Jace Peterson (+25.9%) was the most added player in fantasy baseball this past week. SAGBJ doesn’t quite have the same ring to it as SAGNOF, I’ll admit. Sounds like a disappointing sexual experience or something. Or perhaps just a disappointing Upton brother. Peterson has been anything but disappointing in his first season as Atlanta’s starting second baseman however. Through Sunday’s games, Peterson has produced a .284/.363/.389 triple slash line with 2 home runs, 28 runs scored, 31 RBI, and 8 stolen bases across 265 PA. His 10.9% BB% leads all qualified MLB middle infielders, which has helped to cement his position as the Braves everyday leadoff hitter. Peterson has speed to burn, which can be seen in his 148 steals in 389 career minor league games, so his 8 steals this season might be just the tip of the iceberg.

One thing to keep an eye on is Peterson’s success rate (or lack thereof) on the basepaths. He’s already been caught stealing 8 times this season (2nd highest total in MLB), leading to a 50% success rate on steal attempts, which is uglier than Eric Stoltz in his full Mask makeup. If that rate doesn’t improve soon, Peterson’s green light could turn red in a hurry. It doesn’t seem like a big issue for the team at the moment though. For fantasy owners, steals got the Jace face. If you have a need for speed, you know what to do. Run, Jace, run.

Here are a couple of other significant adds and drops in fantasy baseball over the past week:

Joey Butler – 39.4% owned (+10.6%)

Each season, there seems to be one or two players who come out of nowhere to provide fantasy-relevant production. Butler seems to be one of those players in 2015. The 29-year-old was never considered to be a top prospect, and is currently enjoying his first real opportunity to play at the MLB level after spending time with the Rangers and Cardinals organizations prior to this season. While Butler’s .338/.375/.523 triple slash line this season looks fantastic, there are a few things to be concerned about in his profile. His 3.8% BB% and 26.3% K% are among the worst marks in baseball, and his .437 BABIP is the 2nd highest among all players with at least 150 PA. That .338 batting average looks unsustainable to say the least.

Let’s take a look at Butler’s monthly splits since his promotion to see how his production has held up thus far:

• May – 23 G, 77 PA, 3 HR, 9 R, 8 RBI, 0 SB, 2 BB, 24 K, .329/.364/.534 BA/OBP/SLG

• June – 20 G, 83 PA, 3 HR, 9 R, 11 RBI, 5 SB, 4 BB, 18 K, .346/.386/.513 BA/OBP/SLG

Despite the poor walk and strikeout rates, everything seems to be trending in the right direction. He’s even added a speed element to his game this month with 5 steals in 20 games. Could Butler be this year’s Josh Harrison or Todd Frazier? It’s hard to say at the moment, but there’s certainly value to be had here. TREASURE.

Carlos Rodon – 45.7% owned (-8.2%)

Unlike Butler, Rodon is considered to be one of baseball’s elite prospects. After dominating hitters throughout his collegiate career at NC State, the White Sox selected him with the 3rd overall pick in the 2014 draft, and fast-tracked him onto the big league roster less than a year later. The early results have been mixed. While his wipeout slider and hard sinker have contributed to a solid 8.58 K/9 and 47.2% GB% respectively, control has been an issue for Rodon. He’s allowed 28 walks in just 50.1 innings for a shaky 5.01 BB/9.

Rodon’s also struggled quite a bit on the road thus far in his young MLB career, posting a 5.25 ERA and a 1.83 WHIP across 24 innings away from US Cellular Field. Looking ahead to his remaining starts leading into the All-Star Break – at Detroit, at St. Louis, vs Toronto, at Chicago (NL) – relief doesn’t appear to be on the horizon in the near future. Three out of four starts are on the road with three of those opponents (Blue Jays, Tigers, and Cubs) being among the best in baseball at mashing left-handed pitching. In shallow redraft leagues, it’s probably a good idea to look elsewhere. TRASH.

