Let baseball return with the craziest shizz they got! Robot umps? Check! 7-inning games? Why not? Divisions changed? Sure! No shifts! No foul balls! Everything is in play! Pitchers have to throw with their wrong hand! Hitters have to stand on one foot! Mascots get stockpile of vaccines and choose who gets one! I don’t care! Just let baseball return! With all that said, universal DH is being thrown about like that somehow fixes baseball post-Covid-19. Has anyone on this green earth that Al Gore is eating his way through asked why? This is one that keeps coming back after every discussion about restarting baseball like they’ve already unplugged it and blew in the cartridge. Could someone, preferably a journalist, ask WHY? Why does a DH make things better for restarting? I’m guessing no one asks why because they know there’s no reason and it would just make Manfred uncomfortable. Shame more journalists don’t ask questions to make people uncomfortable. Not to go down that rabbit hole too far, but too many sports journalists (and maybe other types) are so concerned with access they refuse to ask tough questions, then they go on Twitter and make fun of the subject. Twitter is bad for a lot of reasons, but this is the reason number one for me. You see reporters say point blank about how stupid something is, but did they pose the stupidness to the actual subject? No, never. Prolly why I couldn’t make it as a journalist. If Manfred said to me about universal DH, I’d ask, why, and minds would be blown. Any hoo! Assuming there is a universal DH, our writer, JKJ, is going over a series of hitters who would benefit from it. I don’t want to go over what JKJ has said already, but Tyler O’Neill…O’Well, he’s too juicy to ignore. So, what can we expect from Tyler O’Neill in 2020 fantasy baseball and what makes him a great dart throw?

According to Steamer Hitter Projections, Tyler O’Neill’s projections in 350 ABs are about 20 HRs and .240 average. I say ‘about,’ because right now our Steamer projections have O’Neill down for 247 ABs. They’re assuming O’Neill’s not an everyday player, which I tend to agree with, and don’t end a sentence with with — damn! That’s why I started this one about the universal DH. With a universal DH, O’Neill will play and hit. He’s hit for power everywhere he’s gone. In 2018, he hit 26 HRs in 64 games, then nine homers in 61 games in St. Louis, hitting .254. He followed that up with five homers in 141 ABs and a .262 average for the Cards. He has a career .376 BABIP, which does seem a tad inflated. Speaking of inflated, his Launch Angle is 19.7. That led to a rather pedestrian fly ball rate (39.8) when considering his Launch Angle. With a similar Launch Angle, he had a 48% fly ball rate the year before, and, with that Launch Angle, that fly ball rate feels more likely. Considering he can muscle the ball out of any park, a 48% fly ball rate and 25% HR/FB seem well within his wheelhouse. For a full season of ABs in a 100-game season (350 ABs), that fly ball rate would give him around 90 fly balls, and a 25% HR/FB would give him roughly 23 homers. According to Steamer Hitter Projections, that would make O’Neill the 11th best home run hitter this year, equal to Franmil, Yelich, Trevor Story, Schwarber, Matt Chapman…Well, you get the picture. Schwarber and Chapman are actually interesting because their projected batting averages are only about .010 away from O’Neill. Tyler O’Neill is a full-time job away from being about as equal as Matt Chapman. Whee! Sign me up for that great dart throw!

 
  1. galica says:
    (link)

    Grey!!!!

    Outlandishly outstanding report!

    a. Whee, sign me up! O’Neil sounds awesome if he gets playing time. Need to ask the Cards’ fans in the house of Razzball on his playing time or not. Who will play more in STL?

    1. Dylan Carson
    2. O’Neil

    b. MLB quote of the day for May 18, 2004

    ‘When you can throw 97 miles an hour and put the ball over the plate anytime you want, it’s fun.’

    Randall ‘Randy’ David Johnson, aka ‘The Big Unit’. Threw a perfect game at age 40 on May 18, 2004 (hence the date, dur!) becoming the oldest to do so. He is also one of only 7 to pitch a perfect game and a no-hitter in their career. Johnson has too many accolades – one of them being the pitching Triple Crown in 2002 (W, ERA and Ks) – to mention. On October 3, 1993 Johnson came on as defensive replacement in the outfield for Brian Turang (who?), making him the tallest fielder in MLB history. He was also famous for throwing the ball over John Kruk’s head at the 1993 ASG! (Anyone know why he did that? Was looking at the Phillies’ fans mostly.)

