Prospect News: Rankings Redux: Eury and the Henderson

In a recent post, I found myself saying Milwaukee OF Jackson Chourio was on track to be a top 50 prospect by mid-season, which got me thinking, as I should be this time of year, about updating the top 100 list. 

I made a trade offer for Baltimore SS Gunnar Henderson this week in the 20-team Highlander Dynasty League. Was just Arizona DH Seth Beer straight up, but that league is weird, with a double utility spot. Deepest hitting set-up I’ve ever played, unless I ran that math wrong way back when I half-sprinted through it just to create some context. It’s a half-step or so deeper than the Razz30, and the full-week freeze of lineups adds another wrinkle I haven’t played with a whole lot in a superdeep dynasty format.  

Also went a little overboard in trying to secure Colorado SS Ezequiel Tovar this week. 

Anyway the natural first question for most readers at this point is who’s rising the fastest, like Chourio and Tovar. Or maybe that’s just the most enjoyable question because its opposite might be equally immediate to most fantasy players: who’s feeling that baseball gravity? 

I tend to avoid the second question, if I’m honest. Players lose mind-share of course but it happens kind of quietly in the back of my mind as I build a list. Herbert Perez, is a recent player I can recall who I never really soured on in any real way. The evidence at present just didn’t support some trust-based ranking. But I’ll try to be proactive on that front and chronicle it here as I work through the list. If it’s a little dry or boring in the end, I’m hoping you just fast-forward a bit because that’s way easier with reading than it is on, say, HBOMAX. 

So who’s rising as I start building a rankings reshuffle? 

Milwaukee OF Jackson Chourio. I don’t have anything to add, just resetting all our eyes a bit. 

Colorado SS Ezequiel Tovar. On Thursday May 12, I traded Nick Pratto, Travis Demeritte and Eddys Leonard for Tovar in a 15-team dynasty where I just needed to consolidate somehow with guys coming off the IL and my insatiable need to add players, especially Mets OF Alex Ramirez this time around. 

Week one dreamboat Boston OF Ceddanne Rafeala has seven home runs and nine steals in 28 games, which works pretty well along with a .295 batting average for a 21-year-old in High-A. Safely within the top 100 today. 

Miami RHP Bryan Hoeing might not crack the top hundred, but hot dang he’s just devouring impressive innings this season and looks intriguing to me.

Cubs OF Nelson Velazquez looked like a major leaguer to my eyes on Friday night in Des Moines, knocking in the game winning run with a solid single after hitting the ball hard all over the park all night long. I think he’s got a strong case for the late hundred. 

Cleveland RHP Daniel Espino was on the fast track to being baseball’s top pitching prospect before he sidestepped to the injured list. Always hard to rank a beleaguered arm, but Espino was so nasty when he was right that he’ll hold serve at a minimum. 

Miami RHP Eury Perez is 6’8” 220 lb 19-year-old rocking a 31.6% K-BB rate in High-A. Probably a top ten guy at the moment. 

Houston SS Jeremy Peña is under the limit for another few games. How high is too high for his graduation spot? Oh and Happy Graduation Day if that applies to you this weekend! I think it’s tough to push him outside the top fifteen or so. 

San Diego LHP MacKenzie Gore and Seattle RHP George Kirby are both climbing. Kirby didn’t have much mountain left above him.

I’m not sure what to make of Pittsburgh OF Captain Jack Suwinski, but he ‘s pairing plus defense with explosive offense in an era when more rookies are struggling, so I’m in for now to say the least. If I had to divvy it up today, I suspect he’d make the 100. Yes, I think the whole Johnny Depp redemption tour helps Suwinski’s dynasty stock, in case you were wondering. 

If you’ve been around a minute, you might suspect I’m excited to see Pittsburgh SS Liover Peguero hitting .324 with 3 HR and 7 SB across 27 AA games, and you’d be right. He won’t turn 22 until New Year’s Eve. 

St. Louis 1B Juan Yepez is counting those base hits like the Martians do on Sesame Street when they “Yep!” their way through the number of the day. Fangraphs came out with a downbeat report on him this week, doubling down on what may make sense in a non-fantasy realm, spread across the long term, but I think they’re just plain short on Yepez’s long-term potential. Fantasy players are probably in agreement at the moment, but you might want to send an offer or two out for him in case his team reads a lot of that site. For my money, he’s looking like a 1B,3B,OF eligible guy who’s easily playable at each spot for our game. 

