Quarantine Day 568 and I remember baseball, but only faintly. I believe it involves a bat, which I’m hearing might be responsible for the virus. This is all because of those bat swallowers, as my father calls them, though I’m not sure that’s what he means. The irony that we didn’t see anything coming in the year 2020. A long rueful sigh. Fellow mans and five womans, I feel like a late-era Eric Clapton song. Totally off-key, “Tears….in….heaven!”  So, the top 80 outfielders for 2020 fantasy baseball were updated with new projections for a 100-game season. With this series, I will take a look around the 2020 fantasy baseball rankings to see if there’s any differences now that we might only play a 100-game season. Projections have been updated on all my positional rankings. Anyway, here’s thoughts on the top 80 outfielders for 2020 fantasy baseball with the new Corona timeline:

61. Alex Verdugo – My love for Verdugo has taken more routes this preseason than father when he refuses to use his phone’s GPS app.

“Verdugo on the Dodgers? Well, that sounds decent, but they have such a crowded outfield. Where’s Pollock–” Slams on brakes, and cars narrowly skid around.

“He was traded to the Red Sox? Wow! Verdugo’s shooting up my draft board! He has such a line-drive heavy approach and that short fence and Fenway’s BABIP-strong and…” Puts on blinker and merges onto freeway.

“The Red Sox trade was called off? What? Damn, I didn’t expect that–” Throws car into reverse, cars on freeway lay on their horn, skid around.

“It’s back on? Awesome!” Turns wheel for U-turn and goes over freeway median.

“His back hurts? That sucks!” Throws car into reverse, driving backwards on freeway.

“His back will be fine for Opening Day!” Throws car into park, as cars whizz past, and waits for window to roll down to scream.

“His back won’t be ready until May!” Gives passing motorists the finger.

“The season won’t be ready until July!” Reclines driver’s seat and takes a nap on freeway.

This is exhausting. I didn’t move Verdugo back up after it was revealed he would be fine by the time the season rolls around, because I no longer believe him. He hurt his back last season and it never got to 100% over the winter, and don’t really want any part of him, but he is in a favorable tier — so many hedges! I like him if he’s healthy, I just have concerns.

67. Lorenzo Cain – I write the players’ names I’m going to cover and write a super short note about what I’m going to talk about, then go back and fill in thoughts. My note for Cain was, “These players suck.” Pithy Grey ain’t wrong. My projections for Cain are 44/7/33/.258/8 in 336 ABs. Steamer’s projections are slightly less awful:  57/10/40/.277/12 in 358 ABs. Still, kinda barf. Here’s the thing, in a shortened season, think about this:  If you were to own a 4th outfielder in August who wasn’t producing, would you drop him? Of course you would. So, any 4th outfielder (or 5th or any borderline hitter) is gonna have about two weeks of this season to impress, otherwise they’re going to get cut lightning fast. In shallower leagues, this season is going to be best played without your ADHD medicine, because everyone’s going to have a super short leash.

74. Dylan Carlson – The last two guys are in similar boats, but on opposite ends of spectrum. What is going on with Carlson’s playing time coming out of a three-month hold on life? He was winning the job in the spring, but does that matter when we resume in July? Is there any point to starting his clock? Or, in the shortened season, does it matter more to start his clock because every team has a chance to make the playoffs? If he struggles in the two weeks of spring training teams will get before we resume in July, does that doom him? I don’t have the answers to any of these questions. My guess is Carlson is still in lead for an Opening Day job, but I have less faith in that now.

78. Sam Hilliard – 2nd side of the same coin as Carlson. Hilliard was playing himself out of a job in the spring. He also has Bud Black, who still wants to play Ian Desmond without a tinge of irony. But Hilliard has little to no competition and could still come back and hit in the final two weeks of spring training that I’m assuming they will have before the season starts. Every possible outcome is on the table for the Rockies left field spot. My guess is Hilliard and Tapia will platoon, but put two guesses in a car you’re driving and you’re not allowed in the carpool lane, because guesses aren’t real things.

 
  1. Anderson Ron says:
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    I’ve heard good things. Let me in on them.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      All you had to do was ask!

    • Coolwhip

      Coolwhip says:
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      baseball!

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
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        A couple of takes from watching. You can really here the ball pop into the mitt and the ball is loud off the bat in an empty stadium.

        I am fine with MLB playing in empty stadiums. Watching a game is the key. We need to watch baseball and soon.

        • 183414 says:
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          I’m usually a very optimistic person, but way too many doom sayers. This will drag out way too long. Masters in november ? Canada closed until summertime. Kentucky Derby in august. nyc closing even more businesses (I didn’t know any were opened).Took 3 weeks to destroy an economy that took 3 years to get rolling. Will soon be close to 20 million people out of work. unfortunately, too many people want our country and our economy shut down indefinitely. When you’re an older person (72) like myself, not that many baseball seasons left to enjoy. Very depressing.

          • Dave D says:
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            If its any consolation, the antiques store next to my office is open. I guess they consider themselves an essential business. If I were in LA my mayor would be encouraging me to “snitch”. But, I have no inclination to do so. Adults know the risks and in my view can risk COVID for a grandfather clock if they so choose. I’d probably hold out for a little better than that.

            • 183414 says:
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              Just woke up depressed that I hear nothing encouraging from mlb.

              • Dave D says:
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                Well, at least you have a draft to look forward to tomorrow, even if it may be for a season that will take place in our imaginations only. Maybe I should join in the fun and draft an OC tomorrow on its last draft day.

            • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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              In pennsylvania the governor owns a cabinet making business which is essential ….but furniture stores are not …

              there seems to be a huge snitch mentality lately anyway….the local event site for the town alwasy has some one posting the speeders liscence, or the guy who doulble parked etc……..people will get all buched up about everybody elses business

        • baby seal says:
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          Nice comments, MP!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Is that…baseball?

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
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        Yes my good man, that is the only form of baseball we have at the moment.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I’ve heard great things about it, but I haven’t seen it in so long or ever, I’m not sure I recognize it

          • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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            More good news WWE is opening in FLorida

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Really? With no crowds?

              • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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                They were not clear on the part but i would think so…….but at least it is live production of a sport

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Haha

        • 183414 says:
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          I know. Sorry, I woke up depressed today hearing more doom and gloom. Feel free to delete it. Should have kept my thoughts/depression to myself.

  2. galica says:
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    Grey!

    Great top80 OF report!!

    a. Finally, Hilliard and Carlson appear in your top80 OF report. However, not happy with your lack luster on both! Thanks for the letdown. J/k, love your lack luster feelings for both.

    b. Whom do you prefer in a 5X5 RCL for 2020?

    1. Emilio Pagan
    2. Daniel Hudson

    My other two closers are Yates and Hand, so looking mostly for quality ratios and innings plus K/9.

    c. MLB quote of the day for July 19, 2001

    ‘Chicks who dig home runs aren’t the ones who appeal to me. I think there’s sexiness in infield hits because they require technique. I’d rather impress the chicks with my technique than with my brute strength. Then, every now and then, just to show I can do that, too, I might flirt a little by hitting one out.’

    Ichiro Suzuki, MLB record holder for hits in a season at 262 and the only MLB hitter to achieve 10 consecutive seasons of 200+ hits. An awesome player, he was only 5’9.5″ and 124 pounds. What’s your excuse, Grey? Mine is that I’m too lazy and that my 2 favorite sports are eating and sleeping.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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      LOL great quotes Icharao was one of the best but he sound link a man touting a tiny Japanese Penis………..

      “‘Chicks who dig home runs aren’t the ones who appeal to me. I think there’s sexiness in infield hits because they require technique. I’d rather impress the chicks with my technique than with my brute strength. Then, every now and then, just to show I can do that, too, I might flirt a little by hitting one out.’”

    • Sweatpants Nation says:
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      My personal account of Ichiro and the long ball was batting practice at Yankee stadium. He hit 12 consecutive long balls. 12 swings, 12 homers. Lots of flirting that day. Amazing what he could do with a bat.

      • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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        Ichiro was an incredible and humble player he really could do it all

        • Snacks Zillion says:
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          Yep, he will be missed.

    • Coolwhip

      Coolwhip says:
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      Such a great quote, lol, and very much inline with traditional Japanese culture. All about technique, even when pouring tea.

      Ichiro is probably my favorite player that never played for the Angels, instead being a pain in our side, Griffey too. Damn those Mariners!

    • bigbear says:
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      Ichiro is one of the most inspiring guys in the game.

      “August in KC is hotter than two rates f-ing in a sock.”
      “Personally, I don’t like the term ‘success.’ It’s too arbitrary and too relative a thing. It’s usually someone else’s definition, not yours.”
      “If I ever saw myself saying I’m excited going to Cleveland, I’d punch myself in the face, because I’m lying.”
      “In baseball, even the best hitters fail seven of ten times, and of those seven failures there are different reasons why. Some are personal failures, others are losses to pitcher. You just get beat. In those personal failures, I felt I could have done better.”

      • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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        Those quotes are from Icharo?

    • Coolwhip

      Coolwhip says:
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      Also Ante, B. If K/9 is a thing, then you want Pagan, mcuh higher K-rate than Huddy. Emiliooooooo!

      • baby seal says:
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        Emilio!!!!!!

        Was never drafting him pre-trade. Now, I kind of dig it. (price matters!)

        • baby seal says:
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          Also, K/9 is not a thing in RCL (I hope, lol, would be news to me)

          Hudson — better path to SVs

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ante!

      A. Yeah, kinda whatever on them now

      B. HUdson

      C. HA, yes! — I just didn’t apply myself, that’s what I tell myself

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        I think he could’ve hit homers if he wanted to — fwiw

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          But that is also what hitters say who don’t hit homers

          • Sweatpants Nation says:
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            Although Ty Cobb made the point he could hit for power if he really wanted to. 1925 3 homer game after he said he was going to hit homers. Also hit 2 the next game. Maybe it’s great hitters can do what ever they want. Chone Figgins and Juan Pierre were never going to hit home runs no matter how hard they tried.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, maybe, but it’s also easier said than done

              • baby seal says:
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                Wait, did we really compare Juan Pierre and Chone Figgins to Ty Cobb?

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  I didn’t

                  • Dave D says:
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                    How about compating Ralph Garr to Dave Kingman?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Compating?

                  • Dave D says:
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                    I was one letter off on “comparing” but I’d be fine with”constapating”.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha, I thought it might be competing… Anyway, Ralph Garr is a throwback!

                  • Dave D says:
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                    My mind is about 85% stuck between 1978-1995.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I hear ya on that

                    • Coolwhip

                      Coolwhip says:
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                      mine is stuck in 2002 ;-) guess why?… Close. but I also had an extremely hot girlfriend at the time that would… nevermind… yes, the Angels.

                • Coolwhip

                  Coolwhip says:
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                  LOL its a contrast or juxtaposition ;-)

                  • Dave D says:
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                    Haha. But…. memories, mammaries and… nevermind.

                  • baby seal says:
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                    Sexy Mike Trout gets allllllll the babes

      • galica says:
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        Grey!!!

        a. Love you, man!

        b. With the news about MIA and AZ, I dropped Lucchesi for Pagan.

        c. The team is now.

