I’m concerned, you’re concerned. We all have concerns. This is a post concerning Javier Baez and our concerns. More specifically, this is about how concerned we should be if we own him in keeper or dynasty formats. If you’re looking for just the 2015 value Baez brings to the table, check out Grey’s Top 20 2nd basemen. Honestly, if you’re not reading all of his rankings you’re doing it wrong. In recent Cubs news, general manager Jed Hoyer came out and said that while Baez is still projected to be the starting second baseman, he’ll “have to earn it” and “make more contact to stay in the big leagues.” Cue air-raid sirens and flashing red lights. The sky is falling but I’m just sittin’ here sippin’ on some tea. Let me explain why I’m still in on Javier Baez in keeper formats despite the nasty strikeout numbers and recent questions over playing time.

The struggle is real. Prospects – even the best ones – have to adjust to the best pitchers in the world. Pitchers who not only have incredible stuff, but also a plan of attack that is going to exploit any of their weaknesses. Oh, and they have enough data and advanced scouting to know what your favorite color is and how much milk you put on your cereal before you even step into the box. This is why you get a hype balloon that expands to it’s absolute fullest point just before a player is called-up. They’ve likely had success in the minors against inferior pitching, which leads them to the lofty prospect status, but they also haven’t failed against the big boys in MLB yet to tarnish any of that pretty ceiling. They get called up, they suck, and then the pendulum swings completely in the other direction. Now they are “busts”?. Now our projections for their ceilings suddenly change? Now we sell them in fantasy leagues for pennies on the dollar? I don’t think that’s fair. I want to see at least 600 plate appearances from a player before I make a decision about them on my roster. More than that if I can afford it. But this is all general. What about Baez specifically?

Baez struck out too much. His strikeout percentage was 41.5%. We know this. But that’s in 229 plate appearances as a 21-year-old. And oh yeah he also hit nine bombs. Baez is always going to strike out too much. But he’s not always going to do it 42 percent of the time. In a lot of the reports you read on him, his biggest obstacle is the approach with two strikes. Basically, don’t try to go yard with two strikes, make contact instead. This wasn’t his style and maybe he got away with it in the minors. He’s likely aware of this and attempting to make some changes. I don’t take the winter league numbers to heart for this reason. He was there to work on things in game action. It’s not going to be pretty. He may need to continue to work on it this spring and early summer in Triple-A. I’m asking that you see him through the first couple months of the season before doing anything rash.

There are two examples on Baez’s own team we can look at. Arismendy Alcantara, who a lot of people seem to be way more confident in, struck out in 41% of his plate appearances in September. He hit .188 in 275 second half plate appearances. The jury is still out on Alcantara, who’s also a year older than Baez. And then there’s Anthony Rizzo. He’s one of the top fantasy first basemen right now, but in his first taste of the majors with the Padres four seasons ago he hit .141 with one homer and a strikeout percentage north of 30. The Padres gave up, shipping him to Chicago for Andrew Cashner. I’m probably not the only person on this site who would rather have Rizzo than Cashner in real life or fantasy. I’m not comping Baez to Rizzo, just saying those first few months in the bigs aren’t always rosy. Keeper/dynasty league owners always have to keep the big picture in mind.

But Mike, where will he play? What if he starts the season in Triple-A? Long-term, I’m okay with him starting the year in Triple-A. Like Maikel Franco, it could be good for his development and there is no rush. But even if he doesn’t start in the minors there can still be a spot for him. The acquisition of Dexter Fowler may not just bump Alcantara to second by default. It could mean Alcantara plays center, with Fowler in left, Baez at second, and Olt/eventually Bryant at 3rd. There is also the possibility that Baez plays second even if Fowler stays in center. Maddon may choose to use Alcantara as his new Zobrist super-utility type. Whatever it ends up looking like, the Cubs have been smart this offseason by at least giving themselves a lot of flexibility if they feel any of their young players are not ready for a full time position. Even Tommy La Stella enters this picture as a capable backup, but while La Stella may be “safer”, Baez crushes him in offensive upside.

Just how confident am I that Baez will be okay? I have him ranked in the top 50 on my Top 100 keepers post coming out soon. I’m going down with the ship so to speak, and I’ll be wearing my Golden Sombrero as we ease into the ice-cold waters of prospect oblivion.