Is Minnesota SS Royce Lewis a top 25 guy again? Oh yeah, I’d say so. Give him a little up-arrow carrot while you’re at it. 

Angels RHP Chase Silseth debuted with six shutout innings against Oakland, who is not great but did just rock some rookie Tigers. He’s done only good things so far in 2022 and belongs on a roster in just about any sized dynasty league. 

I’m gonna drop a weirdo sidebar in here, but please if you want to win your dynasty leagues be the team that responds to trade offers. Reject them, if you don’t like them. Counter or don’t. Reply in the message section why you’re rejecting it or don’t. I suspect a lot of slow-moving dynasty players don’t realize how many options they’re leaving on the table just by making the game out to be more than it is. Spin the wheel or don’t. You’ll make some bad calls. But every day has value. Real shizz moves around in the standings every day. Don’t just sit on offers for half a week. Value your trade partner’s time and your own. It’s more fun if you’re getting more options along the way than the other teams because you move fast and pay attention. 

Also, play at your own pace, which I realize contradicts everything I just wrote. All I’m saying is you shouldn’t make it so serious in my opinion, and don’t get down bad just cuz one thing goes awry. Just keep swimming. Forget everything. Remember everything. Become nothing. Become everything. Trade everyone. Value every day as if it’s the only day.

Whew . . . wtf just happened . . . think I had a blood-rush-brain moment there, sorry.

Or maybe a brain freeze. We are about to discuss who’s freezing their way down the lists, often through no fault of their own. 

Detroit OF Riley Greene, like I said: through no real fault of his own. Now that the team has proven itself atrocious on the field, I worry about Riley’s timeline. Willi Castro looks pretty good in center, too. 

Cincinnati RHP Hunter Greene is kind of a red light in tight-ratio formats, to go with the color-scheme theme, but I’m actually all about giving the green light to most attempts at acquiring Hunter Greene on the dip. I reckon he’ll make the pirates walk the plank today. 

UPDATE: Yarrrrrrrrrrrrr. 7.1 no-hit innings with 9 strikeouts. But did the Pirates really have to walk the plank if they won the game? I mean, they have the ship now, right? Having won the day?

San Diego SS CJ Abrams threw some paint on his Buy window by homering twice in his AAA debut, but you never know what someone’s feeling after their expectations get involved. Might be worth your time to send an offer in Abrams’ direction. 

Seattle RHP Matt Brash lost control of his double-plus stuff and fell like sands through the hourglass; these are the days of our lives. 

Seattle OF Jarred Kelenic: Not a prospect anymore but relevant to our conversations nonetheless. I don’t know how else to say this except to be blunt: don’t buy the dip on this one unless we’re talking about faab stuff. I still see some crazy deals built around this Twitter-star.  

UPDATE: Saw Kelenic traded about ten hours after this went to post (along with Kyle Manzardo) for . . . drumroll . . . Christian Yelich and Craig Kimbrel. It’s a 20-team saves/holds league, so there’s that . . . I guess. Blink twice if you need help. Someone was in the comments a few weeks ago dead set on dealing Yordan Alvarez to get Kelenic. Be careful out there, dear reader.

By no means is either list exhaustive here. I’m hoping you’ll chip in with a name or two in the comments section and sort of talk through Razzball’s impending prospect reshuffle with me. 

Thanks for reading!

I’m @theprospectitch on Twitter.

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NUX
NUX
1 month ago

Yo Itch! Hope all is well with you brother. I’m catching up with this week’s post a little later than I normally do and haven’t written up a nice long diatribe for ya in a while, so here we go…

Even more excited to see where Churrio lands now that I read this post this AM. Just scooped him in a few places a week or so ago. But seems like I missed the boat on Ceddanne in all leagues, which is looking right now like a fun guy to have a share of, oh well, can’t land them all. Curious to see which is higher in the next update.

Some other random names I’m rostering and hoping to see where or if they land on the update. Clearly was using your lists during this winter’s startup draft… Vinny P, Casas, Vaughn Grissom, Corbin Carroll, Luis Matos, Everson Pereira, Roansy Contreras

I saw your note about chipping in names, here’s some I’m interested in. Not looking for you to have to comment on all of these but I guess looking for maybe one that you might feel is your fav to buy and one to sell?:
Eddys Leonard
Dustin Harris
Jarren Duran
Coby Mayo
Jay Allen
Evan Carter
Matt Canterino
Brett Kerry
Brailyn Marquez
Tommy Romero
Carson Tucker
Oscar Colas

Traded some randomly rostered player recently that I was going to have to cut for Peyton Burdick. I know he kinda just missed the most recent Marlins update during the offseason. And with BDe La Cruz getting a share of ABs recently, is that OF too crowded to think we’ll see Burdick up in 2022 at any point? He seems like he’s behind a handful of other OFs in the system too, like Bleday and so forth? I don’t think I’m down with waiting around for a low batting average player. If you can’t tell, I’m looking for a reason to drop him. Do you like him more than some of the other names on that list of 12 above though?