        Alfaro
        Olson
        Moustakas
        JoRam
        Lindor
        Walker
        Mondesi
        Dozier
        Akiyama
        Peralta
        Schwarber
        Soler
        Smith
        Bench – Madrigal

        SP – Kopech, Giolito, S Gray, Lynn, Odorizzi, Pearson, Robbie Ray
        RP – Yates, Hand, Hudson and Pagan

        Thoughts?

        d. What are your thoughts on Jon Gray in this new possibility of AZ and FL? Is he more a play now that Coors is out?

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          A. Same!

          B. Fair

          C. What happened to your pitching?

          D. I like him more there, for sure

          • galica says:
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            Grey!!

            I dropped Lucchesi for Pagan. That’s the only change. I had another RCL which was similar (RCL#47 refers).

            Alfaro
            Alonso
            Villar
            Urshela
            FTJ
            La Stella
            Mondesi
            Carlson
            Marte
            Mercado
            Soler
            Stanton
            Andujar
            Bench – Madrigal, Grisham, Hilliard

            SP – SGray, Heaney, Odorizzi, Richards, Ryu
            RP – Chapman, Kintzler, Nick Anderson, Workman

            Looks familiar, right? Daniel Hudson is available in this league. Drop Hilliard to pick up Daniel Hudson?

            Cheers,
            Ante

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, that’s…That’s better, maybe it was how you had the team setup. Now I see an actual pitching staff

  3. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
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    Carlson’s the hot OF prospect that gets a lot of attention in St. Louis, but Lane Thomas seems to be the forgotten guy out there. Put up a nice little 27/17 season across AA/AAA in 2018, and excelled in both AAA and his cup of coffee with the Cards last season. Not sure that he bumps Bader out of CF to play his natural position, but why not bump Fowler and rock a Carlson/Bader/Thomas OF? Might not be too farfetched.

    How’s your quarantine going? I’ve been busy watching Pixar movies with my daughter, contemplating why I never invested in a bidet.

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
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      Thoughts on Tyler O’Neill in the Cards OF mix.

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
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        O’Neill isn’t a bad player, but his contact skills are atrocious. The local beat reporters suggested that Thomas leaped over him for the starting LF job before things were shut down.

        • baby seal says:
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          Where does Edman play? Super U?

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
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            3B. Carp isn’t a good defender, so I think he gets moved into the DH slot that’s likely to be added for the NL teams this year.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Banking on a DH in NL this year is a step past where I’m willing to go

              • Big Magoo

                Big Magoo says:
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                It’s a bit of a leap, but I haven’t seen any proposal that doesn’t include a universal DH this year.

              • baby seal says:
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                With you there

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Thank you

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I heard recently that toilet paper is a rather new invention in the history of man, so, tell ’em Tag Team, I’m taking it back to the old school, bc I’m an old fool!

      Quarantine is fine, tbh…I work from home, wasn’t that big of an adjustment…I do miss sushi tho…

      Thomas won’t play, I’m afraid, or at least not enough

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
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        It’s so new and exciting that stores can’t keep any on the shelves!

        Like I mentioned to MP above, the local Stl beat reporters suggested that Thomas had jumped into the lead as the favorite for the starting LF job. One of those things that’s gotten lost in the shuffle, understandably.

        I sent you an email yesterday about the post thing. Not sure if you got it though since it said that there was a server error when it was sent (though it appears in my sent folder).

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Resend your email, I didn’t see it

          Maybe on Thomas, but he screams 4th OF, if not 5th OF

      • JKJ

        JKJ says:
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        I wish Thomas would get a real shot. Guess it could happen, but there are a lotta mouths to feed in that OF. And I hate to admit it but I’m sure they’ll give Fowler the first helping. Hope his leash is HELLA short though.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Fowler’s a starter, Edman’s a starter…Last spot is between Bader, O’Neill, Carlson, Thomas, and I think that order, but who knows

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
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            Fowler’s slowly being phased out, and I think that Edman will play 3B. Carp will be used as a DH against RHPs in whatever configuration they come up with for this year. Maybe even a straight platoon with O’Neill. That’s how I see it anyway.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Fowler’s at least half ABs in a platoon, and getting phased out is a stretch…He was the starter last year, and did more than fine for real baseball

              • baby seal says:
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                Carp will get some leash at third too, and I think Wong plays as much as possible. They are going to be rotating guys a lot. Best hope is that Fowler is JUST AWFUL, but can’t 100% bank on that.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Yeah, can’t bank it, unfortunately…

              • Big Magoo

                Big Magoo says:
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                I think the only thing that’s kept Fowler in the lineup has been his contract, but there’s light at the end of the tunnel there (signed through next year). He’s produced 0.4 WAR over the past two seasons combined according to Fangraphs. Below average power, mediocre speed, poor defender. Even his on-base skills have become meh since he can’t hit for average anymore. Young, superior options behind him. The phasing begins.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  That’s you assuming tho…Signed thru next year doesn’t mean he’s out this year

                  • baby seal says:
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                    Yeah, it’s wishful thinking. Cards gonna not be cheap? Yeah, right.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yeah, exactly

            • baby seal says:
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              I see here, thanks

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
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          I see the OF jobs as wide open. Think that Fowler will be on a short leash, and even pushed into a 4th OF spot, and that Edman plays 3B. Bader in CF, with Carlson and Thomas settling into the corners. O’Neill has too much swing and miss to be a regular.

      • baby seal says:
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        I’ve ordered sushi twice in the last week … do you think I am nutso? haha

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I’m worried about ordering any takeout, but I am nutso…I ordered a block of tuna to make sushi myself, again, I am nutso

          • baby seal says:
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            HAHAHAHA, CLASSIC GREY! Just told my gf that. Had to.