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • bigbear says:
      (link)

      Kruk was a natural in front of the camera. He praised Johnson a lot, but joked around a lot heading into the game saying he was afraid of getting hit by Johnson. Johnson must have heart the news and continued the joke onto the field. At least that was the impression I had watching the game. Both seemed to recognize the moment for what it was, even if Kruk’s heart rate was in overdrive!

      • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
        (link)

        Exactly they were joking around not many lefties wanted to bat against the big unit

        If i remember right another batter joked around and turned his helmet backwards in case he had to turn away from a pitch.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          That was Kruk, I think

          • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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            I think Walker did it too might have been another game

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Oh, yeah, that does sound faintly familiar now that you say it

            • 183414 says:
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              Yep

            • Wake Up says:
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              Haha yeah it was Walker and he turned around to hit righty

              He was hitting a meager .398 at the time…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

      A. No clue, which makes both decent very late gambles — my guess is actually O’Neill gets more ABs

      B. Ha, nice — in 25 years, people will be like, I can’t believe Randy Johnson threw *only* 97

      • galica says:
        (link)

        Grey!!!

        a. Another slow day at the office. Trying to spice it up, but even I of the 5k worded entries am speechless by the corona.

        b. Nothing really new. My wife is really pissed about the gifts I got. She still refuses to look at them. Her financial/economic brain (which makes up about 98% of her brain matter) cannot comprehend why I would buy stuff for our wedding anniversary in the worst economic crisis in the history of humanity when the prices for the same goods will completely crash or at least be cheaper. At least we’re talking through the entire time and I’m just apologizing at will. She says..Why didn’t you do XYZ? I go I’m sorry. Wash, rinse, repeat! It gets better.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          A. There are always enjoyed!

          B. She sounds like a dream, I wish my wife complained about spending money

          • galica says:
            (link)

            Grey!!

            Don’t tempt the fates! One Freaky Friday, it might happen. Just grin and bear it. Hopefully I’ll come back again as Randy Johnson’s dog.

            Cheers,
            Ante

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Haha

              • galica says:
                (link)

                Grey!!

                Holy crap, I forgot it’s Friday!!!

                Have a nice weekend! La Chaim!

                Cheers,
                Ante

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  La chaim!

        • baby seal says:
          (link)

          What did you get her??

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            A 50 Shades of Grey t-shirt from the Razzball store

            • baby seal says:
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              Haha!

    • Wake Up says:
      (link)

      Haha.

      But he got him with the hook tho…

    • Harley Earl says:
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      Carlson will play more. Dude is all-around beast. Don’t underestimate him.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Could be universal DH

  2. Big Red says:
    (link)

    Owners want the DH in part because they don’t understand baseball. They believe that when baseball returns they have to do something to increase fans’ attention. If they knew how much we are missing the game, they would just put the players on the field and stop screwing around.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Maybe…Only thing I can think is if, say, the Marlins and Jays are in the same division, you don’t want them switching from DH to not DH every other series

      • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
        (link)

        I think that is exactly the reason….plus they been wanting to try all DH for awhile.

        To me i don’t care. I get the strategy / match up purist argument but watching a pitcher bat isn’t all that exciting. As for matchup / strategy there already too many move with all the analytics going on…..bring on the DH

  3. Mark says:
    (link)

    I don’t want universal DH, but for 2020, why not!

    Tyler O’Neil is someone I had to have. I am carrying tons of unwanteds. Notably O’Neil, Brinson and Barreto. Hoping one develops into something useful.

    The thing that bothers me about O’neil was his spring performance was very reminiscent of last year. BUT with a second spring training, it should give a better detail about O’neil, Brinson and Barreto.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, the universal DH feels like it’s coming this year — and prolly for future years, though maybe not immediately

      Yeah, maybe on O’Neill, not sure if we can drew conclusions from 12 random at-bats in the spring, but maybe

  4. Cram It says:
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    My favorite hatred of Twitter, is that tweeting remorse @ someone, passes for a conversational apology. “I talked to my teammate and I apologized for my behavior.” “Oh, what was his response?” “I don’t know, he hasn’t tweeted me back yet.”