  1. Natty Boh says:
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    Rodon certainty has been a disappointment. Might be a year or two away.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Natty Boh: I agree. He’s a terrific talent but needs to clean up that walk rate and learn how to be effective when pitching on the road.

  2. J-FOH says:
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    I like Butler too but will cut bait as soon as he goes on an 0 for 16 stretch

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @J-FOH: Regression is likely to come at some point, but man has he been good this year. Those numbers are crazy.

  3. Ante GALIC says:
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    Magoo!

    How are you? Great article. Just checking in. Hoping Strasburg’s start today (if he starts at all!!) will be a good one.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Ante GALIC: I’m doing well, thanks for asking. Hope all is well with you too.

      Me too on Strasburg. I could definitely use three solid months from him in the one league where I own him.

  4. gbwr82 says:
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    H2H Dynasty League: Betts for Adam Jones straight up, any thoughts?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @gbwr82: It’s a fair deal in a dynasty format. Jones should have 2-3 more 25/90 seasons in him, and Betts looks like a 15/25 guy for the next 5-6 years. I’d probably give a slight edge to Jones if your team’s in contention. His power is more difficult to replace in the near future. Betts has the edge in long-term value though.

  5. Lee says:
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    5 x 5 H2H using OPS instead of AVG: Jace or Logan Forsythe for a MI spot?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Lee: Good question. They’re very close in value, so it’s more of a needs-based question to me. Slight edge to Forsythe in that format if you’re looking for power. If you’re light on speed, then Jace is a fine choice there. Otherwise, they’re about even.

      • Winteriscoming says:
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        @Big Magoo: Same question, but my format has both avg and OPS. Which more likely to sustain current production ROS?

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
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          @Winteriscoming: Forsythe has the edge in power, and has been extremely consistent throughout the season, so I’d go with him over Peterson.

  6. Rubik's Pube says:
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    I need to replace Fowler in an RCL league, who should I pick up between E. Rosario or Kiermier to replace him?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Rubik’s Pube: I’d go with Kiermaier there. He gives you decent across-the-board production, hits leadoff, and plays everyday.

  7. Chad Bowling says:
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    As far as picking up Butler, is he worth the pickup over the lieks of Chris Carter, Buxton, Gordon, Ozuna? Where would he rank among them?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Chad Bowling: Gordon, Buxton, Butler, Ozuna, Carter is how I’d rank them in a standard redraft format.

  8. Who Dat Ninja! says:
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    Magoo!

    What is a ninja supposed to do with Joe Ross? I only have a handful of players i’m willing to cut in order to the play the “stash” game. Right now, i’m stashing Joe Ross, Patrick Corbin, and Hector Olivera.
    Are any other them a candidate for cutting for:
    Brian Johnson or Aaron Nola?

    thanks, brotha!

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Who Dat Ninja!: I’m not really up to date on my ninja etiquette! I’d hold the three players that you have in a redraft format. Ross looked very good in his short stint. He likely to be back up sooner rather than later.

  9. HighHeat says:
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    I have Vogt and Carlos Santana. Just traded Wacha foe Street and Considering dropping CS in a 8team h2h and picking up Matz to replace Wacha. Make any sense?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @HighHeat: That move would be fine in a league that shallow. All but the elite players are expendable there. It’s never a bad move to gamble on upside when there are so many replacement options available on the wire at any given time.

  10. Lex says:
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    Off topic …but who wins in a 12 team standard points league….Kluber and Chris Davis or Hamels and Mikael Franco…thanks in advance!

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Lex: Good one. I’d take the Kluber side there. I think that Franco regresses some and it’s a guessing game as to where Hamels will end up. He wouldn’t receive much of a value boost if he went to the Rangers or the Yankees.

  11. slimbo says:
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    What’s up

    Teheran or rodon in a keeper league?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @slimbo: What’s up, slimbo? I’d go with Rodon over Teheran. Don’t like what I’ve seen from Teheran this year and Rodon has electric stuff.

