For the longest time, I thought Jonathan Schoop (59.3% owned – decrease of 8%) was pronounced like Salt N’ Pepa’s Shoop. It worked well when the home run numbers went from 15 in 2015…to 25 in 2016…and 32 in 2017. Jubilee from 1993. But then my world came crashing down when I discovered that it’s actually pronounced like Scope the mouthwash. If you ever come to LA, go eat at King Taco and use the red sauce. Then pour yourself a cup of Scope. Swish it around. Gargle it. Welcome to my world. Then 2018 Schoop appeared with the .198/.242/.344 slash. The only reasons I care about Schoop are because he had an ADP of 60.6 and he’s on my NFBC team, where I can’t drop his ass! Since I’m here, I might as well take a deeper dive. The walk and strikeout rates are normal. The ISO of .146 is well below his career average of .183. The BABIP is only .221, so regression should be in the works. Unfortunately, the line drive rate is way down, ground ball rate is up, and hard hit percentage is at a career-low 24.1%. He’s always had awful plate disciple, so those numbers remain terrible. The number that stands out to me, though, is the 4% barrel rate. Since 2015, Schoop had rates of 8.7, 6.7, and 7. I hate Schoop because he’s been terrible and his name is pronounced Scope, but I do think he gets hot at some point. That’s who he is as a player. He’s going to get his timing back, which will result in more barrels. He’s going to get more BABIP luck. He’s going to hit home runs. Most of the projection systems have him down for 13 home runs the rest of the season. I hate that I had to write those past sentences, but I endured swishing Scope in my mouth after an evening of King Taco. TREASURE
Avisail Garcia (34.1% owned – increase of 22.5%) is batting .365/.377/.827 with 6 home runs, 2 doubles, and 2 triples since he returned from the DL on June 22nd. So it’s been 53 plate appearances and the ISO is at .462 with a .406 BABIP. That’s hotter than the King Taco red sauce!!! This heater is obviously unsustainable, but what can we expect going forward? For starters, the walk rate is 1.9%. On the season, it’s at 0.8%!!! Ha! In terms of ISO, Garcia’s career rate is .146. You do the math. He’s smashing the ball (45.3% hard contact rate), but those plate discipline numbers are U. G. L. Y. You ain’t got no alibi, you ugly. 47.6% chase rate and 17.8% swinging strike rate. Uh, Earth to MLB pitchers. You may want to stop throwing strikes. Over. TRASH
Max Muncy (76.3% owned – increase of 11.9%). This is what I wrote on June 15th:
All Max Muncy (55.8% owned – increase of 43.7%) does is hit home runs. 4 straight games now and 13 on the season! In 157 plate appearances! Shout out to Paul “The” Martian, who has been touting Muncy for a few weeks now. Paul. My favorite Martian? Anyways, batting average? .277. Walk rate? 15.9%. Strikeout rate? 24.8%. The BABIP is a reasonable .291. The ISO is at .354. If he qualified, only Ma ma ma Mookie Betts (.381) and Mike Trout (.371) would have better numbers. Hard hit rate of 45.7% isn’t shocking, considering he hits a home run every night. Here’s where things get juicy. The swinging strike rate is a paltry 7.7% and he’s only chasing 19.4% of pitches outside the strike zone. Here’s where things get juicier. Muncy is actually better against lefties than righties. wOBA of .485 vs .412. For his career, .429 wOBA vs .322. He’s been entrenched in the two-hole of the batting order. Now, Muncy is 27 years old and there should be some skepticism of a late breakout. The projection systems have him batting .234 with a .190-ish ISO the rest of the way. That’s definitely within the range of outcomes and regression should be expected. But, but, but….stranger things have happened. And the underlying numbers really do look juicy. TREASURE
All he’s done since is hit 7 home runs with a .291/.466/.691 slash. The walk rate is 24.7% while the strikeout rate is 19.2%!!!! The ISO is at .400 while the BABIP is .265!!!
Uh, how is he not 100% owned in ESPN leagues? TREASURE TREASURE TREASURE!!!!