It’s Day “Thinking about Delilah of Hey There Delilah meeting Virginia from Meet Virginia and what they’d say to each other” of the Quarantine. You know the normal stuff you think about it. The top 60 starters for 2020 fantasy baseball were updated with new projections for a 100-game season. With this series, I will take a look around the 2020 fantasy baseball rankings to see if there’s any differences now that we might only play a 100-game season. Projections have been updated on all my positional rankings. Anyway, here’s thoughts on the top 60 starters for 2020 fantasy baseball with the new Corona timeline:

43. Marcus Stroman – No change whatsoever for him, but he’s the epitome of me being bummed about baseball taking forever to get going. I am actively rooting so hard for Stroman this year, that I’ve had dreams of me, Pete Alonso, Stroman and a marsupial in a German bathhouse. No idea what the marsupial is doing there, but marsupials have been appearing in my dreams recently. Stroman has the perfect mix of ground balls and strikeouts, and, for the life of me, I couldn’t understand why no one else was as excited about him in The First Preseason. Still feel all that about him, but, in a shortened season, more unlikely things can happen, and Stroman doing well might be written off to weird anomalies. It won’t by me, but it might by others. Okay, all this is to say, I want to be able to say, “I told you so,” and not have people say, “Meh, it’s because of a shortened season.”

44. Julio Urias – So, I still love Urias, but with a shortened season, do I love him more? I’ve been struggling with that question, and I still don’t have a good answer for you. It’s like this:  If a guy who was supposed to be great for 120 IP in 162-game season is in a 100-game season, will he throw a tremendous 120 innings still? It’s like this, Pusha T is great on features, but is he great for a whole album? The answer for that is yes. But Steve Buscemi is great as a co-star, but is he a great leading man? No, and don’t come at me with Boardwalk Empire. It was an ensemble and overrated. Just because Julio Urias could throw 120 IP this year just as Gerrit Cole could, does it mean they are equal? Well, I think they’re closer in a 100-game season, but I have Urias projected for only 88 IP in a 100-game season. He could throw 120 IP, but more than likely he’s a five-inning starter who gets skipped.

46. James Paxton – Was moved back up in the rankings since he should be healthy by the time the season stops stopping and starts starting, but not quite as high as pre-injury in the top 500. Don’t really have as strong feelings on him being okay in the new timeline, as I did prior to his injury. This is purely anecdotal, but he feels like the type to even miss time, due to injury, in a 100-game season.

48. Jesus Luzardo – Pretty much samesies as Urias. Podcaster Ralph and I were discussing this on text the other day. There’s gonna be a lot of Middlers this year. Or Openers who throw three to four innings. The A’s aren’t gonna be like, “Cool, we only have 100 games, let’s throw Luzardo for 8 IP every start for 20 starts. I have him projected for 65 IP. Steamer pitcher projections have Luzardo at 83 2/3 IP. That’s a decent difference in only a 100-game season, so I might be a tad too low. My thoughts on it are the A’s have Puk, Bassitt, Blackburn and others who are going to see some innings, and the definition of ‘some’ might vary there too. Luzardo won’t see a full-time run of innings just because now a “full-time run of innings” is only 120.

50. David Price – Here’s someone who’s prolly adjusting well to quarantine, because he’s spent at least two months during each of the last three seasons doing nothing but play video games. I’ve been against drafting Price this offseason, and I’m still not sold on him. Now, I can see the case for him a bit more clearly. In a shortened season, he doesn’t need to throw 170+ IP to have value. He’s still lost velocity for three straight years, and last year, he threw 107 1/3 IP with a 4.28 ERA. I get it:  Fenway sucks. Well, we don’t know he’s going to be pitching in Dodger Stadium (I think he will, though), but he was a 3.46 ERA pitcher in Fenway. That wasn’t the issue. People were hitting him hard, that was a problem.

52. German Marquez – As mentioned in the Price blurb, I think teams will play in their own stadiums, but, if they don’t, I might move Marquez up a little. Counterpoint:  Marquez’s ERA in Arizona for his career is 4.54 in 81 1/3 IP. Are we all forgetting that Chase Field was so offensive for, uh, offense they put in a humidor? You know what will be interesting if the league goes through with a Grapefruit/Cactus season (and I don’t think they will, but…), pitchers in Florida are going to have a huge advantage vs. ones in Arizona, based on climate alone.

 
  1. galica says:
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    Grey!!

