SAGNOF Report: Smoke Show Stealing The, Well… Show

You see that old rocking chair in the corner? That’s me, mister reliable.  Made of wood and literally been around these parts since the dawn of time. I may not be the smartest fella, or the fartest smeller either, but I dig baseball.  I get the stats and the hub-bub surrounding the intricacies of deeper stats.  Relaying them in a manner that makes sense on paper and conveying them to you in a way that makes us all put away our Casio calculator watches is my style.  This report covers similarities from what I touch on the regular in my bullpen post, so for the normalcy of life, I will add some of my usual middle relief spice into the streaming world of stolen bases.  Sound good, grand glad we could agree.  Rostering established stolen base guys is all well and good, but is a better feeling when you stream an option and he gets one that wasn’t normally accounted for.  Kinda feels like stealing, in the actually stealing sense and not just in the statistical sense.  The world of streaming swipes is becoming harder and harder as stolen bases are a stat best left for the dudes hitting dingers. The more a pitcher lets players get on base with SB opportunities, the increase for SB’s grows… sometimes. This is my first attempt at this post, so I am starting it my own way. So let’s look at this weeks options to stream stolen bases and the trends for which to follow for streaming ideas.  Cheers!

Every action in baseball has a opposite reaction… sometimes.  I have created a chart that shows who is most prone to SB’s, based on their proclivity to let base runners on (and their tendencies). I have used on-base percentage against, SB opportunities, and the eventual stolen bases to help for low level stream options to look at this week.  (I look a lot at stolen base guys starts at their opposing starting pitcher before it starts with them.)  So the first chart looks at the OBP of the opposite reflection that you want from a pitcher’s standpoint (minimum 30 innings).

The second chart looks at guys who are the better to steal off based on delivery and there overall ineffectiveness to hold baserunners on base.  They aren’t awful at keepiong guys off base, they just suck at keeping them from station to station. (min 20 innings pitched)

So taking all that data lets see who to attack this week on the waiver wire that may be of use…

Cameron Maybin – Returns from injury this week and looking at the Tigers lineup and he may be the only guy that doesn’t have station to station ability.  23 steals last year and he should be in a prime position in the batting order, hopefully to use his speed.

Mallex Smith – Still getting the CF starts and facing the only guy on this list twice in Jeff Locke. He also gets three games in Philly.  So if you wanna gamble for the weekend, then you have my approval, just wait 20 mins first or you will get cramps.

Michael Taylor – He gets Noah, but that’s not the two-by-two part of the convo.  He doesn’t always play, so risk, meet reward.  The additional games for the week he gets the weaker Justin Nicolino, so a nice flip floped-ness based on line-ups with Mallex works.

Kelby Tomlinson – I mean, who doesn’t have a slight fantasy obsession with ocular challenged baseball players?  My hand is clearly raised.  Panik is back so he gets mix and match like a blind person’s socks.  He gets three at the Padres and faces the Cubs.  If and when Arrieta let’s runners on… look out.