worried about jones the next few years.

  5. mindi cohn says:
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    In a tough bind. Im competing in 14 tm dynasty. Closers are papelbon and tolleson. Been offered britton for my giolito. Reluctant but not sure can withstand top spot w 1 closer. Only speculative adds on waivers like oday,hudson,bedrosian,diekman and neris. Barf..

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @mindi cohn: I think I’d hold off, and maybe add O’day and Neris. Investing a top prospects (maybe the top) for a closer is a hefty price long term.

  6. crabman says:
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    In a keeper league mallex or ender? At a glance they seem to have a pretty similar skill set. I’d get a longer contract with mallex.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @crabman: All I do is Mallex I don’t need a reason!!!!

  7. malamoney

    malamoney says:
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    Good stuff Ralph. I’m going full wing dings next week!!!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @malamoney: Wing dings 4 life!!!

  8. Sasquatch Slugger says:
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    Keeper forever league. How do you rank going into 2017… Berrios Glasnow Taillon? And for this year who’s up 1st with most impact… Glasnow or Taillon? Great posts…make me want to try out deeper dynasty’s….eventually!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Sasquatch Slugger: For 2017 Glasnow, Berrios, Taillon. All are good, Galsnow has the highest K/9 upside.

      Berrios is already up, I think Taillon is up next, then Glasnow.

  9. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Tanka for Buxton, I wud get Buxton..

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Malicious Phenoms: Yeah I’d do it, as long as you’re not competing and it’s not a points league.

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: I am in first and it is roto. I only am in one league this year for the first time ever. Just want to play in one dynasty..

  10. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Delino Deshit just hit the waiver wire, worth an add in a forever keeper?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Malicious Phenoms: Depends if you can stuff him I. The minors

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: I added Delino.. and dropped Trevor May, who has been awful as the whole Twins team has been..

  11. Another Dan says:
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    Excellent stuff Ralph. Really enjoy reading about prospects.

    Remember it’s maths ;-)

    What’s your take on Gary Sanchez ? The Yankees called him up and were holding 3 catchers (that must give Grey the shivers). Then they send him back down after he goes 0 for 4 as DH. I know some of it was due to injuries and the extra work that meant the bullpen had to do. Should I be worried if I have him on my milb team?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Another Dan: Maths!!!

      Thanks for reading, I have no idea what the Yankees are doing. They treat prospects the way fat people treat fresh produce. They buy it, they brag about having kale, but they eat McDonalds and frozen pizza every night for a week, then when they go to make the kale it’s rotten and they have to throw it out.

      In other words the Yankees are crazy, there’s no reason that Sanchez, Judge, and Refsnyder shouldn’t be up. Beltran (today’s homer not withstanding) is a pile of bones and skin with a multi-million dollar contract

  12. The JoGarza says:
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    Hola Ralph,

    Have you considered writing a Risers and Fallers article for prospects? Maybe dividing by Single-A, AA, AAA?

    A few risers I’ve noticed are Mitch Keller and Ronald Acuna? What are your take on those two?

    • Another Dan says:
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      @The JoGarza:

      Acuna got a section in a post late last month. Search his name on the site and it should get you the right post.

      • The JoGarza says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Thank you! In a league where 192 prospects are rostered, should either be immediately added? My system as two SP (Taillon and Tate), but thats more by design because I like bats more. Which one has the quickest path to the majors?

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @The JoGarza: I’d add both, not sure who’s up first they’re both far off. My guess is Keller.

  13. Raoul Duke says:
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    Hey Ralph, do you prefer one of Sean Manaea or Josh Hader over the other?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Raoul Duke: I like Hader better

  14. Martin Harris says:
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    Tommy Joseph for Brendan Rodgers in a dynasty League who would you pick up

  15. J-FOH says:
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    Cheese made the call on our Nolan Jones pick in the Rejects league. My favorite bit of info on him was he discovered the weight room just this past year. Was he lost?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @J-FOH: Maybe there was an attractive young lady by the pool he was looking to impress?