 
  1. Yescheese says:
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    I’m more concerned about makeup. One recent report suggested Baez “isn’t just erratic at the plate” (paraphrase)

    Though I guess one could argue there are a few head cases in the HOF today

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I saw that too. It’s a fair concern.

      Personally I don’t put a whole lot of stock into it. Soler was “charging the visitor’s dugout with a bat” not too long ago. Then there was that whole thing with Machado and Donaldson last year. These young guys’ frontal lobes are as unfinished as some of their baseball tools. Super young, but that’s just my take on it. I don’t know all the specifics of what he’s up to.

      • Yescheese says:
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        @Mike: yeah his tools are unquestioned, and he is young. In Dynasty I do gravitate towards players with good makeup, just because they seem more likely to make adjustments and make the big league. Baez is already here.

        The question might be, do you think the Baez buy low opportunity is now, or after the 2015 season?

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          Hard to say. Probably now though. I’d at least be kicking the tires on him to see if his owner has the shakes.

          • Yescheese says:
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            @Mike: nice article mike. Keep ’em coming!

            • Mike

              Mike says:
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              thanks!

  2. J-FOH says:
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    I’m concerned for you and all your concerns. Breath….breath…brea

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Secure your own mask first before helping others!

      • Wake Up says:
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        @Mike: Ha!

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Mike: are you telling me I need a better zombie version of me?

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          I want to zombify Schmidt!

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Mike: Let me work on that

  3. Schwab says:
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    Hey Mike,
    Keeper question. 8 team keeper league head to head points. Keep 15.
    Mesoraco, Encarnacion, Rendon 2B/3B, Machado, Baez 2B/SS, Bryce Harper, Heyward, Carlos Gonzalez, Hosmer, Sano, Price, Cueto, Teheran, Lester, Kluber, Wainwright, Taijuan Walker, Paxton & Giolito. What 4 do you drop?
    Thanks..

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Hosmer, Waino, Walker, Paxton

      • Schwab says:
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        Thanks Mike

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          no problem…nice team

          • Fuzzy Dunlop says:
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            @Mike: interesting that walker’s slower development has turned him into a drop here, i’d bet this wouldn’t have been the case 1 year ago.

            • Mike

              Mike says:
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              yeah, I don’t not like Walker, but there’s no reason to keep both him and Giolito with decent bats to choose from. I’d have a harder time throwing Giolito back at this point is all.

              • Fuzzy Dunlop says:
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                @Mike: right, and i’m betting last year it would’ve been reverse, maybe?

                • Mike

                  Mike says:
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                  Oh, I gotcha…yeah, it probably would have been. Even if we said they had comparable ceilings, Walker was closer at that time. I feel like I’m in a time machine!

  4. Smokey

    Smokey says:
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    The Latino Mark Bellhorn

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      ooof

  5. Ante GALIC says:
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    Mike!

    Gr8 stuff, man. Overall I like what the Cubbies have done in the offseason. Their starting four SP, Rondon, Soler, Rizzo et al should be enough to keep them in the running for the central division crown.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Thanks!

  6. Baezaworldseries says:
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    I really hope this guy gets every opportunity to succeed. 30 homers 20 steals from an MI would be DA bees knees.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      for real!

  7. K Clown Baez says:
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    Are you high on Maikel Franco? Good stuff Mike. Prospect Scott stubbornly comped Baez to Miguel Cabrera several times on this site, eeesh. I think Baez is a total quad-A clown, and we must remember that 3 of those 9 bombs came at Coors Field in his 1st week before teams figured him out. And his low walk totals ain’t ever guna do him any favors too. I wonder what goes on in milb development directors minds when all these guys suffer so mightily in the bigs? Once you see them trending towards high k and low bb approaches wouldn’t you think they would step in? It seems the approach is not to tamper with a dude’s development, but at what cost to the big club down the road. This K epidemic is embarrassing.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Thanks! Good points all around. BA had some interesting quotes from the coaches working with him this winter about learning to approach counts differently within the at bats and realizing a 500 ft homer and a 400 ft homer are still both homers. The good news is that those aren’t incredibly difficult adjustments to make. It’s not like he is going to have to overhaul his entire swing a la JD Martinez at this point.

      Yup, I’m high on Franco as a fantasy prospect. He’s in the top 15 on my board.