  12. Brian says:
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    Would you trade Trevor Rosenthal for Carlos Correa? Current SS is Desmond. Would leave me with closers of K-Rod, Ziegler, Carson Smith

    Could also possibly move Kyle Seager for Perkins after. Seagers been on my bench with 1B/3B/IF/UTIL filled up with Frazier, Pujols, Bryant and A-Rod

    Thanks for any help

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Brian: It might be a good idea to try to move A-Rod for a closer before you move Seager. I think that age/health might start to catch up to him in the 2nd half. It sounds like you’re loaded with corner infielders though, so either player would work there.

      Yes on the Correa deal. You’d be giving up a few Ks and some ratio help, but Correa looks special. Could be a difference maker. Try to grab a closer-in-waiting like Giles if you’re unable to complete the other deal.

  13. Watson says:
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    Great stuff, thanks.

    H2H Redraft Segura or Paterson ROS?

    • Watson says:
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      @Watson: Peterson too I guess, thanks.

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
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        @Watson: Don’t worry about any spelling/grammatical errors. I make them all the time. I’d give the edge to Segura over Peterson. More of a track record, and you just need to look at his 2013 season to remind yourself of what his upside looks like.

  14. SF says:
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    What do you think of a 2 for 1 of Puig + Correa for Tulo?

    Yay or nay?

    Loving Correa’s production, but I’m worried about overpaying for Tulo.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @SF: I like all three of those players. It’s probably a bit of an overpay for Tulo though. A healthy Puig is close in value to Tulo, and Correa is much more than a throw-in. He looks like a stud. If you want to do this deal, I’d look to make it a 2-for-2 and acquire another quality player on the Tulo side.

  15. heisenberg says:
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    I propose making July 4th, “Declaration of Independence from Robinson Cano Day.” What better day to celebrate being free from our black hole at 2B. Brett Lawrie is actually looking better to me than Cano for ROS. What’s the general feeling about Cano from the Razz water cooler? BTW, this site is simply the best fb site on the net.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @heisenberg: Haha, thanks! I don’t blame you for being frustrated with Cano. He’s been extremely disappointing this season.

      Lawrie/Cano is pretty much a wash. Cano has picked up the pace a bit over the past few games, but 3 homers and 1 steal on the year don’t get the job done. His walk and strikeout rates have been trending in the wrong direction too. Lawrie has his issues as well. His .381 BABIP is likely to come crashing down, especially considering his poor plate discipline.

      Might be a good idea to shop those players and look at someone like Matt Duffy. Could get an upgrade elsewhere while not sacrificing anything at 2B.

  16. luvdarooks says:
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    holt or aoki ros?

    • check the news says:
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      Aoki has a broken leg.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @luvdarooks: Holt. Aoki is DL-bound and is likely to miss more than the minimum 15 days.

  17. Bob says:
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    I gotta say something here as this article appears incredibly surface level without digging very deep. You call out Rodons high walk rate in the year, fair. But let’s look closer. For every month he has been in the majors, his walk rate has gone down AND his K rate his increased. Maybe he has a rough schedule ahead, ok fine. But that is a different argument. You essentially say to stay away until he cleans up his control. I don’t know much about walk rate stability over sample sizes but this far all I can see is that Rodon is, in fact, on his way to doing just that.

    My conclusion? TREASURE.

    • I got $100 for groceries, $1400 for liquor, and $6,000 for you to bail a couple of shit puppets out of jail says:
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      @Bob: his BB rate is improving, but i’m guessing this column is for 12 team redraft leagues, and in those those upcoming starts aren’t good for him. If we’re talking dynasty’s Rodon is a whole different story (like archie B).

  18. I got $100 for groceries, $1400 for liquor, and $6,000 for you to bail a couple of shit puppets out of jail says:
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    jace’s net steals are gross, just drafted him in a 16 team dynasty as a util, backup to kipnis/bryant at 2B/3B and he’s killing me. do have maybin too as sub for ellsbury at CF, and he’s making up for it somewhat, and since they bat right next to each other i hadn’t noticed it was quite as bad as 8-8.

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