Blundertron3000
Blundertron3000
1 month ago

Any word on why Luis Matos hasn’t played in two weeks? Doesn’t look like he’s on the IL? Also curious if he’s just been unlucky or if it’s a lot of soft contact in his slow start.

kiwi90
kiwi90
1 month ago

Hey, what do you think about T.Casas problems against lefties? Is he only a strongside platoon at 1B or could he be an everyday player…

Dr Sauce
Dr Sauce
1 month ago

The Itch!!
League context: 12 team, roto, 6 player keep forever … for the sake of this post, I’m rocking with Bichette, Acuna, Robert, Ohtani, Tucker and Witt. Also have some nice arms like Freddy P, McClanahan, Musgrove and others. We have 6 man bench and two IR spots. My queries are as follows;
A) Currently sitting on Kelanic and Miranda (bench bats) … do you think I would regret dropping one or both of them? I could use the roster spots to some hot ‘shmotatoing’
B) Love me some prospects, is Corbin Carroll worth rostering in a league such as this? Is it possible we see him this year? Could he be ‘next’ years Bobby Witt or Ju-Rod?
C) Speaking of my dude, Bobby Witt, what’s your expert opinion/assessment of his first 30 games as a pro?
Thanks ‘The Itch’, much respect for all that you do!

Moon Shots
Moon Shots
1 month ago

Good sir Itch! How solid does your belief in Miranda remain? In my 30 team dynasty I just sold high on Merrill Kelly for a straight up swap. Curious for your thoughts.

tinstaapp
tinstaapp
1 month ago

Itch, you’re the greatest.

Where are you at on Andrew Painter? He’s a free agent in my Ottoneu leagues, but the natives at the bottom of the standings seem restless and I fear the time to sneak snag him for $1 might be peaking soon.

tinstaapp
tinstaapp
Reply to  tinstaapp
1 month ago

Also, Tovar, Orelvis, Lawlar and Gunnar Henderson are all available in one league. Who should I hitch my wagon to?

tinstaapp
tinstaapp
Reply to  The Itch
1 month ago

Thanks, man! I really admire your work. Looking forward to the midseason list!

thebigshow
thebigshow
1 month ago

Which 2 of these dudes to drop & make room for Chourio?

Volpe
Veen
Marcelo Mayer
Esteury Ruiz
Tovar
Abrams
Oneil Cruz
Vargas
Watson
Eury Perez

Those 10 fill my NA spots and I have Duran on bench.

Thanks in advance for the advice brother!

Rick Brown
Rick Brown
1 month ago

Hey Itch,
Thanks for another great writeup. Thoughts on Pete Crow-Armstrong. Have him on a couple dynasty teams that I took over.

Thanks,RICK

Joe
Joe
1 month ago

Interesting in that three of the players mentioned above have been asked for in a trade offer.

Silseth Gore Kirby Torkelson for McClanahan and J. Bell ?

Which side?

Thanks

Joe
Joe
Reply to  The Itch
1 month ago

Thanks, deal got done, but I added Bellinger and Yorke, but I kept Kirby.

Silseth Gore Yorke Torkelson and Belly for McClanahan and J. Bell.

Satisfied with the result, and looking forward to your mid season or thereabouts rankings!!

Philip
Philip
1 month ago

You’re the best, Itch! Good stuff (even though you didn’t mention any of my guys).

Are any of these guys going to be all stars: Wiemer, E. Ruiz, L. Garcia, Winn, Choirio?

I know that’s a stupid question, but I’m wondering who I should keep or who I should trade. I need to move one or two of them. I’m leaning towards trading garcia and Winn.

Also, in a 20 team dynasty are you moving Kirilloff or Franimal?

stevie
stevie
1 month ago

Think Meyer comes up sooner than later with Luzardo on the shelf?

Huan Eat Oh
Huan Eat Oh
1 month ago

Recently promoted SPs, who do you prefer? Pepiot or Silseth?

junior56
junior56
1 month ago

Great Article Itch!

