We at Razzball realize that exporting our views across the country has damaging consequences on the blogosphere. To help make amends, we are reaching out to leading team blogs and featuring their locally blogged answers to pressing 2010 fantasy baseball questions regarding their team. We feel this approach will be fresher, more sustainable, and require less energy consumption (for us anyway). The 2010 Red Sox Fantasy Baseball Preview comes courtesy of Troy and Lee over at Fire Brand of the American League.

1) There’s been a lot said/typed/blogged about the Red Sox offense having a little less punch than years past.  Last year, the Red Sox had 3 players above 99 Runs (Pedroia – 115, Bay – 103, Youk – 99) and 3 above 94 RBIs (Bay – 119, Ortiz – 99, Youk – 94).   Do you think any Red Sox will scale those Runs/RBI levels this year?

I don’t think you have to worry about the runs totals.  This Red Sox team is built every season to do one thing better than any other team in baseball: GET ON BASE.  There’s a lot of questions that RBI totals will suffer, but if hitters are reaching base, guys will drive them in.  Remember all those guys Vernon Wells drove in a few seasons ago?  You only get to do that with opportunities.  The Red Sox will have many opportunities.

The Red Sox were 2nd in the league in OBP and 2nd in wOBA.  That 2009 team was a very talented offensive ballclub, even with dysfunction at third base and shortstop for the entire year.   While Jason Varitek had a hot April, he quickly flamed out as well.

After you factor in the regression of the current 2009 holdovers and the additions to the club (Cameron, Beltre, Scutaro), the Red Sox don’t look that much worse offensively.  Is someone going to hit 40 homeruns? Probably not.  But if the top of the order continues to get on base, there’s no reason why Martinez, Youkilis, and Ortiz don’t have enough opportunities to drive in 100 runs a piece.  CHONE projects this Red Sox team to score 5.3 runs per game, good for 858 over the season.  Only 9 runs less than the World Series winning 2007 team that had two prime time 40 HR players.  But the Boston media says our offense is terrible.  I guess I should believe them instead with all the data they have to back up their claims.  Right.

Ellsbury and Pedroia shouldn’t have a problem topping 100 runs a piece, unless Jacoby makes all the Pink Hats cry and proves his OBP bump was a giant fluke.  If Martinez is spelled enough behind the plate and gets a big chunk of time at 1B/DH, he could do it with enough at bats.  Youk will most likely need a 30+ HR season to eclipse 100 runs, but shouldn’t have a problem leading the RBI charge and driving in 100 on his own.  Losing Bay won’t affect specific player totals as much as Jon Heyman tells us so.

2) Ditto the first question’s opener regarding the Red Sox improved defense.  How much of an impact ERA/WHIP-wise do you think this has for the Sox staff?

Any time a team’s defense improves, you’re only doing the pitching staff a favor.  This is why Scott Kazmir continued being called an “ace” when he had that ridiculous tampa bay defense behind him the past 1.5 years.  It’s the same reason why Jarrod Washburn suddenly became a star with Franklin Gutierrez’s black hole of a glove bailing him out in center…and then he goes to Detriot and goes down in a fiery blaze of nerd rage.

Once the ball touches the bat, the pitcher has been removed from the resultant outcome.  With the exception of the ever confusing antics of Tim Wakefield who seems to be immune to statistical studies and logic like Tom Cruise and the Church of Scientology, the Boston pitching staff should have a slight blanket-drop in their opposing BABIP.  However, the park dimensions still won’t favor flyball pitchers they way Petco or Safeco does.  Jon Lester and Clay Buchholz, both strong ground ball pitchers, should benefit the most from this defensive improvement, and would be the most likely candidates of favorable returns showing up in their ERA and WHIP.

3) Can you gives us the over/under/push on the following:  Ortiz – .260/25 HRs, Beltre .275/15 HRs, Pedroia .307/15 HRs, Youk .280/25 HRs, Jason Veritek .220/7 HRs, Ellsbury 50 SBs.

Ortiz – Push/Over
If Papi gets 600 ABs, I think he still has a shot at 30 HRs.  Even when considering his atrocious first two months, his power numbers came back strong to finish out 2009.  Our colleague Aaron did a piece on this, and I tend to agree with him.  His increasing strikeouts give me pause about the batting average though.

Beltre – Over/Push
I think this is an easy call.  Beltre was walloping 25 HRs in Safeco before he almost neutered himself last year.  While Fenway does reduce homeruns very slightly compared to average, it’s still more favorable for power production than Safeco.  Beltre should get right to 25 HR, doubtful he’ll hit much more than that, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see him add 30-40 Fenway doubles off the wall.  I’d expect a line similar to his 2007 production, maybe a tad higher with the Monster helping his batting average.

Youk – Push/Over
Youk’s increasing strikeout rate tells me two things.  First, he’s more a slave to a fluctuating BABIP, that cruised up to .359 last year.  While it’s not the first time he’s done it, the less I see a player putting balls into play, the more I expect their BABIPs to be closer to the average, regardless of high line drive rates.  I will, however, look at his increasing K rate as him striving to drive more balls out of the park, and expect his HR/FB%, which has increased 3 straight years, to continue to give him 25-30 HR power.  I’ll say this is the year Youk finally hits 30, but not much more.

Pedroia – Over/Push
After a 30 point drop in BABIP from his 2007 and 2008 line, Pedrioa only hit .297 last year.  A 10 point improvement doesn’t seem out of the picture, especially when his drop in BABIP also coincided with a drop in strikeouts.  Less strikeouts means more balls in play, which means more possible “seeing-eye singles”, at least more than you get from a strikeout, which is zero.  15 homeruns seems to be Pedroia best aiming point for homeruns, and I’ll agree with that.  I don’t think he’ll ever have the power potential Robbie Cano has, even without the rocket shoes Yankee Stadium gives left handed batters.

Varitek – Under/Under
Varitek will be lucky if he gets in 50 games.  There’s no reason to put his bat in the lineup, and if you’re giving Victor a break, one of the younger defensive minded catchers in the sox system would be a better bet.  I guess if you have you worry about drafting Varitek in your fantasy league, you’re probably Omar Minaya.  Even if Varitek plays more than he should, I’d steer clear of him anyway.  As much as I love the guy, I don’t want him anywhere near the batter’s box.

Ellsbury – Over
50+ shouldn’t be a problem for Jacoby.  He could go over 70 again if he actually batted 7th-8th, but I won’t get into my disdain for Ellsbury in the #1 spot instead of Drew.

4) The Red Sox have 3 starters that are arguably in the top 20 fantasy SPs in Beckett, Lester, and Lackey and two interesting later-round picks in Buchholz and Dice-K.  Whom of this bunch do you think will be the best and worst values based on their expected draft picks?

Lester and Dice-BB, respectively.

I’m still amazed at the lack of Cy Young support Lester got last year, all due to a fluky BABIP-induced April.  If you put his statistics up against the 2009 lines of Sabathia, Verlander, Hernandez, and Halladay, it’s difficult to tell them apart.  I even did it for you a long time ago!

Lester seems to be the last pitcher picked in the tier after Lincecum / Grienke.  I find it surprising.  I always wait on starters anyway, and in a redraft league, he’d be my first target.  His ADP is the end fo the 5th round right now, which is basically the similar production your paying for those aforementioned players 2 rounds up.  Draft your offense heavy and wait for Jon.  The value you pick up by getting that offensive player in Round 3 instead of Sabathia (Votto!) justifies this enough for me.

I really won’t say much about Dice-BB.  Until a pitcher walks less than 5 batters per nine, he belongs nowhere near anyone’s fantasy team.  You can’t predict him having an ERA anomaly again like 2008, so why waste the draft pick on it? The Casey Kelly-era can’t come soon enough in this town.

5) Jim Rice was one of the more controversial HOF nominees if you define ‘controversy’ by causing the baseball bloggerati and sabermatricians to convulse (me included).  What’s your opinion on his HOF credentials?  What do you think Theo Epstein’s would be?  And if you could swap him out for another more deserving ex-Red Sox player, whom would it be?

A disclaimer: I love Jim Rice.  He was one of my favorite players when I was a kid.  Back when you didn’t need season tickets to sniff Fenway’s gates for less than a 300% markup, my father used to sit us down on the 3rd base line so I could get a good view of him.  He’s outspoken, ballsy, and was a spectacular person, even though he was rough around the edges with the Boston media.  Then again, if I played for the Red Sox, I’d probably react to the CHB the way Rice and Carl Everett did.