            She thinks I am obsessed with you. Not sure she’s wrong.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha, tell her I’m your freebie

              • baby seal says:
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                ROFL

  4. costaricanchata says:
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    Phallux Smith …. hit .297 and stole 40 bases , in 2018
    …………………………hit .227 and stole 46 bases , in 2019

    smith steals 40 bases and hits ?.? (Lord knows what) … does it matter ?

    seems like a reasonable pairing match-up with nolan , j.d. , etc
    and you know what # he wears on the back of his jersey .

    • costaricanchata says:
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      clarification :
      rd 1 .. Nolan
      rd 2 .. jdm
      rd 15 smith

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
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        I drafted a bomb squad and a couple power/speed guys and Mallex. Not many 40+ SB guys left in MLB. Go for it.

        • baby seal says:
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          Going to be hard to steal 40 when you aren’t in the field … he’s sub replacement level.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Chata you must be glad you’re in Costa Rica right now, huh? You doing well down there during this craziness?

      Mallex could hit higher, but I wouldn’t count on it, but with Arenado and JD that’s a decent pairing since they give no SBs and lots of AVG

  5. baby seal says:
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    Hey G,

    Team below.

    Changes from yesterday’s post: added Alfaro, Gallegos, Hays, Weaver, Melancon, Pagan

    A few things: I had Will Smith for $4, and then some psycho, who apparently went the same HS as him, was DETERMINED to get him. Went up to $7 in the most painful bidding ever. Pretty dumb, IMO. Gallegos was sitting there for $6, so when he took Smith, I just went and took Gallegos for a dollar less. *shrug* … THE GUY NEEDED SAVES AND CHOOSE THE GUY WHO PROBABLY GETS LESS SAVES!

    I def spent too much on both Gallegos and Melancon. Probably should’ve stuck to my $3 on Melancon and let him go. I LOVE having Gallegos, though. Happy seal.

    So now, because of my stubbornness, I’m down to $3 for 3 spots – exactly where I didn’t want to be! I guess if I’m going to go outside of my budget once the entire draft, better to do it towards the end. I should have SVs LOCKED DOWN.

    Good to know that I’m almost guaranteed to win one of the cats, and one that is almost impossible to make up w/o waivers.

    I think my ratios should be pretty solid too, no? That was part of the idea here. Then, it will be a War of Attrition to see how many SP are left for the counting stats. But recall, no waivers, so someone who has like Reynaldo and the scrum, could pitch the *entire year* (assuming there is a season at all!) at like a 4.90 ERA and just destroy you.

    I was able to afford Gallegos because someone bumped me off my $3 Braun. Tried to float Domingo for a dollar, but someone took him. Oh, how the mighty ($) have fallen!!

    I do think it’s kind of hilarious that Avisail goes for $2 (?!?!?!) and someone wants Bran for $4 and Domingo / Hays, etc. for $2. WHAT? Maybe they were asleep (literally). Cesar is about to go for $3 and Wil Myers (lol) for $2. Def took some liberties after stealing Garcia.

    Now I got Mikolas out there for $1. Tried to get Bader out there, but he was taken. Fine, since I just read your comment that I might be low in AVG!

    I do have JD, Springer, Edman, and Turner to help there (besides McNeil, who you mentioned). Mercado could surprise. Avisail isn’t horrible. Not the best AVG team but should be OK. Totally cool with that being my weakest cat, though. We’ve discussed that RE the shortened season.

    QUESTION: I still need a hitter. Got any good recs? Should be someone around ~300 or later.

    Thanks!!

    #TeamSoFar
    C: Kelly ($5)
    C: Alfaro ($3)
    1B: Bell ($10!)
    2B: Hiura ($18)
    3B: Donaldson ($13)
    SS: Seager ($7)
    MI: McNeil ($12)
    MI: Edman ($7)
    CI: Turner ($10)
    CI: Sano ($8!)
    OF: JD ($28)
    OF: Springer ($20)
    OF: Laureano ($14)
    OF: Mercado ($9)
    OF: Avisail ($2)
    OF: Happ ($2)
    OF: Hays ($2)
    U: Cron ($6)
    U:
    P: Morton ($18)
    P: Montas ($13)
    P: Price ($8!)
    P: Lamet ($8!)
    P: Giles ($8)
    P: Kela ($4)
    P: McCullers ($4)
    P: Odorizzi ($4)
    P: Gallegos ($6)
    P: Weaver ($3)
    P: Melancon ($5)
    P: Pagan ($1)
    P:

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
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      I like your team Mr. Seal. Not to shabby.

      • baby seal says:
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        Thank you, MP!

        Very happy w/ it too :-)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Oh, man, I don’t know who’s available, you can’t list any names? Hmm…Santander, Hanser, Aguilar/Cooper, Williamson…A few that come to mind

      • Coolwhip

        Coolwhip says:
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        Thames would be my suggestion if still out there (not sure what his current adp is), also Yas, or dice roll on Tsutsugoh… his swing looks like Jim Thome.

        • baby seal says:
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          Tsuts is gone… you know DT and B_Don are in this league, right??? haha

          Yas?

          Will keep Thames in mind, thanks!

          • baby seal says:
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            ohhhh, Yastremzidndfsfsdf — he out there for a dolla already

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Doh, I meant Yaz not Williamson, I got my power-only Giants OF mixed up…Sorry about that… I still have no idea who’s available tho

              • baby seal says:
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                All good! Think I am set for now … will be back tomorrow morning if I am still striking out lol

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Sounds good

                  • baby seal says:
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                    Yeah, this Dwat guy def takes my guys just for the hell of it. Hanser gone too…

                    See ya tomorrow! lol

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha

      • baby seal says:
        (link)

        You listed one of the ones I want!

