After a great first week (3 HR, 5 RBI), Troy Tulowitzki has done a whole lot of nothing. From 4/12 to 4/29, 0 HR and 0 RBI. He’s K-ing in 28% of his ABs, almost double his career rate. He’s now sporting a .200 AVG for the year. He got ‘benched’ for a game in favor of Clint Barmes. So what’s the silver lining? First and foremost, Tulo is a slow starter. Unlike Robby Cano and LaRoche Sr., he lived up to his historically poor form. In 2007-2008, he hit .197 over 187 April ABs. When his K goes back to his normal 15% and the BABIP pendulum swings at least a little to the middle (at .225 right now), the AVG will take care of itself. He’s too young and Colorado is too elevated to think he can’t get 20+ HRs if he stays healthy all year. Once the weather starts heating up, expect Tulo to heat up as well. Anyway, here’s some more players to buy and sell this week in fantasy baseball:
Lance Berkman – He’s batting .162. I think owners might fear Berkman’s too old or it’s one of those years when he just sucks. There’s no way his average stays that low, so we’re looking at a major correction for a career .300 hitter. Think of a .400 June. That’s hawt!
Brandon Phillips – Like my hair during the heyday of Vanilla Ice, Phillips is streaky (with blonde highlights!). Phillips will go a month where he’s dreadful. April was one of those months. He can just as easily hit .290 in May and hit 5 HRs and get 7 steals. Check raise to the bettor, snitches!
Phil Hughes – It’s Phil of the Future… Finally, now. Maybe. But it’s worth a flier to find out.
Chad Gaudin – He’s in Petco? Yes, please.
Eric Patterson – His family originates from Patterson, NJ and when Eric was born in Holy Oak Hospital they looked out the window and saw a passing bus with a man they thought was Eric Roberts driving said bus. It wasn’t, but they liked the name. Oh, and Eric Patterson can steal.
Ryan Madson – Whether Lidge goes to the DL or not, Madson can be owned. If Lidge goes to the DL, Madson should be owned.
Julian Tavarez – SAGNOF!
Joe Beimel – Only if you have room on your DL. Don’t load up on Nats relievers, they’re bad for your complexion.
Kendry Morales – When I wrote a sleeper post two months ago about this guy I was widely ignored. And I will probably be ignored again. He’s kind of like Mike Jacobs with less power but a better average. Enticing!
Andruw Jones – I really don’t trust this guy to keep the bottom from falling out, but if you get a good week or two from him, whatevs.
Adam Rosales – Who knows how long Edwin’s going to be out? You a doctor? Nah, me either. Though I did help deliver Eric Patterson and that was Eric Roberts driving that bus! Rosales should be owned in NL-Only leagues.
Brett Cecil – Okay, the newest rookie pitcher to add in leagues deeper than 10 team mixed. Cecil may do a lot of nothing in this promotion, so I’d bench him for his first start. Why pickup a pitcher to bench, you ponder internally. Here’s the thing, and it’s the same reason I told you to grab Holland last week, if a rookie pitcher explodes on the scene, you want to own him. And a lot of times a rookie pitcher will come on like a comet burning brightly for a couple of starts. (Cueto’s first two starts last year: 13 1/3 IP, 18 Ks, 3 ER, 0 Walks) But, like a comet, his fire will probably burn out quickly when the league catches up to him. Then hot rookie callup pitcher will go into a correction period, lasting a few months. Now, while the whole world’s set ablaze with him, you can flip him for a junky closer. School’s out, Alice Cooper.
Carlos Quentin – You probably think I’m dropping ‘ludes putting Quentin on the Buy list when he’s already sitting on 8 HRs. Could he get better? Yeppers! Right now, Quentin’s sporting a very low BABIP, which means he’s been unlucky. May could be even better.
Matt LaPorta – It’s a renaissance for guys with a capitalized letter in the middle of their last name — LaPorta, LaRoche, LaSagna.
Matt Holliday – Sorry, but you shouldn’t have bought him to begin with.
Kosuke Fukudome – Don’t drop him, but if you think he’s going to be productive all year, you’re mistaken. Not mistaken like, “What Adam’s Apple?” But mistaken nevertheless.
Fred Lewis – Maybe beans do burn on the grill. Lewis is batting near .300 with 1 RBI and 1 steal. Those are “Grandpa” Al Lewis levels of production.
Kelly Johnson – Johnson seems to always flirt with being benched for some also-ran, this month it’s Omar Baby. Then Johnson always seems to come back in a month or two and hit the cover off the ball. Happens every year. Chuck KJ for now in 12 team mixed leagues or shallower, and come back to him when he’s hot. (BTW, how cool would it be if your name was Chuck KJ? That’s it. No last name. Not short for Charles. Just Chuck KJ. Splash on a bottle of Drakkar, hit the bar and get laid. Why? Cause you’re Chuck KJ!)