Last year, Vaughn Grissom went 19/32/.320-ish. That’s “ish” because I didn’t feel like doing the math for batting average. Plus, it’s goofy and those aren’t really his stats. Well, they are, kinda. That’s his stats if you combine High-A, Double-A and MLB numbers. Slightly misleading, but *thinking* Is it misleading? Okay, the major leagues aren’t High-A. I get that, but, and here’s when I say anything very controversial: For hitters, are they that different, when a guy is only 21 years old? If a guy is 28 years old in High-A, then his stats mean nothing. But if a guy is 21 years old, then what’s the difference where he’s playing if he can hit in the majors? Once a guy shows he can hit in the majors, then it validates everything that came before, when he’s young. I keep doing that caveat, because it is very important. A guy who is 30 years old hitting well in the minors may or may not transfer to the majors *cough* Joey Meneses *cough*. A guy, who is 21 tearing the ball up in the minors, is just good no matter where he’s going to play. You see it in all the future stars. It’s not the only path. A guy can struggle, then find something that clicks. But when it clicks that early anywhere in pro ball, he’s has got a high ceiling. That the Braves don’t seem to want to bring back Dansby Swanson implies they know it too. I’m only surprised they haven’t yet locked up Vaughn Grissom in a 12-year, 19-million dollar type deal. So, what can we expect from Vaughn Grissom for 2023 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?

Psyche! Before we get into the Vaughn Grissom sleeper post, just wanted to announce that I’ve begun to roll out my 2023 fantasy baseball rankings on our Patreon. It’s an early Hanukkah miracle! Or late Hanukah miracle, depending on when Hanukkah is this year. The Jews should really decide on one day to start Hanukah each year, and stick with it. It’s better for branding. Anyway II, the Vaughn Grissom sleeper:

First off, the power. It’s burgeoning, as they say after they check a thesaurus for words that mean increasing. Last year, Vaughn Grissom hit five homers in 141 ABs. Small sample, but crack into it: Launch Angle was 9, and his fly ball rate was 30.6. Both numbers are fine, passable, will work for him. It was coupled with a 15.2% HR/FB, which honestly feels a bit high, and that’s not good. Thankfully, his Double-A Launch Angle 12.3 and fly ball rate 31.6% say he can actually hit a few more fly balls. You don’t want a guy with his speed hitting all fly balls, but the power is going to make the difference here between him being a 10/20 guy and a 20/20 guy. 32% fly ball rate, 10-12% HR/FB rate and a .270 average and I just described Xander Bogaerts. That’s right, Vaughn Grissom is bogarting Bogaerts. That’s last year’s Bogaerts, by the by, not previous years. So, even in my wildest dreams I can’t get Grissom to 20 homers, but, at 21 years old, he’s getting better — burgeoning! — so 20 homers or more is one of the possibilities for his outcome. Maybe a 10% possibility, but it’s there.

There’s something to being the worst guy on a loaded team. Vaughn Grissom is likely looking at a bottom third of the order type lineup spot, which hurts his counting stats, not gonna lie about that, but there should be guys all around him who are great, and when you’re the worst bat in a lineup, you will get challenged a lot. The opposing pitchers aren’t trying to put Grissom on base for Acuña and the top of the order. So, RBIs and runs might be meh, but he’s going to see so many solo-home-run-meatball pitches. Random prediction alert! He hits the most solo homers for guys who have 20 or less homers next year. Can you bet on that? No? Okay, well, still. Also, not to put that stank eye, bad-luck stare on anything, but Acuña’s not exactly the bastion of good health, which would get Grissom up to the top of the order pretty quickly, if he hits like I think he will.

Thankfully, the speed might be low-end 20 steals. Quickness and steals don’t correlate always, but he should be fast enough to steal plenty of bags. The limited pickoff moves might help him since he’s young and might not be familiar with pitchers’ moves. Also, as mentioned in the lineup order section, Grissom should be in a place in the game where Snitker’s like, “Daddy wants you to run now, so RUN!”

Oh, the average isn’t .270 or lower. It’s more like .270 or higher. Last year in those 141 MLB at-bats, he hit .291. Maybe the .350 BABIP is a tad high. He’s fast though, so it might not be absurd. His 21.8% strikeout rate at 21 years of age is really the flashing light saying, “Hey, look at this! This is really good!” He didn’t come anywhere close to qualifying, but, if he had, his contact rate on balls in the zone of 89.9% would’ve been top 30 in the majors, around that of Andrew Vaughn (no relation) and Jeff McNeil. His strikeout rates in the minors were incredibly good, hovering between 11% and 14% depending on the stop in pro ball. He’s a guy you’re going to love to have in fantasy, and the Braves will because he’s going to keep getting on base, and making things happen. Not shizz happens, but good things happen.