  8. Joebob says:
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    I’ve got three early picks in minors draft this year, NL only. Can you put these guys in an order of future fantasy value preference? Kyle Schwarber, Jp crawford, Jesse Winker, Hunter Renfroe, Michael lorenson, tyler kolek, Aristides Aquino…these seem to be best available, other than a Russell but he’ll get snagged first…I have picks 3-5. I tend to take hitters over pitchers, and prefer prospects closer to majors…your thoughts would be appreciated. Thanks!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      No problem…Crawford, Winker, Schwarber, Renfroe, Kolek/Aquino, Lorenzen

      • Joebob says:
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        @Mike: do you see Magneuris Sierra , Ames Rosario, Matt Wisler, Plawecki, conforto, peraza, Aaron Nola OrRyan McMahon placing in front of those names?
        Thanks again

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          Peraza between Winker and Schwarber. McMahon between Schwarber and Renfroe. No on the others.

  9. JLO says:
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    Hey guys I thought i was going to keep Baez but, now i am not so sure. I have to keep 10 5×5 plus Ops and QS.
    These are my options
    Oswald
    Arrieta
    Walker
    Polonco
    Ross
    Duda
    JD Martinez
    Dickerson
    Hamilton
    Goldy
    Bumgarner
    Kluber
    Brantley
    Merchado
    And of course Baez.
    Thanks

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Machado, Baez, Brantley, Kluber, Bumgarner, Dickerson, Hamilton, JDMArt, Goldy, and either Arcia or Duda

  10. Alex says:
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    In my dynasty, I lost Doolittle who is essential to my pitchers. All in for this year. Been looking at Lynn’s declining perifs and want to know if Rondon or Storen is okay value back. Not looking to win any trade

    Thanks

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Sounds fine to me if trading is the best way to land a closer. Assuming pieces like Giles are already owned?

      Nice to hear you’re trying to make your team better and not just “win” a deal.

      • Alex says:
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        @Mike: Yea, it is a 15 team 50 player league. Thanks Mike

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          No problem. Yup, in that format sometimes you just have to bite the bullet and make a move for a closer if you are in win-now mode.

  11. Wake Up says:
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    I’m with you on Baez in a keeper. Dynasty, it’s a no brainer. Looks like he just struckout again. One thing I would add is the bat speed. Its something, hang on he’s K ing again, you just can’t teach. And, he’s got it. O fer 10 with 11 Ks, that’s downright amazing. Marty could make more contact,nowadays…

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      ha [k] ha…nice [k]!

      true…amazing bat [k] speed

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Wake Up: he’s got more K’s than a horse trainer.

      • Wake Up says:
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        @J-FOH: HaHa Special Dix…

  12. Sherwood says:
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    Fantastic read again Mike. Based upon your first year player ranking, I am in need of a closer, can you tell me where you would slot in Doolittle or Mcgee on that list, also Is there any prospects that you think could be a closer within a few years.

    Thanks

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Thanks! Sure…Barrett in Arizona and Kela in Texas are two prospects who could be future closers. Cam Bedrosian for LAA is another option.

      Not sure what you mean about McGee and Doolittle. If I’m choosing between the two, I’d probably lean towards a healthy McGee.

      • Sherwood says:
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        @Mike: Would you take a McGee over a Tomas or Rusney

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          oh gotcha…nah, I’d take the Cuban bats over the relievers

  13. TheStraw says:
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    Obviously other league details matter, but in a keeper league would you try I package Adam jones and Bryant or Baez for a player like mcutchen? Or do you think another owner would bite for cespedes and Bryant for a mcutchen…. Basically is it better to roll the dice with hot prospect and hold onto them cheaply in a keeper or trade them because bust potential is so high (think Lawrie) to get a known quantity if you have a decent team that tries to contend each year?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      I like the Cespedes/Bryant for Cutch trade better. But yeah, if you can cash out on a prospect and a lesser player and get a current top ten overall in return, I think that’s solid.

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Mike: but i’m guessing he should try baez/cespedes first in that one, right?

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          correct

  14. Rob Popp says:
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    Keep 3 in a 12-team standard, losing corresponding draft pick: M. Scherzer (2), A. Jones (3), N. Cruz (10), M. Brantley (23), C. Kluber (free). Leaning Kluber, Brantley, Cruz for value. Feeling Scherzer’s spot is a bit too high, and Jones a good value that I could replicate or perhaps snag 2nd rd in draft. Alternative thoughts?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Makes sense. Brantley and Kluber are easy choices. I would protect Jones instead of Cruz though.

