Share on FacebookTweet about this on TwitterShare on Google+

The closer carousel continues to spin round and round. In the season’s first week, Joaquin Benoit’s ride ended abruptly in the fallout of the Craig Kimbrel trade and Jason Grilli climbed aboard to take his place. This week, thanks to the early season struggles of 42 year old former closer LaTroy Hawkins, Adam Ottavino (+83.9%) became the new 9th inning reliever for the Rockies and was the most added player in fantasy baseball. A Rockies reliever? Awesome! Why don’t I just pick up Kelly Gregg and put my ratios out of their misery? That’s your Coors Field park factor voice playing devil’s advocate. When you consider Ottavino’s abilities to keep the ball on the ground (62.5% GB% this season in 6.1 IP – small sample size alert!; 45.6% career), rack up the strikeouts (54.6% K% this season; 25.7% in 2014), and limit his walks allowed (4.6% BB% this year; 5.9% in 2014), the Coors concern is somewhat alleviated. He also appears to have ditched his ineffective change-up in favor of a cutter to keep left-handed hitters honest and improve his split issues against that side. Factor it all in and he looks like a potential top 10 closer this year and an early treasure for fantasy owners. “In Ottavino, there is truth…” Here are a couple of this week’s other big adds and drops in fantasy baseball:

Ender Inciarte – 59.7% owned (+58.9%)

Inciarte has been quite a hot commodity in recent days. I guess a .327/.364/.442 triple slash line with 11 runs, 6 RBIs, and 2 steals in 13 games will do that for a player. Offensively, Inciarte has displayed above average skills in two key areas: speed and the ability to make consistent contact. His 5.5% K% is tied for the 5th lowest among all qualified MLB players this season, and his 93.6% Contact% is the 4th highest mark. As for speed, he stole 19 bases in 22 attempts with the Diamondbacks last season and logged 43 SBs at the AA level in 2013. Unfortunately, his lack of power (.085 career ISO) and inability to take a walk (1.8% BB% this season; 5.2% career) limit his fantasy potential. Arizona’s crowded outfield (Trumbo, Pollock, Peralta, and Tomas) suggests that playing time could be an issue in the near future as well. If you’re looking for a Nori Aoki clone or a poor man’s Denard Span, then Inciarte is your guy. In shallow mixed leagues, I’d be inclined to look elsewhere though. TRASH.

Rusney Castillo – 40.4% owned (-49%)

Speaking of crowded outfields, Boston is another team that has more starting caliber outfielders than positions to accommodate them. As a result of this numbers squeeze for the Red Sox, Castillo is on the outside looking in at the moment. However, in a very limited sample size last season, Castillo performed at a high level, producing a .333/.400/.528 triple slash line, including 2 home runs and 3 steals across 40 plate appearances. He showed that his plate discipline skills weren’t too shabby either by posting a 7.5% BB% and a 15.0% K%. Steamer sees him as a .280/15/20 type of player across a full season, which is essentially Charlie Blackmon kind of production. As you may recall, Blackmon was the 23rd most valuable hitter in fantasy baseball last season according to the Razzball Player Rater. Might want to rethink that decision to cut him loose in order to stream Danny Duffy. Patience my friends. It’s a marathon, not a sprint. Rusney’s time will come, and you’ll be glad that he’s on your team when it does. TREASURE.

   
  1. stantonovation says:
    (link)

    Rusney available in 12 team h2h

    drop K davis or hold?

    Could drop Daniel Norris (but thinking of putting in waiver claim for Paxton)

    thoughts? Having a hard time valuing Rusney

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @stantonovation: I’d take Rusney over Davis if Davis is a bench bat for you.

      • Stantonovation says:
        (link)

        @Big Magoo:

        That’s the situation, thanks

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
          (link)

          @Stantonovation: No problem. It’s usually a good idea to opt for players with more upside as reserves in shallow formats.