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      There’s a lot to dislike — celebrities just taking it over and celebrity stans are not high on my list either

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        And people who unironically say stans

        • Cram It says:
          (link)

          Haha. I don’t know even know what that is.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            If I explained it, it would be much worse

            • Cram It says:
              (link)

              I don’t use Twitter, so I don’t need to know. I already know how self-absorbed and mindless social media obsessors are. I’ll go with Lenny’s.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Lenny’s is better

              • 183414 says:
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                Finally agree on something !

                • Cram It says:
                  (link)

                  Ha. We can probably agree on baseball related things too, if we could just keep it in that realm.

                  • 183414 says:
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                    Great song by Four Tops….”Can’t Help Myself”. haha
                    Happy to answer any fantasy baseball related questions. You do know that I won the NFBC OL Championship last year.

                    • Cram It says:
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                      I rarely have a question, I’m confident in what I’m doing. I’m not going to list what I’ve won, but is that one a slow draft, 50 rounder where you don’t have to make any moves all year?

                    • 183414 says:
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                      On Line Championship. 12 team/ 30 rounds. $1,000 faab.
                      There are 4 spots left in my Super League. Stand alone league. 12 teams. $18,000 for 1st. $6,000 for 2nd. $2,000 for 3d.
                      $2,500 per entry.
                      Will be drafting 1 week before season starts.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Wow, big stakes! Good luck!

                    • baby seal says:
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                      Cram,

                      OC = Online Championship (never seen OL before, but hey, if the winner wants to call it OL then OL it is for now, haha)

                      DC = Draft Champions

                      That’s the one we did that you’re referring to below.

          • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
            (link)

            Crammie ……I think he is quoting Popeye the Sailor

            “Thats all i can stans , I can’t Stans no more”

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              HAHA

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                That’s much better

                • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
                  (link)

                  Ack , Ack, Ack Ack

                  • Coolwhip

                    Coolwhip says:
                    (link)

                    Lenny is in rare form today… Maybe he’s born with it. Maybe its Quarantine.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      We’re supposed to be talking to Lenny Dykstra today for the Patreon podcast

                    • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
                      (link)

                      I was in a long dull conference call

                    • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
                      (link)

                      what is a patreon podcast?

                    • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
                      (link)

                      So you drink Patron and sing off key baseball songs? ;)

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Nailed it!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Wait, Nails’ed it!

            • Wake Up says:
              (link)

              HA!

      • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
        (link)

        Celebrities twitter lecturing everyone and shilling for charities but never coughing up their own money…….

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, it’s a riot

          • Coolwhip

            Coolwhip says:
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            hahaha yeah. I have $300M but if we can just work together we can raise $100K for this charity with your money (despite the fact i could give them a $1M check right now and not break a sweat)

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Haha, right? We have collectively $3 billion but please join me and my friends as we raise money and play some of our songs off our new album

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                That’s the tweet right there:

                Every charity concert: We have collectively $3 billion but please join me and my friends as we raise money from you with no money and play some of our songs off our new album

                • Coolwhip

                  Coolwhip says:
                  (link)

                  hahaha, I’ll do you one better… You have collectively paid us $3 billion for album and ticket sales, but please join us and give more of your hard earned money to this charity as we play the same songs you already paid for before.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    You’re getting me mad! Haha…It is so ridiculous…Yo, save us the a capella versions of your songs and donate your money

                    • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
                      (link)

                      And when they do the Orwellian public service announcements repeated at nauseum they always end it with ” …remember we are all in this together…” yeah tell that to the poor slob in a 300 sq foot apartment with one window not allowed to go to work

  5. Harley Earl says:
    (link)

    I think you may be on to something here!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hope so!

  6. Torito12 says:
    (link)

    Grey!! It’s Friday baby! Thoughts on this keeper trade – Snell Bichette for Luzardo Trea. It’s a 12 team H2H league.
    Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Trea, but it’s fair and could go the other way by next year

    • 183414 says:
      (link)

      Luzardo/ Trea. By 3-4 lengths.

      • Dave D says:
        (link)

        Here’s a great Darryl Strawberry update, Andrew:
        https://www.dailywire.com/news/darryl-strawberry-to-appear-on-webcast-faith-in-america-black-voices-for-trump/

        I’ve always liked this guy despite his struggles. I met him at a BB card convention in 1984. He came in unannounced. I think it was to meet Wilie Mays. In any event, he was super nice and signed a ball for me and a few cards for free. I was just looking through some of my stuff the other day and found the autographed ball. I’m glad he has his life together.