As much as I love Jim Rice, I know he’s in that bottom rung of Hall of Famers.  The guys that eventually get in because they’ve been around so long, or because someone says he was a “feared” hitter enough times to make people believe it.

Personally, my Hall of Fame standards are high.  I abhor the thought of a “Hall of Very Good”, but I also understand that in practice enshrinement into the Hall is a subjective matter, and the amount of equations I throw at people won’t change a thing.  At this point, I figure it’s more important to focus on making cases for players who have been unfairly snubbed rather than unfairly enshrined.  Lame cop out? Probably, but it’s not like you can kick someone out of the Hall.  I’d rather not waste my energy complaining about them.

I think my opinion would be the same as Epstein’s.  “For everything Jim Rice did for the Red Sox, we’re happy to see him be honored as a great player in our sport.”  Then I’d cry myself to sleep in my math books, disgusted at my politically correct PR stunt.

If I could/had to swap him out, it’d be for my other favorite player in my younger years, Dwight Evans.  Overall, just as productive at the plate(127 OPS+ to Rice’s 128 OPS+), but an absolutely amazing fielder.  From what I remember, he was Rice at the plate, but played right field with as much skill and grace as JD Drew does, albeit with a much superior mustache than the one Drew sports from time to time.

(Note from Rudy:  Sorry Razzball readers that I went ‘serious’ instead of our usual facetious with the last question.  I just had to ask a Sox fan about Jim Rice’s HOF credentials.)

  1. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    Slight correction: the Red Sox had three players above **98** Runs, and three players above **93** RBI. I’m only nitpicking because I hate the Red Sox, not because I want to give you a hard time =). I love these articles.

  2. Paulie Allnuts

    Paulie Allnuts says:

    Rudy – Actually, I may be in the minority, but love it when you get serious for a moment. I rememeber the article you did on the power hitters. I spend time studying potential Famers as well. James is brilliant, but there are certain players he just can’t stand, and his emotions get in the way of his evalutions. One is Rogers Hornsby, who he hates. Another is Dick Allen. Allen should be in the Hall; Jim Rice doesn’t belong, he was a good, not great player, simple as that. I agree with your guest that Evans was better. Evans, Clemente, Colavito – three of the best arms in baseball. McGuire will get in the Hall once an unknown ‘roider gets elected, and it is later found out. He was a one-horse pony, but then again, so was Ralph Kiner. The prime candidate would be Mike Piazza. There is no way that Mike didn’t use ‘roids. However, McGuire hasn’t helped out his case lately, with inane rationalizations of his ‘roid use. You also wrote an article some time back on one of my fav candidates not in the Hall, Tim Raines. The Rock, Santo, Blylevin, Allen and Minnie Minoso, as well as the most unknown Sabermetric gem, Bobby Grich, should all be inducted. They are all better candidates then Rice or Dawson, at least IMO.

    Thanks for your great work.

    BTW I believe that Lester is underated, as well, and drafted him in most of my leagues, but missed out in the RCL. Interesting in the optimistic assessments for Big Papi. Wondering if you are in agreement.

  3. Paulie Allnuts

    Paulie Allnuts says:

    A couple of more words about Allen, as I am quite passionate about his case. I am old enough to remember him. Along with Mantle and Mays, he was the most awesome talent I ever saw. Philly fans were on his case unmercifully after the Frank Thomas fight. Thomas hit him with a bat. Thomas as a “good old boy”, disliked by many of his teammates. Before the Phillies tried to trade him, Allen actually intervened for him. Allen, like Mantle, played through a lot of pain; injuries shortened his career, but he never got any credit, but was viewed as a slacker and malcontent. But his teammates and managers had only positive things to say about him. He always helped the young guys, including Mike Schmidt when he came up. Perhaps part of it was racism, but Philly fans are brutal to everyone. The last thing – if he was such a cancer on the Phillies squad, just why did they bring him back again, in ’75?

    There, I have said my piece. Look up his stats. The man was awesome, in a comparative Dead Ball era.

  4. GopherDay says:

    Not related to this post, but does anyone have any updates on Eric Young Jr? On a steal deprived team, is he worth a pick up?

  5. GopherDay says:

    @Terrence Mann: Thanks! I just have not heard anything recently about him, so I was wondering. He looks like he could be a nice MI SAGNOF towards the middle of the year.

  6. quimmy says:

    I know CBS gets ripped alot, and rightfully so. Today there is a player update about Scott Feldman. They named him the opening day starter, and here is what CBS had to say:

    “Though he doesn’t fit the typical mixed league SP profile, you can be confident when taking him in the later rounds of a mixed league draft, especially as he is now the team’s ace.”


  7. Grey

    Grey says:

    @quimmy: And there’s why they get ripped.

  8. Finished my keeper league draft last night, curious if anyone has any thoughts on the result. Keep in mind, if some of it looks odd in the early rounds (A Gonz at #5), it’s because most of the 1st and 2nd round talent was being kept by other teams. I went the other way, throwing back my early round talent, keeping some middle and late round bargains, and trying to reload. This is for a 12 team, 5×5.

    Mármol Aid
    1. (5) Adrián González
    2. (20) Grady Sizemore
    3. (29) Jimmy Rollins
    4. (44) Curtis Granderson
    5. (53) Víctor Martínez (keeper)
    6. (68) Cole Hamels
    7. (77) Robinson Canó (keeper)
    8. (92) Ricky Nolasco
    9. (101) Andre Ethier (keeper)
    10. (116) Carlos Mármol
    11. (125) Rafael Soriano
    12. (140) Adrián Béltre
    13. (149) Carlos Quentin
    14. (164) Clayton Kershaw (keeper)
    15. (173) Leo Núñez
    16. (188) Scott Baker (keeper)
    17. (197) Octavio Dotel
    18. (212) David Price
    19. (221) Adam LaRoche
    20. (236) J.J. Hardy
    21. (245) Phil Hughes
    22. (260) Chase Headley
    23. (269) Drew Stubbs
    24. (284) Mat Latos
    25. (293) Franklin Morales

    And, reformatted into the roster:

    C Víctor Martínez
    1B Adrián González
    2B Robinson Canó
    3B Adrián Béltre
    SS Jimmy Rollins
    CI Adam LaRoche
    MI J.J. Hardy
    OF Grady Sizemore
    OF Curtis Granderson
    OF Andre Ethier
    Util Carlos Quentin
    BN Chase Headley
    BN Drew Stubbs

    SP Cole Hamels
    SP Ricky Nolasco
    RP Carlos Mármol
    RP Rafael Soriano
    P Clayton Kershaw
    P Leo Núñez
    P Octavio Dotel
    P Franklin Morales
    BN Scott Baker
    BN David Price
    BN Phil Hughes
    BN Mat Latos

    I’m concerned I might be a little short on speed — I don’t think Sizemore, Granderson, Rollins, and Beltre will do enough to keep me competitive there. I feel okay on average/runs, good on power/RBI. I may try to rotate Stubbs in as frequently as possible to tack on a few extra SB.

    I’m pretty pleased with my pitching — it was all pretty cheap, and I think I’ve got huge upside. I loaded up on the mid-tier closers, a bit more than I usually do, but that doesn’t bother me too much.

  9. GopherDay says:

    @quimmy: According to the same logic, I guess Vecente Padilla is the Dodgers new ace? Sorry Billingsley and Kershaw, talent doesn’t override anything!

  10. chet steadman says:

    I hate to keep posting off-topic, but I’ve been thinking a lot about getting the most out of my 2B slot (I have Beckham and Stewart).

    Has anyone noticed something, other than small sample size, about Ian Stewart’s splits to indicate that the 2009 “correction” was expected?

  11. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Mark Geoffriau: You look pretty short on speed, but solid on power. Your pitching’s solid, love your front three guys and like your back end guys too.

    @chet steadman: I’m not following.

  12. @Grey: EverCab made it all the way through the draft…worth grabbing him and dropping JJ Hardy or Headley?

  13. charlie batch says:

    pick one: iannetta, shoppach, olivo, yadier, posey

  14. chet steadman says:


    My bad. Before last season, Stewart hit LHP much better. In 09, he hit RHP much better. On the surface, there are no platoon splits to speak of, but I always feel like I need to examine lefties more closely.

    My gut tells me that he’ll hit RHP better this season. It also tells me that Guinness beer pong was maybe a less spectacular idea last night that I’d originally thought.