  2. MattTruss

    MattTruss says:
    (link)

    Love that title! One of my all time favorite movie scenes when Doc Holliday mumbles those words. The 5 years I spent living in Boston I frequented a fine watering hole with something like 150 bottled beers and a beer card to fill out within a year. If completed you got your own engraved mug and mine proudly stated, In Vino Veritas. Now it hangs from my kitchen wall. Good times, good movie, good article. Hush up on Rusney will ya? I’m still trying to trade for him in one last RCL!

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @MattTruss: Thanks, Matt! Who doesn’t love Tombstone? Great movie. That’s awesome about the mug. I want one like that now…

      • MattTruss

        MattTruss says:
        (link)

        Hell yes! That’s awesome you pulled that! Were/are you a frequenter as well I take it? man, I’d cut off my arm for seasonal pizzia right about now. That and a tall beer, man, doesn’t get a whole lot better. My buddies and I would hang out there for a better portion of some days playing card games and working on our beer cards. Good stuff man.

  3. uncdrew says:
    (link)

    I’ve been rooting for a Victorino injury for a long time. Like 2 weeks. C’mon already…

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @uncdrew: Seriously. I think the Sox have been shopping him, but no takers so far. Rusney should get his chance soon enough.

  4. Keith says:
    (link)

    Castillo or Kiermeir?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @Keith: I’d take Castillo there, especially if Kiermaier is a bench bat for you.

  5. GhostTownSteve says:
    (link)

    Would you pay 68% of you FaaB budget for Ottavino?

    • GhostTownSteve says:
      (link)

      @GhostTownSteve:

      Also the “30 Sexiest Brunette Bombshell” ad on the site is worth a visit even considering all the viral stuff it’s sure to impart to the ‘puter.

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        @GhostTownSteve: It’s so tempting, but the viral fallout is probably severe like you mentioned.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @GhostTownSteve: No! But you already knew that. I do think that Ottavino runs with the job though.

      • GhostTownSteve says:
        (link)

        @Big Magoo:

        I agree he runs with it.

  6. CMUTimmah says:
    (link)

    Dickerson was my pick this year to be a full blown stud… this plant disease in his foot is killing me buzz. Should I hope he comes back soon and after any success sell high? Or should I hold the guy? I had him pegged as my OF2, so in the short run I’ll be plugging the hole with Souza bumping to 2 and Josh Harrison and Dannys Antana filling the 3 spot. Not ideal, but at least the swiss army knife guys will help avoid having to make any sudden roster moves…

    • GhostTownSteve says:
      (link)

      @CMUTimmah:

      The two most prominent cases of footie thingy I can recall in baseball were Gyorko last year and Pujols in 2013. Not good company.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @CMUTimmah: I’d hold Dickerson unless you get a great offer. I wouldn’t move him for less than a Soler, Betts, or JD Martinez type of OF in a straight-up deal.

      • J-FOH says:
        (link)

        @Big Magoo: I’ve had plantar in both feet and the worst thing about is the “established medical approach” is about as ass backwards as it comes. When I went to an alternative route to fix the problem as opposed to masking it did I make real strides. That gives me an idea to make a special cleat for those that suffer from it.

        • Hondo says:
          (link)

          @J-FOH: You could spread fasciitis seeds around so it would go wild like an invasive weed and get rich.

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
          (link)

          @J-FOH: Yeah, it’s definitely the kind of injury that could linger for a while. A silver lining for Dickerson is that he doesn’t run much anyway, so it shouldn’t affect his value in that way. Pujols managed to play through a similar issue a couple of years ago and was reasonably productive.

          • J-FOH says:
            (link)

            @Big Magoo: I believe his numbers were down that year. It can effect his power some, depends how he feels about knife stabbing pains shooting up his heel and into his ankle type pains.

            • Big Magoo

              Big Magoo says:
              (link)

              @J-FOH: It knocked down his average a bit, but he still managed to hit for solid power. Just eliminates that first step explosiveness out of the batter’s box and on steal attempts. He probably won’t be beating out many infield hits or running much.