        • 183414 says:
          (link)

          Love Darryl. One of my oldest son’s favorite all time baseball players. Yeah, he is a great guy.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Strawberry was the man, loved him

            • Wake Up says:
              (link)

              Such a natural.

              Would’ve liked to see his Max EV.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                I’m reminded of Lenny Kravitz singing Fly Away with his schlong hanging out

                • Coolwhip

                  Coolwhip says:
                  (link)

                  Grey switch hitter confirmed *glances sideways emoji*

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    Haha — some things just stick with you

                • Wake Up says:
                  (link)

                  HAHA

                  Author Rob Arthur has confirmed…

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    Perfect!

              • baby seal says:
                (link)

                Hahahaha

    • baby seal says:
      (link)

      Yeah, Luzardo side. Assuming you need the steals, that’s a great deal.

  7. Pipa says:
    (link)

    I have two UT spots to fill and we are in the 18th round. I’m short on bats, obvi! It’s a 9×9 league. , R, 2B, 3B, HR, RBI, AVG, OBP, K, SB, W, L, ERA, WHIP, K/9, QS, CG, HLD, SV. This is my team so far offensively. Who do you like out of, K Davis, Voit, Canha, B Anderson, B Lowe, Hays, Nimmo, Carlson, Arraez, C. Cron, Mazara, De Jong, Segura, Didi, and the other sleepers we all know of. I took Cutch in the 15th rd which I hate.

    C.
    1B. Alonso
    2B. Merrifield
    3B. Sano
    SS. Bichette
    OF. Bellinger
    OF. Castellanos
    OF, Cutch
    UT.
    UT.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Didi, DeJong…

    • 183414 says:
      (link)

      I like B. Anderson a lot. Also covers 3b/o.f., and just keeps improving.

      • 183414 says:
        (link)

        Not like Sano can’t slump. Or get injured.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        I like Anderson too, but over those others…Meh

        • 183414 says:
          (link)

          DeJong b.avg and k’s meh.
          Didi ? We’ll see.
          Have 5 shares of Anderson , 2nd only to Olson. We shall see, though in a sprint, not a marathon.
          Guess Newsome and Cuomo stepping on Manfred’s tiny balls won’t help us see baseball before august.
          What a bunch of azzhats !!!

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Baseball plan will be in place soon for them returning in June, is my guess

            • baby seal says:
              (link)

              Grey, Anderson by a mile! OBP much better…

              Think Voit is very close too — maybe even better — however, Anderson dual elig very nice. Would def keep Canha close on the radar too.

              At MI: DeJong for that team context (unless you get Anderson or Voit), but overall, think Segura has a slightly higher value in that format.

              Pina — Segura would be another decent speed source if you get one of the other boppers first.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                Fair

                • baby seal says:
                  (link)

                  Guy like Segura should’ve been gone already in that format (IMO). When you add OBP, Ks, etc. — the usual speed sources decline in value a bit — helps someone like him out a good amount (I think…)

  8. lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
    (link)

    So you drink Patron and sing off key baseball songs? ;)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Pretty much

  9. Around The Horn says:
    (link)

    I got Ketel at 2B, Arenado at 3B, J-Ram and Abreu in UTIL. I got Muncy who could cover 1B/2B/3B and Lourdes can cover 2B/OF on the bench.

    Two different trade proposals I received:

    1. I get J.D. Martinez for my J-Ram – other owner lacks SB.
    2. I get Springer for my Muncy.

    Either JD or Springer would be in my UTIL slots.

    Would you do one or both of these and in what in order? Or keep J-Ram and Muncy?

    It’s a small and shallow friends league.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yes, 2

      • 183414 says:
        (link)

        Springer for Muncy.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, take Springer

  10. Wake Up says:
    (link)

    Preach!