Finally, Vaughn Grissom is being drafted around 205 overall. That deserves a paugh, i.e., a point and laugh. He’s, ya know, a 15/25/.270 hitter. That’s kinda more valuable than a 200th overall pick. For 2023, I’ll give Vaughn Grissom projections of 67/16/72/.286/24 in 517 ABs with a chance for much more.

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frankgrimes
frankgrimes
2 months ago

10th pick! The Grimey luck never fails…

Survivor is pretty good this year think I want Owen to win.

What good shows you’ve seen lately?

frankgrimes
frankgrimes
Reply to  Grey
2 months ago

Oh shit I will try not to upset (or disappoint) you. That last water challenge would have been much more exciting with sharks in the water.

frankgrimes
frankgrimes
Reply to  Grey
2 months ago

Haha oh right. They should have kept them down there until next tide came along.

Guero
Guero
2 months ago

Grey,
What 10 you keeping for next season? Keeper H2H 12 team category league.
1st M.Olson
2nd Albies
SS Bichette
OF Alvarez
OF Tucker
OF JROD
OF Mookie
SP Max
SP Strider
SP Gilbert
Ty France
2nd / SS Grissom
SP Cabrera
SP Gonsling
SP Bassitt
SP springs

VinWins
VinWins
2 months ago

Netherlands vs. USA in the round of 16 Saturday @ 7 AM PT. And, there is a report that the Dutch are dealing with a flu outbreak.

I’m not going to forget you projected Winker hitting .350 just because you deleted the comment!

VinWins
VinWins
Reply to  Grey
2 months ago

Sounds like a soccer player.

Foxman
Foxman
2 months ago

I love how the Braves aren’t trying to win AA and AAA titles
They promote guys when they are ready, and get rewarded by paying them stupid salaries.
If you go to arbitration, you might as well start looking for a new home. Freddie and Dansby will cry all the way to the bank, but it speaks volumes how much both guys wanted to stay.
Take notes Cubs, or just raid that front office. Either way, do it the Braves way.

toolshed
toolshed
2 months ago

That adp for Grissom is going to shoot up quickly if Swanson signs elsewhere. I can only hope Grissom’s draft spot stays depressed when I draft in March.

Winker to the Brewers. That creates more of a playing time issue for others. That landing spot is better for him but it clogs up dh and OF.

VinWins
VinWins
2 months ago

Kolten Wong to Seattle for Jesse Winker and Abraham Toro,

VinWins
VinWins
Reply to  Grey
2 months ago

I thought maybe Winker would be useful back in the NL Central.

VinWins
VinWins
Reply to  Grey
2 months ago

Ha. Come on, he hit .344 in Milwaukee! (in 93 ABs)

Will
Will
2 months ago

Grissom hit .315 overall in 2022 (167 hits in 530 at bats).

VinWins
VinWins
Reply to  Grey
2 months ago

Haha. It took all the restraint I could muster to not give you this information.

Jeff Graup
Jeff Graup
2 months ago

Lothario

Yearly grey early check in for keepers tanked last year and grabbed assets so a lot of top tier young talent a d lots of decent value at pitchers

8 team NL only 5×5 keeper league (2 yr max) keep only 8

Acuna 34 1 last year as a keeper
Varsho 1 last year as a keeper
William Contreras 8
Vargas 1
Corbin Carroll 1
Jordan Walker 1
CJ Abrams 5
Suzuki 5
Lawler 1
Chourio 1
Hassell 1
He’d McNeil 5

Pitchers

Strider 1
Heaney 2
Flaherty 9
Freddy Peralta 8 last year as a keeper
Trevor Roger’s 1
Mikolas 2
Gore 5
Eury Perez 1
Kyle Harrisin 1
Gavin Stone 1
Ryan Helsey 1

Lots gonna happen my thoughts

Acuna
Varsho C
Carroll
Suziki
J walker

Helsey
Strider
Eury
Freddy Peralta

In spring Flaherty n Roger’s r must watch to see where they are

and Gavin Stone Gore n eury/kyle H. take next steps to glory?

Lothario what’s your 1st take
.