        I’ll tell you when I nom him. Just took my projections, sorted by AVG, added conditional formatting for anyone post 200 ADP.

        Thanks, G!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ah, nice!

          • baby seal says:
            (link)

            Mikolas also stolen from me. I sense there is some revenge sniping going on, lolol

            Was literally snatching guys left and right the entire time…

        • baby seal says:
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          I just got a nom actually. So let’s roll the dice w/ Alberto!

    • 183414 says:
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      Remember, there is likely to be a d.h., so a 4th o.f. or a util. player may now be getting a.b.’s.

      • baby seal says:
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        Interesting, I figured those guys would play more regardless if they are jamming the schedule — need to give starters some rest. Thanks!

  6. baby seal says:
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    I love the intro on this post, haha.

    Verdugo blurb is soooo spot on. The car analogy is great! I was kind of into him until the injury. Now just crossed him off. No thanks on the headache, bro. I have a feeling he would’ve been wayyyyy over-drafted without the injury, though.

    Cain, so many old timers (like anyone at the Athletic, hahaha) LOVE him. IDK, not sure I totally get it. Think DVR is a Brewers fan, right? He may be polluting the water over there. Fine by me! BOLD PREDICTION – do not put any money on this prediction! – Reynolds steals more bases than Cain this year. That’s fuckin’ bold. DON’T BET ON IT!

    If we’re being honest, these older dudes that we were fading are now becoming guys I’m OK on. Not targets, though, don’t get it twisted. Like Turner. I don’t LOVE him, but I can see it now if he fits the squad. A bit annoying these guys might actually be fine now. BUT! There’s always a but w/ baby seal – these guys who draft old dudes like Blackmon and Goldy *might* (keyword) be OK for this year – but (see, there are many buts around here) then they will have not learned their lesson, and will be doomed to repeat it!! Like w/ SP. You (not you, G) might luck out this year having been saved drafting Verlander way too early, BUT (!) you will inevitably do the same dumb thing again and pay for it eventually.

    Carlson – I’ve been way out on him until we get closer to the season, at least. Too many unknowns, as you said.

    Hilliard – samesies, but think he’s going a bit cheaper? Not totally out.

    Let’s see how this OC goes tonight. Hoping the league fills!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha, thanks!

      I don’t read Athletic

      Yeah, maybe on old guys, I’d actually think they’re safer now to play 100% (see comment about Fowler above)…That doesn’t mean they will play 100% and be good tho

      • baby seal says:
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        Yeah, totally agree. I am thinking the small change I make is that guys post 150 ADP may not be crossed off anymore. Willing to take a shot on some of those guys if I need that type of player

        Used Goldy and Blackmon as examples lower I still wouldn’t touch. Not worth it, but I do think the chances they are OK is considerably higher now.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, agreed

    • 183414 says:
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      Probably filled already. Had 4 drafts at the same time last night.

      • baby seal says:
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        Filled!

  7. KrazyIvan says:
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    If we go with the Cactus/Grapefruit Cocktail then some of these NL mysteries are going to be less important with the DH.
    A list of players from each team that think benefit from the much needed designated (hitter) driver after too much cactus-grapefruit cocktail (with alcohol percentage for guys to target more:)
    East
    Braves: Austin Riley: 70 proof. He was probably going to win the 3B job anyway so I could have gone Camargo but we aiming top shelf here at this hole in the wall.

    Mets: No one can mess up an great opportunity like the Mets, but I’m going for a bold one here, like Bacardi and Tab cola bold-we will call it the “Cespedes“ 60 proof

    Phillies: Hasely is the first of handful of rookies to make the list-50 proof (Note: the NL DH will also help veterans like McCutchen make it through the grind).

    Nationals: Kendrick/Thames platoon, a little too watered down: 40 proof.

    Marlins: Garrett Cooper. Why do I like this turkey? (Orders Makers Mark, checks wallet-only enough for some Wild Turkey)-40 proof.

    Central
    Reds: If they didn’t have a log jam in the OF I would have liked to see Lorenzen here-but seriously a lot of ways this can go to improve players stock: I’ll pick the 50 proof sake of Akiyama. The DH spot helps him transition better to MLB by having days where he can just concentrate on hitting.

    Cubs: Ian Happ’s potential is great, but I still question where he hits in the lineup and how aggressive the new manager is on the base paths- 50 proof.

    Brewers: Ryan Braun is a genuine trusted brand at 60.

    Cardinals: Carlson would be the popular choice but I could also see the Cards experimenting with Carpenter at the DH more. Not that tough to choose since I think Carpenter sucks. Give me a shot of 50 proof Carlson please

    Pirates: Grenadine-the non-alcoholic beverage spirit. Hayes maybe buys you a few more steals so there that- it’s something.

    West:
    Diamondbacks:Kevin Cron is who I want but Jake Lamb is just a better overall fit. The D’Backs need of lefty bats puts him in the best position. 50 proof

    Rockies: I wanted to make Hilliard a Johnie Walker Blue, but got to settle with (Bud)Black label-and doesn’t get those games at Coors-50 proof

    Dodgers: Pederson still sits vs lefties but the weird thing is that Andrew Heaney is only regular lefty stater in the new Cactus League Wild West saloon division. I’ll take a shot of that 60 proof.

    Padres: Wishing you hadn’t traded Franmil yet? Pick you side on Cordero or Naylor-I’m teaching for Franchy at 50 proof.