    I was surprised to see how fast this little hulk was as well. With him, Bader, Lane, Edman…looks like those Redbirds can really fly…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Flap dem wings, young birds

      • Wake Up says:
        (link)

        I’m watching The Office for the first time right now too…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          It’s good, I was surprised, bc I loved the original

          • Wake Up says:
            (link)

            Season 2 was great. You could see they were still trying to figure it out in S1…like Seinfeld…

            Read something interesting that I didn’t realize before. Apparently it was 40yo Virgin that saved The Office. It was about to be cancelled and then the movie came out and saved the day. Those sweet, sweet bags of sand…

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Interesting I hadn’t heard that…Yeah, I had no hope for the pilot of the American Office after reading the pilot, but then I watched a few episodes and I was happy I did — Carrell made Micvhael so much more likable than Brent, and I don’t mind Brent, but after 20 episodes it would be a problem

              • Big Magoo

                Big Magoo says:
                (link)

                Gervais was great as Brent, but he’s just not as likable as Michael Scott as a character…

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Yeah, exactly — can’t maintain unlikable for years

                  • Big Magoo

                    Big Magoo says:
                    (link)

                    Tell that to the Seinfeld characters. If you watch those episodes back now, they’re all pretty big assholes though, haha. George is still one of the best characters ever.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Yeah, true, Larry David is a genius and acerbic without much “saving the cat” if you know what I mean

                    • Seems like Dwight is going to be a George…

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Yeah

            • Big Magoo

              Big Magoo says:
              (link)

              Things’ll keep picking up until certain characters get together and they just keep introducing more and more characters after that. You’re still on the upward swing.

              • krazyivan says:
                (link)

                It was ok. I kept wanting Deangelo Vickers to make a comeback “this ones for the troops!”
                That and occasionally seeing Ed Helms put his fist through drywall and Mose just freakin doing whatever, we’re the type of moments that kept me coming back.

                • Big Magoo

                  Big Magoo says:
                  (link)

                  Mose was a great character. Andy was kind of hit or miss for me, but he definitely got better as the seasons progressed. I like how it was mostly a mix of mostly normalish characters, then Dwight and Creed. Love those two.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    Andy was kinda painful for me, I liked just about everyone until the final season without Michael then it was pretty weak

                    • krazyivan says:
                      (link)

                      Loved it when Michael strolled into the bowling alley and Ryan was spraying shoes with a bleached blonde due.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Haha, yup

  11. 183414 says:
    (link)

    Carrell is definitely no Gervais. Good actor though. Gervais is awesome !!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Gervais is great, no arguments there

      • I liked the OG alright and I think Gervais is funny and insightful and I agree with a lot of what he has to say but I just don’t like to watch him, if that makes sense. Just can’t take him for that long. LD and the Seinfeld characters just don’t rub me the wrong way in the same way and I’m not sure exactly why. The latest Curb was so good and the whole arc is spite, but it just doesn’t come off the same way. I’m not the biggest fan of Carrell in movies but I prefer him over Gervais in The Office by a long shot. Seems like he was born to play this role with all of the opportunity for improv. Could just be that I was looking for silly…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          The OG Office was one of my faves of all time but I haven’t liked Gervais in anything else especially…maybe moments, so I kinda get what you’re saying….Seinfeld has so many lovable characters even as they’re unlikable and kinda Curb too…their actions aren’t necessarily lovable but they don’t provoke hate either…maybe it’s a “not suffering fools” aspect that’s admirable…

          • Nailed it!

            I think David likes to walk out and bomb…then slowly win back the audience…speaking of…can’t believe I forgot to mention Patrice! He’s in The Office?

            More of a kick the dog type guy than a save the cat…thinking of the A/C falling on the Rottie after it bites Elaine

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Haha, yeah. Agreed… that also seems like Gervais in general…feels insincere when he’s being sincere

  12. David says:
    (link)

    Bregman, Benintendi or Suarez, Glasnow?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Bregman

  13. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
    (link)

    Lane Thomas!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      No way, Magoo!

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        Yes way, GA!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha

  14. krazyivan says:
    (link)

    He’s got a speedier right hand hitter version of Joey Gallo going on. Needs to not chase as much and I can see him turning out pretty good. Nice call Grey.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

  15. baby seal says:
    (link)

    This is going to be a sacrilegious thought…

    Is it weird (or just me) that I get Kyle Tucker vibes from Carlson…. eeek!

    More so on their situations being similar — and their skill sets are similar too, which just adds to the weirdness…

    Not saying it’ll definitely work out the same for him…. just a weird parallel I noticed and can’t shake now.

    The guy in this OF I’ve been taking a late dart on is Bader. O’Neill fine too–def has better odds now than before with the current situation.