    Top shelf, tio, on this top60 for SP report!

    a. Questions abound man! Will they stay in their stadiums, will there be a Cactus/Grapefruit League approach? Hopefully the season gets off. That’s a good first step.

    b. On today’s date 23 years ago, the unimaginable happened…Philip Humber threw a perfect game, retiring all 27 batters faced, nine Ks. His fastball topped out at 91MPH but he was mostly using offspeed pitches at 83 to 87 MPH. He retired Ichiro 3 times, the SEA lineup was pretty awful.

    c. MLB quote of the day for June 30, 1984

    [“He is gorgeous, absolutely complete. I’ve seen him drop down bunts that would melt in your mouth, come up the next time and execute a hit and run that comes straight off the chalkboard. I’ve seen him hit fastballs out of the yard on a line, and I’ve seen him get under a high curve and loft it just over the fence.”]

    Bill James of Harold Douglas Baines

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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      last thing i read the FLA idea is out for some reason, possibly government in FLA less amenable to it. so currently it’s sounding like ARI only till the states let large groups back in same spot. or maybe just no fans in home parks (but that’s more expensive for less money, whereas everybody go to ARI for a monthish is way cheaper)

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        FLA is much larger area for teams to travel too for stadiums (I think) — MIA to Tampa-area is far

        • Wake Up says:
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          Speaking of alligator alleys…

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Alligators got swamp ass

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks!

      A. Yeah, I’m with you…

      B. There were 3 no-hitters in the last 7 (8?) years thrown on 4/21

      C. What happened with yesterday’s quote? Did we ever find out who it was?

      • galica says:
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        Grey!!!

        Ga!! I responded yesterday.

        To recap…

        c1 Ty Cobb
        c2 Herman Babe Ruth

        Pretty high praise from two of the greats.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ah…Nice, missed it yesterday

          • galica says:
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            Grey!!

            a. No problem, Chief!

            b. While I have your attention, who do you like for this year?

            1. Bench bat hitter
            a. Solak
            b. Madrigal

            2. SP
            a. Civale
            b. Lucchesi

            c. Otherwise, have you seen any good TV series on netflix? My wife watched the first 3 minutes of Steve Buscemi as God (after I downloaded season 1 and 2 and found the subs) and said that she couldn’t watch this horsesh*t. 3 minutes!! At least, it was longer than the 1 minute she gave to The Wire – The Wire, all five seasons downloaded (like 15+Gigabytes) with subs….NADA! To give you a hint, we’re watching Dexter (season 1) and she likes it.

            Cheers,
            Ante

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              B. Madrigal

              C. I worry your wife and I might not have same taste, but I liked Money Heist

              • galica says:
                (link)

                Grey!!

                Money Heist all four seasons devoured. We liked season 1 of Dark and season 2 is all set (with subs) to go. Also liked The Knick (season 1 and 2), The Alienist (awaiting with baited breath season 2). She didn’t like Black Monday (sigh).

                Cheers,
                Ante

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  There’s a new Money Heist season, you watch that too?

                  • galica says:
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                    Grey!!

                    Is that season 5 or season 4 that came out like 2 weeks ago?

                    Cheers,
                    Ante

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yeah, I think season 5

  2. Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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    deep league (16) with QS, K/9 added. round 15 i have this:
    C
    1B bellinger (K, we keep from previous season’s ADP so i barely could cram in yelich/soto and him, obv all of these will not be in play next year, can’t keep multiple 1st rounders unless you traded for an extra 1)
    2B antana
    SS correa (OPS/total bases/hits here he gets a bump and i got him pretty cheap)
    3B jd davis
    CI
    MI wong (needed some runs and steals here, most recent draft pick)
    LF soto (K)
    CF (could move bellinger here but probably not depending on CF’ers left vs 1B left)
    RF yelich (K)
    OF ozuna
    util (2) otani (K, not yahoo so i get both for price of one)
    SP (want about 8): woodruff, otani, carrasco
    RP (6 max): raise the church, doolittle (holds here too)

    budget says it’s time for SP #4 (i’m at .7571/.6437/.7975 for hitter/SP/RP thusly)

    i know what your rankings would say (it’s yarbrough) but due to QS and starter wins only (so those yarbrough starting in the 2nd innings can’t get QS nor starter wins) not just wins, is he still the next choice out of these (QS rater stats shown):
    – r.hill (infinite DL slots here, -5.6 but 2.2 per game)
    – yarbrough (rater doesn’t like him, -4.4, .1)
    – gibson (rater LOVES him, and if he does well at TEX rudy will get ALL the credit now, as you no longer trust the bots on him, 7.2, 4.2, BUT i KNOW i can just get him later than here anyway)
    – gausman (rater AND you like him, 4.3, 2.6)
    – cueto (1.3, -1.7, these latter 2 SF guys i can probably get later)
    – keuchel (1.8, -3.1. rater likes his QS rate but nothing else and guaranteed innings of course, something i don’t have tons of yet with carrasco/ohtani)
    – matz (2.4, -1.)
    – pab lop (.8, .2)
    pretty sure pab lop, keuchel, yarbrough and probably hill gone by my next SP pick, probably some of the below too.
    – seems too early but upsidey types like cease, mckay, pearson, may still out there too but other than cease these don’t have innings i probably want on SP #4 (would go some of them later though, at least 1), plus the QS rater always hates rookies.

    • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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      those hitter/SP/RP numbers assume targets of 65/24/11.

      • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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        didn’t realize it but cease’s QS rater numbers are way better than i’d have thought here: -1.2, -3.1

        • baby seal says:
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          Assume you’re using Rudy’s QS rater? Just remember the margin of error (read: standard deviation) on those values, where you are around 90th overall, is quite high.

          Should be a filter, but don’t use it religiously. You want to let it highlight guys for you to dig deeper on.

          Cease is interesting, but agree he’s not a SP 4 in your current context…

    • Cram It says:
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      You’ve put much thought into your SP 4. May this uncertainty not follow you the rest of your draft.

      • baby seal says:
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        haha

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      I’d try Gibson

      • baby seal says:
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        Yeah, Gibson sounds OK.

        Other ideas if available… assuming Weaver, McCullers, Stroman, etc. are not there?

        Wood is a guy I like around there. Going to assume Musgrove and the like aren’t around.

        Gausman is OK but feels like you’re reaching?

        I like taking a shot on Mikolas, if the injury heals, but he’s more of a late 12-team guy for me right now. You really NEED INNINGS w/ the guys you already have…

        Stroman would be really good if he’s around. Houser, Archer and Bundy are wildcards working on pitch mix changes, Eovaldi is a total wildcard, Descalfani, Lindbloom is a random dude, Kwang has stuff that moves a ton and is new in the league, Alcantara has ace-type stuff, Peralta is a dart throw, Bassitt (should get innings), Howard is my fav rookie upside guy, Gore is similar, Voth is a decent late dart throw IMO, Wade Miley for a prayer later… going even deeper: Turnbull, Duffy apparently had added some MPH to his slider in the Spring before, Lopez?

        Good luck! Bunch of names to check out there…

        • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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          a.wood is, so is sandy, not musgrove or any of the others though. lindblom already i’m targeting (but can do later i know how much he cost in a 30 teamer months ago (near nothing))

          • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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            yeah howard i’m targeting in dynasties ahead of all those other prospect guys listed, already drafted him twice since early march with 1st rounders in leagues where i was hitter prospect strong but pitcher weak. he simply isn’t around after the 1st round in any spot where he wasn’t already owned. pearson is going in similar spots

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I like Yarbrough, Gausman, Pablo, Matz

  3. Hi Grey,
    Thanks for yet another awesome article.
    12 team standard 5×5 auction $260 per team. I think this team is unbeatable. I have $441 of value according to Rudy’s $ values.
    S Perez $1
    Bellinger $37
    Torres $18
    Devers $24
    Story $28
    Goldy $14
    Bichette $14
    Robert $10
    Stanton $17
    F Reyes $1
    Cutch $1
    O Mercado $1
    Ohtani $4

    Snell $20
    Clevinger $20
    Bauer $12
    Lynn $5
    Heaney $1
    Minor $1
    Osuna $12
    Rogers $12
    Leclerc $1

    Joc $1
    Newman $1
    B Anderson $1
    Grichuk $1
    Archer $1
    Gibson $1

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      Love that team

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      $441?! Haha, that’s hilarious…I like the team too…Not entirely sure how you got that pitching staff with the hitters you have — Snell and Clevinger went for $20?! Why?

      • baby seal says:
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        hahaha, right??

        Pretty good team, just a lot of injury risk on the squad, so good luck and keep those bench spots warm!!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, pretty much

      • TBH I think it’s the usual massive overpay for the elite hitters and pitchers. I might pay one extra $ max for an elite hitter so that i’m assured i’ll spend my budget but anything more is a total waste.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Gotcha

        • baby seal says:
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          This has been my strategy too

          ESPECIALLY in a shortened season, top guys have less of a chance to win out, just bully ADP 50-150 and get a deep team

          good luck

  4. DonnieB says:
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    I drafted Gausman at $10, Mitch Keller at $2, and Freddy Peralta at $1. All free agents are at $10. Would you replace any of those players now with free agents Houser, Cueto, Gore, Givens, Harvey, Oberg, Pearson or Canning? Thanks and you can stop the COVID updates at SP 160… or earlier. You are doing yeoman’s work in this extended off season.