      • Rob Popp says:
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        @Mike: Thanks! Hear ya, Jones at 3 is nice, let someone else overpay for Cruz

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          Anytime

  15. J-FOH says:
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    On a serious note I have been fielding baez questions from friends (even though I tell them to ask on the site [hits!]) and I want your opinion on what I’m dishing out to them.

    1) In a redraft I think the risky elements of his game needs to be supported by players that compliment him on a fantasy roster. I look at him as someone to take a flyer on more than penciled in as an everyday and will be drafted as an everyday in a lot of leagues and I can’t get on board with that price. I’d like to point out I’m more of a conservative drafter who doesn’t let the appeal of younger men sucker me into inflated values that are much harder to predict.

    2) Do you have a sliding scale in a keeper, because these all vary in number of keepers kept and the length of the keeper clock? For example, in a friends keeper league you can keep between 2 and 4 keepers and because of the host site you can’t make offseason trades. So if he was to draft Baez this year and planned on keeping him he would have to move him by the trade deadline of the 2017 season or risk losing him to the draft. I don’t think the risk is worth it since he also plays with a few rookaphiles.

    3) In a dynasty he is already owned unless its a first year. If he isn’t owned in an existing dynasty it must be an AL only.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      1) I agree. I’d want him as my MI, not my primary SS or 2B.
      2) Keeper rankings, etc. are so tricky because of this. If I’m only keeping a couple guys, Baez may not even enter the picture. Also, at 22 yeaars old, he’s not the best option if you have to turn around and throw him back when he’s 24. That could be just when he starts to get things rolling.
      3) He’s long gone, so it’s more about holding on to him if you own or kicking the tires on a buy low if you don’t.

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Mike: thanks for clarifying. He is actuall one of the biggest head scratchers I’ve come across in year. It’s like a lady with a real great rack and your not sure if it the bra or thats what they really got going on

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          anytime…ha!

          • Wake Up says:
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            @Mike: How about if you bump that up to six keepers?

            • Mike

              Mike says:
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              guess it depends what the round/cost is and whether you’re in contention. If I had a contending team and only six keepers I might not want to absorb the risk.

          • Wake Up says:
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            @Mike: I was also thinking about a similar question to J, what are your keeper ranks based on?
            12 t, 5×5, keep forever?

            • Mike

              Mike says:
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              So when I put the Top 100 together I assumed 12-team standard 5×5 cats with no inflation/costs to keep players. It’s ranked for 5 years, so guys 30+ take a hit since you’re talking mid-to-late-30s by the end of it. Guys entering their primes get more of a bump. Baez is one that would be like 24-26 years old over the last three years or so and he already has fantasy upside as a 22-year-old. Hence the high ranking. Still a lot of risk in him though of course.

              • Wake Up says:
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                @Mike: Makes sense. Same way I would have done it. Thanks!

                • Mike

                  Mike says:
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                  Nice…anytime!

                  • Wake Up says:
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                    @Mike: Top 50 would be around the 5th/6th round, though…makes him hard to cut as your sixth keeper.

                    • Mike

                      Mike says:
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                      yeah, that’s kind of where the line is drawn…if I’m out of it and have nothing to lose it’s a no brainer. But if I’m looking to compete now and need more of a return in that first year or two things get a little murky.

  16. Bterry says:
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    I have a solid group of hitting keepers with a high avg. in a 12 team, 7 bench spots, standard format h2h league. My keepers are miggy, cutch, tulo, hanram, harper, giancarlo, rizzo, b ham. I feel pretty rounded with my 8 keepers as the league format is keep 8 as long as you want with no penalty and they slot in to your 1-8 rnds. I am really tempted to go with baez as my first or second pick (thats as far as i think he makes it in this league). Grey said that a high floor guy like pedroia would be a better option with my keepers, but i kinda like big risk and big reward. What do you think. Baez risk easier to handle with keepers like that or should i just play it safe and round out my hitters with howie kendrick or pedroia types.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Kind of like what I was saying with Wake Up, with a team like that that’s built to win now, it’s risky to go with Baez who may not even be in the bigs for the first part of the season. I’d agree with Grey and take one of the safer bets and go for it this year.