    I’m just wondering if anyone thinks he’ll have platoon splits this season.

  15. Cheese

    Cheese says:

    Any news on the Ian Desmond front?

  16. Roger Dorn's Nemesis says:

    @Grey: I’ve got my 11 team keeper league draft tomorrow and wanted to run a draft strategy by you. It’s 5×5 with standard Yahoo positions. If this is confusing it may be the Sam Adams Noble Pils talking, which I strongly recommend trying..

    The way the keeper rules are in the leauge we can’t keep anybody drafted in the first 4 rounds, then are allowed 1 keeper drafted the previous year in rounds 5-9, 1 in 10-16, and 1 in 17-22. We can keep players for another year, but they move to the top of the next bracket of rounds.. so if you drafted Youk in the 12 in ’08 he can be kept in round 12 for 2009, and could be kept in 2010 in the 9th round. We are allowed to keep one 1st year keeper & one 2nd year keeper in each bracket, so you could have a total of 6 guys as keepers. Players are then released back to the player pool if kept two years in a row. This makes the first 2 rounds of the draft more less like redraft leagues in terms of available players, but makes rounds 3-10 difficult b/c you feel like you are reaching on most picks since lots of the normal top 100 are kept. For example, based on your top 300 rankings, 16 out of the top 50 are kept later in the draft, 30 of the top 100 are gone. So in round 4 you’re looking at drafting Adam Dunn or Kendry Morales as the best available.

    So now for the strategy question.. Would you agree that it makes a lot more sense to reach for guys like Adam Jones, Ian Stewart, Beckham, Andrus, etc. extra early in rounds 5-10? The draft starts to normalize after round 10 or 11 when we get to the point where teams are skipping picks due to players kept.

    Thanks in advance for your feedback.

  17. Cheese

    Cheese says:

    @Grey: From rotoworld….

    “Playing the second of back-to-back games, Cristian Guzman went 3-for-4 with a double and a steal as a Nationals split-squad beat the Mets 7-5 in 10 innings Saturday.
    Guzman doesn’t have his arm strength back yet, but it looks like he’s going to be the Nationals’ starting shortstop, with Ian Desmond returning to Triple-A. Guzman is hitting .294 in 34 at-bats, and the team believes he’ll begin throwing better with time.”

  18. Maitland says:

    Is Adam Dunn and Dan Haren enough to get back for Ryan Zimmerman?

  19. Eddy says:

    I’d really hate to be the guy who’s flip-flopped back and forth with the whole Ian Desmond situation.

  20. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Maitland: Should be more than enough, probably too much.

  21. GopherDay says:

    @Cheese: Shoot….well maybe I can buy low with him in my keeper….Hurts me in my yearly league though.

  22. GopherDay says:

    @Grey: If Desmond does not get the starting job, would you drop him for Kelly Johnson?

    I, personally, think the Nats will give the job to Guzman just to showcase him for a trade.

  23. GopherDay says:

    @Grey: Slow day for the comment board…

    Ianetta or Clement?

  24. Grey

    Grey says:

    @GopherDay: Iannetta

    Hey, you see the new thing on the bottom of the page? You getting results when you click on the Twitter icon?

  25. Sos says:

    Frasor worth owning more than Capps or Dotel? Also, pickup Rze or Brett Myers for Morrow or Masterson? 12 team…

  26. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Sos: Nope and eh. I’d pick up The RZE or Myers for match ups, but I’d just wait until Morrow went on the DL.

  27. GopherDay says:

    @Grey: I couldn’t help but notice (I seem kind of stalkerish) in the Yahoo F&F league you dropped Iannetta for Clement, so I was just wondering.

    I’m not quite sure what you mean….I don’t see a twitter icon. I see

    “About us” “Subscribe” “Site Map”
    “Search Razzball”
    “Fantasy basebal blog at Razzball….”
    “Prosumer 1.7….”
    SportsFanLive ad…is that what your talking about?

  28. Grey

    Grey says:

    @GopherDay: Hmm… No, if you scroll up to the middle of the page, a bar on the bottom of your browser should be there. Maybe it’s just Firefox. Rudy wanted to go with Clement over Iannetta, I tried to fight him, it was a catcher, I let him go with Clement. It’s really tomato-tomahto at this point.

  29. Gareth says:

    Hi all. Just finished drafting in a 14-teamer comprised mostly of good friends that I expect will be all-time for trash talk.

    Never drafted with that many teams before… it sure gets late early. I’m gonna be scrounging for saves ALL YEAR but other than that, I kinda like it. Any thoughts? 5×5 roto.

    C. Mike Napoli
    1B. Prince Fielder
    2B. Ian Stewart
    3B. Ryan Zimmerman
    SS. Elvis Andrus
    MI. Everth Cabrera
    CI. Paul Konerko
    OF. Matt Holliday
    OF. Andre Ethier
    OF. Nelson Cruz
    OF. Julio Borbon
    UT. Colby Rasmus

    BE. Jake Fox

    P. Ricky Nolasco
    P. Ubaldo Jiminez
    P. Matt Garza
    P. Roy Oswalt
    P. Billy Wagner
    P. Jonathan Sanchez
    P. Phil Hughes
    P. Matt Lindstrom
    P. Franklin Morales

    BE. Stephen Strasburg
    BE. Fernando Rodney

    Appreciate any feedback!

  30. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Gareth: I’ll look at your team if you tell me if you see a Twitter and Facebook icon at the bottom of your browser while on Razzball.

  31. Mini Doughnuts says:

    Grey, Fowler is out on waivers. Would you drop Sheets or Hughes to pick him up?

  32. Cheese

    Cheese says:

    @Grey: How many AB do you see Clement getting this year?

  33. Mini Doughnuts says:

    Grey, that bar you’re talking about is on the bottom of the page.

  34. GopherDay says:

    @Grey: I see an ad for some fantasy basketball thing right below the article, but nothing with twitter. I’m using Google Chrome, so it may just be for FireFox.

    I hear ya, I dropped some random middle reliever I had for Schoppak in my Dynasty league just for insurance. We have a really deep bench, with almost nothing on waivers….

  35. GopherDay says:

    @Mini Doughnuts: I would drop Sheets for him if I were you.

  36. Mini Doughnuts says:

    @GopherDay: I’m also using Chrome but do see the “Share Page/Twitter/Facebook/etc.” bar that scrolls with the page. I think Chrome just updated on my system so that might be the issue.

  37. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Gareth: I really like your pitching staff, except of course for the fact you didn’t draft saves. You will be scrounging, but you should find some somewhere. I think your team’s hitting might hurt a bit on average. But other than that, I like your speed and power. Overall, solid team.

    @Mini Doughnuts: I’d lose Sheets for him if you have excess pitchers.

    @Mini Doughnuts: Thank you!

    @Cheese: 450

    @GopherDay: Might be your browser, it’s cool.

    EDIT: Word. It’s not fake.

  38. Gareth says:

    @Grey: It’s a deal. I do see it, using Google Chrome.

  39. GopherDay says:

    @Mini Doughnuts: @Grey: Yeah, I don’t see anything…This computer does have anti-viral stuff on it, so it may be that.

  40. Mini Doughnuts says:

    @Grey: I’d be running with 2 fairly well ranked SPs until week 3 when a spot will open up on my roster and I’d be able to pick up another SP. Enough excess pitchers for a weekly league?

  41. Grey

    Grey says:

    @GopherDay: It’s cool, thanks for looking.

  42. Gareth says:

    @Grey: Thanks for the feedback as always.

  43. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Mini Doughnuts: I don’t think you can have enough pitchers in a weekly league. You definitely have no use for a bench hitter in a weekly league.

  44. Cheese

    Cheese says:

    @Grey: You said this last year about glaus… “Troy Glaus – To the Braves. Glaus will play 1st base in 2010. 30 homers and a .270 average aren’t out of the realm of possibility for Glaus, but health is always the issue. Maybe him and Chipper can go halfsies on some ginkgo biloba.”

    Whats a reasonable projection for him (including GP)

  45. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Cheese: Honestly, there’s no crystal ball that’s going to tell you if a guy that’s never healthy is going to stay healthy. If Glaus stays healthy, those numbers are right there with what he can do. No health? He’s waiver wire fodder.

  46. Gareth says:

    So I’m a Mets fan, right.

    Girlfriend: How did your draft go?

    Me: Pretty good I think. I didn’t get any Mets players.

    Girlfriend: You might win then.