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
      (link)

      What do the dollar values mean right now? Is it just about their 2021 keeper cost or?

      • DonnieB says:
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        Mainly keeper cost but also in season roster cap of $300.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Oh, and No problem!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Meh, I’d hold for now…But Gausman in Arizona would be droppable for Houser

  5. Shoegum Reynolds says:
    (link)

    Springer, Brantley and Reddick are all FAs after this season. Two will be pricey and on the flip side of 30 and one is replacement level. I expect Tucker will be given a fairly long leash but to me Myles Straw is a wild card they might take a long look at as long as he can produce at or near the level he has so far in MLB. He has a strong minor league track record and is reported to be an upper echelon defender in CF. You think there’s something here? His kind of SB/OBP potential on a waiver grab would be pretty juicy. And thanks a bunch for keeping on keeping on!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Oh, yeah, Tucker in 2021 seems like a good bet, but not loving him this year

  6. NUX says:
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    Still got 2 openings in that NFBC $25 Bestball slowdraft that I was chirping about yesterday.

    Who is feeling lucky?!?!

    Well, you don’t have to be that lucky. Or even all that talented…

    The Top 5 teams take home $50. So you don’t even need to try to win! Just try for 5th place :)

    • baby seal says:
      (link)

      Hey G,

      Great report – back to our regularly scheduled programming!

      Stroman – agree, tough break for you, since I think volume was one of his main selling points. I still think he can go deeper into games than the guys going around him, which will be valuable. I wouldn’t worry too much and it doesn’t seem like you are either.

      While there will likely be a GLOB of pitchers that are all within a few dollars of each other, there’s an outside chance for anyone who can average 6-7 IP per start to *really* blow away the field. Other than my undying love for the Biebs, for so many reasons as you well know — one thing that I REALLY like about him now — is that he was top-5 in distance per start last year.

      That’s something people are really missing the boat on w/ the shortened season, IMO. Like Luzardo, he should be going around the same price overall in my eyes. Think he’s only ever had, what, 2 or 3 starts over 5 IP in his professional career? He can still be AWESOME – but the margin for error is so much smaller now…

      Urias – ditto to above. I’m happy to take around the same price, but w/ the injury risk thrown on top of Dodgeritis, don’t go crazy for him, y’all! People are forgetting guys like ya boy Lance Lynn. He can throw deep into games a bunch. That’s who you want!!

      Lynn – (not in your report!) – this is a guy who you like and smart people like yourself are on. All good. Just wanted to share a general observation w/ the reader. You must ask yourself, why is Lynn still going around 120 overall after a great year? If you look at his projections, which whether you (not you) use them or not is irrelevant to me — because they are DEEPLY baked into ADP — so don’t be a dummy, they have not yet caught on to the very real changes he made in both pitch mix and velo last year. Not too dissimilar to your guy Giolito. This is how I love to use projections – find the blind spots and exploit them.

      Paxton – agree.

      Luzardo – yep.

      Price – Grey! You aren’t going to look at the splits for him pre- and post-injury last year??? C’mon! I will live that to the reader. He also had his velo return (to some extent) in the Spring. Since he’s shown he’s healthy, I’ve picked him up everywhere I can, from when I was fading him back in the BC times – a distant memory that was, in Jan/Feb. The only downside w/ him, IMO, is how many games do they play in Arizona / Florida this year? Not facing the Yanks must help too! Haha.

      Marquez – my heuristic of not drafting Rockies’ pitchers – no matter what — has not and will not ever change, so long as they call their home ballpark Coors. See above: I’m also not sold on all games being in Arizona.

      Great stuff, homie!!

      • baby seal says:
        (link)

        You mind deleting this one, please? Accident…

    • baby seal says:
      (link)

      Join us!!! Will be a lot of fun :-)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I might get in this — Can you tell me more? Slow draft? 4-hour timer?

      • NUX says:
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        Knoche and DT are both in!

        Do you need more detail than that???

        Just kidding. Its a 2 Hour Timer on the slow draft. If you join, you’ll be Team #12 and the draft will then start 15 mins later.

        $25 to join. Then if you finish in places 1-5 in the standings, you get $50 at the end of the season. AKA double your money if you are in the Top Half of the league.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Is this same as other Best Balls? Is scoring same?

          • baby seal says:
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            Yes, scoring is the same as Razzslam!

      • The Great Knoche says:
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        Come on Grey. Get in. Will give us something to talk about for next week and a half.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, think I’m going to, but why is landing page different?