I missed out on Tovar!

a) Where does Ceddanne end up defensively?

b) What’s Graceffo ceiling? Will fastball play in the MLB?

c) Does Noah Song finally get a chance to pitch in 2022?

Thanks!

MJ888
MJ888
1 month ago

Hey Itch – I’ll have a decision to make at some point between Michael Busch, Brett Baty and Jordan Walker. How would you rank those three? My main concern with Walker is that he is forced to move off third due to Nolan Arenado blocking his path. As a corner outfielder, if that is where he lands, I think he loses value.

Thanks as always!!

Jolt In Flow
Jolt In Flow
1 month ago

Itch, thoughts on Adell? Time to cut him loose or buy the major dip? As a bonus question if possible, do you feel he might get traded?

Thanks as always!

Jolt

Oddball Herrera
Oddball Herrera
1 month ago

Have you seen what Esteury Ruiz is up to? 350/500/590 with 22SB and 5HR? K rate and BB rate both in the mid teens…that is absurd for a guy who was dropping off top 100 lists and Fangraphs’ top Padres prospects list entirely.

He has to be close to a top fantasy prospect in the high minors after Carroll, Abrams, Gorman and Lowe

Oddball Herrera
Oddball Herrera
Reply to  Oddball Herrera
1 month ago

(among hitters, specifically)

Joe Buckyourself
Joe Buckyourself
1 month ago

Itch,

As always….thanks for the great stuff!

Looking to get your thoughts on a deal that was offered to me.

Dynasty roto
6×6 OBP and DT
6×6 QS, Holds and Saves are sep cats

I give J Walsh….. Receive N Lowe and R Detmers

Id drop G Hampson.

Thanks

C_MAN
C_MAN
1 month ago

Itch, between Tovar and Henderson, who do you like better. They both seem to be boosting their stock this year, and curious which one your leaning towards.

dren_man
dren_man
1 month ago

Hey Man, 12 team, H2H, ROS-Sonny Gray or Jose Berrios? thanks.

Jimmy
Jimmy
1 month ago

Hey Itch-
Great stuff! Thoughts on Bubba Thompson, does he make an impact this year?

Greg
Greg
1 month ago

Hedbert Perez….ugh…not looking for him right now….so many Ks. Can he turn it around?

Jackson
Jackson
1 month ago

Hi Itch, great article as usual! I have a quick question. I’m in a 12 team H2H 10×9 keeper league (40 man rosters—32 MLB and 8 MiLB). No $ or contracts. Hitting categories are: R H HR RBI SB BB K TB AVG OPS and pitching categories are: IP W QS SV+HLD HR K/9 K/BB ERA WHIP. I received an offer where I trade away Juan Yepez and a 3rd round pick in next year’s FYPD draft for Eduardo Rodriguez and a 5th round pick in next year’s FYPD draft (annual 12-round draft). I want to improve my team’s pitching (currently I have Buehler, F. Peralta, Sandoval, Skubal, J. Ryan, Mikolas, Lorenzen, Mize). However, I don’t want to trade away a potentially good young hitting prospect in Yepez. I know Yepez’s playing time is unknown (although he’s played every game since he’s been called up). My current 1B/CI situation is Tellez, N. Lowe, Naylor and Yepez. Is this a no-brainer deal? As in, should I accept ERod and run, or should I hold Yepez and hope for the best? I’m torn here because while I have zero reason to trade away Yepez (hoping he can keep this level of production up albeit with a more normal BABIP), I’m tempted to acquire ERod (even though he’s been subpar so far). However, the old dynasty adage is to take the bat over the arm. Interested in your thoughts. Which side would you want in a keep forever league?

bigbear
bigbear
1 month ago

Crystal ball for Max Meyers’ eta? Grayson?

Wenger
Wenger
1 month ago

Hi Itch
Wow holly s… deep thoughts in that middle of the article!!
Now about Dinasty….what to do about K Robinson? Cannot find any update on his legal status(not playing yet) and holding the roster spot it’s getting heavier every day…hold or cut the bait for someone like Chourio, Rafeala or even Jack sparrow suwuinsky?
Same on Robinson applies to C.Colmenarez, an expensive pick with no data to justify a roster spot so far…any thoughts about him?
Thanks!!

David
David
Reply to  Wenger
1 month ago

Good stuff Itch! Please rank these young pitchers long term: Baz, Espino, Meyer. Also, what are your thoughts on Atlanta’s Schuster? Thanks