  47. Mini Doughnuts says:

    Grey, what about Aardsma inclines you to rank him so high? You’re about the only fantasy baseballer with a website that seems to rank him that high at closer. Thanks!

  48. Mini Doughnuts says:

    Also, if you were looking to move Damon for a pitcher from what tier would you be targeting guys?

  49. BedRock says:

    @Grey: Finish the pairing… Adrian Gonzalez and _____________ (Kinsler, Tulo, Holliday, J Upton, Sizemore)

    In order of preference, thanks! (This league doesn’t value steals much, power/OBP is where its at!)

  50. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Gareth: Ha!

    @Mini Doughnuts: Good team for saves, good K-rate, good defense, good park…

    @Mini Doughnuts: Slowey, Price… Around there.

    @BedRock: Hey, fantasy baseball Mad Libs! Holliday, Tulo, Sizemore, J-Upside…

  51. GopherDay says:

    @Grey: Would you trade Vlad (14th round keeper next year) for Beltran (13th round keeper next year)? If I were to need to include a lower tier pitcher to get Beltran, which one of these would you choose to include in the deal?

    Bucholz (24 round)
    E. Santana (24 round)
    Slowey (24 round)

    Or is it not worth it to have Beltran, a stud when healthy, for the next few years at such a low price for the low priced pitchers? The guy is starting Freakin Fernando Martinez at Util….

  52. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    Macintosh user here. The toolbar you’re asking about shows up just fine on the latest versions of these browsers, FYI:

    Chrome (developer build)

  53. Grey

    Grey says:

    @GopherDay: I would make the Vlad trade if you had someone until May to cover for Beltran. I’d include Buchholz.

    @Awesomus Maximus: Cool, thanks for checking!

    So what do people think of it? Yay, nay, indifferent?

  54. BedRock says:

    You talk poorly about Scherzer, but I can tell you want to like him. If it’s pick 200, and he’s lying around, would you grab him as your 5th starter?

  55. GopherDay says:

    @Grey: Would you rank Sean Rodriguez ahead of Johnson? Keeper league, both would cost a last round selection if kept.

  56. GopherDay says:

    @BedRock: I’m tentative about Scherzer, personally. He’s got a lot of talent, great K potential, but the move to the AL scares me…I liked it better when he was in the NL pitching against the Padres.

  57. Kazmere says:

    5×5 roto, who would you use as your primary backstop– Posada or Iannetta? You ranked Posada higher, but on the “tiers” spreadsheet I see Iannetta as the preferred? Can you elaborate? Thanks!

  58. Kazmere says:

    And your Twitter/Fan Page thingy looks awesome. On the latest Firefox browser.

  59. Grey

    Grey says:

    @BedRock: Innings jump and move to the AL aren’t great.

    @GopherDay: Sure, for now. But if Sean_rod doesn’t have a job, he’s not worth much.

    @Kazmere: Cool, glad you like it. Posada’s over Iannetta. Iannetta’s better if he has the full-time job, which he doesn’t right now.

  60. Kazmere says:

    Seems like a slow night on the boards. Mind taking a look-see at my team? 5×5 roto, std categories.

    Jose Lopez
    Justin Upton
    Morneau (Util)


    Frank Francisco
    Mike Gonzalez

    Not sure about Oswalt/Peavy. Big question marks right now. Wait and see.
    I felt like I should grab Quentin in Round 18, rather than another closer. Then stressed over SBs and picked up Fowler. Iannetta was a reach/after thought, but now that the dust settled I find Dotel, Capps, Lidge, Madson floating on the wire.
    Would you drop any of my bench players before the season starts for any of those RF trading chips?

    Thanks, Gray. Your advice is gold.

  61. matthole says:

    @Grey: Whats the deal with the stuff on the bottom of the page? Twitter accounts of other commenters or ” ‘perts”?

    sidenote: UFC 111 sucked ass and was the most boring shizz i ever sat thru

  62. Bring Back Pluto says:

    In what year will Ian Desmond be more valuable than Jimmy Rollins?

    2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, or never?

  63. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    @Kazmere: How many teams? Is there a low innings limit on pitching? Only 5 SPs seems pretty low.

  64. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    @Grey: I’m indifferent to the toolbar. I barely use Twitter or Facebook and never chat with anyone, so… That said, I could see people who use those services getting some use out of it. And it’s fairly unobtrusive, so that’s nice for those of us who won’t use it.

  65. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    This just in:

    Ian Desmond has been officially named Washington’s opening day shortstop, according to Bill Ladson of MLB.com.

  66. mrbaseball says:

    hey grey can you put these 5 pitchers in order that you like – yea times are tough

    Tim Stauffer

    Nick Blackburn

    Ross Ohlendorf

    Fausto Carmona

    Chris Tillman

  67. mrbaseball says:

    Ian Desmond has been officially named Washington’s opening day shortstop, according to Bill Ladson of MLB.com. – they must have gotten up like 6am to make their decision

  68. mrbaseball says:

    C.J. Wilson allowed two runs over six innings and struck out eight –
    look at those strike outs

  69. Frogurt says:

    @Awesomus Maximus: 11 teams, 1250 innings. Got a couple extra closets for trade bait. Lots of decent starting pitching still available, so not worried about adding later.

  70. Rico says:

    Speaking of Tillman, I have Masterson and Kennedy for SP fliers. FA has Chapman, Morrow, Tillman, Bailey, Richard, Norris, and Gio. As of now, do I have the best two and if not, how do we rank them?

  71. mrbaseball says:

    Tea for Tillman is the 5th starter – not sure how much they will need him as a 5th starter early –

  72. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Rico: I’d lose Masterson for Chapman.

  73. Bob says:

    Tweaking fifth OF/DH – Austin Jackson (just named starter) Corey Hart, Dexter Fowler, or Travis Snyder. Last guy gets waived, second to last sits on the bench.

    Last starting pitcher – Kevin Correira, Joe Blanton, Ervin Santana, Ryan Rowland-Smith or Bronson Arroyo? Would appreciate a ranking. Thanks.

  74. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Bob: Hart, Fowler, Snider… Ervin, Correia, punt…

  75. Eddy says:

    Sweet tool bar Grey. I use Twitter and Facebook quite frequently, so it’s good stuff. Unfortunately, I’m going to have to do one of those “admiration from afar” things with the facebook page. I became a fan for a split second then undid it because I remembered my leaguemates are on facebook too! I can’t risk that!

  76. charlie batch says:

    evaluate this trade: peavy/vmart vs rios/berkman/s.baker

  77. charlie batch says:

    @charlie batch: thats vmart as a catcher, not as a 1b

  78. Dumbmutt says:

    I am in a 20 team elimination Roto with the Games played stat. I have Montero but do I pick up another C to max the 162 games played? I have room since I dropped Desmond Jennings.

  79. royce! says:

    RE: the new tech- I like the twitter button but don’t know what the others do. They are unobtrusive so I say keep em around.

    And one long fantasy Q:

    I have a Yahoo weekly h2h draft today in which we will be counting 5×5 plus OBP, XBH (and holds and K/BB for pitchers). I checked the projected rankings for players using these stats and discovered that no SAGNOF speed guys (ie, guys that steal bases but don’t hit for power) are ranked anywhere near their default Yahoo rankings or your rankings. For example, Reyes is ranked over 100.

    I’m not going to draft any speed early on anyway, but if it seems that the other owners are not aware of the downward adjustment to SB only players (by, for example, Crawford and Ellsbury getting drafted before the 4th round), should I just punt SB? It seems that doing so would allow me to focus on dominating all the other offensive categories, and I could also grab a top SP, which I would usually decline due to it being a weekly h2h.

  80. charlie batch says:

    I dont know what was just done, but I see a share page – twitter – facebook fan page bar at the bottem of this page now.

  81. Dumbmutt says:

    Firefox NoScript Blocker allow Meebo.com shows bottom bar.

  82. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Eddy: Ha!

    @charlie batch: Looks fair, Peavy side by a hair.

    @Dumbmutt: No idea who else you’re picking up or which catcher.

    @royce!: re: tool bar — Cool. I wouldn’t punt anything, but I could see going light on steals. Grab an Everth type late or Alcides.

  83. Eddy says:

    So I’m drafting 12th on Yahoo and I doubt a 1B falls to me to take with Wright.

    Do i go Wright/Tulo, Wright/A-Gon, Wright/Holliday, Wright/Votto?

  84. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Eddy: Any of those look fine. Wright and Holliday works for me.