          • baby seal says:
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            That’s their Best Ball “sister site” (for lack of a better term), AFAIK

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Trying to pay with Paypal and it’s not clicking

              • baby seal says:
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                PayPal SUCKS

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Yeah, it’s crap, but I figured it out

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    Trying not to have Cougs see my transactions

                    • Hernan says:
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                      You need Jonah Byrde, lol….,

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Why is the landing page different than I’m used to seeing? Is it bc this is a private league and not eligible for overall prizes?

          • NUX says:
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            Yea its not eligible for anything like an overall prize. You get your money back +$25 if you are in 1st-5th place. That’s all.

            Also, its not the NFBC’s usual site, its their $25 and $10 product which is also connected through SportsHub. So that’s prob why it looks a bit diff

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Scoring is same?

              • NUX says:
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                Yep same as the Razzslam

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Nice!

                  • The Great Knoche says:
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                    Scoring is same….check out rosters though. That’s different.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      WUT?! I thought it was same-same-SAME

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Okay, I’m in

          • The Great Knoche says:
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            And you got #1 pick.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha, nice!

      • NUX says:
        (link)

        You can also just wait until you’re ready for the draft to begin. As long as no one else shares the link (I’ll tell them not to) we can start the draft up when Mr. Albright is ready.

        • baby seal says:
          (link)

          WILL I FINALLY GET THE CHANCE TO DRAFT AGAINST GREY?!??!

          I LOVE QUARANTINE ;-)

      • NUX says:
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        Scratch that…. need you to join ASAP Grey! Cause i shared the link here. Not a smart move by the commish.

        • baby seal says:
          (link)

          lolol

          • NUX says:
            (link)

            I is a dumb dumb!

            But as Knoche just mentioned to me, at least we’ll finally get it filled up if that happens.

  7. baby seal says:
    (link)

    Hey G,

    Great report – back to our regularly scheduled programming!

    Stroman – agree, tough break for you, since I think volume was one of his main selling points. I still think he can go deeper into games than the guys going around him, which will be valuable. I wouldn’t worry too much and it doesn’t seem like you are either.

    While there will likely be a GLOB of pitchers that are all within a few dollars of each other, there’s an outside chance for anyone who can average 6-7 IP per start to *really* blow away the field. Other than my undying love for the Biebs, for so many reasons as you well know — one thing that I REALLY like about him now — is that he was top-5 in distance per start last year.

    That’s something people are really missing the boat on w/ the shortened season, IMO. Like Luzardo, he should be going around the same price overall in my eyes. Think he’s only ever had, what, 2 or 3 starts over 5 IP in his professional career? He can still be AWESOME – but the margin for error is so much smaller now…

    Urias – ditto to above. I’m happy to take around the same price, but w/ the injury risk thrown on top of Dodgeritis, don’t go crazy for him, y’all! People are forgetting guys like ya boy Lance Lynn. He can throw deep into games a bunch. That’s who you want!!

    Lynn – (not in your report!) – this is a guy who you like and smart people like yourself are on. All good. Just wanted to share a general observation w/ the reader. You must ask yourself, why is Lynn still going around 120 overall after a great year? If you look at his projections, which whether you (not you) use them or not is irrelevant to me — because they are DEEPLY baked into ADP — so don’t be a dummy, they have not yet caught on to the very real changes he made in both pitch mix and velo last year. Not too dissimilar to your guy Giolito. This is how I love to use projections – find the blind spots and exploit them.

    Paxton – agree.

    Luzardo – yep.

    Price – Grey! You aren’t going to look at the splits for him pre- and post-injury last year??? C’mon! I will live that to the reader. He also had his velo return (to some extent) in the Spring. Since he’s shown he’s healthy, I’ve picked him up everywhere I can, from when I was fading him back in the BC times – a distant memory that was, in Jan/Feb. The only downside w/ him, IMO, is how many games do they play in Arizona / Florida this year? Not facing the Yanks must help too! Haha.

    Marquez – my heuristic of not drafting Rockies’ pitchers – no matter what — has not and will not ever change, so long as they call their home ballpark Coors. See above: I’m also not sold on all games being in Arizona.

    Great stuff, homie!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yes! Volume on Stroman, that’s what I was getting at, you expressed it much more simply

      Yes totally on Luzardo too…You’re making good points today, what did you eat for dinner last night? It’s agreeing with you!

      Great point on Lynn too…What is going on here?

      Fair on Price, and his, um, price has been good

      Agreed on German, nice stuff by you!