    Bader has more playing time locked in, liked that he was working on his swing, thing he could at least get back to a top 200 player without too much difficulty. Nice power/speed upside too.

    Last Random Seal Thought of the Day: Have this new running theory that is all gut feeling. Currently have zero data or research to back this up yet. Came to me while writing the Coolwhip Essays.

    Players who are good all-around players, especially if younger and growing, are more likely to end up being the best hitters and grow into the better fantasy players. Obviously, this is not a hard-and-fast rule. An elite bat like JDM or Alonso need not apply.

    I was thinking about all the guys who get drafted in the first couple rounds, who for the most part, are 5-tool guys or at least have 4 tools. Then you have someone like a Ketel Marte, Devers, etc. who broke out. Rookies who handle the bigs the best at first (or even year 2/3) seem to be good all-around players: Tatis, Acuna, Soto, etc.

    Again, it’s pretty much all gut feeling. I wonder if there’s something to it. Like if a guy has the ability to throw a ball really hard – does that mean they are more likely to be able to grow into more power at the plate? Don’t have the answer. In my experience playing the game, the best hitters were almost always the best all-around players… so getting back to Bader quickly, think betting on guys like that to figure it out may not be the worst way to throw a dart.

    Cheers!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Tucker gives me Joc Pederson vibes — Joc went 30/30 in minors, majors he doesn’t seem like he’ll ever come close to that…Tucker, same thing… He’ll be a platoon guy for at least this year, and might remain that way

      Hmm, maybe on all-around players, but that’s such an anecdotal thing to call someone and unscientific — what makes someone a good “all-around” player? Someone with 60+ in 4 categories? Well, they seemed tag to be good already, so why wouldn’t they?

      • baby seal says:
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        As I was just re-reading that, realized almost all those examples were top prospects lol, so would definitely want to look into guys who weren’t already expected to be the best players in the game.

        Think of someone like a Lindor, right. He was never supposed to develop the power he has now. That’s kind of the idea – someone who was supposed to be good and then developed more skills than expected… is there a certain kind of profile where that’s more likely to happen?

        It’s EXTREMELY anecdotal haha — that’s kind of the point for now. Just wanted to run by you to get some initial feedback.

        Could definitely look into researching it and come up w/ some ways to quantify it more…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ah, I see what you’re saying…If a top prospect — say a 70 hit tool guy — doesn’t have power, will he grow into it? Yeah, could be…If a guy can hit .290+ then in theory he should be able to hit for power…It’s like the old saying goes about great hitters, if they can hit for average, then they can hit for power if they *want* to

          • baby seal says:
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            Yeah, pretty much exactly!

            Or one thing I want to specifically test: If I could get MPH from position players, do some sort of filter on tool grades, HH%, etc. whatever, and then see how often or when/if they develop power.

            Hit tool would be a good idea too. But that’s already one reason why I tend to favor hit tool guys to begin with – especially w/ this ball – it’s been my other theory that the guys who benefit the most are the ones w/ the best hit tools. Which is part of the reason why Benintendi’s slump last year was even more perplexing to me.

            • krazyivan says:
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              You would like to study Evan White then. He is a well known prospect but his hit 50/55, game power 45/50, raw power 55/55, speed 60/55 are impressive but his lack of a calling card skill and his numbers in the minors not awesome cause him to be the radar in some ways.
              His defensive abilities are outstanding and his exit velocity was great so I think he kind of fits the mold of a player you are projecting. Dart throw anyone?

              • baby seal says:
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                Oh yeah, I’m all over White!! Appreciate that suggestion.

                Great profile, no question if he has the job, nice tools as you said. Have him on both of my OC squads.

                If there was one “knock” I have against White, besides the lack of experience, it’s that I didn’t love his swing mechanics when I watched some tape on it. The videos were kind of crappy, though. Would worry that he might struggle w/ contact% and pitch recognition – but to be clear – that remains to be seen. Just sharing since it’s in the back of my mind. Would also like if he hit a few more fly balls.

                Going to take another look at him today, thanks!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I agree with you in theory…. a good hitter will be a good hitter for average or power, which is why holding out hope for Mazara isn’t crazy… Benintendi’s slump last year makes sense in hindsight but is still perplexing, agreed…

              • baby seal says:
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                Yes, I really liked your take on him and how you can’t over analyze the stats too much, which all just tell you the same story. Sometimes guys just get in a long slump — shiz happens.

