Up front, out of the way, Prospect Itch’s thoughts, “Spencer Torkelson is unique as a first overall pick in that it’s really just the bat Detroit drafted. They announced him as a third baseman on draft night, and Torkelson might be a good enough athlete to make that work, but it doesn’t matter all that much to his prospect stock if he has to slide back over to first base. The carrying tools are hit and power, and both could be plus-plus depending how he reacts to premium spin. The clear #1 pick in dynasty First-Year-Player Drafts and an easy top five prospect for fantasy. As good as he is, Grey is that bad.” Not cool, gonna move on! Spencer Torkelson is the meow’s cat; his stats tell me so: 30 HRs combined across three levels, ending in Triple-A, in his first competitive minor league season. His numbers strictly at Triple-A were: 11/1/.238 but with a .233 BABIP and a 20.3% strikeout rate. He was robbed, a lot it seems, i.e., that’s unlucky. Also, his walk rate was 13% — slashed .350/.531. These aren’t ordinary numbers from a kid who is just tasting Triple-A for the first time. What’s pretty cool, and I mean this in the most sincere, non-cynical way, there’s a ton of under-25-year-old guys coming up and you can already see future first and second rounders for fantasy all over the place. Is Spencer Torkelson? Meh, maybe in the right lineup, but he’s more Jose Abreu-lite than Au Shizz in his prime. Each time the league loses a guy, it gets replenished with a better guy. Going bye-bye from the 1st few rounds is Nolan Arenado. No fear, Mr. Belvedere sat on his nuts and missed a week of work, also Tork’s got you, man! It does make things fun. So, what can we expect from Spencer Torkelson for 2022 fantasy baseball?

Spencer Torkelson is a 32/.280/4 corner man. That’s old school, you old fools. Torkelson is Classic Coke. I might start calling him Classic Tork. What’s the difference between Classic Tork and Sexy Dr. Pepper? Calories, sugar, caffeine, tastes sweeter, and which one am I talking about? I guess Sexy Dr. Pepper, but Classic Tork is there — just without the speed, wrong side of the plate, outfield vs. corner man, less OBP–okay, ya know what, before Classic Tork debuts, I won’t start comparing him to Juan Soto. Those britches are big and sexy, but Classic Tork’s not about to fizzle out. Okay, let’s see what Pepsi can’t provide:

That’s what you call effortless. Bizarre to say this before a guy debuts, but he seems destined for the Hall of Very Good. That’s 10-12 years of 27-32/.270. I don’t say that casually or about lots of guys. He could win an MVP, and get drafted in the 1st round of fantasy at some point. Could it be after one full year? Unlikely. He doesn’t have any real speed, and the low BABIP at Triple-A that produced .238 is a little worrisome. If he’s prone to a shift, it could be exploited in the majors. Either way, he’ll need to be in the lineup on Day 1 and hit .290 with 40 bombs to be a 1st rounder in fantasy. That sounds like a two or three years down the line proposition.

For 2022? He can absolutely put up 25+ homers and a .255 average like some of the cheaper, older cornermen vets. Think C.J. Cron, Jesus Aguilar, Jonathan Schoop, those types. Speaking of Schoop, I’m about to Schoop-out everyday at-bats for Classic Tork, wanna join me? You have no choice. Schoop moves back to 2nd base, and, Frank Voila!, we have room for Classic Tork at 1st base. That nudges Harold Castro out of the 2nd base job. Sorry, Harold, maybe you and Willi can get an only-for-Castro’s discount trip to Cuba to sightsee and become eventual co-dictators. The only question mark is when do we see Classic Tork. My guess is the Tigers say everything right about starting camp with him, but he would need to hit 10 homers and .400 in the spring for that to have any real legs. He will be up soon though, potentially mid-to-late April. In general, I will say this about my rookie projections — projections are 100% accurate, except the ABs, which are like, at best, 50% accurate. For 2022, I’ll give Spencer Torkelson projections of 64/27/72/.253/2 in 443 ABs with a chance for more if he breaks camp with the Tigers. For those doing math at home, I’m docking him roughly three weeks.

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Toolshed
Toolshed
7 months ago

Posey hanging up the cleats. He had a $22m option for next year. Kind of a surprise. He had a nice year.

BooM659
BooM659
7 months ago

Grey,
12 team H2H Keeper league.
We keep 10.