      • Great discussion guys. Now I admit i’m a slave to my numbers, but whilst I totally agreed with every word Grey wrote on Ohtani on Friday, I loved getting him for $4 on the team I posted about earlier. Marquez is worth $10 according to Rudy, i’m guessing Grey values him at about

        • continuing lol, Guessing Grey values him about $8. If I can get him for say $3 i’m gonna grab him. IMHO it’s all about the value regardless of where a player plays or who he plays for.

          • baby seal says:
            (link)

            I *probably* wouldn’t do it, but I see what you are saying.

            But, having looked at your team, I don’t think you are setup to eat those ratios…. would say to look elsewhere first.

            Grab as your 6/7 if he’s still around then, otherwise, pass.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I wouldn’t draft Marquez

          • This is why it can be dangerous being a slave to the numbers like I am. I often end up with players I don’t like lol. I just hate wasting all the work I’ve put in to come up with my numbers not to adhere to them.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              You should just use our numbers

              • baby seal says:
                (link)

                ROFL!

                Use the numbers, let the numbers work for you, McNeilDavid.

                Why on EARTH would you ever want to be a slave to some FKing numbers??? I’ve never understood that term (I do, but why is someone willingly doing that??).

                I heard Ariel Cohen say the same thing on a pod recently. He’s probably the most numbers-based guy that I respect, outside of Rudy.

                DO NOT BE A SLAVE TO THE NUMBERS (in case that wasn’t already clear)

                “Experts” who are a slave to the numbers NEVER finish 1st in their leagues. Ask yourself why.

                I wrote this above to you, so will not repeat the whole diatribe again… the numbers are a way to FILTER players. Get a list of guys to look at. THEN FORGET ABOUT THEM. ESPECIALLY w/ PITCHERS.

                Was that clear? lol, hopefully I wasn’t rude, just trying to make this point and help you out, bc I know exactly the kind of fantasy player that you are, probably very good, but just missing a couple key ingredients.

                Good luck!

                • I’ve actually done ok at fantasy sports. Won a trip to the Super Bowl , won the 200 team rotowire yahoo cup at soccer and my share of baseball leagues. Could never crack basketball though as I could never keep a healthy team on the court

              • I use your numbers for my raw stats. However I use my own formula to come up with numbers that actually are almost identical to yours. I can never become a better player if I let you guys do all the work lol. I also make other adjustments which puts more value into the better players for an auction etc. Bottom line is I couldn’t do it without you guys but I love doing as much as I can myself

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  I get it, you enjoy it, so why deprive yourself, makes sense

      • baby seal says:
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        Thanks, G!! I’m working to make these long ass posts a little more concise, hahaha.

        While I do love talking to you, baby seal needs to keep it in his pants a bit!!! That was vulgar! But I think I’ll lose anyone else reading these things if they take up half the comment section… haha

        Well, if you must know, my girlfriend is *finally* learning how to cook! And we’ve watched The Crown three nights in a row now!! She made a pesto zucchini pasta w/ sausage and tomatoes. Very good!

        Maybe it’s just that I’m starting to settle into quarantine life now? Sad if true…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Do you guys usually live together or does she come over all the time?

          • baby seal says:
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            I allow her to live here. Lease is in my name

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Wow, what a mensch!

              • baby seal says:
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                I always forget that isn’t a negative term, lol

                Sounds like it, no? haha

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Not as bad as crepuscular

    • Coolwhip

      Coolwhip says:
      (link)

      Yep came to say same on Lynn.

      Coors – Freeland is an interesting case… in his “breakout” 2018 he was bit better at home and he actually got better in the 2nd half. In BCST he was all hyped up in camp, confidence was back, and he was saying in interveiws that he had fixed his mechanics in the offseason that led to his awful 2019 that he described as breaking down his timing and out of rhythm. If that remains true and “fixed” in ST part 2, he’s one to keep a monocle on. His main strength in 2018 was deception and throwing off the timing of hitters much like Weaver did for many years with the Angels.

      • baby seal says:
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        As I said, the heuristic has no exceptions. I’ve never looked into Freeland, honestly

        Maybe one day, if he ever leaves Coors…

        PS. Replied to your comment on your post from last week. All good if u can’t reply, or even just a quickie here would be awesome!

        Thanks Cool!

        • Coolwhip

          Coolwhip says:
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          ooo gotcha, responded.

          • baby seal says:
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            Responded myself just now, thanks!

            Mostly just said “OK!”