  16. Clint says:
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    I saw the post on Maitan. Will you be doing a separate international signee summary post ranking them around July or where can I put together a list for them? Think our league’s going to combine the amateurs with the internationals in a draft so I’m wondering when it’s safe to do it. Fantrax seems to have a hodge podge of the amateurs now along with the international guys, just not everyone yet so I figured mid to late June?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Clint: Yes I’ll definitely do a top 30 internationals. My thought is post-draft I’ll do it so we’re probably looking a month out.

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: I’ll then do a ranking/post for first year player drafts in the offseason, that combine internationals/draftees/unowned prospects. All 8 of my dynastys do drafts like that between December and February.

  17. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Keller has some GREAT numbers for this year…Keller, Puk or Amir Garrett in my forever keeper..

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
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      @Malicious Phenoms: Kyle Zimmer cleared waivers last night..

      I have Puk, wud u keep Puk or drop him for Zimmer, Garrett or Keller.

      Thanks man

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Malicious Phenoms: I think I’d still hold on Puk. Of that group I like Garrett the best. He’s putting up equal numbers to Keller and two levels advanced.

        • Malicious Phenoms says:
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          @Ralph Lifshitz:

          Ok, cool, I’ll keep Puk and watch the progress of the others.

          Kazmir just hit the waiver wire.

          I would say let him be somebody else headache..You agree?

  18. Darren says:
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    Yo Ralph! Another great write up as usual…

    12 team dynasty… Roto

    I have been offered his Ryan McMahon for my Moustakas…

    Don’t really have a definite spot for moose once he comes off DL … If I say yes, I’d hafta drop either Kebryan Hayes or Travis Shaw from my farm…. Whatya think?? Thanks as always !

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Darren: hold

  19. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    thoughts on this guy:
    Jhailyn Ortiz
    better than any of the specs I am holding now?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Malicious Phenoms: Could be David Ortiz or Kennys Vargas. Big donkey DH tons of power.

  20. Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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    16 team roto dynasty where i just traded saunders for diaz (STL). SP has been pretty bad all year (hung around buchholz too long, dropped hill when he had a couple of bad starts, injuries, traded the 22nd best SP in MLB for delino etc). QS over wins, net steals over steals, net saves and holds over saves, OBP over AVG, total bases and K/BB added. 1500 max innings. now with this:
    C salvy
    1B au rizz
    2B kipnis
    SS alcides
    3B bryant
    LF upton
    CF ellsbury
    RF jd mart
    util diaz, dannys antana (streamer)
    BN casali (streamer), d.peralta
    NA delino/benintendi/dahl/jab placenta crawford (PHI)
    SP cole/liriano/wood/tillman (lucky i got him back, but i’ve also been scared to start him during about half of his great starts due to SON)/porcello/pineda/fatolo (streamer)
    RP britton/giles/watson/hudson/j.peralta/kelley
    DL heaney/ryu/romo/kela/wheeler

    got a trade offer of joc/dozier/judge/m.moore for my benintendi/porcello/diaz
    i’m thinking no here, due to not needing dozier, not wanting moore, and liking benintendi >judge, and porcello + diaz more than joc. what you think

    • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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      @Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo: and longer term liking benintendi over joc for CF too (have dahl also, and delino if he ever gets back).

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
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        @Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo: Delino will be back, he is only 23, rememebr Odor of last year he has been great since his stint @ AA..Also I would not make that trade..Hold.

        • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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          @Malicious Phenoms: yeah i dropped f.wall COL to make room in NA slot for delino.

  21. Swfcdan says:
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    Hi Ralph (or I could call you Shitz? Nah better not). Thoughts on Clint Frazier? Trying to get him in a keeper league, is he a big upgrade prospectally over Honeywell? I know they are quite similarly ranked on some sites but pitching prospects often seem to take longer to figure things out and just aren’t as valuable..

    • Swfcdan says:
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      @Swfcdan: And some thoughts on Jeff Hoffman. Seems a very highly regarded arm, but will Coors totally ruin his fantasy value?

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Swfcdan: Simialr profile to Gray, could be a recipe for success in Coors….strike people out haha!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Swfcdan: Call me whatever you like. I’d take Frazier over Honeywell. Honeywell is nice but Frazier has stud upside

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