Jeff Graup
Jeff Graup
Reply to  Grey
2 months ago

Im also thinking a off season of strength training the real CJ Abrams shows up

The guy who hits 15 bombs steals 40 bags n hits 280 shows up

Gore shows us a 97+ heater

Guys take huge strides in year 2 look at strider

Crazy?

Dave D
Dave D
2 months ago

Is VG named after Mo or Greg? Those are some serious clete-steps to follow…

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
2 months ago

At the buffet?

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
2 months ago

He got pretty big by the time he fell down the dugout stairs in Anaheim. He suffered the Humpty Dumpty fate at that point… never was the same. Veteran free agent signings rarely work out in Anaheim (of Los Angeles).

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
2 months ago

Haha! That would make a good movie scene…

Ante Galic
Ante Galic
Reply to  Grey
2 months ago

Grey!!!!

Was on the same wheel of fortune sushi rotation thingy in Paris Charles de Gaulle airport!!!!

Cheers,
Ante

Bterry
Bterry
2 months ago

I trade grissom in my 15 team keep forever league (rd 18 value) for juan soto (rd 1 value) to try to win the ship this year. Im loaded with extra picks from last year and I want that $$$$.

Hernan
Hernan
2 months ago

Damn, missed my chance to be in that first NFBC draft, defend my Middle of The Pack/Also Ran/Donate to Smitty’s Account Title…., hopefully you’ll have a couple more DC drafts in the near future…, Razzball 4L!!!

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Hernan
2 months ago

That’s a bummer, Hernan! Looks like 8th place is all mine this year.

Hernan
Hernan
Reply to  Dave D
2 months ago

HeyDave , just snipe every Grey Players, that way he’ll get mad and want to set up another league right away…..

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Hernan
2 months ago

I did have a few of his 2023 sleepers on my 2022 DC team. I am a master of drafting players a year or two early then being too stingy for them once they break out…

Smitty
Reply to  Dave D
2 months ago

go get’em double D

Smitty
Reply to  Hernan
2 months ago

Like the Burrito Boys, missed it too – bummer

Smitty
Reply to  Grey
2 months ago

You are probably loading up on big sticks as we speak haha. predict speed and saves fly off the board, OF thin & SP deep

galica1234
galica1234
2 months ago

Grey!!!!!

Awesome!!!

a. Love Vaughn Grissom! Question. A lot of these sleepers (if not all of them) are great value around 200. So just leave them as darts from round 18 and beyond? Trouble is in a room with 11 other Grey-ites round 18 will be too late for some of these guys. What’s your advice?

b. Have a nice weekend.

c. George Carlin quote of the day for December 2, 2022

‘A fully equipped, factory authorized, hospital tested, clinically proven, scientifically formulated medical miracle. I’ve been prewashed, precooked, preheated, prescreened, preapproved, prepackaged, post-dated, freeze dried, double wrapped, vacuum packed and I have an unlimited broadband capacity.
I’m a rude dude, but I’m the real deal. Lean and mean. Cocked, locked and ready to rock. Rough, tough and hard to bluff. I take it slow. I go with the flow. I ride with the tide. I got glide in my stride. Driving and moving. Sailing and spinning. Jiving and grooving. Wailing and winning. I don’t snooze, so I don’t lose. I keep the pedal to the metal and the rubber on the road. I party hearty. And lunch time is crunch time. I’m hanging in. There ain’t no doubt. And I’m hanging tough. Over and out. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you very much. Thank you.’

A Modern Man, LIFE IS WORTH LOSING (2006)

Cheers,
Ante

Ante Galic
Ante Galic
Reply to  Grey
2 months ago

Grey

Wanted to make it light and breezy after yesterday’s USA strip mall+murder=chesapeake.walmart.

Cheers,
Ante

Nitro
Nitro
2 months ago

Was just offered B Snell for my M Grissom in a keeper forever league. Tough (ish) call.

slappyJ
slappyJ
Reply to  Nitro
2 months ago

don’t do that , keep grissom

Nitro
Nitro
Reply to  Grey
2 months ago

Ha. V Grissom, showing my age…
Thanks,

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Nitro
2 months ago

Old enough to remember Todd Van Poppel?

Ante Galic
Ante Galic
Reply to  Dave D
2 months ago

You mean Van Poople.

Cheers,
Ante

Smitty
Reply to  Dave D
2 months ago

Got a bunch of his rookie cards – hahaha

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
2 months ago

Mo Marquis?