  8. Wake Up says:
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    She doesn’t own a dress just plain white t’s
    If you think her hair is a mess, you should see her husband’s (got cut off long story)
    Ironically Virginia seems much more concerned with hair in general…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, what is the deal with Virginia? So superficial

      • Wake Up says:
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        Delilah: My voice is my disguise

        Virginia: my mom cooks alligator thighs

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Virginia wins this round!

          • Wake Up says:
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            Never mind teeth, imagine what she could do with the jawbone of a donkey!

            (Might have to give this one a goog but I assure you it is well done)

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Donkey Jawbone is unrelated to Donkey Teeth

              • Wake Up says:
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                Dammit!

  9. leon says:
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    Thoughts on Mcmahon for my Paxton and yandy.

    thanks ahead. nice reads every morning!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks! Pax side, but it’s fair

    • baby seal says:
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      0% chance I would even entertain that trade

  10. lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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    Buscemi is one weird looking dude his best role was Donny in the Big Lebowski………….great actor but never a great lead

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, Lebowski all the way… You’re out of your element, Donnie!

    • Wake Up says:
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      What’s a pederast, Walter?

      • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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        That Rug Really Tied the room together

        Fuckin A

        and this guy peed on it ?

        shut up Donny

        • Must not be a golfer…

    • Coolwhip

      Coolwhip says:
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      What do you need that for, Dude?

      • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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        The best was when he was talking about John Lennon and Walter thought he talking about Lenin.

        • Coolwhip

          Coolwhip says:
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          lol yeah… He says I am the Walrus like 10 times while everyone ignores him

        • He fixes the cable?

          • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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            i don’t need not sympathy i need my johnson

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, think I’m going to, but why is landing page different?

          • I had a rough night and I hate the Eagles, man

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Except Harvey Birdman, what a hero

  11. Wake Up says:
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    Completely agree with you on Boardwalk…what was all the hype about?

    Also this GoT …guess I was wrong about the whole Ned thing…still got a strong feeling about the oldest son and his mom pulling this off
    Instead of GoT I might have went with EWGMSI (exposition while getting my steps in)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I think bc it was Marty, even though I’m not sure he was involved after 1st season (maybe 1st ep)

      My money’s on Robb, he just needs to find the right woman and get married

      • Wake Up says:
        (link)

        Hahaha

        Thanks for the The Americans rec…best show I’ve seen in a while!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I think I liked it better than Breaking Bad

          • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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            Really ? What show is that?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Money Heist? It’s an Italian show on Netflix, it’s solid

              • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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                cool i started watch an italian comedy drama the mafia only kills in summer kinda of interesting so far

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Watch Gomorra, it’s best show ever

                  • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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                    cool thx for the tip

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      No problem

          • Me too!

      • Coolwhip

        Coolwhip says:
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        lol… Robb’s got plot armor for days.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          For at least seasons

          • *exhales*

    • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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      I tried a couple espisodes of boardwalk could really get into it

  12. Harley Earl says:
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    I disagree on your assessment of Julio Urias. I think he still gets 110 to 120 innings. I do think he gets a lot of 5 inning starts now as they will try to be careful with him. But I also see him throwing some 6 and 7 inning games. I don’t think he gets skipped more than once or twice. There’s just really no need.

    I mean, look at it this way. If the kid pitched 80 innings last year, what good for his long term development does it do for him to throw 88 innings this year? None. The Dodgers can still use this season to stretch Urias out to 120 innings. That has been the goal from the start. That goal is not going to change. If they followed your timeline, he’s basically lost another year and would be starting 2021 where he started 2020. Why would they do that? At some point, they have to let the kid pitch and really, this is the perfect situation for Urias.

    Maybe I’m all wrong here. But I just don’t see any advantage of holding him down to 88 innings.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      He can’t get 5 IP starts and throw 120 IP if the season is 100 games long…I think Cole is max innings in 100 games and it’s 124 IP

      • Harley Earl says:
        (link)

        Well he can throw 6 and 7 innings. He’s more than capable. Perhaps his first 5 or 6 starts will be 5 innings. But I don’t think he relegate him only to five inning starts. Surely you don’t either.

        Maybe Urias gets 100, 105 or 110 innings and not 120. But 100 games is essentially 20 starts and at 5 innings a start he gets 100. I do not see him averaging 4 innings a start.

        The point is, the Dodgers need him to get to 120 innings to continue his development. And they can still reach those goals or very close to them this season. I don’t see any reason why they suddenly veer away from that plan.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Dodgers also have Dustin May to feed innings to…Wouldn’t be surprised if every 5th day Urias and May threw 4 IP each…Otherwise, May is left behind bc there won’t be a minor league season

          • baby seal says:
            (link)

            Right, they rotated between Stripling and Urias LAST YEAR

            Really that hard to imagine they wouldn’t do the same thing again…?