              • J-FOH says:
                (link)

                @Big Magoo: Its not a good thing for Dicks

                • uncdrew says:
                  (link)

                  @J-FOH:

                  I’ve only had plantar fascitis in my legs.

                  • J-FOH says:
                    (link)

                    @uncdrew: its a tripod problem

  7. Hot Rod

    JimmyBond says:
    (link)

    Drop Betances for Ottavino in a H2H roto league? (I have Robertson as my other closer. Betances hasn’t delivered the Saves but he has helped in the W column)

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @JimmyBond: I’d take Ottavino there, but try to hang onto Betances and drop a different player if possible.

      • Hot Rod

        JimmyBond says:
        (link)

        @Big Magoo: my bad, I forgot to mention that it is 2 designated RP slots. so if I kept betances I’d have to juggle benching one of the three based on when they’d thrown (and toss a different pitcher and I like my SP lineup)

        • Hot Rod

          JimmyBond says:
          (link)

          @JimmyBond: oops, the inverse: if lefties were up in the 8th they’d use miller, and leave the righties to Betances in the 9th.

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
            (link)

            @JimmyBond: Yeah, I think that Betances has a chance to see some save opps down the line. He should provide a useable K-rate and solid ratios either way though.

  8. Jeffery McGee says:
    (link)

    Is it time to drop Choo in a 10 team 5 x 5?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @Jeffery McGee: Depends on who you’d be dropping him for, but in a shallow, non-OBP league, he’s probably expendable.

      • RotoLance

        RotoLance says:
        (link)

        @Big Magoo: I was just looking up Choo because I do own him in OBP and I’d just like to note his 2015 BABIP is .182 and he owns career .344 BABIP. I know it’s early so we expect a lot of BABIP variance but I don’t remember ever seeing this much before, on the low end anyway.

        • RotoLance

          RotoLance says:
          (link)

          @RotoLance: On the last part I meant for the league as a whole. Seems like there are a lot more low batting averages than usual.

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
            (link)

            @RotoLance: Yeah, that’s why I specified non-OBP league there. Choo is still a solid option in that format (even though his BB-rate is down early on), but he doesn’t appear to be the same power/speed threat that was a few years ago.

            • RotoLance

              RotoLance says:
              (link)

              @Big Magoo: I could actually pick a fight with you here. He was great in 2013 (went 21 and 20, .285) and played through injury for the better part of 2014. What are you basing this on?

              His season to date 5 to 1 K:BB ratio might be something to base it on, like you alluded to. Ouch. But I think it’s mostly a small sample size issue.

              I’ll also chime in that the other thing people might not know about Choo is he has a pretty massive lefty righty split: .678 OPS vs left, .903 vs right for his career.

        • goodfold2 says:
          (link)

          @RotoLance: rutledge’s when he got AAA’d was i think worst in league at the time.

          • goodfold2 says:
            (link)

            @goodfold2: oops, i didn’t mean this year, the last time he was a starter for sure at COL, manager dropped him when clearly the BABIP was the issue.

            • RotoLance

              RotoLance says:
              (link)

              @goodfold2: Yeah I think you mean 2013 after he had done so well in 2012. I owned him both years. I think it was more than just a BABIP thing though, he did get a bit lost at the plate. Sure I noticed he had improved both his BB% and K% but I think that may have been the reason for the lower BABIP, he was getting out of his comfort zone trying to mess with his approach. That’s just from memory though. I was researching his stats like every 2-3 days on fangraphs that year he got demoted.

            • RotoLance

              RotoLance says:
              (link)

              @goodfold2: Oh and even more importantly I think it mostly ended up coming down to defense. Walt Weiss likes his MIs to play D.

