Like the Mets coming back to steal a ninth inning win, we are doing the improbable and shuffling it up with the Top 100 hitters for the rest of the fantasy baseball season. Maybe the Mets’ comeback is more impressive than this shuffle, but I still cannot imagine the Mets being must watch baseball! With that out of the way, we have some big moves this week with injuries to key players (see Eloy Jimenez) and returns for others (see Ramon Laureano). We also now have a month of insight to tell us who is real and who might simply be a mirage. In the spirit of Bill ‘Spaceman’ Lee, dig in to the rankings like a cosmic snowball means no tomorrow. Bonus points for those few that follow the reference!
Rising
- Rowdy Tellez – Rowdy busted out in a big way earlier this week with a two homer, eight RBI game against the Reds. With a top 10% barrel rate and xBA, Tellez has an intriguing power and average combination that is not too frequent in the game. Generally, a platoon bat with concerns against lefties, he has hit well against them in limited action so far this year. Buy now and ask questions later.
- Taylor Ward – Ward has been a hot pick name over the last few weeks as he laid claim to the Angels leadoff role. It certainly never hurts to be hitting in front of Trout and Ohtani. He has had a fair bit of luck but there also has been some skill progression with his plate discipline. He is not this good, but an overall pleasant surprise.
- Jeff McNeil – McNeil was a fantasy darling his first few seasons thanks to positional flexibility and a well-rounded profile. Looking at his Statcast profile, we are seeing much more 2020 than 2021. That means a solid middle infield option that should deliver a 10/10 season but with a .300+ average. He isn’t going to blow you away, but very useful for the price of admission.
Falling
- Jo Adell – There is not much to say here. Adell has immense talent, but with limited playing time and disappointing results he is going to need to prove he is ready in the minors. He will be back, but it will be later this summer. Feel safe to drop in single season leagues.
- Joey Votto – Votto found renewed life in 2021 selling out for the flyball and the ensuing homers. Unfortunately, that season looks to be more of an outlier at this point than a sustaining approach. Maybe the league is adjusting as he has seen more breaking balls this season than any other in his career. Maybe his age is starting to catch up. Either way, Votto is best left to the waiver wire until we see sustained signs of life.
Watching
- Ha-seong Kim – With more and more playing time, one of the best players to come out of Korea in years might be carving out a place in San Diego. That lineup is still crowded and he would be difficult to utilize in weekly leagues since he is not playing every day. However, he seems to be adjusting with his plate approach and the results are starting to follow.
- Max Kepler – Kepler has been a solid fantasy option before but then disappeared from the scene over the last few years. I tend to think Kepler simply had a hot week and can be left to the wolves. But, I will be watching to see if he can extend the run a bit.
- Willy Adames – Willy has been racking up the counting numbers near the top of a strong Brewers lineup. 5th in runs scored and 16th in RBI, he is hard to ignore. He is better than his current average and if the Brewers can continue to be a top 5 offense there is some intrigue. He sneaks into the back of the Top 100 this week.
Dropping out this week: Adalberto Mondesi, Joey Votto, Jo Adell, Hunter Dozier, DJ LeMahieu, Seth Beer, Nate Lowe
Appreciate this list! It’s nice to see player movement week to week. When Laureano returns today, do you think he’ll be leadoff or in the four hole? Secondly, what kind of power are you expecting out of him? More or less than Cronenworth? Thanks for all your efforts!
I would think he is the leadoff guy out of the gate. More opportunity for the speed but less on the run production. I would think he is a 20 homer bat the rest of the season which should be more thank Cronenworth. I know I stashed Ramon in a few leagues.
Thank you! Who do you prefer out of Laureano, Moncada or Cronenworth?
Give me Ramon…
Solid thanks!
Thoughts about Joey Gallo ROS? Top 150 player? Or sinking ship?
Start bailing water. In AVG leagues he is a penalty not worth touching and a one trick pony in OBP. If you can ride his hot streaks there is value, but I would avoid him myself.
Thanks Jeremy. So ROTO league, AL only, standard categories, would you move Owen miller for him? Not sure what to make of miller. Playing over his head but underlying metrics looks pretty solid.
Miller is far from exciting and I don’t see him being a long term contributor. I would shop Gallo around and see if there is anything better before settling for Miller. But personally I would take Miller.
Thank you!
Single C 12 team roto mixer, S.Murphy or A.Kirk ROS?
Give me Murphy. I think he has a much higher upside and no questions/risk on playing time.
Kepler’s underlying stats look legit. 35th in barrel%, .419 xwOBA, walks are up and Ks are down, and platoon actually makes him easier to use if you play daily. Happy owner here.
I hope you are right! I have my doubts, but at the minimum you can ride that hot streak!
I get the love fest that’s going on for Julio, but for a player who’s statcast numbers are: xba-.224, xslg-.365, xwoba-.288…
57 seems a little high. And I’m a freaking Mariners fan! Thanks for posting, cheers.
Julio is definitely not statistic based but based on how he has handled the call up so far. I think he has a lot to give and is not far away from a hot streak!
Austin Riley still criminally underrated
Guilty! Never been on the Riley bandwagon, but had to move him up for sure.
What are your thoughts on Neuse ROS? Would you prefer him over Yepez in 5×5 roto where OBP replaces AVG? Both qualify as 3rd basemen. Thanks
I would be avoiding Neuse, he has a lot of luck helping him right now and merely a 25% hard hit rate paired with a crazy high Babip. I like Yepez a lot and even though his playing time is a risk, I would roll with Juan and deal with the waiver wire later if playing time becomes an issue.