  85. Mini Doughnuts says:

    Keeper league that plays standard categories plus OPS. Which side of a Sizemore for Kinsler swap do you like?

  86. Grey

    Grey says:


  87. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    @Kazmere: As Grey suggested, dropping Ianetta for Dotel would be a smart move. Even if you don’t need the saves, the extra saves should be good trade bait. I’d think that you should have room for another SP with a 1250 innings cap. I wouldn’t drop Quentin or Fowler, but I might see what type of SP I could get for one of your OFs in a trade. That’s my personal preference, to have as many decent or better SPs as the innings cap will allow rather than carrying bench bats.

  88. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    @Grey: Ugh… I own Rauch in three leagues where I actually need some saves from him. I’d still expect him to get the majority of the opportunities (until he gets lit up), you agree?

    Regarding Ian Desmond… Grey, do your projections assume he plays the whole season? I’m desperately searching for a reason to drop Yunel in the one league where I’ve got him, and Desmond seems like he might be that reason.

  89. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Awesomus Maximus: Rauch — I agree. Yunel — Much safer, but Desmond has better upside. Desmond’s projections assume a full season.

  90. Mini Doughnuts says:

    @Mini Doughnuts: @Grey: Still worth doing w/ Figgins (eventually) rostered at 2b and Weeks at MI (who I’d hold until Figgins get eligibility)? Granderson, Bay, Hunter, and Damon would be left to man the OF post trade. Thanks!

  91. Nick0rz says:

    How worried do you think I should be about Oswalt right now? Flying back to Houston to be examined seems pretty serious.

  92. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Mini Doughnuts: Doesn’t sound like it’s worth doing.

    @Nick0rz: He hasn’t been durable and he’s getting older, it’s not great.

  93. royce! says:

    @Grey: Good call on a late SAGNOF MI. That makes perfect sense because unless I get one of the top tier SS, I won’t be sacrificing potential power out of that spot. Thanks.

  94. Juice says:

    Theriot, Desmond, or Escobar? OBP league and we use net stolen bases. I have Theriot now mostly because he won’t kill my obp but am considering dropping him for Desmond.

  95. charlie batch says:

    chone figgins or beckham at 2b after 10 games?

  96. struggler says:

    oh – whoops just read comment #73 :)

  97. MarkM says:

    I have Uggla and Reyes in a H2H league with EvCab as my lone offensive bench player. Do you like Desmond better, given his dual eligibility and the potential for more power and average than EvCab now that Desmond is starting?

  98. Tom says:

    Hey Grey / Everyone

    Since opening day is a week away i wanted to get your your thoughts and suggestions for my opening line up

    5 sp’s – 2 rp’s – Each Base and 1 DH spot.

    This is where im at now.

    -Active Batters-
    Napoli, Mike C ANA
    Cabrera, Miguel 1B DET
    Roberts, Brian 2B BAL
    Wright, David 3B NYM
    Andrus, Elvis SS TEX
    Holliday, Matt LF STL
    Hunter, Torii CF ANA
    Jones, Adam CF BAL
    Butler, Billy 1B KC

    -Active Pitchers-
    Cueto, Johnny SP CIN
    Hamels, Cole SP PHI
    Lowe, Derek SP ATL
    Oswalt, Roy SP HOU
    Shields, James SP TB
    Gonzalez, Mike RP BAL
    Valverde, Jose RP DET

    -Reserve Batters-
    Carter, Chris C. 1B OAK
    Izturis, Maicer 2B ANA
    Sizemore, Scott 2B DET
    Reyes, Jose B. SS NYM
    Fox, Jake 3B OAK
    Heyward, Jason RF ATL
    Guerrero, Vladimir DH TEX
    Snider, Travis LF TOR

    -Reserve Pitchers-
    Correia, Kevin SP SD
    Lee, Cliff SP SEA
    Wang, Chien-Ming SP WAS
    Capps, Matt RP WAS
    Feliz, Neftali RP TEX

  99. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    @struggler: What… comment #71 wasn’t good enough for you!? =P

  100. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    “Ricky Nolasco utterly dominated the Astros on Sunday, allowing just one hit in seven innings of work. He walked none while striking out two.”

    I know, I know… spring stats don’t mean jack. But not issuing a single walk in 25 innings has got to make Nolasco owners pretty excited. I own him in 7/9 leagues and I can’t help but allow this one spring stat to mean something to me.

  101. Anonymous says:

    Need some trade advice, Grey and others. 10 team H2H 6 player keeper, OPS and Holds. Team is:
    C. Soto
    1B. Miggy
    2B. Zobrist
    SS. Hanley
    3B. Kouzmanoff
    OF. Granderson, Lind, Bourn
    UTIL. Kubel and Morgan

    Bench. Reimold, Adam LaRoche and Blanks

    SP. Halladay, Wainwright, Nolasco, Vazquez, Garza and Latos
    RP. Rivera, Soria, K-Rod, Chris Perez and Bard.

    someone offered Mauer for Miggy, which I wouldn’t do on its own, but apparently everyone loves Mauer, so I can go one of three options.
    1)flip Mauer and Cantu (I’d be acquiring Canut in the first trade so the other guy can use him to replace Wright) for Wright and drop Kouzmanoff for BPA
    2)flip Mauer and Nolasco for A-Rod and Edwin Jackson
    3)Continue to roll would Kouzmanoff at 3B (Preferably not this option)

  102. Roger Dorn's Nemesis says:

    @Grey: My keeper draft is in an hour at the baseball tavern by Fenway.. Thanks for all the info leading up to it. A post draft contribution is in order. Many thanks.

  103. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    @Anonymous: Clear up a few things for me, por favor:

    1.) Is the initial trade offer Mauer and Cantu for Miggy?
    2.) Is either “flip” trade already agreed upon?
    3.) If “no” on #2 and neither “flip” trade is accepted, won’t you be getting the shaft overall?

    I understand wanting to upgrade from Kouz, but I don’t think this is the right way to go about it (unless you already have a firm agreement on one of those “flip” trades… then it’s a different story).

  104. Anonymous says:

    Awesomus Maximus: 1)The initial offer is Mauer for Miggy, but I can get Cantu thrown in if I’m doing the Wright deal, but I’d be flipping Cantu anyway
    2)Both are already verbally agreed upon.

  105. Cashmoney says:


    I need some insurance for Kinsler opening week, would you go Sizemore or Weeks?

  106. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    @Anonymous: Hmm… okay, that changes things a bit. I’m just going to assume that you’re confident in the verbal agreement(s), and those offers being accepted if/when they’re made (the second trade could get vetoed if it’s a league vote, though… might be something to consider).

    Flip #1 – You’re looking at more Runs, less HRs, same RBI and more SBs

    Flip #2 – You’re looking at more Runs, virtually the same in HR and RBI, and more SBs. Plus you’re downgrading quite a bit at SP.

    I don’t follow OPS closely enough to give you a read on that category, sorry. Based on the other categories, though, I hate #2 and dislike #1. You’re just getting more Runs and SBs, which I’d imagine will both be available on the FA list in a 10-Team league if/when you need them for a matchup.

  107. Mickey says:

    Take a shot with A. Chapman or E. Santana for my 5th starter?

  108. Grey

    Grey says:

    @MarkM: Desmond

    @Tom: I really don’t know any match-ups at this point. I suppose the hitters look fine, guess you’re going to trade Reyes if he’s back sooner vs. later. Starters, maybe Correia for Oswalt if the latter is hurt badly. Not sure yet. I know there’s not much to do right now with fantasy after you’ve drafted, but there’s really nothing you can do right now with lineups.

    @Awesomus Maximus: Nolasco could go a month without walking someone.

    @Roger Dorn’s Nemesis: Cool, good luck.

    @SamYo: Bradley

    @Martin: Hehe

    @Cashmoney: Weeks I guess, no idea of match-ups.

    @Mickey: Ervin, in a vacuum.

  109. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    @Anonymous: Sorry, slight correction, in #1 you’ll actually end up with less RBI, not the same.

    Just curious… how did you end up with The Kouz (<– sounds like a VD) in a 10-Teamer where there's no CI slot? Seems like there should be someone else available. If owners are hoarding 3B on their benches, perhaps you can get one for an SP, since you're pretty stacked there.

  110. Anonymous says:

    Grey, does the lack of response from you indicate that you pretty much agree with Awesomus Maximus?