      • Bterry says:
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        @Mike: thanks. Seems to be the consensus. Looks like ill be going pedroia or arenado first choice. Then goin to load up on some of those sweet middle round arms

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          Arenado is a no-brainer

          • Bterry says:
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            @Mike: really now. Ok. Good to know. I was undecided and a team didnt keep him this year so there is a chance he makes it to my 6th pick. (9th rnd after keepers) Also kipnis, j bruce, pedroia, c davis, and wong all go thrown back.

          • Bterry says:
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            @Mike: so arenado is my guy and if he is gone go pedroia or wong in that order?

            • Mike

              Mike says:
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              I’d rank them Arenado, Kipnis, Wong, Bruce, Davis, Pedroia but that’s just my preference

  17. AL KOHOLIC says:
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    Nice post thanks

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      thanks Al!

  18. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
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    Great post, Mike!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      thanks Magoo!

  19. Chris says:
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    HI Mike Good stuff as always thanks!

    So I’m in a 5×5 roto league and got killed in pitching last yr partly because of some bad injuries and just bad performnace i.e. Cobb, salazaar and Jim henderson to name a few. In This league for whatever reason pitching is more important than most. I’m a little nervous this year and wondering if it would make sense to grab 3 decent closers. Say Jansen chishek and melancon or allen. Combined approx projections would be 15-18 wins 190-200 k’s around 100 saves + and whip and era would be great compared to a lower end sp pitchers.

    Not sure just throwing it out there I know I’d only be 1 rp better so it ultimately wouldnt equal a starter.

    Thanks,
    Chris

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      thanks! what I normally try to do (when I’m not punting completely) is get two solid relievers so I can try to compete in the middle of the pack for saves. I don’t worry about winning the category and I don’t overdraft/overpay if I can help it. I think Allen and Jansen would be an awesome pair to have, but even Allen and Cishek would be enough IMO.

  20. Wake Up says:
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    Maikel having a day!

    Phils 2018!!!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      for real..two dingers and seven RBIs? that’s a month’s worth of stats for Downtown Dom Brown

  21. Yescheese says:
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    Quick take. Would you draft any of these guys within your top 20 list of 2014 draftees? Wily Adames, Franklin Barreto, Ozhaino Albies, Alex Reyes, Francisco Mejia, Chance Sisco?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Yup. In fact, you could probably shove that whole group in right around Nick Gordon.

  22. Swfcdan says:
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    The top 100 keepers is different to the top 100 prospects then?

    Please let me know when your prospect rankings list is coming out, just so i dont go crazy lol. Thanks.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Yeah, keepers list comes out in Feb and has no prospects on it.

      Prospects I’ll post after the top ten lists are done for the teams and is a top 50.

      • Swfcdan says:
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        @Mike: Thanks man looking forward to it more than any other rankings on here for some reason! Must be my rookie nookie love haha.

        Heard the weathers getting real bad on the east coast for you guys, got any blizzards yet in Philly? I like in England btw just in case you thought im being ignorant here lol, we’ve had snow too but nothing too major and pretty much cleared up now.

        • Peteforhall says:
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          Blizzarding in Philly at the moment……

          • Mike

            Mike says:
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            stay safe!

      • Swfcdan says:
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        @Mike: Doh forgot my actual fantasy question. Happy with G Cole in a keeper but entertaining the idea of getting Jo-Fer (will he be the same?).Who do you like more in a keeper from now on and by how much:

        G Cole, ($8), 3 years
        Jo-Fer ($8), 3 years

        Thanks.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          Nice…I moved away from the east coast about four years ago. Sounds like they are getting hammered though.

          I’d take J-Fer with everything else being equal.

  23. Steve says:
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    gotta ask if you got him top-50…Would you keep Baez over the trio of Harvey/JFernandez/CSantana?

    I’m going young with my keepers (see below) and after 2-3 years of seemingly going backwards in record I kinda wanted to blow-up/rebuild and see if I could get a leg up on the aging cores out there.

    **league details:
    16 team / 10×10 h2h / **shallow keeper in ’15 (keeping 5) / DH+UTIL spots / 25-man roster (10 H 10P 5B) Core: Springer/Harper/Arenado/Davis (yes, risky, but I like him)
    **BIG CAVEAT – the keepers increase every calendar year. 6 in ’16, 7 in ’17 –> until we reach 25 and turn dynasty.
    – most of the teams will retain most of their guys year-to-year, and we re-draft this season in round 6 after 5 keepers (unless some squads retain less than 5 – I’ve thought about doing this)

    I typically wait on pitching (and its deeper than ever this year) – actually ran some mocks waiting until round 9/10 to pick up my first ace and managed out well.