    Giants:Hunter Pence. Dunno, maybe this helps Longorias cause. I’m just as excited here as I was predicting the Pirates DH situation. 40 proof

    I like Riley the best-feel like Pederson and Braun are the safest, and Hilliard the best lotto ticket.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I love this, you should contact donkey teeth and get it up on the site as a post

      • KrazyIvan says:
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        Thanks. I’m not sure how to contact him. Haven’t seen him on the site as much lately.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I pinged him for you

        • Donkey Teeth

          Donkey Teeth says:
          (link)

          Hey KrazyIvan email me at [email protected] and we can get you set up.

      • Dave D says:
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        There’s no chance players will agree to spending 4 months away from their families quarantined in AZ. At least a third of players are already set for life compared to us. The older more established players that carry the most clout in the players union won’t agree to anything that involves long term separation from family. I’m guessing a 75/80 game season in hometowns mostly with maybe a few teams going a different direction (Toronto? NYY?). In any event, it will be what the Pujols/Scherzer/Daniel Murphy types allow it to happen if at all.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I agree with you…Grapefruit/Cactus league seems ridiculous…I’m guessing 100 games in home stadiums with no fans, starting July 4th

          • baby seal says:
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            I’m not buying the whole season there, either

            Don’t get why people read one thing, and then get so binary on it…? Like I tell my gf, there is something called a middle ground. It’s not ON or OFF with everything. It’s usually somewhere in the middle. #SealWisdom

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, exactly…It’s like the Tuffy Rhodes example…He hits 6 homers in 5 games and everyone thinks he’s gonna hit 75 homers

          • Dave D says:
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            Yeah, July 4would be good symbolically. it might make sense to end season a week or two early. That way playoffs could end before a2nd COVID waves, a controversial election or impending civil war or global war. All those options seem quite possible. It’s bound to be the most tumultuous year of our lifetimes already and it’s not even 1/3 over. I’m bracing myself.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, I tend to think they should end early just in case there’s more problems in the fall with Covid — July to October is better than nothing

      • baby seal says:
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        Is this a comment about baseball, booze, or both? haha

        CAN’T TELL BECAUSE I’M ADDICTED TO BOTH

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          HAHA

    • 183414 says:
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      Nice post. I like both Thames and Kendrick a bit more than 40 proof. Also Aquino may now work. Reds are a clusterfuck in the o.f.
      Agree on Braun and Riley. Riley could suck again like he did in aug/sept. Braun will pull something inevitably, and not a baseball.

    • Coolwhip

      Coolwhip says:
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      Agreed with others, nice angle. One thing I’d say is if Hayes is up he’ll likely play defense at 3B, and whoever is the oddman out might be the DH, probably Moran since his defense sucks, if not Jose Osuna etc.

      • KrazyIvan says:
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        The Osuna/Moran threat was why I gave it a non alcoholic rating. That part wasn’t clear-I like Hayes more then that.

  8. Homer's got the Runs says:
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    Who wins this keeper trade? 12 team keeper h2h league keeping 14 players. ObP is a category.

    Team A gets Bregman, Odor and Lamet.

    Team b gets Biggio, Benintendi and Luis Castillo.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      A

  9. Kevin57 says:
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    Grey, need a trade opinion in a H2H points league. I’d be trading Springer, Ryu and Sano or Encarnacion for JD Martinez, Yarbrough and Blackmon or Suarez. Which side do you prefer?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Springer side

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Very close tho

    • baby seal says:
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      Agree w/ Grey that it’s close, but what kinda points are we talkin’? Fantrax or CBS style? Big difference!

      Pro if it’s EE over Sano, otherwise, think I like the JD side, actually

  10. Earl says:
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    If someone asked me what is my drafting style, I would answer as follows:

    75% Razzball rankings and 25% my own thing.

    Hey at least I follow your advice 3/4 of the time. Even for the other 25% of the time, I hear your voice in the back of my mind (and I am not sure that is a good thing, haha).

    Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      That’s good enough for me, Earl!

      • baby seal says:
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        hahaha

  11. Green monstahh says:
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    Hey master grey hope all is well! This whole thing is just madness hopefully we get a since of normalcy soon I’m going coo coo lol , having quarantine with two toddlers is definitely busy; one is 2 & one is 1. I’ve walked around the neighborhood so much the past several weeks to keep myself sane & physically fit I’m in the suburbs middle of nowhere not a lot of people walk so it’s nice.

    Now it’s looking like it may be Grapefruit League & Cactus League starting June or July, even if it’s not official would you still have a draft soon in the coming weeks to pass the time & hace something to look forward to?

    If it is Florida & Arizona & I’m hearing it’s DH across the board , knowing that how much more valuable are hitters ?

    Thanks man & be safe !

    • baby seal says:
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      I told my gf, can’t imagine this situation w/ toddlers. WOULD BE HELL ON EARTH!

      A baby would probably be preferable, because you know what you signed up for there, and figured this situation doesn’t change that very much.

  12. baby seal says:
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    Yo G, let’s chat OC for a hot minute.

    My league filled, if you didn’t see that above. I have the 6th pick… AGAIN!

    I kid you not, I’ve done ~5-10 drafts (who’s counting?) and I get the middle EVERY TIME! I love the middle, so it’s cool. Wanted a shot at the top-3 finally, oh well. I’ve never owned Trout, and I guess I’ll likely have to wait another year (unless my home league ever starts!). But I like Yelich best, just to be crystal clear.

    183414 didn’t join the league (phew!), haha. Of course, like death and taxes, Heberlig is there. At least this is a 1-min clock, so he can’t put me to sleep! Someone should call 1-800-GAMBLERS for him — he has a serious problem, lol.

    Anyways, moving on! I love the middle — get a great feel for the ebb and flow of the draft — much harder to miss runs.