            • RotoLance

              RotoLance says:
              (link)

              @goodfold2: Well I didn’t mean to imply that his BABIP wasn’t an important reason he was sent down. Obviously I think if he was hitting it would have been hard for them to use D as an excuse. Like I said I was very much in touch with what was happening to Rutledge at the time. You shouldn’t have got me going on Rutledge… I actually remember being mad because he was like a top 10 fantasy 2B at the time he was sent down, despite the low BABIP! Then I found out D had a lot to do with it..

  9. G says:
    (link)

    What’s your thoughts on Addison russel? I’m
    Struggling with Danny Santana. It’s a keeper league and I have joc pederson as my second utility and he would be a 10th rounder next year. What’s you thoughts in trading joc for russel straight up. Russel would be a 10th next year

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @G: Tough call, but I’d probably keep Pederson there. He’s a potential 20/20 player this season, while Russell is more of a 12-15 homer, 10 steal type of player. They both project as roughly mid-.240s hitters as well.

      • G says:
        (link)

        @Big Magoo: thanks magoo. He actually just offered me his desmond (who I can’t keep next year) for my pederson (10th roind next year) and my avisail. Meaning I’d keep Danny Santana as my backup SS or utility at times. Finding it hard to give up pederson thoigh

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
          (link)

          @G: I’d hold Pederson there too. He’s a solid keeper in the 10th. Avisail is more than just a throw-in as well.

  10. SheriffMcRawDawg says:
    (link)

    Mageezy – if I could get Rusney for Baez in a keep forever.. should I do it?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @SheriffMcRawDawg: I’d take Rusney over Baez, Sheriff. Contact issues are a huge concern for Baez.

      • SheriffMcRawDawg says:
        (link)

        @Big Magoo: I just want my 35 bombs and 15 sbs (and .190 avg) from my MI is that too much to ask?! been holding him for over a year now but losing sight of the end of the tunnel. thanks as always

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
          (link)

          @SheriffMcRawDawg: Not too much at all! Baez probably has the largest gap between floor and ceiling of any player out there. Total wild card, but I’m a bit bearish on him. Anytime Sheriff.

  11. The Great Knoche says:
    (link)

    It’s like you already knew. Ender is not in the lineup tonight vs Rangers.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @The Great Knoche: See, I’m a psychic! Just too many outfielders in Arizona. I expect the Tomas 3B experiment to end shortly as well.

      • RotoLance

        RotoLance says:
        (link)

        @Big Magoo: I’ve actually been recommending Inciarte in my post, considering the competition.. there is just nothing out there right now for SBs. If you know of anyone tell me :)

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
          (link)

          @RotoLance: I have no problem with Inciarte as a player. Great speed, solid defender, and puts the ball in play. Doesn’t walk and has no power, but those are fantasy concerns. My main issue is with the situation more than anything. Trumbo, Pollock, Peralta, and Tomas are OF options. Hard to see everyday ABs barring a trade or injury in that group.

    • RotoLance

      RotoLance says:
      (link)

      @The Great Knoche: I’d like to add that this would be insignificant except it was against a right hander.

  12. Hey Razzball, I am beside myself with glee that I just discovered your site. I love it! Of course I had often seen your links when I googled stuff like “Ryan Church breakout candidate” but I always thought Razzball was the “Click to Begin Slideshow” site. I couldn’t tell you why. My mistake. Better late than never, huh?

  13. booya says:
    (link)

    Brandon Moss or Matt Adams in an OPS league?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @booya: Definitely Moss. More power, higher walk rate, and isn’t an automatic sit against lefties the way Adams is.

  14. corona says:
    (link)

    when do you think rusney gets a shot? hes available in a 10 team keeper league. definetely seems like a good keeper (we can keep 6). just dont want to hold him for 3 months and bleed spot starts when other guys are sitting. i play in a weekly h2h so every start is a leg up

    • corona says:
      (link)

      @corona: i should mention that its weekly. playoffs are in september, so as long as i can make the plaayoffs with rusney on my bench, i feel like i probably should. plus could be a nice (cheap) keeper for years to come…

      probably be dropping fowler or shoemaker ( i have 5 other pitchers)

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @corona: It’s tough to say. It would just take an injury or a trade to open things up for him. I think he’s up by June at the latest, but probably sometime before Memorial Day. In a keeper, I’d grab him now.