  111. Anonymous says:

    @Awesomus Maximus: Well, it was a keeper where A-Rod, Longo, Wright, Zimmerman, Sandoval, A-Ram, Reynolds and Beckham were all kept. I was a round too late on Stewart, Beltre, Cantu and Chipper and it got to a point where I went “Screw it, I’ll find someone from the bottom. They’re all suck relatively the same”

  112. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Anonymous: I agree, and what are you doing with Kouz in a 10 team league?

  113. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    @Grey: Heh… this is true. I guess I’m just looking at his “no free passes” spring as a reinforcement of that fact.

  114. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    @Anonymous: Well, like I wrote earlier, if there’s nothing better than Kouz on the FA list, it’s probably worth dipping into your deep SP pool to throw around some trade offers.

  115. Jesse says:

    In a points league, I have Kurt Suzuki at C, and I’ve been offered Wieters for Max Scherzer. Scherzer’s my #3 pitcher (C. Lee, R. Nolasco, de la Rosa, W. Davis, J.O. Sanchez, Dice-K, and M. Latos are my other pitchers, but there are others available).

    Do I take Wieters, or hold onto Scherzer?

  116. Eddy says:

    Grey, just finished one of my 12 team H2H drafts. I drafted Alcides as my only bench hitter b/c i have Stephen Drew as my SS, and mainly for steals.

    Fowler and EverCab are available. Do i pick up either?

  117. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Jesse: I’d want Wieters.

    @Eddy: Doesn’t sound like you have room or need.

  118. Eddy says:

    and Desmond too

  119. Eddy says:

    Matt Wieters
    (Bal – C)

    Miguel Cabrera
    (Det – 1B)

    Ian Stewart
    (Col – 2B,3B)

    David Wright
    (NYM – 3B)

    Stephen Drew
    (Ari – SS)

    Jayson Werth
    (Phi – OF)

    Curtis Granderson
    (NYY – OF)

    Adam Jones
    (Bal – OF)

    Jay Bruce……Util
    (Cin – OF)

    Carlos Quentin…….Util
    (CWS – OF)

    Alcides Escobar………..bench
    (Mil – SS)

    Jon Lester
    (Bos – SP)

    Clayton Kershaw
    (LAD – SP)

    Cole Hamels
    (Phi – SP)

    Jonathan Sánchez
    (SF – SP)

    David Aardsma
    (Sea – RP)

    Mike González
    (Bal – RP)

    Octavio Dotel
    (Pit – RP)

    Bobby Jenks
    (CWS – RP)

    Matt Lindstrom
    (Hou – RP)

    Ervin Santana
    (LAA – SP)

    Clay Buchholz
    (Bos – SP)

    Brad Penny
    (StL – SP)

    The dude who has Hudson is a streamer, so I’m sure he’ll drop him who I’ll exchange for Penny.


  120. Matthole says:

    @Grey: Twins closer by committee=pickup of guerrier, if you don’t have rauch already, or F it altogether till someone stands out?

    Also, Tony Gwynn jr a potential sagnof and gomes finally emerges as HR sleeper?? Thx

  121. Eddy says:

    Ugh, sorry, forgot to take out the spaces in between

  122. Eddy says:

    Marlins on the mound: Nearly perfect is the best way to describe Nolasco this spring. The righty was perfect through 5 1/3 innings, retiring the first 16 batters he faced. In 7 1/3 shutout innings, the right-hander allowed one hit and one walk. The lone walk was issued to the last batter Nolasco faced, Chris Johnson. The count was full. In 25 1/3 Grapefruit League innings, Nolasco has 23 strikeouts and one walk. Of his 95 pitches, 69 were strikes. In retiring the first 15 batters he faced, Nolasco compiled 64 pitches with 48 strikes.

    The ONLY reason I didn’t have him on my squad was because the guy before me drafting wasn’t there and he happened to be the highest ranked player. TERRIBLE

  123. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Eddy: Still doesn’t look like you have room or need, unless you want to lose Penny but it’s not like you need an extra bench hitter.

    @Matthole: I’d own Guerrier, and do in one league. Gwynn could get some cheap steals.

    @Eddy: I hate when that happens.

  124. Richard says:

    Not trying to spam fellas so I won’t paste the link but I found a really interesting fantasy baseball site that is new to at least me, perhaps not all of you… hotboxsports.com

    anywho enjoy the next few days of anticipation and drafting!

  125. Eddy says:

    yea, I’ll stick with Alcides for now. Any quick thoughts on my squad(above)?

  126. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Eddy: No idea how many teams.

  127. Eddy says:

    12 team H2H BB and QS as extra categories

  128. Bill Lumbergh says:

    Grey & All-
    Just had a draft in 12 team standard roto 5X5 league. Drafting from the #2 slot, this is how my draft went. I kinda choked at the end, but plan to drop Shoppach and Peralta for some youngsters with upside (i.e. Ian D.!!!). Thoughts on this team?

    Round: 1 – Hanley Ramirez SS
    Round: 2 – Zack Greinke SP
    Round: 3 – Joey Votto 1B
    Round: 4 – Curtis Granderson CF
    Round: 5 – Justin Morneau 1B
    Round: 6 – Jose Reyes SS
    Round: 7 – Ricky Nolasco SP
    Round: 8 – Cole Hamels SP
    Round: 9 – Carlos Pena 1B
    Round: 10 – Carlos Gonzalez LF
    Round: 11 – Ian Stewart 2B
    Round: 12 – Miguel Montero C
    Round: 13 – Kevin Slowey SP
    Round: 14 – Francisco Liriano SP
    Round: 15 – Frank Francisco RP
    Round: 16 – Garrett Jones 1B
    Round: 17 – Leo Nunez RP
    Round: 18 – Ervin Santana SP
    Round: 19 – Johnny Cueto SP
    Round: 20 – Colby Rasmus CF
    Round: 21 – Conor Jackson LF
    Round: 22 – Brandon Wood 3B
    Round: 23 – Derek Lowe SP
    Round: 24 – Drew Stubbs CF
    Round: 25 – Shaun Marcum SP
    Round: 26 – Jhonny Peralta SS
    Round: 27 – Kelly Shoppach C
    Round: 28 – Felipe Lopez 2B

    Here is how the roster shakes out:

    C Miguel Montero, Ari
    1B Joey Votto, Cin
    2B Felipe Lopez, StL
    3B Ian Stewart, Col
    SS Hanley Ramirez, Fla
    2B/SS Jose Reyes, NYM SS
    1B/3B Justin Morneau, Min 1B
    OF Curtis Granderson, NYY
    OF Carlos Gonzalez, Col
    OF Garrett Jones, Pit
    OF Colby Rasmus, StL
    UTIL Carlos Pena, TB
    UTIL Conor Jackson, Ari
    Bench Brandon Wood, LAA
    Bench Drew Stubbs, Cin
    Bench Jhonny Peralta, Cle
    Bench Kelly Shoppach, TB
    P Zack Greinke, KC SP
    P Ricky Nolasco, Fla SP
    P Cole Hamels, Phi SP
    P Kevin Slowey, Min SP
    P Francisco Liriano, Min SP
    P Ervin Santana, LAA SP
    P Johnny Cueto, Cin SP
    P Derek Lowe, Atl SP
    P Frank Francisco, Tex RP
    P Leo Nunez, Fla RP
    Bench Shaun Marcum, Tor SP


  129. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Eddy: Real nice pitching staff, love the first three and have some love to give to Ervin if he can bounce back. Don’t know if all of your hitters are terrific with an added BBs category, but they are balanced — good speed/power. It’s a solid team.

  130. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Bill Lumbergh: Really nice hitting. Might struggle a bit on average and Runs, but nothing terrible. Don’t think your bench hitters do much for you. Not crazy about Lowe, but your pitching is obviously very strong. Nice team overall.

  131. Steve says:

    Just another vote for the Meebo toolbar. Looks nice, works well.

    Elsewhere, Latos misses a start due to elbow soreness…

  132. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Steve: Cool, re: toolbar. re: Latos — Thanks for the heads up!

  133. Steve says:

    @Grey: Any potential injury issue aside, are Latos and Kennedy six-of-one and half-a-dozen of the other, or you like Latos better?

  134. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Steve: Yeah, same diff.

  135. GopherDay says:

    @Grey: Montero, Soto, Posada….in that order?

  136. @Paulie Allnuts: i don’t want david ortiz on any team this year. with DH-only eligibility, i don’t think he’s ownable in any league except AL-only and maybe 16+ team mixed leagues.