    I never understood the strange theory of drafting on the ends, “so you can start runs,” or push things around, or whatever. You can start runs from anywhere, guy.

    Too much reaching for me on the ends. 12-team is fine, but 15… I hate it!

    Think the order in which I’ll take my first pick will be: Bellinger (prob not there; never know w/ SP over there, though), Lindor, Turner. But I am heavily debating Turner over Lindor. Try to convince me one way or the other, please.

    Normally it would be Lindor, no doubt about it. I like to fade big 1 category guys. But as we’ve discussed, I am bumping those guys now, *especially* in the steals dept. I also sort of view Lindor as a very good compiler. He may not be able to compile as much. I always took Story over Lindor bc his triple slash is way better (not sure about OBP, but IDGAF about that).

    Other than that, I have this thing mapped out pretty good. Need to start hammering away more now, though. Draft is 9:30pm EST.

    Yesterday, I mapped out for the 2 slot, hoping I could will that into existence. Nope! Not a huge adjustment though–things normalize a bit after the first 4-5 rounds.

    Main thing I’ll be doing is mapping out my targets for the last 10 rounds, then working backwards from there, then mapping out the SP, and fill in the hitters around all that Jazz.

    Whatcha think?!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You’re getting Lindor or Turner, Bellinger won’t be there…I like either, I’d prolly lean Lindor, but can’t go wrong with either — only thing with Trea, he leans you harder later to not draft steals, make sure you still take some, just not too many…Lindor fits better with everyone else…I like Trea or Lindor and a big 1B then an SP or OF, then you take whatever you didn’t take in 3rd (SP or OF)

      • baby seal says:
        (link)

        Totally agree. Hey, just kayin’ — u never know! Belli is my boy, blue! Let a man dream! (Obviously don’t expect it, but if it does happen, I will be laughing soooooo hard thinking about this convo, haha)

        I think you just talked me into Lindor. Thank you, bc I was sorta leaning the other way, reluctantly.

        Yeah, BIG BAT in the second. Going to see what SP is there in the third, depends on draft flow, but trying to take the SP in the 4th if I can help it.

        Suarez is going criminally late in these things (81). He’s a big target for me, so will avoid 3B early if I can.

        Soler is bigly on the radar too–95. Not sure on that one, just yet. Def if I don’t get Suarez, he’ll jump up. Can’t have too many power guys with ‘S’ starting in their surname. That shiz almost confused the shiz out of me!

        Those are some of the standouts. You’ve seen all my teams, so you know who I like, will be usual cast of characters otherwise. Gonna keep digging, though. Just noticing SP has been pushed DOWN in a big way. A bit surprising.

        PS. Do you take DMs on Twitter? I want to float something by you that Donkey can’t see. Sounds juicy, right? (It’s honestly not thaaaat juicy)

        • 183414 says:
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          Good luck getting Bellinger, but highly unlikely at 4. Got him once @5. I have the 6 spot tomorrow night, and G man told me that Traa/Alonso/Ketel was his dream. haha. G/l tonight. If Olson gone in the 4th, then I’ll take a s.p., but I’m a fan of Olson.

          • baby seal says:
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            You sorta talked me into Olson yesterday, bro!

            IDK, let’s see on the draft flow.

            I know I won’t get Bellinger, but I’d rather be ready to take him than not. Better to think ahead than have to scramble on the spot!

            • 183414 says:
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              I was leaning toward Lindor, and Grey recommended I take Trea, given that my plan was to Devers, Ketel or Albies, then Olson.
              If you need to talk between picks, feel free to call me @760-331-7999. Always want to look a round or 2 ahead.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                If you want Devers, Ketel and Olson, Trea works great there…I own Trea too, not like I dislike these guys

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I wish I owned Olson, don’t be dumb like me

              • 183414 says:
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                Actually this is the 1st time I’m following your advice to wait on a s.p. I usually have 2 in the 1st 4 rounds, Might as well try something different. Now if Olson is taken, then I draft a s.p. in the 4th round. Abreu going after Rizzo, Goldy, LeMahieu, and Muncy. So would jump on him @67.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  I think with delayed season waiting makes even more sense

                  • 183414 says:
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                    Totally agree. Crapshoot with pitchers, even Cole, de Grom. Who knows when they’re not pitching in comfortable stadiums; no fans; uncharted territory. How many starts each . 15 ? 16 ? 18? I might be wrong, but if ever I’m going to wait on starters this is the year, IMO.

                  • baby seal says:
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                    Verdad, but if Bieber is there in the third… prob gonna have to pounce! Big <3 for Biebs.

              • 183414 says:
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                You like Alonso more. No problem.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Donkey won’t see this unless I ping him, he’s not monitoring comments…you can email me, but I don’t get email on my phone and I’m off my computer until tomorrow… Eugenio is going way late all the time…people are crazy to not be jumping for Soler too…

          • baby seal says:
            (link)

            Cool, cool.

            I mean, even if he knows my strategy, not sure there’s much he’ll be able to do to stop me… muhahahahaha

            So we are starting the next auction tomorrow. Yes, we are all degenerates. Next question.

            Same exact setup as last time, but will be 14 teams instead of 13.

            No waivers or bench, expanded starting lineups, 5×5 Roto, etc. Wait, there is no etc., that’s it!

            Since this is a $20 auction league, and the 4th one at that, w/ obviously no overall, I want to try something a bit wonky.

            I’m going to run the same projections, but just change the inputs for the extra team, and it’s now $300 instead of $260 (I guess there was an etc. after all!).

            These worked great. I’m pretty good at setting this up now.