                Pretty simple analysis, right? But not sure I’ve seen that anywhere else.

                He *should* be able to make the proper adjustment back… right? Seems relatively straightforward – just go back to hitting line drives and stop trying to lift the ball so much.

                The worry obviously is that you are paying for him to make that change. So much of his value was tied to being an accumulator too. Happy I don’t have him this year. But if we see him make the proper changes – I’ll be back on him next year. I’d bet he wouldn’t go back up to where he should be and would be a nice value in that scenario.

                The hit tool idea being good w/ this ball just simply comes down to: More BBE mean more opportunities for these good hit tool guys, who usually have OK power, to either get into one, or get a “Manfred Special Ball” that adds an extra 20ft to your fly balls and they go oppo taco…

                Mazara: I’ve been so off and on him this offseason. Think that worked out OK for me. I have one or two shares (in DCs, I think), so not a lot of exposure, but at least some.

                Not sure if I mentioned this to you before – an analogy for drafting him at ADP – is that he’s a classic “semi bluff” in poker. People are off him because he hasn’t grown and does the same thing each year. BUT, that’s the “semi” part of the analogy – if he does what he always does – he’ll return about the same or slightly better value to where you drafted him. No harm, no foul. Last year, he actually had his best rate stats, showed a nice BrL% improvement, etc.

                So the “bluff” part of the analogy is that he finally breaks out and returns that top-100 value so many have been expecting. This is the first year I’ve ever owned him anywhere, and pretty much for that reason alone. The *actual* downside w/ him is that his defense has always stunk, szn is short, White Sox are trying to contend, he’s a platoon kind-of-guy, so playing time could see some issues if he starts out slow.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  I like that on Mazara! He’s like having pockets 8s…it’s not terrible, but you’re also not super confident

          • baby seal says:
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            test

    • Haha…The Coolwhip Essays sounds like something you could major in at Evergreen State College…

      Interesting idea. 2 that may fit…

      K’Bryan and Lane…I’ve mentioned Lane a few times here and I see that Magoo just did as well and personally I would have went hit Hit’Bryan but you can choose your friends but you sho’ can’t pick your own name…though I guess you can change it later…right Grey?

      • baby seal says:
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        LOL!

        I have Hayes in some spots — main concern there is just whether or not the cheap dumb Pirates will start his clock this year w/ the short szn.

        Sorry for the dumb question… who is Lane?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Lane who? Thomas? Cards backup backup

          • baby seal says:
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            Ahhhh, yeah, would have to be like an NL-only league (which I have never done before)

            Kind of guy you keep on waiver watch if he starts getting some ABs

  16. O’Neill wins a starting job, gets hot and leads majors in HR’s. Probable? Nah, but these are the types of surprises I think we’re in store for in a short season. Not a bad dart Grey, who knows!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah totally agree!

  17. rick brown says:
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    Just heard MLB is thinking about a mid June start.If that is the case,spring training would have to get underway in a couple weeks.
    Lets keep everything crossed!
    RICK

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Let’s go!

  18. Was having trouble logging in and commenting last night (that’s what she said)

    Maybe I misread while wading through the Verbosity Pool
    but I thought the otter bait was looking for toolsy/athletic guys for the project (that’s what she said)

    Remember that if you are lucky enough to see a woman today, thank her for her cervix. Never forget.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I called my mom to wish her a happy mother’s day and she revealed to me my father is a sea otter

      • I believe it’s pronounced ychyd…

    • baby seal says:
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      You think you are clever, don’t you?

      • Wake Up says:
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        YES !!!

      • Wake Up says:
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        I think you’re clever too.

        But Grey is the cleverest!

        I just thought you were in on the joke…no offense intended

        • baby seal says:
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          Haha, all good!

  19. Around The Horn says:
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    In an 80-game season and only 6 team league would you concern yourself with AVG category or just the counting stats

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Counting stats

      • Around the Horn says:
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        My primary SB threats are S. Marte, J-Ram, Story, Baez and Acuna.

        Again, it’s only a 6 team friends league. I have a lot of power guys already with Ketel and Starling being the weakest. With a proposed 80 game versus 100 game season, wondering if losing a handful of potential SB is worth the 4-cat production JD can provide.

        There’s one owner willing to trade JD Martinez for SB. Worth it to give up S. Marte for JD?

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