  137. mrbaseball says:


    Got into 16 team auction draft at last minute does anyone here know where I can find prices of what I should spend on each player thanks

  138. Steve says:

    @Paulie Allnuts: @Rudy Gamble: Crappi Papi.

    Guy in my 14-team H2H league took him at 113 yesterday. Think he has owned him almost every year.

    Rudy – just wanted to take the opportunity to big-up your work on Point Shares. They were a BIG help (along with Lou’s war room) in my 10-team keeper auction yesterday.

  139. royce! says:

    Another q about this league in which we are counting normal stats plus OBP, XBH, K/BB and holds. I just noticed that the pitching slots are 2 SP, 4 RP, and 3 P spots. There are also 5 bench spots. I’m trying to figure out how I should alter my draft strategy for pitchers considering the 4 RP slots. Should I move closers up in my rankings? Try to grab a couple RP qualified SP? Hughes/Happ/Richard/Masterson in the last few rounds?

  140. @Paulie Allnuts: i don’t want david ortiz on any team this year. with DH-only eligibility, i don’t think he’s ownable in any league except AL-only and maybe 16+ team mixed leagues.

    @GopherDay: yeah, i was the one pushing for clement. i don’t like ianetta having to share time with olivo. plus, everything equal, i like C-eligible players who don’t have to play catcher – like Inge and Sandoval last year in Yahoo-leagues.

  141. Steve says:

    @mrbaseball: Hover over the ‘2010 Rankings’ link at the top of the page and then click on the 16-team point Shares link in the drop-down.

  142. BigFatHippo says:

    @Steve: How do you like your team?

    Overall mine looks good but don’t know if I can finish middle of the pack in saves with only 2 closers.

  143. Steve says:

    @BigFatHippo: I’m pretty pleased. Like I said at the time, getting Dunn (and for that price) was a big key for me as he was really the only genuine power guy I thought I’d have a legitimate shot at. Although I’m possible still a little light on power. That said, Pence (who was really an afterthought) could help out there.

    Also really like my pitching. Might have 3-4 aces there. Spent too much on Nunez, but by that stage just had to do whatever it took. Can’t believe I had that much money left over.

  144. GopherDay says:

    @Rudy Gamble: Looks like Clement is going to be sharing time also. The reason I was interested was because I’m in nearly the same predicament in one of my leagues.

  145. Paulie Allnuts

    Paulie Allnuts says:

    @Rudy Gamble: Rudy – the Craig Wright piece, though long, was excellent. Anyone who lived through the era that Allen played would have the perception that he was Albert Belle. All of the journalists of that period, at least in my memory, portrayed him as such. I think that James was just a bit lazy in his research. Some quotes from his teammates, not in the article:

    “The baseball writers used to claim that Dick would divide the clubhouse along racial lines. That was a lie. The truth is that Dick never divided any clubhouse.” – Mike Schmidt, “Clearing the Bases”

    “I actually thought that Dick was better than his stats. Every time we needed a clutch hit, he got it. He got along great with his teammates and he was very knowledgeable about the game. He was the ultimate team guy.” – Stan Bahnson

    Goose Gossage Gossage talked about how Dick Allen had worked with him to learn more about the league’s hitters, to help make him a more effective pitcher.

    There are many teammates who say the same thing, as well as managers. Allen followed the beat of a different drummer. He broke team rules, but he was certainly never a cancer to his team. I don’t think that you would get former teammates of Albert Belle to utter such accolades.

    Hopefully, there are enough Razzballers who appreciate your work outside of fantasy so that you can continue doing it, even if it is on an occasional basis. We all are fantasy addicts, but I love the history of the game, as well as the game itself. You are awesome, IMO.

  146. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    @Steve: Yeah, I read somewhere that Latos is saying his elbow is sore because he slept on it funny. Almost as good as D-Lee getting hurt while eating a sandwich.

  147. BigFatHippo says:

    @Steve: Post our teams in the forum and see what our guru says…………

    BTW, had to make Kelly’s last 5 picks for him. He got up this morning and said, “hey, that’s not my writing………”


  148. Steve says:

    @BigFatHippo: Mine’s there already. Do you have a list of yours with prices? If you send it to me, I’ll post it.

    What happened with Kelly and Nolasco/Bruce? Late change of mind?

  149. Grey

    Grey says:

    @royce!: Yeah, grab a SP with RP eligibility. The order you have them moving Happ to the end.

  150. Paulie Allnuts

    Paulie Allnuts says:

    @Rudy Gamble: One more comment. I read in one of the articles that you referenced that James’ ratings were partially based on the subjective factor of leadership/being a positive personality, or what you could call the Jeter factor. Somewhere I read that James called Allen the second most disruptive player in the history of the game. I don’t know whom he considered the most disruptive. Cobb’s teammates cheered when he lost the Chalmer’s trophy (MVP back in the old days.) Owner Bill Veeck was given a gold watch, I believe by his players when he fired player/manager Rogers Hornsby. Then, of course, there is Hal Chance, who set the all-time record for throwing games. That statement might be the most ridiculous thing that James has ever thought or said. And mind you, I love his work. But even Aristotle was an idiot sometimes, I guess.

  151. BaboonHeart says:

    Sup sup
    Just finished drafting in my 6X6 (standard plus OBP and QS) 12 team H2H keeper league. It’s a local league with a bunch of friends and live draft. Coming off a title, looking to repeat…

    Players are kept for where they were drafted last season – or they’re ranking in the case of Pujols, who I’ve had for 3 years now. A lot of things are skewed due to keepers and picks being traded – I didn’t have a pick from round 10 – 15

    C Weiters (10 Keeper)
    1B Pujols (1 Keeper)
    2B Hill (21 Keeper)
    SS Jeter (2)
    3B Sandoval (11 Keeper)
    CI Swisher (19)
    MI E. Cabrera (18)
    OF Cruz (3)
    OF Quentin (7)
    OF Fowler (17)
    OF Blanks (19)
    UTL Willingham (22)

    SP Wainwright (9 Keeper)
    SP Hamels (5)
    SP Floyd (8)
    SP Zambrano (10)
    SP Slowey (15)

    RP Fuentes (16)
    RP Rauch (20)
    RP Madsen (21)

    BN Desmond (20)
    BN Stubbs (20)
    BN Latos (22)
    BN Arroyo (23)
    BN Saito (25) – dropped for Guerrier

    Pretty happy with my team. Hopefully Cabrera and/or Desmond will work out. Like my upside OF kids too. Can’t believe Slowey fell so far!

  152. BigFatHippo says:

    @Steve: @Grey:

    Mine’s posted with yours, lets see what Sensai has to say………….

    I’m sure I’ll get ripped.

  153. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    See, this is why I dislike and avoid Twitter. John Heyman posts:

    “mets seem to be hoping jose reyes can be back for week two of season”

    And I’m going, “Based on what? Your gut? Did you speak with someone? Minaya? Reyes? Is he going to start the year on the DL or not?” Considering the latest reports were suggesting he may be ready to start the season, coming out with a statement about him being back for week 2 deserves some more detail. Guess he just couldn’t fit any newsworthy details into his 140 character limit.

  154. Grey

    Grey says:

    @BaboonHeart: Considering you have QS as a category, I think your pitching is a little weak. Not terrible, because I do like Floyd, but Zambrano’s been wearing down in the last two years. Arroyo is not good. The hitting looks strong for OBP, power and speed. Even Willingham’s not bad on OBP. So well done there.

    @Awesomus Maximus: Yeah, not a big fan of Twitter either.

  155. Bob says:

    Do you still have confidence in Clay Buchholz? I now read that he has been instructed to not throw over to first base without permission because apparently he loses his concentration when he does. Once something like that happens to a pitcher, it can often mean a Rick Ankiel-like implosion. Any thoughts about his continuing viability as a mixed-leaguer? I just don’t want to get Wanged again this year.

  156. Eddy says:

    Grey, which of these would you prefer in a WEEKLY H2H.

    Ervin Santana, Tim Hudson, or Slowey.

    I own all of them, but I’m limiting myself to 4 SP and 3 RP. I already have Hamels, Ubaldo, and Jered Weaver as my other 3 SP.

  157. I drink your milkshake. says:

    @Grey: Grey, where does Figgins rank amongst 2b?

  158. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    Grey, way back in February, regarding Clement, you wrote, “I’d conservatively put his 2010 projections at 55/15/65/.255.” And that’s me quoting you to you! Just wondering if that conservative projection a.) still stands and b.) was based on 450 ABs (as you mentioned you see him getting earlier in these comments).