            Without much further ado… the strategy I want to try is 1) Running what I just said so I have a baseline for what the league is likely / should do. I do think the top-end bidding may not go so crazy, since I suspect many will have learned their lesson about overpaying early in an auction. ESPECIALLY painful when it’s a SLOW one.

            2) Here it is: I want to completely and utterly punt SB. Boom, goes the dynamite! I’ll run the same exact projections, but WITHOUT steals as a category. Sounds cool!

            Here’s the thought process: 1) everything I’ve already said above (no overall, big starting lineups, etc.). 2) SB were (and are) extremely expensive. 3) There’s next to zero correlation w/ the other stats. 4) You can’t leave a draft of that size, with good players, and be perfectly balanced across the board — it’s just not possible. 5) It sounds fun to mix it up–why not? 6) I’m going to POUND the other cats into submission — I should have higher values than other guys on the zero SB guys, who were already getting a bit of a discount in the room last time, so my P should be ROCK SOLID.

            Whatcha think? Try to convice me otherwise, but will be hard to do. Would much more appreciate if u could part of any wisdom before I pursue this baby seal strategy.

      • 183414 says:
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        Hey Grey, you told me Turner, before my Devers and Ketel. Then hopefully Olson, before my 1sr s.p.

        • baby seal says:
          (link)

          Hahaha, I think he might’ve said Turner for *that* squad. He knows I like the combo guys, so maybe he said to go that route based on my preference?

          IDK, I try not to guess what G is thinkin’ too much…. :-) (he’ll tell u if u ask)

          • 183414 says:
            (link)

            Freeman may be there @19, and Alonso definitely will. They’ll be plenty of s.p.’s in the 3d and 4th rounds. Guess I’ll be rolling the dice in the 5th. Actually i’ve never done that before.

            • baby seal says:
              (link)

              Yeah, I was surprised to see that tbh. That’s why I asked, especially since you won it LY.

              Need to get going soon to focus on final prep.

              Freeman would be the dream. Trying not to plan that, because, ya know, Rainbows and Unicorns and all that.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Sounds good to me too… I have rankings, you see where I have Lindor and Trea

          • 183414 says:
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            I love Lindor, and if I knew I could get Albies @30, I’d take him, but Albies adp is right on 30, and I ‘d rather not sell out for speed down the road. Hope that makes sense. Ketel should give me more power, as will Devers and hopefully Olson. Olson’s gone before 43 a bunch of times. If he does I’ll zag to a s.p., and look to get Abreu @67.

          • 183414 says:
            (link)

            I know your rankings as good as anyone. I’ve told you before that you are the only “expert” I truly respect and listen to. All you can do is suggest and put out your opinion, well reasoned and all, but ultimately the decision is whoever is drafting. I know Lindor will beat Trea decisively in h.r.’s and r.b.i.’s, but I tend to lean on more power than speed, so given that Albies may well be taken before I’m up, that difference in s.b.’s between Albies and Ketel, just moves me over to Turner. I too, love them both. Hoping Turner shows a little more power this year.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Yup, all that makes sense — especially the stuff about me being smart! (Kidding)

              • baby seal says:
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                hahaha, you are super duper smart!

                I do think Trea can show some more power, otherwise I wouldn’t have even considered it much, tbh

  13. 183414 says:
    (link)

    Guess different strokes for different folks. I was actually surprised to see different recommendations, but so be it.

    • baby seal says:
      (link)

      Yep.

      NFBC just emailed me on the promo code . I asked if I could retroactively apply it, and they said no.

      But! They just offered to give me double the promo if I enter another OC … very tempting. Biggest concern is having too many FAAB leagues. What do you think? Going to see how tonight goes first.

      • 183414 says:
        (link)

        That’s $110, Alexander. They want to fill as many leagues as possible. No worries, my league was filled a couple of weeks ago. I get the 2019 winner of the CDM Diamond Challenge. Makes it all the better when you finish ahead. Have to beat everyone to win the big prize, anyway.

        • baby seal says:
          (link)

          I know! And you can call me Alex, if you aren’t going to call me by my official name, baby seal. Or people usually call me by my last name, actually. But would be weird to see that all over Razzball dot com.

          I was going to say that! They must be desperate.

          Yep. Good luck tomorrow!

          Here are the ppl in the league — lmk if you notice anyone…

          Eric Heberlig

          Paul Jager

          Aaron Jones

          Joseph Reagor

          Greg Lathrop

          ALEXANDER RINALDI

          Douglas Roth

          Paul Weber

          David Whilden

          Bradley Willis

          chris glew

          scott vetter

          • 183414 says:
            (link)

            Reagor has won an oa before. Willis plays a lot of teams, but wouldn’t worry. No other names I’m familiar with. I’ll be happy to call you baby seal. At the rate their filling up leagues this last week, they’ll likely get over 2,000 teams. I think they set it last year at 2,160. 180 leagues.

            • baby seal says:
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              Interesting, thank you!

      • 183414 says:
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        Let me how quick it goes. I bet no longer than 2:15.

        • baby seal says:
          (link)

          Will do

        • baby seal says:
          (link)

          Told you already, but was 2:25

  14. 183414 says:
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    Heberlig was in 5 of my lgs. last year. No worries. He plays a ton of teams. Not to brag, but I beat him in all 5. Stay balanced. Keep calm and cool, and try and have a player or a few in your queue, whom you like in case the clock is running on you.

    • baby seal says:
      (link)

      lol, I’m not worried about him. Drafted against him a few times already. NO IDEA how he manages 5k teams. Must have a small army in China/India or something. Emphasis on “small” haha.

      If he drafts anything like he did in the DCs, then I’ll be happy. He takes Clev every time.

      Thanks on the advice, but all good there. Queue will be overflowing with players.

Comments are closed.