  15. Back In Black says:
    (link)

    Who wins: Rusney/Tanaka/Reyes FOR A Russell/Votto/C Martinez in a keeper league?

  16. DonnieB says:
    (link)

    Looking to upgrade at MI over Lawrie. Should I hope Gyorko recovers from being jerko or hope Valbuena is for real ? Or stick with the Royal’s favorite player?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @DonnieB: I’d be ok with Valbuena there. Solid power and walk rate. Lawrie hasn’t shown much over the past couple of years.

  17. Eric says:
    (link)

    Who would you rather have?

    Addison Russel (already have Danny Sanny at SS and Dee Gordon at MI)

    Or

    Carlos Rodon

    Basically who provides more value this year? I’m thinking Rodon….what say you?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @Eric: When in doubt, take the hitter. I’d go with Russell. It’s close though. If you need pitching more, Rodon’s fine too.

  18. AL KOHOLIC says:
    (link)

    great job Big Magoo,thanks

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @AL KOHOLIC: Thanks, Al!

  19. Wake Up says:
    (link)

    Ender Inciarte translates to My little firefly…Ottasnapplecap Veritas!

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @Wake Up: I thought it translated to End of Harrison Ford’s acting career…

  20. Tom says:
    (link)

    In a 10 team h2h where Rusney has been a FA since he was sent to the minors. I don’t think anyone else is going to pick him up until there is news and I think I can be first to do it when there is. With Holt, Craig & Nava all on the MLB roster, isn’t it going to take more than a Victorino trade/injury for Rusney to play FULL time in the majors? I can’t afford a bench hitter but I’d be happy to drop 1 of my active hitters for him if he’s going to play.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @Tom: None of those players are blocking Rusney though. Craig and Nava are purely reserves, while the Sox seem to prefer Holt in a superutility type of role. Depends who you’d be dropping for him, but he’d just be a stash for now.

      • Tom says:
        (link)

        @Big Magoo: So you’re thinking is, assuming Rusney is healthy, the day after Victorino goes on the DL or is traded, Rusney will start to playing full time for the MLB club, right?

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
          (link)

          @Tom: Yup. Castillo’s a better and more reliable player than Victorino at this time, and I think that the Sox believe that as well.

  21. Joe Shmoe says:
    (link)

    Mr. Big Magoo,
    Isn’t Rusney Castillo made of glass? He lost his spot in Spring training due to injury and I think he went 19 ABs in the minors before he landed (he is still) on the DL. I know I had him at the end of last year and he was a revelation but that was a short window. I would take Inciarte just because he is playing and racking up runs and BA while Castillo is… is…

    (I am just going by what I read so I am not at games watching and accumulating stats)
    Peace

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @Joe Shmoe: Yeah, he was recently on the 7 day DL in the minors, and I think they’ve left him on there for the time being for precautionary reasons. Want to make sure that the issue doesn’t linger once he’s called up. That’s how I read the situation anyway.

  22. Brian says:
    (link)

    Would you trade Kluber, Polanco and Uehara for Harvey and Springer? 5×5 H2H. Uehara is my 4th closer so I can take the hit there.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @Brian: Yes, I would make that deal. Kluber and Harvey are very close in value, and Springer is worth Polanco and Uehara (and then some).

  23. James says:
    (link)

    Should I give up Papelbon and Britton for soler?

    I also have 4 other relievers
    Ottavino
    Soria
    Grilli
    W. Davis

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @James: Absolutely. Make that trade now if you have the chance.