  159. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Bob: I feel no differently about him, it’s spring training, maybe he’s working on something.

    @Eddy: Slowey

    @I drink your milkshake.: Top 5

    @Awesomus Maximus: No, that’s for 400 ABs. I’m not ready to say he’s getting 450 yet since he’s never come near that many ABs before.

  160. Corey says:

    Reynolds/Pedro Alvarez/John Lannan/ Dicek for Howard/Sheets

    Keeper league. THoughts?

  161. Corey says:

    also add Coglin on the Howard side

  162. BaboonHeart says:

    @Grey: Thanks. I was taken by surprise at how fast SPs were going and caught a little off guard. Had I known starters would go so fast, I’d have drafted Beckett instead of Cruz… Probably should have drafted Shields over Z, but he has his own match-up headaches (I had him last 2 years).

    Whaddya think Correia > Arroyo?

  163. Adam says:

    @Corey: How many players do you keep? Unless its 10+, I’d take the best player in the deal (Howard)

  164. Corey says:

    I probably should have provided the specifics, but it’s increasing in number. This year will be ten, then it will go up to 12 and head back down again.

  165. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    I appreciate the clarification/update. I have three catcher-hoarders in one of my leagues… yeah, that’s right, three owners with 2 catchers each in a 10-Team league! I’m in bad shape in the C-slot right now, but I’m not giving up squat for anyone’s second catcher. I’m going to wait them out… I know one of them will crack and drop a catcher eventually. So I’m just looking for a stopgap until that happens. I’m thinking Clement might just be the cure for what ails me. Not having to kneel behind the plate every inning has got to be a good thing for a guy who had knee surgery not too long ago.

  166. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    And who knows… by the time Clement runs out of juice, Posey might be ready to take over for Molina and I’ll just move on to him.

  167. Bob says:

    @Grey: Thanks. Normally I agree with you, but they have been making a really big deal about the difficulty he has when a runner gets on first. Anyway, you’re right, it’s only spring training.

  168. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    @Bob: From what I’ve read, John Farrell isn’t making that big a deal of it. Seems to me that he’s just using spring training innings the way they’re meant to be used… to fix any problems. He sees Buchholz has been distracted when runners are on, even non-SB threats, so he’s using this approach to take his mind off it. I wouldn’t read too much into it.

  169. Reddish Orange says:

    Curious your opinion on this team. I’m ok with it but it definitely has some holes.
    12 team 5×5. Keeper league.

    C – Iannetta
    1 – Adrian Gonzo
    2 – S. Sizemore
    SS – Hanley
    3b – Figgins
    CI – Morneau
    MI – Polanco
    OF – J. Upton
    OF – Pence
    OF – Quentin
    OF – Carlos Gonzo
    UT – Rajai Davis
    SP – J. Santana
    SP – Kershaw
    P – J. Weaver
    P – Heath Bell
    P – Hughes
    P – Madson
    RP – Qualls
    RP – Morales
    B – Luke Scott
    B – Lyon
    B – Gio Gonzalez
    B – Masterson
    B – Tillman

    I have a few too many holes in my hitting but I’m sure I can make a move for a 2b or 3b given Figgin’s flexibility.

  170. Eddy says:

    One of my leagues is having some confusion:

    We’re wondering when the first official day counts stats. Is it Sunday April 4th where only 2 MLB teams play, or Monday April 5th when all teams have a game?

    My league believes it’s Sunday but isn’t it unfair for those that don’t have a Yankee/Red Sox player?

    Any clarification is much appreciated

  171. Eddy says:

    This is for Yahoo btw

  172. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:

    @Eddy: It should be clearly stated on your league page (in the settings, probably). I know at ESPN the Week 1 Matchup starts on Sunday. It’s not unfair because there’s never a H2H matchup where every major league team plays the exact same number of games during the week. Especially when you get rain outs, then double-headers, etc. There is also the fact that both the Red Sox and the Yankees only play in 6 games during those 8 days (both have Monday and Thursday off), while other teams like the Twins will play in 7 games (they play every day Monday through Sunday).

  173. BaboonHeart says:

    @Grey: Thanks. Frankly the idea of 4 Pad’s on my team feels like a bad idea but Petco > Bandbox no doubt!

    @Eddy: We start on the 4th in my Yahoo league.

  174. infamy707 says:

    Lind and DOtel for Wright? Semi Fair?

  175. mrbaseball says:

    Just done my first auction draft – 16 teams – got invite 2 hours before draft – someone dropped out and they were desperate

    Roster Positions: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, OF, OF, OF, Util, P, P, P, P, P, P, P, P, P, BN, BN, BN, BN, BN, DL, DL, DL, DL, DL

    Batters Stat Categories: Runs (R), Runs Batted In (RBI), Stolen Bases (SB), On-base Percentage (OBP), Slugging Percentage (SLG)

    Pitchers Stat Categories: Wins (W), Saves (SV), Strikeouts (K), Holds (HLD), Earned Run Average (ERA), (Walks + Hits)/ Innings Pitched (WHIP), Quality Starts (QS)

    how is this team grey – there is only so much money to go around and you had to pay to get these players – any closer went fro $15 to $10
    starting pitchers went for around $25 and those were not the top of the line pitchers

    Ryan Howard 1B
    Kelly Johnson 2B
    Ryan Zimmerman 3B
    Miguel Tejada SS
    Ramón Hernández C
    Curtis Granderson OF
    Nelson Cruz OF
    Rajai Davis OF
    Gordon Beckham 3B
    -ultilty – could move into 2b
    Mike Cameron OF
    Jhonny Peralta 3B,SS

    Adam Wainwright P
    Matt Garza P
    David Price P
    Kevin Slowey P
    Homer Bailey P
    Vicente Padilla P

    Joakim Soria P – saves
    Carlos Mármol P – saves
    Octavio Dotel P – saves
    Nick Masset P – holds
    Hideki Okajima P – holds
    Darren O’Day P – holds

  176. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Reddish Orange: Yeah, your hitting’s a bit of a mess. Davis and Figgins shouldn’t be on the same team. Scott’s pretty useless. Your pitching looks solid, few questionable choices late, but they’re fliers so there’s that.

    @infamy707: I’d want Wright.

    @mrbaseball: Padilla? Really? I like your team overall, they look light on power, a bit. Not crazy about Davis, he really zaps your power in the outfield and you don’t have huge power in the middle of the infield to offset it. But Davis is the kind of player you can trade if you start to pull away in steals. Your pitching looks fine. Except for Padilla.

  177. Adam says:

    Just finished a draft, 12 team keeper (keep up to 6), 5×6 (holds), the league has been going for a few years and I’m joining this year, so I had a lot of picks in the early rounds where mostly everybody else had keepers…(overall draft pick numbers are including keepers, so they’re off a bit for the early rounds)

    1. (2) Joey Votto
    2. (23) Ryan Zimmerman
    3. (26) Curtis Granderson
    4. (47) Justin Verlander
    5. (50) Nelson Cruz
    6. (71) Jon Lester
    7. (74) Adam Jones
    8. (95) Ricky Nolasco
    9. (98) Dan Uggla
    10. (119) Carlos Marmol
    11. (122) Carlos Pena
    12. (143) Billy Wagner
    13. (146) Ryan Dempster
    14. (167) Elvis Andrus
    15. (170) Mike Napoli
    16. (191) Kevin Slowey
    17. (194) Matt Capps
    18. (215) Phil Hughes
    19. (218) Daniel Bard
    20. (239) Johnny Damon
    21. (242) Nick Masset
    22. (263) Garrett Jones
    23. (266) Takashi Saito
    24. (287) Dexter Fowler

    I wasn’t crazy about taking Pena or Damon, but the value seemed too good to pass up at the time…

  178. Swapnil says:

    Hey Rudy…
    Who would you rather have between Ben sheets,Dice K, Ervin Santana .. 5×5 h2h non keeper league… and is Phil Hughes a good played for h2h leagues considering he might be shutdown cause of innings limit during the fantasy playoffs??

  179. Swapnil says:

    I mean a good player….

  180. Adam says:

    @Swapnil: I’d go Ervin, based on upside…and with Hughes, it depends on who your other options are, but I’d roll with him

  181. Adam says:

    @Swapnil: maybe try to trade him if he gets out to a hot start to somebody who doesn’t know about the innings limit

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