    Heck, last year I got burned keeping JFer top 4 keepers (so that makes me hesitant to being with this year) and then drafted Kluber Rd 19. yes…19!!!!

    would love to hear your input but regardless excellent article with a ton of great points Mike, thanks for the insight and GL in your leagues in ’15 good sir!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Thanks, you too! That’s a cool format. I have him ahead of C Santana but behind Harvey and JFer on my list.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Since it’s 10×10, I’m assuming OBP is a cat? I think you could keep Santana instead of Baez with only 5 keepers. You could always snag Baez in your draft if you really want him. Santana gets a pretty significant bump in OBP leagues.

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Mike: c-sant leads league in walk rate if i’m not wrong.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          correct

  24. Sherwood Hayes says:
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    What side would you take in a forevers keeper team Hamels and Gyorko for Aaron Sanchez and Heaney.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Hamels/Gyorko

  25. dem ribbies says:
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    Hey Mike, great stuff as always!

    In a $200 budget, 10 team, 10 keeper with shallow rosters 24 positions total (C/1/2/3/ss/OF(4)/DH – 5SP-3RP and 6 bench).

    Keeping:
    OF – Stanton $35
    1B – Goldschmidt $29
    OF- Brantley $3
    3B – Frazier $3
    DH – C.Davis $6
    2B – Dozier $4
    OF – Myers $3
    OF – Soler $3
    SP – Ross $3

    and struggling to keep Baez $13 over Alex Wood $3, Avisail Garcia $3, Votto $3 the latter 2 of which I’d have a hard time starting w/ 4 OF and a DH already.

    Kind of thinking Baez is expensive at $13 and I might be able to redraft him for that price, whereas Wood/Garcia or Votto at $3 isn’t going to happen on draft day.

    what would you do here? throw Baez back in the pool and redraft or hold him over Wood/Garcia or Votto?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Thanks! Yup, $13 is too steep for him this year. Rather have Avisail for $3

      • Flowers misses his old glasses, but he's ok tho says:
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        @Mike: wow, that’s low on votto, when he’s not even the guy there at that price (could be age thing, and that he already has goldy of course)

        • Mike

          Mike says:
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          that was my thinking with corners already filled with good options

  26. Steve says:
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    thanks for the reply Mike!

    “Since it’s 10×10, I’m assuming OBP is a cat? I think you could keep Santana instead of Baez with only 5 keepers. You could always snag Baez in your draft if you really want him.”

    have OPS as opposed to OBP.

    scoring is:
    R, HR, TB, RBI, K, SBN, AVG, OPS, Errors
    HR, K, QS, W, L, BS, CG, ERA, WHIP, SVHLDS

    with pitching deep as ever I think I might be more likely to be able to redraft either JFer or Harvey much easier than Santana (rare positional elig at DH) & Baez if I chose to. Tough to let the injured aces go but TJS is still an unknown & I was once a Beachy owner…. sigh

    I like Santana (1B/3B/DH) > Baez if I had a different keeper core, yes. However, owning Arenado and Chris Davis (and targeting Kennys Vargas at DH in the redraft round 9-10…like this guy) I am hesitant to leave Baez unprotected. another wrinkle? I don’t have a 7th RDP. Hmmmmm…

    In the end I feel like being in rebuilding mode I could be ok dealing with Baez’s possible struggles & given his positional elig (2B/SS) I could be crafty in the draft filling out my MI which would help missing that early DP.

    am I crazy to take him top 80 if ST goes well for Javy?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      anytime…that makes sense to keep Baez then. Lots of factors to think about but you know your league best.

  27. Raoul Duke says:
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    Mike-

    Thanks for the article. I traded for Javier Baez, Xander Bogaerts and Oscar Taveras (pre-life ending car accident) in my keeper league. As you can imagine I had to give up quite a ransom for that many highly touted prospects. The type of ransom that keeps me up at night worrying about whether or not these guys are going to pan out. But hey, if you can’t take the heat get your ass out the kitchen.

    My question to you is what are your thoughts on Xander Bogaerts? If you ever were, are you still confident in his ability to become a star in the bigs?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      Anytime…get some sleep!

      Definitely still confident in Bogey too. The ceiling is still an All-Star shortstop despite struggling for part of last year.

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