  24. jal179 says:
    (link)

    10 h2h nonkeeper 5X5 + Hits + OPS

    Start 5 OF:
    OF- Marte
    OF- Cruz
    OF- Yelich
    OF- Pollock
    OF-Avisail
    B- Steve Pearce

    Drop Pearce for Leonys Martin? I drafted Martin but dropped him early for Andrew Miller.

    i just feel like Martin is a poor mans Ellsbury but yet without Pearce i feel a tad short on HR.

    Other power sources are Miggy 3b, Pujols, 1B, AGon at CI

    Drop Pearce

    • jal179 says:
      (link)

      @jal179:

      Drop Pearce?

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        @jal179: Yeah, add Martin over Pearce. You’ll take an OPS hit, but Martin should have a healthy hit total to compensate for that.

        • jal179 says:
          (link)

          @jal179:

          Drop [email protected]Big Magoo:

          i tend to overvalue top of the lineup types… but i find their across theboard production enticing

          thanks will do…. unless u think a swiss army type like Brock Holt makes more sense as my only bench bat?

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
            (link)

            @jal179: Martin over Holt. Holt only plays semi-regularly.

  25. slimbo says:
    (link)

    Keeper league trade.

    Springer /scherzer or marte/dozier/stroman

    Thx :)

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @slimbo: Scherzer side. You can make the argument that the two best players in this deal are on that side (and I’m a Marte fan).

      • RotoLance

        RotoLance says:
        (link)

        @Big Magoo: Springer’s 3 SBs are probably the biggest takeaway from his otherwise slow start. Great sign. You’re doling out some good advice.

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
          (link)

          @RotoLance: Thanks man. The main thing that concerns me about Springer is his Z-Contact%. Very scary. Love his power/speed combo though.

  26. Mike B says:
    (link)

    How long a leash does Melancon get? Or will it take injury(which may be the underlying issue) for Watson to supplant him?

    Also, via recent trades and DL I have 3 open roster spots in a re-draft; Addison Russel was added this morning for $101($200 budget), would Lindor be an ok speculative add, or is there a better prospect on the somewhat near horizon? Mostly limited upside replacement level players available on waivers.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @Mike B: Melancon’s velocity is down roughly 2.5-3 mph on all of his pitches across the board. Huge red flag. He’s either pitching through an injury or experiencing a dead arm phase. Either way, I’d stash Watson just in case.

      Lindor is a fine spec add. So are players like Franco, Buxton, and Syndergaard. Depends on needs. All of those players should be promoted at some point this season.

      • goodfold2 says:
        (link)

        @Big Magoo: mike thinks buxton comes up later than other two of these. franco is killing minors also.

        • Mike B says:
          (link)

          @goodfold2: agreed on Buxton’s arrival being August/September. Hearing very mixed arrival times on Seager, some say because of recent playing time at 3b he could be headed up sooner than later, not sure he makes the show before AS break. I was mostly looking for someone who could get the call by mid-may. Appreciate the help guys!

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
            (link)

            @goodfold2: @Mike B: No problem. Sorry, I missed the part about looking for the early call-ups. I agree that Buxton will arrive later in the year.

  27. RotoLance

    RotoLance says:
    (link)

    Magoo, are you on Twitter? You have a lot of good takes. I tried like, “Twitter stalking”, you but I couldn’t find you via search.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @RotoLance: Haha. I’m trying to stay off of the grid like John Connor. Well, to some degree. Don’t have a Twitter account. You can e-mail me at [email protected].

  28. chrizzle says:
    (link)

    Aramis Rameriz dropped in my league. Drop yasmany for him? Or drop a catcher (trying to decide who to retain between zunino or Caleb Joseph) or is aramis trash?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @chrizzle: If Zunino’s on the bench, I’d drop him. Otherwise, it’s not a bad idea to hold there. Aramis doesn’t look like he has a lot left in the tank.

  29. booya says:
    (link)

    Which side would you want in a 12 team H2H league?
    Strasburg or JZimm, Greene, Liriano

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @booya: Strasburg side. Zimm’s velocity is down, and he hasn’t been missing many bats in the early going. Could be pitching through an injury.

Comments are closed.