Would you trade Olson and a 3rd rd pick (156th pick) and a 6th round pick (192nd pick) for Judge and Gausman or Nola or Marte?

Boom569
Boom569
Reply to  Grey
7 months ago

Sterling

Gator
Gator
8 months ago

If Soler stays in Atlanta am I crazy to think he could be top 50 overall? Atlanta is the new Colorado and that line-up is stacked. Could be like 2019 again. Great season by the way. Thanks for the entertainment.

Smitty
8 months ago

He could go off, like him

RoarOf84
RoarOf84
8 months ago

Scherzer still worth a buy in a dynasty league? 10 teams with 12 keepers each. He’d round out my SP keepers which also include Buehler, Sandy, Flaherty, Ohtani (also U eligible), and Manoah.

Of the players I’d be moving, I’d only consider keeping Gausman and Hader. The rest of the package is all depth that I can’t hold on to and the other team could really use to round out his team.

Dunphu’sJointVenture
Dunphu’sJointVenture
8 months ago

Where will we find our RCL winnings?

MattTruss
Editor
Reply to  Dunphu’sJointVenture
8 months ago

Yo Dunphy! RCL winnings are found in your “FanTrax Wallet”. To get there, hit your little icon at the top of the page and click “Account”. From there you’ll see all your transactions and should have a green number under “cash” and you can hit “Withdraw funds” and request Paypal or paper check. If you have issues, hit me up: truss at razzball dot com and we’ll figure it out.

Dunphy
Dunphy
Reply to  MattTruss
7 months ago

Thanks! I don’t want to withdrawal…thinking Patreon and/or use next season.

JDB
JDB
Reply to  Dunphu’sJointVenture
7 months ago

If you request a paper check, be prepared to wait up to three weeks for it.

leon
leon
8 months ago

Thoughts on Rowdy tellez for 2022? looking for a cheap power bat for my dynasty league. He wont cost alot. Is he a target of yours or any advice with him?

leon
leon
Reply to  Grey
8 months ago

3rd pick in the minor league draft this year. (will include all minor leaguers in the actual draft and undrafted minor leaguers in general.) If hes platoon, hes not even worth that right?

I always thought he could take on a fulltime role possibly. liked him alot going into 2021

Stl Squat Cobblers
Stl Squat Cobblers
8 months ago

Good stuff Lothario! Keep em coming!

Also, I’m ready for your rankings on Patreon whenever you are;)

Sport
Sport
Reply to  Grey
8 months ago

Will the sleepers drop first on Patreon? And can we make a one time payment?

Sport
Sport
Reply to  Grey
8 months ago

Awesome! Thank you so much!

LenFuego
LenFuego
8 months ago

So he’s Josh Donaldson 2, Electric Boogaloo?

Sport
Sport
8 months ago

Fun read as always!

Very few of us in dynasties own him. Why? Because we would have needed the number one FYP draft pick in our league, and finished D.A.L. in order to acquire that pick. But we read your content, and anyone who follows this site does not finish last.

I had some free time recently, so I dove into my own SP analysis. I tried to use criteria I have seen you use before, K/9 minus BB/9, plus FIP, and for giggles I threw in Hard Hit %. Am I missing anything that really should be included?

It’s going to be really interesting to see where some of the stand outs end up on ADP come next March, but based on fantrax early ADP I see some names I think I will like later in drafts.

Two of them puzzle me though. Eovaldi and ERod in Boston. Both have K/9 minus BB/9 around 7.9, both have FIP around 3 (Eovaldi 2.79, ERod 3.32), and both have hard hit % of 33 and 36. Those hard hit% seem high at first glance, but they are actually decent compared to the rest of the league! Am I missing something? Should they be on our radars or is there a red flag that I am missing in my analysis?

Sport
Sport
Reply to  Grey
8 months ago

Sweet. I’m still waiting til your rankings come out before I do redraft leagues next spring as I know there will be some other factors to consider, but it’s nice to know I have a little bit of a guide for off season work in my dynasties.

I’m really curious to see where these prospects will get drafted in redrafts. Way too early ADP’s on fantrax have Witt Jr around 120, but Tork, Rutschman, Cruz, and JuRod all after 225. No way they drop that far in March. Jung and Miranda could probably be had with 23rd pick in 12 team redrafts.

Thanks for all this content! It’s really fun reading while I avoid social media during my Chief’s underperfomances. People are losing their minds around here.