            Earl, you are forgetting there will likely be expanded rosters. The Dodgers can throw Gonsolin for 3 IP at a time too.

            Dodgers are all about maximizing IP efficiency. If anything, I’d bet they’ll lean into that even more than usual. They already have 3 guys who can take the bulk: Buehler, Kershaw, Price. They have like 4-6 legit guys after that to maximize efficiency…

            And this is coming from a BIG Wood believer. It’s not ideal.

            You aren’t necessarily wrong, but I do think your optimism is a bit misplaced. Urias will only throw ~100 if he is REALLY dealing.

            Cheers

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Yeah, no one is getting 120 IP outside of maybe 5 SPs

              • 183414 says:
                (link)

                Me likey Luzardo. Threw 110 innings in ’18. I’ll take the over on your 65 and the over on Steamers 83.7. Based on 100 games. A’s a nice bet to win the A.L. and great odds to win it all. And I only have 1 share in the OC. Montas too. No shares.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  I like Luzardo a lot if he gets those IP, that’s the only issue for me

                  • Harley Earl says:
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                    OK, you guys win. You’ve convinced me.

                    I’ll concede he’s not getting 120 innings. I do think he’ll get 100. But, yeah, there are a lot of things that may really complicate anything beyond 100. I still don’t see them throwing him 8 innings more this year than last year. I guess at least 15 innings more and possibly 20. But, those extra innings might come during the playoffs.

                    • 183414 says:
                      (link)

                      Wish I owned 11 shares of either Luzardo or Montas, but 20/20 hindsight. I drafted all but 1 of my teams won I thought there would be a full/marathon season. No brainer now, IMO.

                    • 183414 says:
                      (link)

                      Ask Smoltz if he’d hold Luzardo under 120 innings. Or Leiter. Or Cone. Or Randy. Or Schilling. Or Pedro. They’re all having TJ when they’re pups. Stop babying these guys.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Yeah, hard to say right now either way, tbh

                    • baby seal says:
                      (link)

                      Ask Smoltz if he wants to play 18. He’ll say yes! hahaha

                  • 183414 says:
                    (link)

                    I’m spoiled now Grey man. Not just trying to win my league.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Haha, I bet!

  13. NUX says:
    (link)

    Grey! You landed first peck! Classic

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, first time this year! It was all worth it!

      • baby seal says:
        (link)

        Hahahahaha, baby seal gets 10th!

        Top-3 will NEVER happen in 2020, seal, so stop entering 5K drafts…

        sad, somber, seal

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I’ll trade you Acuna for Pete Alonso, if you draft him 10th

          • baby seal says:
            (link)

            Nice try!

        • 183414 says:
          (link)

          Try a s.s.

          • 183414 says:
            (link)

            Or Soto/JoRam. Don’t take Bieber 15. Take a s.p. in the 4th. You’ll have your choice of many studs. Can take Ketel @34..

          • baby seal says:
            (link)

            Thought you were calling me an ass! HAHA

            Soto, Devers, baby!

  14. primetime says:
    (link)

    If games are moved to Arizona Texas Florida or Antarctica , do you like Jon Gray?

    • baby seal says:
      (link)

      No, he’s out on Rockies

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Definitely like him in Antarctica

      • baby seal says:
        (link)

        lolol

  15. Great write up. I think your hitting 1st philosophy plays up bigger in a short season. Get dem sticks!
    Boy do we need something, anything baseball. Heard some rumors, Fla., Tex., Az., blah blah blah. The silence is killing me man. Thankful to at least talk baseball, but sure would be great to start seeing some spring (is it still?) boxscores and see how lineups are coming together. Personally, can’t wait to get back on the ballfield, sure do miss it.
    Loved the Earl Weaver quote from Ante, says it all.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, same here, man…Hopefully by mid-May we have a game plan, literally and figuratively

    • baby seal says:
      (link)

      Are you going to buy more add-free today?

  16. krazyivan says:
    (link)

    ‘Sup Razzball. Just got my ROTO deluxe add free to help the cause. Keep up the good work fellas.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks, bro!

  17. rick brown says:
    (link)

    Hey guys,
    Started watchin’ Hap & Leonard on Netflix.Based on recurring characters from books by Joe R.Lansdale.
    RICK

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Heard good things about it!

    • Thought u said Hagler vs Leonard for a sec. – haha
      Won big $$$ on Sugar Ray that night, what a fight!

  18. NUX says:
    (link)

    90 mins on the NFBC clock for you sir!

Comments are closed.